Friday, January 05, 2018
Financial Markets Outlook 2018 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: WMA
Williams Market Analytics write:
Contents
I. Review 2017
II. Macroeconomic Outlook
III. Bonds & Yield
IV. Currency Markets
V. Commodities
VI. Equity Markets
VII. Final Thoughts for 2018
Thursday, January 04, 2018
The GOLD OIL Ratio / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Gary_Savage
The gold:oil ratio has been trending in favor of oil for a number of months. I look for this trend to reverse soon in favor of gold.
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Thursday, January 04, 2018
Palladium Price Surge To New All Time High Over $1,100/oz On Supply Crunch Concerns / Commodities / Palladium
By: GoldCore
– Palladium prices surge to new record high over $1,100/oz today
– Palladium surges past record nominal price seen in 2001 after 55% surge in 2017
– Best-performing precious metal and commodity of 2017 is palladium
– Palladium prices top platinum prices for first time in 16 years
– Strong Chinese car demand and switch from diesel to petrol cars sees demand surge
– Supply crunch as six year supply deficit & 2017 deficit expected to hit 83,000 ounces
– Palladium supply crunch to intensify if world’s leading producer Russia restricts supply and investors diversify into tiny palladium bullion market
Thursday, January 04, 2018
Chartology of the Canadian Venture Composite Index $CDNX / Commodities / Metals & Mining
By: Rambus_Chartology
Tonight I would like to start out by looking at the $CDNX, Canadian Venture Composite Index, which blasted higher last week and is following through this week. The reason this index is so important is because it not only has many junior precious metals stocks, but also many small cap energy related stocks as well as other speculative venture capital stocks from other sectors. This is a very good sign for the overall stock markets and commodities in general, as it shows risk capital is finding a home in which to park. This is another important clue that there is no top in the stock markets yet, because the risk on trade is still healthy.
Thursday, January 04, 2018
2018 US Stock Market Rally Is Just Starting / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Last week, we posted our research showing that the US markets were setting up for a 2018 Q1 rally based on our research using our advanced predictive analysis modeling tools – the Adaptive Dynamic Learning model. This model attempts to find unique price, technical and indicator patterns in past price bars and then attempts to find similar patterns in newer price bars. When multiple price bars with similar pattern structures are found, it maps these as “unique genomic structures” and attempt to learn from the future price activities. This unique modeling system was created by our team of skilled market researchers in an attempt to provide accurate insight into the markets future price swings.
Thursday, January 04, 2018
Cryptocurrencies Hit New All-Time High To Ring In 2018! / Currencies / BlockChain
By: Jeff_Berwick
Cryptocurrencies have blasted off to new all-time highs at the start of 2018.
Cryptocurrencies have just rocketed through $700 billion easily surpassing the last all-time high near $640 billion in mid-December before the last “crash”.
Most cryptocurrencies have been soaring with the exception of bitcoin which continues to wallow near $15,000 as its transaction speeds and fees render it nearly unusable.
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Thursday, January 04, 2018
Stock Market Insanity and Narcissus / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Enda_Glynn
Hello everyone,
I do hope you had a great day.
I have been on the road all day,
so I will endeavor to keep tonight's post concise and to the point,
before my eyes drop and I fall out of my chair!
Thursday, January 04, 2018
Bitcoin Price Forecast 2018 - Will 2017 Crypto Bubble Mania Repeat? / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The crypto coin gamblers had a wild ride during during 2017 which saw early year bets on Bitcoin at sub $2000 for the first 4 months of the year converted into a $20k Mid December bubble peak! Buying interest increased all year, with many asking me how to buy, hold and trade bitcoins, and then came the mania phase as bitcoin lifted off beyond $5k, where with each $1k rise I would be repeatedly asked when bit coin would peak.
Thursday, January 04, 2018
“Strength” in the Gold Miners? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018
By: P_Radomski_CFA
Gold moved visibly higher during the first session of the year and this time mining stocks accompanied it. In fact, it seems that they are back on the track after a short pause. What’s the likely reason behind this year’s rally and what does it imply going forward?
Let’s jump right into the mining stock charts (chart courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).
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Thursday, January 04, 2018
Sheffield Street Trees 2018, Lorax Prepare for Once-ler Arb Army's Imminent Return / Local / Sheffield
By: N_Walayat
2017 witnessed the continuation of the felling of thousands of Sheffield's biggest and best street trees, an estimated 6,000 were felled by the time the arb army's chainsaws fell silent just prior to Christmas day as the Once-ler Arb and their supporting Bouncers retreated Southwards and Northwards, giving the people of Sheffield peace for at least a couple of weeks, but not before butchering several of Abbeydale Park Rise's Christmas light Cherry tree's, leaving behind a bitter Christmas present for the little children to cry over.
Thursday, January 04, 2018
War, Peace and Recession 2018 / Politics / GeoPolitics
By: EconMatters
December and January are usually two busy months for researchers as they release prediction/forecast of the New Year. We are going to briefly discuss two such forecasts here.
