Sunday, August 15, 2021
Stock Market Margin Debt Bubble / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Nadeem_Walayat
A handful of stocks are driving the indices higher, Apple worth $2.3 trillion, Microsoft $2 trillion, Amazon $1.8 trillion, Google 1.8 trillion, Facebook $1 trillion even that over priced pile of poop Tesla came close to being valued at $1 trillion, we are definitely in a bubble, you only need to go onto youtube and watch the to the moon videos of Cathy Wood, literally everything's going to go to the moon because her barely out of puberty Quants decree it to be so. This is clearly a major warning sign of a unsustainable trend when indices are ruled by such a small clique of tech stocks where the greatest similarity is with the dot come bubble in terms of the valuation of stocks that actually produce revenues unlike the largely worthless dot com's of that time.
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Sunday, August 15, 2021
Increasing Risks for Stock Market CRASH 2021 - AI Stocks Portfolio Buying and Selling Levels / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The US stock market has been content to rally to new highs with many stocks going to the Moon including most of our AI tech giants, a rally that I have been distributing into to the extent that I have now sold 80% of my holdings in the Top 6 AI stocks in my portfolio.
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Sunday, August 15, 2021
Financial System Liquidity Alarm / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2021
By: Gary_Tanashian
Market liquidity is draining from different vantage points
On Wednesday I made a post that showed the “metallic credit spread” (as coined by Bob Hoye) known as the Gold/Silver ratio (GSR) flipped on its head (to Silver/Gold) to indicate a dangerous situation for the S&P 500, if past is prologue. Here is that post and here is the Tweet that followed…
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Sunday, August 15, 2021
Corsair MP600 NVME M.2 SSD Review, Crystal Disk, Atto Benchmarks, How Hot Does it Get? / Personal_Finance / Computing
By: HGR
Corsair MP600 is a PCIE4.0 SSD drive with advertised read speeds of upto 4950 mb/s and write speeds of upto 4250 mm/s and in this video we benchmark a couple of these drives to see if real world use matches the sales pitch. Furthermore given the high access speeds it's good to know how hot these SSD drives get! As usually the hotter the drive the more likely it is to fail earlier, especially when SSD temps approach and pass 60c! So find out in our latest video of what to expect with MP600 SSD's
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Sunday, August 15, 2021
Birthday Balloons and Amazon Surprise Gifts for 7 Year Old Birthday Girl / Personal_Finance / Shopping
By: N_Walayat
It's Eliza's 7th Birthday soon and what is a requirement of all birthdays? Balloons, lots and lots of Balloons! And so Eliza begins the process of blowing up her own birthday balloons in advance of her birthday,
If you like Eliza's videos then consider sending her a surprise birthday present over Amazon, you can check out her birthday with list here - Eliza's Amazon Wish List. Nothing fancy or expensive but some of the items that she would like as a birthday gift, and of course we will feature any gifts received in a future video.
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Saturday, August 14, 2021
Bitcoin Price Trend Analysis / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Dear Reader
This is part 4 of 5 of my extensive full spectrum analysis of the crypto markets, of what I expect to happen over the next 6 months in terms of a Bitcoin price trend forecast, and the strategy I am deploying to capitalise on as well as 5 potential black swans that could collapse the crypto markets where Stable Coins such as USDT are what could be imminent catalysts for.
Part 1 Investing in the Tulip Crypto Mania 2021,
Part 2 Bitcoin Halvings Price Forecast and Stock to Flow Analysis)
Part 3 Bitcoin, Crypto Market Black Swans from Google to Obsolescence
Bitcoin Bear Market Trend Forecast 2021 and Model Crypto Portfolio Buying Levels
Topics covered in this analysis:
- Investing in the Tulip Crypto Mania
- Bitcoin Price Trend Forecast Review
- Lessons Learned
- Cathy Crypto Wood's View on Bitcoin
- BITCOIN HALVINGS TREND TRAJECTORY
- Stock to Flow Infinity and Beyond!
- Bitcoin, Crypto's and the Inflation Mega-trend
- Black Swan 1 - Will Crypto's Get Banned?
- Black Swan 2 - GOOGLE
- Black Swan 3 - USDT Tether Un-Stable Coin Ponzi Schemes!
- BLACK SWAN 4 - Bitcoin 51% Network Attack by China?
- Black Swan 5 - Bitcoin is Already Obsolete
- US Trending Towards Hyperinflation
- BITCOIN TREND ANALYSIS
- Bitcoin Bear markets analysis - How low could she blow?
