Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Wednesday, March 03, 2010
Is The Recovery Real? The US Economy is Set for a “Double-Dip” Recession / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Paul_Craig_Roberts
Happy news! The government has come up with a 5.9 percent GDP growth rate in the fourth quarter of 2009. The recession is over.Or is it? Statistician John Williams has informed us that 69 percent of this growth, or 4.1 percentage points, is the result of inventory accumulation. That leaves a 1.8 percent growth rate, and the 1.8 percent is likely due to the underestimate of inflation and other statistical problems.
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Wednesday, March 03, 2010
Evolving Economic Catastrophe, Greek Debt Tragedy Comes to America / Economics / Global Debt Crisis
By: Bob_Chapman
We are not going to go into the lured details regarding residential and commercial real estate, but we are going to give you some highlights. We began telling subscribers to sell real estate in June of 2005, long before anyone else. We picked the top just as we did in September 1988 at the top.
Tuesday, March 02, 2010
Greece Debt Crisis, From Hard Money to Fool's Gold / Economics / Global Debt Crisis
By: Axel_Merk
When Greece invented the Olympic Games in 776 BC, the top prize was an olive wreath, not gold. And in those days, Greece sought out the top runners, rather than compete for a discipline not approved by the International Olympic Committee (IOC): governmental financial engineering.
Monday, March 01, 2010
Dont Bet on a Economic Recovery / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Peter_Schiff
It is astounding how many economists, government officials, and Wall Street strategists construe the current economic conditions as evidence of a bona fide recovery. It is a testament to the power of the rose colored glasses handed out by our nation's leading universities that such a feeling could be widely held despite the clear and present danger that compounds daily. The myopia leads us to enact policies that actually exacerbate our problems. The "remedies" are postponing, perhaps indefinitely, a true recovery.
Monday, March 01, 2010
I'm Sure Glad The Recession Ended / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Mike_Shedlock
It's a good thing the recession ended. Otherwise, key economic charts might look something like this.
Sunday, February 28, 2010
Printing Money to Pay Debts, Fast Track Way to End Our World / Economics / Quantitative Easing
By: LewRockwell
Richard Daughty writes: The proverbial boogeyman, the phrase “end of the world as we know it,” is not particularly significant to me because it is, literally, always true, because any progress at all, anywhere, means that tomorrow will never be like today, and so “the end of the world as we know it” can be extended to mean “and it will be better and better!”
Sunday, February 28, 2010
Economic Recovery Illusion, Debt Crisis Coming to U.S. / Economics / Global Debt Crisis
By: Submissions
While United States President Barack obama and member of his cabinet are talking about the first signs of economic recovery. Not all economists are sure that the world economy is on the way back up...
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Sunday, February 28, 2010
The Calm Before the Coming Sovereign Debt Storm / Economics / Global Debt Crisis
By: Martin_D_Weiss
If I’ve learned anything in the 39 years since I founded Weiss Research, it’s this: I can only help those who are ready to help themselves.
Sunday, February 28, 2010
E.U. Shocked at Greek Greeks Used Financial Technology For Debt Deceit / Economics / Global Debt Crisis
By: Janet_Tavakoli
The European Union (EU) is shocked--shocked I tell you!--that Greece used financial engineering to qualify for admission. Exactly how did they think that weaker countries managed to meet the requirements? Now the EU is concerned that geeks used their knowledge of Greece's hidden debt (and bailout negotiations) to manipulate financial markets for their own profit.
Sunday, February 28, 2010
For 15 Million Unemployed Any Job is a Good Job / Economics / Employment
By: Mike_Shedlock
Let's take a look at the employment situation and prospects for jobs starting with the cold hard numbers as they exist today. Please consider the following grim unemployment statistics.