Top 5 World War III Crises
The first one is a geopolitical forecast, 5 Places World War III Could Start in 2018, published last month. Now let’s take a quick look at the top five crises that could lead to the greatest conflict in 2018:
Thursday, January 04, 2018
Stock Market 2018 If You Don’t Cash In, You’ll Lose Lots of High-Yield Opportunities / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: John_Mauldin
My long-time Thoughts from the Frontline readers know that I’ve long criticized economists for treating their profession as a “hard science” like physics or chemistry.
The global economy is far too complex and far too dependent on irrational human behavior for that ambition to be realized. However, there are some occasional similarities.
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Wednesday, January 03, 2018
Gold Price Best Year Since 2010, Up 14%, 2018: Year of the Phoenix? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018
By: GoldCore
Gold Bullion Prices Have Best Year Since 2010 With Near 14% Gain In 2017
– Gold posted second straight annual gain in USD in 2017
– Gold in 2017: up 13.6% USD, up 2.7% GBP, down 1.4% EUR
– 2017 is gold’s best year since 29.5% gain in 2010
– Strong performance despite rate hikes and stock bubble
– India’s gold imports surged 67% in 2017, Turkish, Chinese demand strong
– Gold finished 2017 with longest rally since June 2016
– 2018: Currency War and The Year of the Phoenix?
Wednesday, January 03, 2018
Stock Market S&P 500, IWM and XLF 2018 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Avi_Gilburt
As Ecclesiastes notes, “There is nothing new under the sun.” This, too, applies to the stock market.
The average investor trap is the same throughout whatever period you wish to review. Markets become overexuberant, see a correction, sentiment resets, and markets rally on to their next phase of overexuberance. It is really that simple. Yet, we overcomplicate matters by relying on economics and fundamentals, which have proven to be relatively useless at major market turning points.
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Wednesday, January 03, 2018
There is a Tyranny in the Womb of Every Utopia / Politics / Social Issues
By: BATR
The Millennial Utopian Society - In order to understand the millennial phenomena that has influenced the beginning years of the 21st century, acknowledgement that the under thirty sect is quite different from their parents generation is crucial. Back some fifty plus years the popular saying coined by Jack Weinberg was "Don't trust anyone over 30". The crowning irony is that this mindset was expressed during the "Free Speech Movement at UC Berkeley which was a struggle by students over the right to engage in political speech on campus, which helped to catalyze broader political activism on campuses around the country over student rights, civil rights and the Vietnam War".
Wednesday, January 03, 2018
Changes Coming to the Financial Markets in 2018 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Rodney_Johnson
It’s the first week of January, which makes it time for football playoffs and New Year predictions.Since I’m not likely to grace the gridiron anytime soon, I land in the forecast camp. But playing Nostradamus is fraught with its own danger, and reminds me of an old quote by Darrell Royal, the longtime University of Texas football coach, that explained why he favored running the ball. He believed that when you threw the football, three things could happen, and two of them were bad.
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Wednesday, January 03, 2018
Comparing Bitcoin and the NASDAQ Internet Bubbles / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Harry_Dent
Cycles reoccur throughout history, but they more rhyme than duplicate.Each bubble tends to get more extreme than the last one because there’s more wealth to chase it. Wealth is concentrated in the top 1% to 0.1% and grows exponentially (income does not).
The greatest bubble of our lifetimes was the tech bubble in the Nasdaq from late 1994 into early 2000. That built over a period of five years – the typical time frame for most stock bubbles.
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Wednesday, January 03, 2018
Five Reasons Gold Stocks Will Breakout in 2018 / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
There are very few sellers left
There were very few sellers left in January 2016 when the devastating “forever bear” was about to end. Six months later and a 150% rebound in the large caps and 200% rise in the juniors (GDXJ) provided sellers an opportunity. They drove the miners and juniors down by 40% to 45% in less than five months. However, both GDX and GDXJ have been able to hold above that low multiple times. GDX has held $21 four times! GDXJ has held $29.50 twice in solid fashion.
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Wednesday, January 03, 2018
Precious Metals Sector is on Major Buy Signal 2018 / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018
By: The_Gold_Report
Technical analyst Jack Chan charts the latest movements in the gold and silver markets, noting buy signals for both gold and silver at the close of 2017.
Our proprietary cycle indicator is up.
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Wednesday, January 03, 2018
Gold Market Themes for 2018 / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
2018 has just begun. What will a new year bring for the gold market?
Macroeconomic Outlook Will Remain Unpleasant
The current economic expansion is surprisingly durable, as it has already lasted more than 100 months. It worries many investors who are afraid of the upcoming recessions. Surely, there are many reasons to worry, and the recession will eventually come. But we are not at this point yet. The current expansion is unusually long, but it is exceptionally sluggish.
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