Wednesday, January 19, 2022
Fake It Till You Make It: Will Silver’s Motto Work on Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2022
By: P_Radomski_CFA
While the USD show is gaining applause, silver has decided to present its repertoire too. Was its rally just a magic trick or a good omen for gold?
Bond yields soared once again, just as I’ve been expecting them to for many months now. The reaction in some markets was as expected (the USD Index soared), but in some, it was perplexing. Gold moved lower a little, miners declined a bit more, and silver… rallied. Who’s faking it?
Well, perhaps nobody is. Let’s look at the yields’ movement first.
Wednesday, January 19, 2022
Crude Oil Smashing Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022
By: Monica_Kingsley
S&P 500 didn‘t like latest weak data releases, but finished well off intraday lows. This reversal though leaves quite something to be desired – and it‘s sectoral composition doesn‘t pass the smell test entirely either. Yields continued to rise while HYG barely closed where it opened – that‘s not really risk-on. Cyclicals, and riskier parts of tech weren‘t visibly outperforming – the S&P 500 rally felt like a defensive bounce off some oversold levels.
That‘s why it won‘t likely hold for long – I don‘t think we have seen the end of selling – more downside awaits. It‘s still correction time, even if 2022 is likely to end up around 5,150 – we‘re still in a bull market, and Big Tech would do well. For now though, rising yields are putting pressure – and they would continue to rise. As liquidity would no longer be added by the Fed by Mar, the question remains how much would funds coming out of the repo facilities and the overnight account at the Fed (think $2t basically) offset the intended tightening.
Commodities aren‘t at all shaken, and Wednesday‘s positive copper move doesn‘t look to be an outlier – unlike Friday‘s decline that didn‘t correspond with other base metals. Even though it might be soothing to the pension funds, inflation rates aren‘t likely to come down to the usual massaged 2% during the next 2-3 years, no matter whether the Fed hikes by 0.25% 6 or 8 times. The persistently and unpleasantly 4-5% high CPI is likely to break the mainstream narrative, and stay with us for much longer than generally anticipated, which is only part of the reason why I am looking for gold to leave $1,870s very convincingly in the dust this year.
Wednesday, January 19, 2022
US Stagflation: The Global Risk of 2022 / Economics / Stagflation
By: Dan_Steinbock
Until recently, the US Fed ignored America’s soaring inflation. Due to its belated response, the consequent risks will penalize the ailing global recovery.In November, U.S. inflation surged to near 40-year high, at 6.8%. Only days later, the Fed indicated it would end its pandemic-era bond purchases in March, thus paving the way for interest rate hikes by the end of 2022.
It had been one of the worst inflation calls in the Fed’s history. One that will contribute to new uncertainty in the United States. Nor will it spare the rest of the world, including the world’s most dynamic region - Asia.
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Tuesday, January 18, 2022
Stock Market Trend Forecast Early 2022 - Tech Growth Value Stocks Rotation / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022
By: Nadeem_Walayat
2022 has gotten off to a great start with many of the target AI tech giants having taken a early year tumble to fresh swing lows that is failing to register in the general indices such as the Dow, and which acts as an harbinger of what to expect during a volatile 2022, whilst my stock market trend forecast will seek to map out the trend for Dow into the end of the year. However my primary focus is on accumulating AI tech stocks and thus my analysis also includes individual price targets for each of the AI tech stocks.
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Tuesday, January 18, 2022
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: Are We Setting Up For A 'Mini-Crash'? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022
By: Avi_Gilburt
Those that read my analysis regularly know that I do not take general market fundamentals or news into account when I analyze the stock market. The main reason is that I view that which drives fundamentals as being the same as that which drives market price. However, the effects of that driver are seen in the stock market much faster than in the market fundamentals. That is why most people have adopted the adage that the stock market is a “leading indicator” for the economy. Yet, they do not understand why that is the case.
While I am not going to discuss why that is the case in this article, I am going to refer you to a previous article I have written, which explains the “why:”
How To Analyze Market Sentiment Along With Market Fundamentals
Interestingly, there are many who take serious umbrage with my perspective, to the point that they are personally insulted. I want to assure you that my perspective has been derived from many years of experience and research. So, it is not meant as a personal affront to any of you who read my articles. I am just trying to open your mind to something that is completely foreign to most investors.
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Tuesday, January 18, 2022
Mobile Sports Betting is on a rise: Here’s why / Personal_Finance / Gambling
By: Submissions
One of the reasons why the online gambling industry has received notorious success is because of the increased usage of cell phones. Mobile gambling holds a very dominant position within the entire online gaming market. Apple has supported gambling apps since 2007. Google Play did not open doors to sports betting apps in the UK until 2017. To gain a strong foothold in the online gaming industry, many gamers are focusing on developing gambling apps that are compatible with mobile configuration. Harnessing the benefits of a strong and stable internet connection, people can download the apps and start playing.