Sunday, February 28, 2010
Cause of Today's Economic Crises: Too Much Thrift / Economics / Economic Theory
By: Mansoor_H_Khan
In this essay I want to propose that the ultimate of cause of today's economic crises is that we have too much thrift. This view is very similar to John Maynard Keynes' Paradox of Thrift. What I want to show is that this is not a paradox at all but confusion about what saving money really means and what consequences it has. I want to explain this confusion by way of examples and using non-technical economic jargon usually used by Keynesian economists. But before I can go into why too much savings leads to a disaster in the modern economy I need to clarify what I mean by savings and what money is by way of an example:
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Saturday, February 27, 2010
India vs China Economic Growth Potential / Economics / Emerging Markets
By: Charles_Maley
From the Vedas we learn a practical art of surgery, medicine, music, house building under which mechanized art is included. They are encyclopedia of every aspect of life, culture, religion, science, ethics, law, cosmology and meteorology – William James, American Author
Saturday, February 27, 2010
The Euro and a Conspiracy of Hedge Funds, Wheres All the Greek Gold? / Economics / Global Debt Crisis
By: John_Mauldin
Where Is All that Greek Gold?
The Greeks Write Back
The Euro and a Conspiracy of Hedge Funds
So Where's the Inflation?
No Help for Homebuilders
The Singularity, San Antonio, Home, and Addictions
The economy grew in the fourth quarter by 5.9%, the most in years. The adjusted monetary base is exploding. Bank reserves are literally through the roof. The Fed is flooding money into the system in an effort to get banks to lend. An historically normal response by banks (to increase lending) would have been massively inflationary, causing the Fed to stomp on the brakes. Despite raising the almost meaningless discount rate (as who uses it?), this week Ben Bernanke assured Congress of an easy monetary policy, with rates remaining low for a long time. Many ask, how can this not be inflationary?
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Friday, February 26, 2010
U.S. GDP Contraction Double Dip Recession Coming In Second Quarter 2010? / Economics / Double Dip Recession
By: Mike_Shedlock
I have been speaking with Rick Davis at the Consumer Metrics Institute about leading economic indicators. Davis claims his data leads the GDP by about 17 weeks while noting that other so-called "leading indicators" are merely a reflection on the stock market and yield curve.
Davis captures his data solely from online transactions of real consumers, in real time.
Friday, February 26, 2010
To Survive Economic Deflation, First Understand It / Economics / Deflation
By: EWI
Surviving Deflation: First, Understand It
Deflation is more than just "falling prices."
Robert Prechter explains why.
The following article is an excerpt from Elliott Wave International's free Club EWI resource, "The Guide to Understanding Deflation. Robert Prechter's Most Important Writings on Deflation."
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Friday, February 26, 2010
The Recession Is Most Certainly Over / Economics / Economic Recovery
By: DailyWealth
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: "There are still no jobs here," my friend Lee tells me.
Lee used to work for a beachfront resort on Florida's east coast. Our town was built on tourism and real estate. Both are dead. The resort is on the brink of bankruptcy.
Thursday, February 25, 2010
More Credit Default Swaps Means Trouble for European Debt / Economics / Global Debt Crisis
By: EWI
Government debt is no longer just a problem for emerging countries. Portugal, Spain, France and Greece (as we have seen in recent weeks) are living in fear of credit default. Consequently, the value of their credit default swaps is skyrocketing.
Thursday, February 25, 2010
U.S. Weekly Unemployment Claims Spike, Will Economic Reality Soon Set In? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Mike_Shedlock
Yesterday the market rallied the moment Bernanke started yapping to Congress about holding interest rates low for a considerable length of time. Pray tell what did he say that anyone should not have expected?
Thursday, February 25, 2010
As Greece Goes, So Goes the U.S.? / Economics / US Debt
By: Paul_L_Kasriel
Greece hasn't gotten so much press since 146 B.C. when the Romans took over. Of late, Greece sneezes and investors think the U.S. is going to catch the swine flu. Of course, it is not just Greece. Greece is part of the EU and the EMU. So, it is thought that as goes Greece, so goes Europe. And then, the next step is that as goes Europe, so goes the U.S. But is Europe really where the action is with regard to U.S. economic growth?
Thursday, February 25, 2010
Inflation as the Enemy of Investing / Economics / Economic Theory
By: Douglas_French
In this age of inflation, we are all forced to do many tasks that others could do better for us. The fact is that inflation impedes the process of civilization, which is brought about by the division of labor. While, without the central bank's continual monetary infusions, prices would gently fall as technology made all things and all people more efficient, we don't enjoy that luxury. Instead we're mowing our own grass, fixing the flappers in our toilet tanks, and managing our own retirement funds.