Tuesday, January 25, 2022
Stock Market Relief Rally, Maybe? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022
By: Monica_Kingsley
S&P 500 closed below the 200-day moving average – unheard of. But similarly to the turn in credit markets on Wednesday, the bulls can surprise shortly as the differential between HYG and TLT with LQD is more pronounced now. The field is getting clear, the bulls can move – and shortly would whether or not we see the autumn lows tested next.
Now that my target of 4,400 has been reached (the journey to this support has been a more one-sided event than anticipated), 4,300 are next in the bears sight. The bearish voice and appetite is growing, which may call for a little caution in celebrating the downswings next. Relief rally is approaching, even if not immediately and visibly here yet. All I am waiting for, is a convincing turn in the credit markets, which we haven‘t seen yet.
The dollar is likely to waver in the medium-term, and that‘s what‘s helping the great and profitable moves in commodities, and reviving precious metals. Crypto short profits are likewise growing – the real question is when the tech slide would stop (getting closer), and how much would financials rebound as well. Not worried about energy – the oil dip would turn out a mere blip.
Tuesday, January 25, 2022
Why Gold’s Latest Rally Is Nothing to Get Excited About / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2022
By: P_Radomski_CFA
You don't have to be a fortune teller to predict some of the precious metals’ behavior in the market. Any incoming signs take the shape of a bear.
What a signal-rich week that was! At least if you’re interested in forecasting gold and predicting silver prices.
The USD Index rallied, but that was the least interesting of the important developments, as it had already reversed during the preceding week. So, the fact that the USD Index continued its medium-term uptrend last week is not that noteworthy.
Tuesday, January 25, 2022
Gold Slides and Rebounds in 2022 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2022
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
My outlook for the gold market in 2022 suffers from manic depression: I see first a period of despair and an elevated mood later.So, 2021 is over! 2022 will be better, right? Yeah, for sure! Just relax, what bad could happen?
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Tuesday, January 25, 2022
Gold; a stellar picture / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2022
By: Gary_Tanashian
Gold’s ‘real’ price indicates a fine ‘risk vs. reward’
[edit] Since this article will be distributed to a wider viewership than nftrh.com, where regular readers know I take pains not to hype this most precious ‘value’ asset, take note that a positive risk vs. reward does not mean run out and go whole hog gold stock bull right this minute. Risk vs. reward is a condition, but not a timer. The miners, as of now, are on a seasonal bounce/rally. But with patience, the sector is setting up to distinguish itself as unique and quite bullish in 2022.
As today’s (Thursday’s) market activity shows, the bubble is still in force as US stock markets/sectors generally remain intact (for the most part, with some notable exceptions outside of the headliners, as certain table legs get kicked out). But gold is in a beautiful Cup & Handle structure, as I’ve shown repeatedly (ref. 2022: The Golden Year) since NFTRH began projecting the handle-making in the summer of 2020.
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Saturday, January 22, 2022
CATHY WOOD ARK GARBAGE ARK Funds Heading for 90% STOCK CRASH! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The great valuation reset that I have been warning of for a good 6 months is taking place with a vengeance! As it's not a question of everyone waiting for the Fed act to raise rates because the market is already raising rates anyway and at their sharpest pace in over a year which punishes the high PE garbage growth stocks whilst rewarding low PE strong cash flow stocks.
Look at ARK GARBAGE STOCKS - NO EARNINGS, NO SALES, JUST SOME GARBAGE MANTRA of "DESRUPTIVE TECHNOLOGY" THAT SPEWS OUT of CATHY WOOD from time to time! The only thing getting disrupted are the portfolios of all the poor souls who fell for her snake oil sales pitch!
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Saturday, January 22, 2022
Gold Is the Belle of the Ball. Will Its Dance Turn Bearish? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2022
By: P_Radomski_CFA
The precious metals still do pirouettes on the trading floor, but they can stumble in their choreography. The bears are just waiting for it.
With the GDX ETF soaring on significant volume on Jan. 19, the senior miners had a renewed pep in their step. With gold, silver, and mining stocks all dancing to the same beat, the precious metals garnered all of the bullish attention. However, with the trio known to cut their performances short as soon as investors arrive, will the mood music remain so sanguine?
Well, for one, the GDX ETF has a history of peaking when the crowd enters the party. For example, I marked with the blue vertical dashed lines and blue arrows below how large daily spikes in volume often coincide with short-term peaks. Moreover, with another ominous event unfolding on Jan. 19, historical data implies that we’re much closer to the top than the bottom.
