Tuesday, July 18, 2017
Gold Cheaper Than Buying Greek Villas in 2012 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
Tom Beck, founder of Portfolio Wealth Global, delves into the factors that drives gold investment demand.
Gold prices peaked in 2011 at a price of $1,925 per ounce, and since then, it has plummeted.
The bottom was set in 2015 when gold was hated and disregarded by investors—it was trading for $1,099.
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Tuesday, July 18, 2017
Why & How to Hedge the Growing Risks of Holding Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Welcome to this week’s Market Wrap Podcast, I’m Mike Gleason.
Coming up we’ll hear from Axel Merk, President and Chief Investment Officer of Merk Investments and manager of the Merk Funds. Axel breaks down investor complacency, the risk of putting too much money into risk assets and gives advice on the proper weighting of precious metals in your own portfolio. Don’t miss a sensational interview with Axel Merk, coming up after this week’s market update.
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Monday, July 17, 2017
Relocation: Everything You Need to do for a Smooth Transition Abroad / Personal_Finance / Immigration
Justin Weinger writes: Dreaming of moving abroad? It’s not full steam ahead until you’ve sorted out some vital things including your finances, your housing and where on earth you’re going to store all of your belongings in the meantime. Here’s a relocation guide that will benefit you no matter where you’re going.
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Monday, July 17, 2017
Too Much Capital / Stock-Markets / Economic Theory
Henri Schneider writes: Truisms and banalities: Investors must be able to assess the productivity of their capital. This is done by comparing returns to interest rates. But what, if all interest rates are rigged? What if they are artificially lower than they should be? Then, not only too much capital is invested, but it is invested in the wrong places. Even more pressing: what if there is simply too much capital in the financial system?
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Monday, July 17, 2017
A Former Lehman Brothers Trader: It’s Time To Buy Brick And Mortar Retailers / Companies / Retail Sector
BY JARED DILLIAN : Everyone thinks it is only a matter of time before Amazon puts every department store, every mall, every brick-and-mortar retailer out of business. Amazon gets an infinity market cap and everyone else gets zero.
Sound familiar?
That’s the accepted wisdom.
Is Amazon a great business? Yes.
Is a department store a bad business? Probably.
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Monday, July 17, 2017
Bank Of England Warns “Bigger Systemic Risk” Now Than 2008 / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2017
– Bank of England warn that “bigger systemic risk” now than in 2008
– BOE, Prudential Regulation Authority (PRA) concerns re financial system
– Banks accused of “balance sheet trickery” -undermining spirit of post-08 rules
– EU & UK corporate bond markets may be bigger source of instability than ’08
– Credit card debt and car loan surge could cause another financial crisis
– PRA warn banks returning to similar practices to those that sparked 08 crisis
– ‘Conscious that corporate memories can be shed surprisingly fast’ warns PRA Chair
Monday, July 17, 2017
Will Stock Market New All-Time High Uptrend Accelerate? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Monday, July 17, 2017
Bitcoin Price “Deja Vu” Corrective Sequence / Currencies / Bitcoin
Since June peak at $3000, Bitcoin lost 35% of it’s value driving the rest of the cryptocurrency market into chaos as 1st August is approaching which is scheduled to trigger activation of Segregated Witness (SegWit) and could lead to a split in Bitcoin’s blockchain. There is no need to explain what’s going to happen in the coming weeks as the internet is already full of articles containing the details about it.
What’s really important is the price structure and how we can interpret it to get an idea about the possible coming path. We believe that the world market is ruled by technical analysis as fundamentals is only used to trigger the move. So as we have an important coming event for Bitcoin, then usually the market will send us a message through the charts which we can read it with different methods.
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Monday, July 17, 2017
Bitcoin Price Facing Key Support At 1737 / Currencies / Bitcoin
BTCUSD recently broke below the bottom support trend line of the triangle pattern on its 4-hour chart and the ascending trend line on the daily chart, and is now facing the key support at the May 27 low of 1737.
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Monday, July 17, 2017
Charting New Low in Speculation in Gold and Silver Markets / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
Technical analyst Jack Chan charts the latest moves in the gold and silver markets, noting new lows in speculative positions, which should boost prices.
Our proprietary cycle indicator is down.
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Monday, July 17, 2017
Bitcoin Crash - Is This The End of Cryptocurrencies? / Currencies / Bitcoin
The selloff in cryptocurrencies continues today with bitcoin now falling below $2,000 to a low of $1,841 after hitting its all time high of $3,108.54 on June 11th, marking a 41% drop in the last five weeks.
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Monday, July 17, 2017
The Fed's Inflation Nightmare Scenario / Economics / Inflation
Lior Gantz, founder of Wealth Research Group, analyzes how inflation will likely take off in the U.S., and why all of the condensed energy dammed up by the QE programs and the Fed asset purchases will explode all at once.
Wealth Research Group published an important update on the precious metals sector, which is trading in an unusual pattern, and how the bottom for junior mining shares is likely to play itself out in six to eight months.