- Bitcoin Trend Forecast
- Bitcoin Long-term probable Next bull market price target
- Alternative Scenarios
- My Crypto Bear Market Investing Strategy
- Crypto 1 - Ethereum (ETH) $2600
- Crypto 2 - Bitcoin $40,375
- Crypto 3 - Ravencoin $0.078
- Crypto 4 - Cardano $1.59
- Crypto 5 - Pokadot $25
- Crypto 6 - ChainLink $26
- Crypto's 7 to 10
- Creating The Perfect Crypto
- How to Invest in Crypto Without Getting SCAMMED
- CHIA SCAM COIN
- Binance vs Coinbase
- Have ARK Invest Funds Bottomed?
Saturday, August 14, 2021
Everything Peaked in 1980 – The Waning Effects Of Inflation / Economics / Inflation
By: Kelsey_Williams
EVERYTHING PEAKED IN 1980
Both gold and crude oil peaked at all-time highs in 1980. Those highs are still intact when the effects of inflation are accounted for. Below are the charts for both gold and crude oil…
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Saturday, August 14, 2021
Nonfarm Payrolls Crushed Gold Like a Sandcastle / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
The US economy added almost 1 million jobs in July, building solid ground for tapering. Meanwhile, the PMs’ sandy foundations crumbled spectacularly.Another blow to gold! July’s nonfarm payrolls came in strong. As the chart below shows, the US labor market added 943,000 jobs last month, following 938,000 additions in June (after an upward revision). More than one-third of all gains occurred in leisure and hospitality, reflecting the economy’s reopening after the Great Lockdown.
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Saturday, August 14, 2021
U.S. Housing Market: Not "a Bubble This Time Around"? / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: EWI
Here's what usually coincides with a big decline in real estate pricesYou probably know that the U.S. housing market has been red hot.
A certified financial planner wrote a July 20 article for Kiplinger, mentioning the record price levels in many areas of the country, and then added a personal observation:
I witnessed the price rise first-hand. I recently returned from a family vacation in the North Carolina mountains, where many homes now sell for double or triple the price compared to just a couple of years ago.
Stories abound of buyers signing contracts on homes without even doing a walk through. Some real estate agents are advising buyers to forgo inspections, saying they will just slow the process.
Friday, August 13, 2021
Gold Miners: Celebration Time / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
By: P_Radomski_CFA
Another day, another decline in junior miners – and another increase in profits from short positions in them. Shouldn’t we expect a rebound though?
Well, no. The rebound already happened in late July and early August, and what we see now is the trend being resumed. Consequently, even if it wasn’t for all the long-term analogies to the 2012-2013 declines in gold and gold stocks (HUI Index), one should expect the current short-term decline to be significantly bigger than the counter-trend upswing which ended earlier this month. At this time, the move lower is just somewhat bigger than the preceding rally. Thus, it’s not excessive and can easily continue.
However, let’s keep in mind that periods of very high volatility usually need to be followed by periods of relatively low volatility. That’s when investors verify if the “new reality” – the price levels after the decline – are justified or not. If the market votes “no”, we get huge rebounds and breakdowns’ invalidations. So far this week, the markets have been voting “yes”.
Friday, August 13, 2021
Budgies Outdoor Wet Grass Natural Bath Time Fun Play - VR 180 3D / Personal_Finance / Animals & Pets
By: N_Walayat
Here;s another unique budgie video from the Walayat Family budgie / parakeet care experts. In this video our budgies have bath time fun outdoors in wet grass! Shot in VR 3D 180, a completely unique VR experience, probably a world first! And even if you don't have an headset then any 180 capable browser such as fire fox will allow you to pan around the garden as the budgies enjoy their bath fun time.
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Friday, August 13, 2021
Precious Metals “Mini Flash Crash” Surprises Markets / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Overnight, on Sunday and early Monday, Precious Metals and Oil started a fairly big collapse which quickly bottomed and recovered – at least in the Precious Metals markets. Crude Oil is still moving lower in early trading on Monday, August 9, 2021. Can we learn anything from the pre-COVID market trends and extrapolate any real-world analysis from this?
Precious Metals “Mini Flash Crash” Surprises Markets This Week
One thing that struck me related to this move is this is a similar type of move that took place at the start of COVID in February 2021. Crude Oil started to move lower in early January 2020 while the US stock market continued to move higher before the COVID virus event hit. Gold also moved higher from January 2020 to a peak in February 2020 – just before COVID. Yet, all of them, Precious Metals, Oil, and the US major markets, moved dramatically lower as soon as the reality of a COVID type economic event setup and traders realized the scope of the issues before all of us.
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Friday, August 13, 2021
Gold Bullion Investors Hang Tight! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
By: MoneyMetals
The precious metals futures markets launched shortly after Richard Nixon closed the gold window and removed the last vestige of gold backing from the Federal Reserve Note. Officials introduced paper gold and silver contracts specifically to increase price volatility and discourage physical ownership of metals.