Saturday, January 22, 2022
Best Neighborhoods to Buy Real Estate in San Diego / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Umer_Mahmood
San Diego is known for immaculate weather and pristine beaches alongside a bustling downtown scene focused around PetCo Park and the Gaslamp district. While San Diego is not known for its affordable real estate, the area is still rapidly growing, and those who have the funds to spend can find some great neighborhoods that are rapidly growing.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 21, 2022
Stock Market January PANIC AI Tech Stocks Buying Opp - Trend Forecast 2022 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022
By: Nadeem_Walayat
2022 has gotten off to a great start with many of the target AI tech giants having taken a early year tumble to fresh swing lows that is failing to register in the general indices such as the Dow, and which acts as an harbinger of what to expect during a volatile 2022, whilst my stock market trend forecast will seek to map out the trend for Dow into the end of the year. However my primary focus is on accumulating AI tech stocks and thus my analysis also includes individual price targets for each of the AI tech stocks.
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Thursday, January 20, 2022
How to Get Rich in the MetaVerse / InvestorEducation / Metaverse
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Whilst my forthcoming in-depth analysis will point out the primary mechanisms and strategies for becoming wealthy, however here is what one needs to do to fully capitalise on the metaverse where basically you get out what you put in in terms of effort.
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Thursday, January 20, 2022
Should you Buy Payment Disruptor Stocks in 2022? / Companies / Sector Analysis
By: Stephen_McBride
There’s a big “threat” looming over one of my favorite groups of stocks. After years of running higher, these stocks reversed course in 2021…
And are now trading at a steep discount.
But while most folks are getting this story completely wrong…
I’ll show you why this “threat” is presenting a great buying opportunity.
Thursday, January 20, 2022
2022 the Year of Smart devices, Electric Vehicles, and AI Startups / Companies / Investing 2022
By: Submissions
2021 was an exhilarating year for smart technology and software, and 2022 is already witnessing a somewhat promising start, as companies are looking to implement more advanced Artificial Technology, and software giants are swinging their market value upwards.
On Monday, Apple Technologies became the first company to climb above the $3 trillion stock market value, as investors were betting the company will release a hoard of exciting and advanced smart devices in the coming year.
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Thursday, January 20, 2022
Oil Markets More Animated by Geopolitics, Supply, and Demand / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Submissions
Crude oil prices closed yesterday near their 7-year highs. What do you think are the main price drivers prevailing for this surge on crude oil prices?
Geopolitical Situation
Crude oil prices closed yesterday near their 7-year highs, as an attack on an oil site in Abu Dhabi further strained an already tense market. The concern about the deterioration of the situation between Ukraine and Russia, which has been occurring for several days, has been overtaken by the attack on the infrastructures of the United Arab Emirates. On Monday, an attack probably committed by drones blew up three tank trucks near the Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (ADNOC)’s reservoirs.
Wednesday, January 19, 2022
WARNING - AI STOCK MARKET CRASH / BEAR SWITCH TRIGGERED! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Dear Reader
My Stocks Bear Market / Crash Indicator (CI18) has been triggered as of Fridays close with a reading of 103.4% where a reading of at least 100% equals SWITCHED ON for the first time since late Feb 2020 when it was triggered with a reading of 112%.
Contents:
What is the CI18?
CI18 Trigger Feb 2020
Existing Stock Market Trend Forecast
Stock Market VIX
Stock Market December Trend
OMICRON THE STRAW THAT BROKE THE CAMELS BACK!
MUTED SANTA RALLY
The Alibaba Stock Market
ARKK Garbage
Stocks Bear Market of 2022 May Have Started EARLY!
Facebook $301 Buying level achieved.
Recession 2022
Quantum AI Tech Stocks Portfolio
Crypto FLASH CRASH Early Christmas Present
Wednesday, January 19, 2022
Fake It Till You Make It: Will Silver’s Motto Work on Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2022
By: P_Radomski_CFA
While the USD show is gaining applause, silver has decided to present its repertoire too. Was its rally just a magic trick or a good omen for gold?
Bond yields soared once again, just as I’ve been expecting them to for many months now. The reaction in some markets was as expected (the USD Index soared), but in some, it was perplexing. Gold moved lower a little, miners declined a bit more, and silver… rallied. Who’s faking it?
Well, perhaps nobody is. Let’s look at the yields’ movement first.
Wednesday, January 19, 2022
Crude Oil Smashing Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022
By: Monica_Kingsley
S&P 500 didn‘t like latest weak data releases, but finished well off intraday lows. This reversal though leaves quite something to be desired – and it‘s sectoral composition doesn‘t pass the smell test entirely either. Yields continued to rise while HYG barely closed where it opened – that‘s not really risk-on. Cyclicals, and riskier parts of tech weren‘t visibly outperforming – the S&P 500 rally felt like a defensive bounce off some oversold levels.