For over nine years, central banks have been the front and center of the financial universe.
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Monday, July 17, 2017
Billionaire Investors Backing A Marijuana Boom In 2017 / Commodities / Cannabis
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Monday, July 17, 2017
Perfect Storm - This Fourth Turning has Over a Decade of Continuous Storms to Come / Politics / Social Issues
Several weeks ago I had to drive west on the Pennsylvania Turnpike to pick up my son after his sophomore year at Penn State. I’ve made this trip a dozen times over the last few years, since this is my second son attending Penn State, with a third starting in the Fall. It’s a tedious, boring, protracted, four hour trek through the rural countryside of the Keystone State. During these trips my mind wanders, making connections between the landscape and the pressing issues facing the world. I can’t help but get lost in my thoughts as the miles accumulate like dollars on the national debt clock.
More often than not I end up making the trip in the midst of bad weather. And this time was no different. The Pennsylvania Turnpike is a meandering, decades old, dangerous, mostly two lane highway for most of its 360 mile span. Large swaths of the decaying interstate are under construction, as the narrative about lack of infrastructure spending is proven false by visual proof along the highways and byways of America.
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Monday, July 17, 2017
Gold and Silver Biggest Opportunity Since Late 2015, Last Chance at These Prices / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
Technical analyst Clive Maund's analysis of the charts is indicating that gold and silver are positioning for a big move upward.
We've had to wait 18 months for an opportunity as big as the one we saw late in 2015 to appear again in the Precious Metals sector. "Wait a minute", I hear you say, "prices were generally lower back then at that low than they are now, so how can it be as big an opportunity, as leverage is reduced?". Here are the reasons, one technical, the other fundamental. When prices rose out of the late 2015 low, which was the Head of the Head-and-Shoulders bottom shown to advantage on the 10-year chart for GDX (VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF) below, they were destined to retrace to mark out the Right Shoulder of the pattern, which is what now has most investors very negative towards the sector again.
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Monday, July 17, 2017
Why Jobs Growth No Longer Induces Wage Growth in America / Economics / Economic Theory
Or The Eclipse of the Phillips Curve in AmericaWhile the Fed’s continued tightening may suppress growth in emerging economies, US labor market may not be as strong as recent reports suggest.
US experienced strong job growth in June, when the economy created 222,000 net new jobs, which exceeded analyst expectations. At the Federal Reserve, the jobs report boosted confidence US economy is on the track for new rate hikes in the fall.
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Monday, July 17, 2017
Stock Market More to Go / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: Uptrend continues with a serious loss of upside momentum in weekly indicators.
SPX Intermediate trend: An ending diagonal appears to be in its last stage of completion .
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Sunday, July 16, 2017
Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - The Calm Before the Storm / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
“In truth, however, nothing is inevitable and very little is new. And tech is no more the root of the problem than are trade or globalization. Many of our most vaunted innovations are simply methods -- electronic or otherwise -- of pulling off some age-old profit-maximizing maneuver by new and unregulated means.” Thomas Frank
“It is my purpose, as one who lived and acted in these days, first to show how easily the tragedy of the Second World War could have been prevented; how the malice of the wicked was reinforced by the weakness of the virtuous.” Winston S. Churchill, The Gathering Storm
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Sunday, July 16, 2017
The Technical Failure That Could Clear The Oil Glut In A Matter Of Weeks / Commodities / Crude Oil
OPEC exports have come under pressure this week from technical threats to oil fields, with Saudi Arabia’s Manifa problems grabbing the headlines.
Saudi Aramco CEO Amin Nasser, while addressing the World Petroleum Congress in Istanbul, stated that the outlook for oil supplies is “increasingly worrying”, due to a loss of $1 trillion ($1000 billion) in investments last year. The skepticism shown by a majority of financial analysts and oil commentators about the real threat to global oil (and gas) production volumes was countered by the news that the production at Saudi Aramco’s main offshore oil field, Manifa, has been hit by technical problems. News sources reported that the output from Saudi Aramco's massive Manifa oilfield has been hit by a technical problem.
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Sunday, July 16, 2017
Emerging Markets & Basic Materials Stocks Breaking Out Together / Commodities / Resources Investing
While most members are focused on the precious metals ,I’ve been waiting patiently for two other sectors to setup a long term buy signal which I believe happened last week. I know you are well aware of my mantra that big consolidation patterns lead to big impulse moves. What’s pretty amazing is these 2 sectors have an almost identical long term consolidation pattern and are breaking out at the same time. It stands to reason that if the Emerging Markets are going to be strong then the Basic Materials sector should benefit as well.
Most like to look at the EEM, emerging market index, but there is another emerging market index which trades with much more volume, VWO which I will use in this post. Lets start with just a simple daily line chart for VWO which shows a H&S bottom in place and a breakout yesterday of the blue bullish rising flag. Keep those two patterns in the back of your mind when we look at the longer term charts.
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