The popularity of the football and cricket leagues have allowed the proliferation of cricket and other sports betting apps. Mobile phones have eased the process of live-stream betting, thanks to several cricket and sports betting apps. Mobile gaming gives the user freedom and flexibility. There is freedom for gambling at any time and place. Since the majority of the population can afford Android devices, the gaming companies are keen on tapping the potential of the Android gaming space. Because of the sheer convenience, movie gaming players convert into full-time loyal customers quickly which means that the players readily deposit money into their casino accounts, again thanks to the development of mobile wallets and repayment services.
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Monday, January 17, 2022
Exponential AI Stocks Mega-trend / Companies / AI
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Firstly never forget that the AI Mega-trend is NOT LINEAR BUT EXPONENTIAL where the pandemic has only acted to to accelerate the mega-trend a notch higher. For instance GPT3 (which Microsoft owns) implies autonomous humanoid robots that people can have actual conversations with are just around the corner, we will probably see mass business if not retail consumer devices (robots) within the next FOUR YEARS!
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Monday, January 17, 2022
THE NEXT BITCOIN / Currencies / cryptocurrency
By: Raymond_Matison
Most people, when thinking or talking about bitcoin, see it as a constant non-changing, immutable coin. However, the fact is that ever since the initial introduction of the original Bitcoin platform in 2009, there has been a near constant flow of imitators, look-alikes, and attempted improvements – in other words a “next bitcoin”.
Because Bitcoin’s programing code is public and available free to anyone desiring to download, use, or alter it to create a new version, the first bitcoin contender appeared not long after bitcoin itself was launched. Hence, several Bitcoin “forks” have been created – which were attempts to create a new and “improved” bitcoin, while also continuing to maintain the original version.
A new platform is only as effective and valuable as the size of its user community. When a Bitcoin fork is effected, a more modest size of a split user community will have its use languish, and value of its token proscribed, regardless that it may have improved functionality in terms of speed of transactions, finality, security, or cost.
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Monday, January 17, 2022
Gold Price Predictions for 2022 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2022
By: Kelsey_Williams
PREDICTIONS FOR GOLD
There seems to be an almost fanatical obsession with ‘fortune telling’ when it comes to the financial markets. Gold is no exception.
It is worth taking a look back at some earlier predictions to help put things in perspective…
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Monday, January 17, 2022
How Do Debt Relief Services Work To Reduce The Amount You Owe? / Personal_Finance / Debt & Loans
By: Steve_Barker
Whether you’re feeling overwhelmed by student loans, credit card bills, or an endless list of other debts that don't seem to end, no matter how much you pay back, you might be dealing with massive debt. In these cases, rather than attempting to manage your unending debts on your own, you should consider debt relief solutions.
Debt relief options can help change the terms or amount of debt you owe to make your financial situation a bit better. However, debt relief may not be the correct option for everyone because while they come with an obvious advantage, there are also some hidden consequences which you should be aware of.
The apparent advantage of debt relief comes in the form of financial ease, however, it may also have a somewhat negative impact on your credit score. Therefore, it’s essential to understand when to consider debt relief. To help you better understand, here’s a simple guide to how debt relief services work, when you should consider them, and the common debt relief options you have.
Sunday, January 16, 2022
RIVIAN IPO Illustrates We are in the Mother of all Stock Market Bubbles / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Just over a week ago EV stock Rivian IPO' d, a stock that virtually delivers nothing in terms of revenues is now valued at $110 billion! The company so far has delivered about 200 cars and their expectations are to deliver about 55,000 cars by the end of 2023.
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Sunday, January 16, 2022
All Market Eyes on Copper / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2022
By: Monica_Kingsley
S&P 500 sold off only a little in the wake of CPI data – probably celebrating that the figure wasn‘t 8% but only 7%. As if that weren‘t uncomfortable already – and the Fed wants to field accelerated taper, and perhaps even four quarter-point rate hikes to tame it? Oh, and perhaps also balance sheet reduction through not reinvesting proceeds from matured bonds and notes as talked on Monday – sure, that will do the trick.
Looking at Treasuries over the prior two days shows that the Fed isn‘t being questioned. Value defends the high ground while tech rallies – Monday‘s fear with its brief return Tuesday, is in the rear-view mirror, compacency returning, and VIX again below 18. Prior upswing consolidation right next, is the most likely action for S&P 500.
The real gains though are being made elsewhere – in crude oil and copper. With commodities back on fire, these two have certainly greater appreciation potential next than stocks or cryptos – so, long live our open longs there!
Sunday, January 16, 2022
The US Dollar Had a Slip-Up, but Gold Turned a Blind Eye to It / Currencies / US Dollar
By: P_Radomski_CFA
“It’s my party and I’ll fall if I want to”, sang gold and kept its word. Although the dollar weakened, gold seemed reluctant to take advantage of it.
Now that was a big decline in the USD Index! What made gold yawn and why is it declining today? Because it doesn’t want to rally.
I’ve been writing this over and over again, and yet I’ll write it once more. Markets don’t move in a straight line up or down, and periodic corrections are natural. However, the way markets interact during those corrections tells us a lot about what’s likely to take place next, at least in the case of some markets.
