Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, March 04, 2014
Stock Market and U.S. Mid-Term Election Years / Stock-Markets / Seasonal Trends
By: Ed_Carlson
Mid-term election years are typically poor performers for most of the year until finding a bottom in the fall and beginning a rally which lasts well into the following pre-election year.
The traditional approach to seasonality during a mid-term election year (chart) shows the final high (prior to the long period of under-performance) in April.
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Tuesday, March 04, 2014
Stock Market Rally Pauses as Markets Watch the Crisis in Ukraine / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: Today’s major economic news, the Personal Income and Outlays for January and ISM Manufacturing, was of little interest to the market, which was exclusively focused on the crisis in Ukraine. Before the US markets opened, most Asian indexes had closed lower, and the selloff in Europe was worse. The EURO STOXX 50 index subsequently closed with a 3.02% loss. The S&P 500 opened lower and sold off to its -1.35% intraday low at lunchtime. Some buying during the afternoon trimmed the closing loss to 0.74%.
Tuesday, March 04, 2014
Russia Stock Market Excuse To Sell..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
Mr. Putin has taken some aggressive action moving into the Ukraine. It seems highly unlikely he'll do too much since he's getting tremendous political global pressure. But the very fact that he's taken action is a built in excuse for the market to sell based on sentiment. If sentiment wasn't an issue we would likely have gone green today. Markets don't take these issues too seriously when it seems doubtful it will escalate into anything too serious. Of course, if the market thought it could become something uglier it wouldn't matter what type of market we're in right now. It would sell, but that doesn't seem to be the case here. The market could definitely use a pause in the action. That said, you don't get bearish just because we need something. You don't know when that issue of removing too much bullish behavior will take place.
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Monday, March 03, 2014
Investors Should Heed Markets; Not Fed Apologists / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Michael_Pento
Investors are currently receiving mixed messages regarding the ramifications resulting from the Fed’s exit of debt monetization. Officials from the Federal Reserve are assuring market participants that there will be a smooth transition from the central bank’s manipulation of long-term interest rates. But markets are reaching a completely different conclusion.
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Monday, March 03, 2014
Stocks to Gap Down at the Open / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The early morning futures declined to the upper trendline of the Bearish Wedge and Short-0term support at 1841.00. It is currently hovering at 1846.00 (cash) and is likely to continue its decline after the open.
Crossing the trendline would give the SPX sell signal sometime this morning.
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Monday, March 03, 2014
Government Plan to Raid Your Savings And What to Do About It / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2014
By: Money_Morning
Peter Krauth writes: I recently came across a headline that made me do a double-take... for all the wrong reasons.
It reminded me of what happened with the bailout in Cyprus... and appears to be looming again in Europe.
What's more, it bears an uncanny resemblance to what President Obama proposed in his latest State of the Union with his MyRA "plan."
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Monday, March 03, 2014
Was Friday a Stock Market Reversal Signal? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - New uptrend still in doubt
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Monday, March 03, 2014
The S&P500, Dow and Nasdaq Since Their 2000 Stock Market Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: Here is a update in response to a standing request from David England, a retired professor now actively educating investors through his Trader’s Eye website. In his presentations, he likes to disprove the standard message of Wall Street, “Don’t worry! The market will always come back.” I furnished David with some charts, and I now share them with regular visitors to my Advisor Perspectives pages.
Sunday, March 02, 2014
Stock Market Orthodox Broadening Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
-- VIX closed below its cluster of weekly Model supports after challenging weekly mid-Cycle resistance at 15.63. VIX did not make new lows this week, a non-confirmation of the SPX rally attempts.
SPX is repelled by Cycle Top resistance.
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Saturday, March 01, 2014
Stock Market Trend Forecast Into Mid 2015 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
By: David_Petch
The S&P 500 Index is most likely to be in a topping pattern with an upside bias that lasts for at least another 18 months. This provocative thought is based upon the collective technical analysis of the S&P charts at different time frames (Daily, weekly and monthly), alongside the Elliott Wave count. There has been a comparison to 1987 and more recently, 1929 analog charts that suggest a very sharp decline in the broad stock market indices.
The chances of such a sharp decline occurring before 18 months (end of June 2015) is slim and more probable to occur at some point in September 2015. This time frame is based upon Elliott Wave analysis time considerations between wave structures from inter-market analysis. One of the main reasons that I examine gold, US Dollar, 3 currencies, oil, natural gas, AMEX Gold BUGS Index, AMEX Oil Index, S&P 500 Index, 10 Year US Treasury Index, Toronto Stock Exchange, Euro 350 iShares, Nikkei along with various exchange traded funds is to try and view the total picture of the landscape to see how everything is inter-related.