After nearly 50 years, it is safe to say their strategy was a success.
It is often excruciating to own metal when the short run price action is completely disconnected from fundamentals.
The price smash in the last couple trading days is a case in point.
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Thursday, August 12, 2021
Why Premium Bonds Are Garbage and I am Selling ALL to Buy Shares in Google (Alphabet) / Personal_Finance / Saving Bonds
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Premium Bonds - What a load of garbage! Absolute garbage! Might as well stuff cash under your mattress then invest in these piles of poop. Find out why in my latest video as I look back over the year to see how much I have won on a £32.5k investment, THIRTY TWO THOUSAND POUNDS parked in this garbage that has lost at least 4% in value and probably nearer to 10% given the true rate of inflation!
ABSOLUTE GARBAGE! Find out why I am going to sell all and just stuff the cash in the Google Shares (Alphabet)! Don't make the same mistake as me and invest in premium bonds!
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Thursday, August 12, 2021
Bitcoin BTC Trend Analysis / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Bitcoins price action during the first half of 2021 was a classic distribution pattern that had the smart money (you and me) SELLING out of Bitcoin and other crypto positions.
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Thursday, August 12, 2021
Gold and Silver Massacre to Continue? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
By: Monica_Kingsley
Again, today’s report will be way shorter than usual, and focus only on select charts so as to drive position details of all the five publications.
Let‘s move right into the charts (all courtesy of www.stockcharts.com).
Thursday, August 12, 2021
Strengthening Support for the US Dollar Adds to Precious Metal Weakness / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
By: Donald_W_Dony
The US economy added over 900,000 jobs in July, the most in 11 months and well above the market expectations. Part of the reason is the rapid pace of the COVID-19 vaccinations allowing the country to continue to re-open and promote businesses to hire more workers. This action has driven down the US Unemployment Rate to 5.40%, the lowest level since March 2020.
In response to the bullish employment news, the US dollar index (DXY) extended its upward momentum and reverse its pull back in late July to jump to almost $0.928 in the 1st week of August. A stronger-than-expected number could make the case for faster US policy tightening. Earlier this week, Fed chair Richard Clarida suggested conditions for hiking interest rates might come as early as late 2022.
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Thursday, August 12, 2021
Could a Collapse of Cryptocurrencies Force a Reform of the Global Monetary System? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021
By: Steve_H_Hanke
For thousands of years, there has been a dominant international currency. Until August 15, 1971, when President Nixon closed the gold window and revoked the right of foreign governments to redeem their dollar assets for gold, all the dominant currencies had either been gold or silver coins, or paper notes or accounts that were redeemable for gold or silver.
Historically, these dominant currencies would come and go, with their demise typically being the result of wars and war finance. The United States dollar supplanted the British pound, which had been the world’s dominant currency in the 19th century, at the onset of the First World War.
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Wednesday, August 11, 2021
Why the Fed is Wrong About 'transitory' Inflation / Economics / Inflation
By: Richard_Mills
If rising food prices are ruining your appetite, you’re not alone.
Costs of a number of grocery staples have been rising all year, including some that haven’t gone up in decades, such as peanut butter. Meats are seeing large increases, with the price of chicken climbing 8%, and pork and beef increasing about 5%.
According to Statistics Canada, via CTV News, two breakfast ‘staples,’ coffee and peanut butter have gone up significantly since January, a respective 17% and 6%. Canada’s Food Price Report predicts that prices will increase 5% this year, adding almost $700 to the average Canadian family’s grocery bill.
In the United States, US consumer prices hit their highest level in 13 years in May, jumping 5% from May 2020. The US Department of Labor says rising costs of meat products and baked goods led the surge in food prices.
“We’re in a period of unprecedented commodity inflation,” Unilever CEO Alan Jope told investors in early June.
According to Business Insider, US food prices are rising in tandem with broader inflation, with the CPI hitting 5.4% in June. Prices are climbing due to key commodities becoming increasingly difficult to obtain, shipping delays, labor shortages (for example in meat packing plants, hit hard by covid-19) and severe droughts in a number of countries (more on that below).
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Wednesday, August 11, 2021
GDXJ Junior Gold Miners Setup A Double Bottom – Looking For A Rally Off These Unique Low / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2021
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ), fell to lows near $43.06 recently, which matched the low from the end of March 2021, near $43.24. Although these lows are not exactly the same, the span of time between these unique lows and the very close nature of them makes them a Double Bottom setup.
It is very likely that this support level will prompt a new upside price rally in Junior Miners targeting $50 to $52 or higher if the support level near $43 continues to hold.
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