Sunday, January 16, 2022
A Stock Market Top for the Ages / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022
By: EWI
Hi reader,
In late 2021, Elliott Wave International Founder and President Robert Prechter gave a rare, live presentation -- "A Stock Market Top for the Ages" -- at the annual New Orleans Investment Conference. The recording comprises Prechter's December 2021 Elliott Wave Theorist.
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Saturday, January 15, 2022
FREETRADE - Stock Investing Platform, the Good, Bad and Ugly Review, Free Shares, Cancelled Orders. / Personal_Finance / Investing 2022
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Here's a heads up REAL review of the FREE TRADE Investing platform, telling you exactly what to expect, literally the good, the bad and the ugly of using this stock investing app.
And if after watching the video you are still up for getting a free share worth between £3 and £10 then follow my link which means we will both get a free share - https://magic.freetrade.io/join/nadeem/4c9ba1da
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Saturday, January 15, 2022
WD 14tb My Book External Drive Unboxing, Testing and Benchmark Performance Amazon Buy Review / Personal_Finance / Computing
By: HGR
Here's the unboxing of a 14tb MONSTER WD MY Book external drive for media and to get your system and data drives backed up before inevitable disaster strikes! Find out exactly what you get in the box and how the drive performs when plugged in and benchmarked for the first time using Crystal disk and Atto Disk benchmarking software so you know if it's a good buy or not from Amazon - https://amzn.to/3rlWXF3
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Saturday, January 15, 2022
Toyland Ferris Wheel Birthday Fun at Gulliver's Rother Valley UK Theme Park 2022 / Personal_Finance / Theme Parks
By: Eliza_Walayat
It was Eliza's 7th Birthday soon and as a birthday treat we took her to the recently opened new Theme Park Gulliver's Rother Valley which is situated between Rotherham, Sheffield and Doncaster, so near three major urban areas. Gulliver's theme parks are mainly for under 10's so Eliza's teenage brothers and sisters were a bit bored but Eliza had a lot of fun. Here's what it was like the Ferris Wheel in Toyland which is situated near where one first goes into the park usually has a big queue, find out if it worth queuing for.
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Saturday, January 15, 2022
What You Should Know About a TailoredPay High Risk Merchant Account / Companies / SME
By: Sumeet_Manhas
Accepting credit cards is one of the critical aspects in determining a business's success or failure. Customers appreciate the ease that a credit card provides and frequently decline to do business with companies that do not accept credit cards. This condition is highly problematic for any business strategy or company that a merchant account industry considers high risk. Due to the increased risk, high risk merchants have a more challenging time obtaining and maintaining merchant accounts. However, with a TailoredPay high risk merchant account, things will get easier.
Tailored Pay specializes in assisting businesses with obtaining a high risk merchant account in the simplest and most comfortable manner possible. However, before you go ahead and open a high risk merchant account, you must review the basics.
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Friday, January 14, 2022
Best Metaverse Tech Stocks Investing for 2022 and Beyond / Companies / Metaverse
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Dear Reader
This is part 2 of 3 of my truly extensive analysis on how to profit form the emerging metaverse. Part 1 - Investing in the METAVERSE Stocks Universe
The whole of which was first made available to Patrons who support my work.
Best Stocks To Profit From the $1+ Trillion Emerging Metaverse Mega-trend
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Friday, January 14, 2022
Gold Price Lagging Inflation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2022
By: Zeal_LLC
Gold is lagging the raging inflation unleashed by the Fed’s epic money printing. Despite leading inflation benchmarks skyrocketing to multi-decade highs, gold prices have barely budged. Serious inflation initially fuels record-high stock markets, which stunt gold investment demand. But festering inflation increasingly erodes corporate earnings, hitting stock prices. As stock markets roll over, gold will start reflecting this inflation.
Runaway inflation is increasingly plaguing the United States, as evident in this week’s major economic releases. The December Consumer Price Index headline number came in up 7.0% year-over-year, its hottest print since June 1982! That’s a 39.5-year high, despite the CPI being intentionally lowballed by the government to mask inflation. Fast-rising general prices slash standards of living, angering American voters.
This latest CPI report claimed food and shelter costs only climbed 6.3% and 4.1% over this past year. Is that your experience? The actual increases in grocery bills, housing, and rent costs have likely soared at triple-to-quadruple those pretend trajectories. Leading into this latest CPI release, new research from Bank of America reported food, housing, and rent prices have blasted about 27%, 18%, and 12% higher YoY!
Shelter accounts for about a third of the CPI, which is held artificially-low through a fiction called owners’ equivalent rent. That is just a survey asking homeowners to guess how much they’d expect to pay to rent a house of similar quality! Most Americans who aren’t real-estate professionals wouldn’t have a clue on that. The CPI is full of similar statistical trickery instead of using honest hard free-market data on prices.
The December Producer Price Index showing wholesale price trends looked even worse, soaring 9.7% YoY! That was a record high in this current PPI iteration. Far more inflation is baked into the pipeline, as an intermediate-demand PPI subindex rocketed up 24.4% YoY! These soaring input costs are cutting into corporate earnings, and will ultimately be passed along to customers driving more price increases.
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