Friday, December 07, 2018
Will Weak US Dollar Save Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Trade wars and lax fiscal policy are negative for the US dollar and positive for gold. Myth or fact? We invite you to read our today’s article about the effects of Trump’s actions on the greenback and find out whether weak dollar will save gold.
Let’s look at the chart below. As one can see, the greenback has been in a bull market since February 2018. Yup, the chart does not lie. The US Congress widened the fiscal deficit, while President Trump engaged in trade disputes. But despite these disturbing developments for long-run economic health, the broad trade weighted US dollar index increased from 115 to almost 130 now. But why – shouldn’t it decline?
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Friday, December 07, 2018
Oxbridge - Cambridge and Oxford Universities Mainly for Wealthy and Foreign Students / Politics / Adult Education
By: N_Walayat
A damning report today brought home the fact that Britain's best Universities Cambridge and Oxford are only really for the very wealthy and foreign students. Which means the Universities are selecting from a very narrow gene pool of potential British talent, thus by virtue of which miss out on the best of from Britain's state schools and thus cannot produce the best of Britain.
Research by the Sutton Trust shows 8 leading private schools dominate Oxbridge admissions, as over a 3 year period they sent 1310 students to Oxbridge, more than the best applicants from 3000 state schools.
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Friday, December 07, 2018
This Is the End of Trump’s Economic Sugar High / Economics / US Economy
By: Patrick_Watson
By most measures, the US economy is performing okay. GDP growth is still near 3.5%. Unemployment is below 4%. Inflation is up a bit but still historically low.Yes, the data has flaws. There’s plenty of regional variation. Your mileage may vary. But conditions could be a lot worse.
The problem: Sometimes the economy weakens beneath the surface.
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Friday, December 07, 2018
US Economy Will Deteriorate Over Next Half Year. What this Means for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
Today’s post is really important. It’s based on the Macro Investing Model, which is something I’ve been working on for weeks.
The economy (macro) is set to deteriorate
Our new Macro Investing Index is described as:
As we’ve demonstrated repeatedly here at Bull Markets, leading economic indicators are also long term leading indicators for the stock market because the stock market and the economy move in the same direction in the long term. This is how you know if the stock market’s decline is a correction, or the start of a much bigger bear market (e.g. a 30%+ decline).
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Friday, December 07, 2018
Car Accident Not Your Fault, What Happens to Your Insurance Premium? (Morethan Example) / Personal_Finance / Insurance
By: N_Walayat
What happens to your car insurance if your involved in an accident that is NOT your fault? I imagine most motorists are thinking that given the fact that the insurance company will get ALL of their costs back from the third party's insurer, so there should be little increase in premium.
Well, that is not what actually tends to happens, in fact the driver at fault and the no fault driver are both likely to see a similar HIKE in insurance premiums! For instance if your insured with the leading RSA insurance brand MoreThan, and your involved in an accident that is NOT your fault then you can expect your insurance premium to rocket by as much as 42%! This despite the fact that the insurer (MoreThan) will have been fully reimbursed for costs incurred in the handling of the claim.
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Friday, December 07, 2018
The Secret Weapon for Getting America 5G Ready / Companies / Mobile Technology
By: Stephen_McBride
Who sells the basics?
That’s the first question I answer when evaluating an investment trend.
In markets, he who sells the basics gets rich.
James Marshall did not sell the basics... and he left California broke.
He was the first guy to pull a gold nugget out of the mud during the 1848 gold rush.
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Friday, December 07, 2018
4 Commodities With Big Potential Ripe for Opportunity -- NOW / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: EWI
Dear Reader,
Trading commodities is tough business: It's hard enough to spot a good setup, harder still to time pulling the trigger.
Our friends at Elliott Wave International understand this reality -- so, they've put together a free resource for you: They call it, "4 Commodities Ripe for Opportunity -- NOW."
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Friday, December 07, 2018
Gold and Palladium Shake Hands / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: P_Radomski_CFA
The price of palladium just exceeded the price of gold for the first time in 16 years. That’s an epic even. But what does it really mean? And why should gold, silver, and mining stock investors care about the small palladium market?
In short, because this development can tell us something about the future performance of the PM sector in general.
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Friday, December 07, 2018
These Oil Stocks Are a Ticking Time Bomb / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: John_Mauldin
I don’t blame you.The yields on energy master limited partnerships (MLPs) are very tempting.
If you’re not sure what these are, energy MLPs are companies that own the pipelines that transport oil and natural gas around the US.
And they often pay huge dividend yields. The top five oil MLPs have an average dividend yield of 5.3%. That’s more than twice the S&P 500 dividend yield of 1.9%.