Saturday, March 01, 2014
Stocks Bull Market New Highs / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
By: Tony_Caldaro
The market opened the week with a rally to new highs by noon Monday. After that it tested and retested the 1841 pivot four times, day traders delight, with the last test Thursday morning. Then the market hit an even higher high on Friday, before again selling off again. For the week the SPX/DOW were +1.30%, the NDX/NAZ were +1.00%, and the DJ World index was +1.00%. Economic reports for the week were again slightly biased negatively, for the fourth week in a row. On the uptick: Case-Shiller, the FHFA index, new/pending home sales, the Chicago PMI, and consumer sentiment. On the downtick: consumer confidence, durable goods orders, Q4 GDP, median new home prices, the WLEI (4th week in a row), the M-1 multiplier and weekly jobless claims were higher. Next week we get reports on the ISM, the FED’s beige book and monthly Payrolls.
Saturday, March 01, 2014
Another Stock Market Record High With Some Afternoon Drama / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: Before the US market opened, the Second Estimate of Q4 GDP showed slower growth than previously reported. But the market wasn’t fazed. The S&P 500 rallied for the first hour, assisted by an improvement in Michigan Consumer Sentiment. The index hit is 0.74% intraday high in the early afternoon. However, shortly before 2 PM it began a sudden and fairly dramatic selloff to its -0.36% intraday low — a move that roughly coincided with news of Russian military action in the Ukrainian crisis. The selloff reversed in the final hour, and the index closed with a trimmed gain of 0.28%, setting another record high.
Saturday, March 01, 2014
Stocks Unconvincing Despite New Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Ronan_Keenan
The S&P 500 closed at a new record high Friday, but again it was another stumbling, directionless performance. Markets opened higher, perhaps relieved that Q4 GDP was not much worse than forecasts, but then declined on news of heightened tensions in Ukraine. Gains were recovered into the close on late buying as investors realized that despite social media hysteria, a world war is not imminent.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, March 01, 2014
The Deadly Economic Undercurrent of Deflation / Stock-Markets / Deflation
By: Clif_Droke
Despite the overall positive state of U.S. equities and the improvements in the retail economy, the stealth enemy known as deflation is still lurking in the shadows.
Consider the following graph of real disposable income, courtesy of Zerohedge.com. This shows the true underlying state of the real economy and is a testament to the continued presence of deflation.
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Saturday, March 01, 2014
Essential Investor Knowledge for Maximizing Real Gains / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: DeepCaster_LLC
“Noted investor Jim Rogers says outgoing Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke has set the stage for the collapse of the U.S. central bank within the next decade, and had turned the nation’s fiscal balance sheet into ‘garbage.’
“In a recent interview with the British financial website Mineweb, Rogers said Bernanke and his fellow central bankers in other countries have brought the global economy to the brink of disaster….
“Rogers predicted that history will remember Bernanke as ‘the guy who set the stage for the demise of the central bank in America.’
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Friday, February 28, 2014
Stocks at New Highs, But Keep the Champagne on Ice / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Ronan_Keenan
The S&P 500 closed at a new record high on Thursday, but the mood is far from celebratory. The index has made modest gains this year, a far cry from the fearless risk appetite one would expect to be associated with all-time highs. Instead, nervousness is prevailing over markets, with the S&P 500 closing at these lofty levels after several days of directionless trading.
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Thursday, February 27, 2014
German DAX: Correcting Within Uptrend / Stock-Markets / Germany
By: Gregor_Horvat
We have seen some risk-off moves on European markets with the Dax falling more than 100 points on the day down to 9500 where recent support was found. From an Elliott Wave perspective we see the Dax in an expanded flat correction with wave (c) now underway down to 9430-9470 support area. Wave (c) also needs to be made by five subdivisions so looks like there is room for more weakness before corrective pullback can be finished.
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Thursday, February 27, 2014
Where’s the Stock Market New All-Time High? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: Once again the S&P 500 spent a good part of the day slightly above its all-time closing high of January 15th, and once again it disappointed hopeful market watchers eager for that new high. The index opened in the green, sold into the shallow red, and then rallied to its 0.41% intraday high on the better-than-expected new home sales. It then lost traction and sold off to its -0.24% mid-afternoon intraday low. Ninety minutes later the index closed essentially at the flatline (at three decimal places was a gain of 0.002%).
Thursday, February 27, 2014
Stock Market Strike Three-You're Out!......Well, Maybe...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
Three consecutive days have come and gone, with each day testing above 1850 on the S&P 500 intraday. Each day the S&P 500 failed to complete the breakout. Normally, when a key index fails for three straight days the bulls give up for a while, allowing the bears to do some damage for the very short-term. I said normally. And this should be one of those normal times, but this market has been stubborn to fall, even when it's obvious that it should. That said, I would expect some selling here, but how much is difficult to know. It could be all the way down to key support approximately at 1800, or it could stay above that. It's very unclear, and we all know by now that anything between 1800 and 1850 on the S&P 500 is nothing but emotional noise.
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Wednesday, February 26, 2014
Stock Market Ghosts of Bubbles Past / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jesse
The New Homes Sales number came in much higher than expected this morning, and so stocks reversed from their initial slump. They rose to challenge the overhead resistance once again, only to fall back down in the afternoon.
Rinse, wash, repeat.