That‘s why it won‘t likely hold for long – I don‘t think we have seen the end of selling – more downside awaits. It‘s still correction time, even if 2022 is likely to end up around 5,150 – we‘re still in a bull market, and Big Tech would do well. For now though, rising yields are putting pressure – and they would continue to rise. As liquidity would no longer be added by the Fed by Mar, the question remains how much would funds coming out of the repo facilities and the overnight account at the Fed (think $2t basically) offset the intended tightening.
Commodities aren‘t at all shaken, and Wednesday‘s positive copper move doesn‘t look to be an outlier – unlike Friday‘s decline that didn‘t correspond with other base metals. Even though it might be soothing to the pension funds, inflation rates aren‘t likely to come down to the usual massaged 2% during the next 2-3 years, no matter whether the Fed hikes by 0.25% 6 or 8 times. The persistently and unpleasantly 4-5% high CPI is likely to break the mainstream narrative, and stay with us for much longer than generally anticipated, which is only part of the reason why I am looking for gold to leave $1,870s very convincingly in the dust this year.
Wednesday, January 19, 2022
US Stagflation: The Global Risk of 2022 / Economics / Stagflation
By: Dan_Steinbock
Until recently, the US Fed ignored America’s soaring inflation. Due to its belated response, the consequent risks will penalize the ailing global recovery.In November, U.S. inflation surged to near 40-year high, at 6.8%. Only days later, the Fed indicated it would end its pandemic-era bond purchases in March, thus paving the way for interest rate hikes by the end of 2022.
It had been one of the worst inflation calls in the Fed’s history. One that will contribute to new uncertainty in the United States. Nor will it spare the rest of the world, including the world’s most dynamic region - Asia.
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Tuesday, January 18, 2022
Stock Market Trend Forecast Early 2022 - Tech Growth Value Stocks Rotation / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022
By: Nadeem_Walayat
2022 has gotten off to a great start with many of the target AI tech giants having taken a early year tumble to fresh swing lows that is failing to register in the general indices such as the Dow, and which acts as an harbinger of what to expect during a volatile 2022, whilst my stock market trend forecast will seek to map out the trend for Dow into the end of the year. However my primary focus is on accumulating AI tech stocks and thus my analysis also includes individual price targets for each of the AI tech stocks.
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Tuesday, January 18, 2022
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: Are We Setting Up For A 'Mini-Crash'? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022
By: Avi_Gilburt
Those that read my analysis regularly know that I do not take general market fundamentals or news into account when I analyze the stock market. The main reason is that I view that which drives fundamentals as being the same as that which drives market price. However, the effects of that driver are seen in the stock market much faster than in the market fundamentals. That is why most people have adopted the adage that the stock market is a “leading indicator” for the economy. Yet, they do not understand why that is the case.
While I am not going to discuss why that is the case in this article, I am going to refer you to a previous article I have written, which explains the “why:”
How To Analyze Market Sentiment Along With Market Fundamentals
Interestingly, there are many who take serious umbrage with my perspective, to the point that they are personally insulted. I want to assure you that my perspective has been derived from many years of experience and research. So, it is not meant as a personal affront to any of you who read my articles. I am just trying to open your mind to something that is completely foreign to most investors.
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Tuesday, January 18, 2022
Mobile Sports Betting is on a rise: Here’s why / Personal_Finance / Gambling
By: Submissions
One of the reasons why the online gambling industry has received notorious success is because of the increased usage of cell phones. Mobile gambling holds a very dominant position within the entire online gaming market. Apple has supported gambling apps since 2007. Google Play did not open doors to sports betting apps in the UK until 2017. To gain a strong foothold in the online gaming industry, many gamers are focusing on developing gambling apps that are compatible with mobile configuration. Harnessing the benefits of a strong and stable internet connection, people can download the apps and start playing.
The popularity of the football and cricket leagues have allowed the proliferation of cricket and other sports betting apps. Mobile phones have eased the process of live-stream betting, thanks to several cricket and sports betting apps. Mobile gaming gives the user freedom and flexibility. There is freedom for gambling at any time and place. Since the majority of the population can afford Android devices, the gaming companies are keen on tapping the potential of the Android gaming space. Because of the sheer convenience, movie gaming players convert into full-time loyal customers quickly which means that the players readily deposit money into their casino accounts, again thanks to the development of mobile wallets and repayment services.
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Monday, January 17, 2022
Exponential AI Stocks Mega-trend / Companies / AI
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Firstly never forget that the AI Mega-trend is NOT LINEAR BUT EXPONENTIAL where the pandemic has only acted to to accelerate the mega-trend a notch higher. For instance GPT3 (which Microsoft owns) implies autonomous humanoid robots that people can have actual conversations with are just around the corner, we will probably see mass business if not retail consumer devices (robots) within the next FOUR YEARS!
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