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Friday, December 07, 2018
How Theresa May Put Britain on the Path Towards BrExit Civil War / Politics / BrExit
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Theresa May's government is in a full blown crisis following MP's on Tuesday voting to find Government Ministers in contempt of Parliament for the first time ever, which within hours was followed by 2 further votes against he government in the countdown to next Tuesday's vote on her "EU Withdrawal Agreement" that the government is destined to lose which is triggering speculation that the Vote may be pulled at the last minute as a loss could trigger a collapse of the Government.
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Thursday, December 06, 2018
Palladium Market Panic Buying - What Comes Next? / Commodities / Palladium
By: MoneyMetals
This week, a white metal reached a rare feat. Palladium has traded at a higher cost per ounce than gold.
Last month, the palladium market pushed through all remaining technical barriers by posting a new all-time high. A chronic supply deficit now threatens to launch palladium prices into a super spike.
A true shortage of physical metal may be at hand. The primary source of demand is automakers who require palladium for catalytic converters. Supply, meanwhile, comes primarily (more than 80%) from just two unreliable countries: Russia and South Africa.
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Thursday, December 06, 2018
If You Want to Be Rich, Change Your Money Mindset / Personal_Finance / Money Making
By: Jared_Dillian
I am the child of two public servants.Growing up, I thought making $80,000 a year was a big deal. Sure, there were doctors and lawyers in town. And I knew they were wealthier—but I couldn’t put an exact number on it.
I didn’t know what a “trader” did either. I hadn’t even heard of the term, let alone “portfolio manager,” “investment banker,” or even “management consultant.” Anyone who said they were going to get into business was weird.
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Thursday, December 06, 2018
When Lights Go Off, What Does Gold Do? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Powell has recently came up with the metaphor of wandering in the darkness. Will golden sunshine brighten the dark?
I Am the Fed Chair and I Know Nothing
On November 14th, Powell discussed global perspectives in Dallas Fed with its President, Robert Kaplan. He characterized the Fed’s stance, providing an interesting analogy:
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Thursday, December 06, 2018
How easy is it to find a job in the UK iGaming industry? / Personal_Finance / Employment
By: Submissions
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Thursday, December 06, 2018
Is The US Economy Heading Into A Recession? / Economics / Recession
By: Avi_Gilburt
Recently, one of my members of Elliottwavetrader was in attendance at the 32nd Economic Outlook Symposium hosted by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. On the first day, he sat in a room with 150 economists. When asked how many see a recession in 2019, all of two hands went up.
So, let me ask you a question: When was the last time the majority of economists correctly called for a recession? (I think we all know the answer to this one).
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Wednesday, December 05, 2018
Curry's vs Jessops - Buying an Olympus TG-5 Tough Camera / Personal_Finance / Shopping
By: HGR
In our latest video in our buying and owning a Olympus TG-5 Tough Camera series we return a defective TG-5 to Curry's, a brand new camera that had a stuck or dead pixel, and then off we go to buy a TG-5 camera at a much cheaper price from JESSOPS. Another Unboxing of exactly what you get and hoping that the TG-5 camera's are not prone to having dead / stuck pixels which should NOT happen to brand new cameras!
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Wednesday, December 05, 2018
Yield Curve Harbinger of Stock Market Doom / Stock-Markets / Inverted Yield Curve
By: Gary_Tanashian
“The Harbinger of Doom”? Of course we (well, the media) are talking about the yield curve AKA Amigo #3 of our 3 happy-go-lucky riders of the macro. I have annoyed you repeatedly with this imagery in order to show that three important macro factors needed to finish riding before situation turns decidedly negative.
Amigo 1: SPX (or stocks in general)/Gold Ratio
Amigo 2: 30 Year Treasury Yield
Amigo 3: Yield Curve
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Wednesday, December 05, 2018
Stock Market Crashed While the Yield Curve Inverted / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
The stock market tanked -3% today as the yield curve started to invert.
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Wednesday, December 05, 2018
Global Economic Outlook after Trump-Xi Trade War Timeout / Economics / Global Economy
By: Dan_Steinbock
As many hoped, the highly anticipated Trump-Xi meeting in the Buenos Aires G20 Summit resulted in a truce. The devil is in the details.
As the G20 Summit ended in Buenos Aires, the G20 official summit statement acknowledged flaws in global commerce, called for reforming the World Trade Organization (WTO) and deleted the word “protectionism” after U.S. resistance.
The statement was completed only after hours of diplomatic bargaining over the night. As far as the European Union (EU) was concerned, the U.S. was the lone holdout on almost every issue in Buenos Aires, particularly in climate change.
Wednesday, December 05, 2018
Showdown Looms on US Federal Spending, Border Wall / Politics / Government Spending
By: MoneyMetals
U.S. government agencies could run out of operating funds starting on midnight this Friday, December 7th.
At issue: President Donald Trump’s proposed border wall. He wants Congress to commit $5 billion for construction of a wall along portions of the U.S.-Mexico border.
The migrant caravan that recently attempted to crash the border near Tijuana has helped rally Republicans to support his request.
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