Tuesday, October 27, 2015
Stocks and Bonds Will Not Crash Soon / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Always do what you are afraid to do. -Ralph Waldo Emerson
We are listing excerpts from past market updates to illustrate how the mass mindset is always wrong. Even big shots like Bill Gross are not exempt from being sucked into this black hole, otherwise known as the mass mindset. Herd psychology clearly indicates that the only time a market is going to crash is when emotions have hit a boiling point. In other words, the crowd is foaming with joy. However, regarding bonds, there is one more factor that needs to be considered. The element of control and that element has a name; it is called the Fed.
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Tuesday, October 27, 2015
Health Care…Is There a Better Way? / Politics / Healthcare Sector
It’s the end of October, which means Halloween is fast approaching. Then, once the calendar flips to November, we jump headlong into the holiday season.It’s a time of celebration, travel, and gift-giving, but, in recent years, something else was added to the mix, and it fills people with dread.
It’s not more visits from in-laws (although, luckily, mine are fabulous!). It’s open enrollment for health insurance.
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Tuesday, October 27, 2015
Zero Percent Inflation…What’s Next? / Economics / Deflation
During World War II, the Fed bought its own bonds to keep interest rates low and demand high enough to finance the war effort.
Back then, the Fed’s efforts did what you’d expect: they caused a modest level of inflation.
So you’d expect the unprecedented stimulus of today to create substantially higher inflation. In fact, with the greatest money printing in history, it wouldn’t be unreasonable to fear hyperinflation.
Tuesday, October 27, 2015
The Worse Things Get For You, The Better They Get For Wall Street / Politics / Social Issues
On October 2 the BLS reported absolutely atrocious employment data, with virtually no job growth other than the phantom jobs added by the fantastically wrong Birth/Death adjustment for all those new businesses springing up around the country. The MSM couldn’t even spin it in a positive manner, as the previous two months of lies were adjusted significantly downward. What a shocker. At the beginning of that day the Dow stood at 16,250 and had been in a downward trend for a couple months as the global economy has been clearly weakening. The immediate rational reaction to the horrible news was a 250 point plunge down to the 16,000 level. But by the end of the day the market had finished up over 200 points, as this terrible news was immediately interpreted as good news for the market, because the Federal Reserve will never ever increase interest rates again.
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Tuesday, October 27, 2015
The Frightening True Cost of Low Mortgages Interest Rates / Housing-Market / Mortgages
Borrowers are often bombarded by an array of choice when looking for a mortgage, so it’s unsurprising that many may mistakenly think that opting for the lowest rate will save them money.
However, this is simply not the case; in fact, Moneyfacts.co.uk can reveal that borrowers would actually be better off choosing a deal with no arrangement fee over a lower rate alternative.
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Tuesday, October 27, 2015
Fed Headed into Inflation Overdrive / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank
Seven years of extraordinary fiscal and monetary stimuli are proving ineffective towards achieving the growth and inflation targets laid out by the Federal Reserve. The Consumer Price Index (CPI), the Producer Price Index (PPI) and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) have all failed to grow over 2%. This is because asset prices, at these unjustified and unsustainable levels, need massive and ever increasing amounts of QE (new money creation) to stave off the gravitational forces of deflation. Fittingly, it isn't much of a mystery that the major U.S. averages have gone nowhere since QE officially ended in October of 2014.
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Tuesday, October 27, 2015
Europe’s On A Road To A Very Bleak Nowhere / Politics / Immigration
On the day after a bunch of European countries headed into yet another -emergency- meeting, and as the refugee situation in Greece and the Balkans was more out of hand than ever before, not in the least because the numbers of refugees arriving from -in particular- Turkey are larger than ever, let’s reiterate what should always be the guiding principle driving the response to issues like this.
That is, the only way to approach a crisis such as this one is to put the people first. To say that whatever happens, we will do what we can, first and foremost, to not allow for people to drown, or go hungry or cold, or contract diseases. Because that contradicts our basic morals. The loss of lives and prevention of misery should be the most important thing for everyone involved, all the time, from politicians to citizens.
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Tuesday, October 27, 2015
Impeachment of the Federal Reserve / Politics / US Federal Reserve Bank
Throughout history, holding public officials accountable for wrongdoing has been elusive even under the most moral regimes. As an ordinary practice, crime pays, especially in public office. Personal gain is an obvious offense. However, misdemeanors against specific persons, entire classes of people or even crimes against humanity are routinely committed in the normal course of administrating governments. Woefully, a universal remedy to prevent such a chronicle of depravity has never been applied to the body politik.
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Tuesday, October 27, 2015
Stock Market Consolidation....S&P 500 2079 Gap Next Up....Then 2134.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
If ever there was a time for a brief newsletter, today is that day. There is literally nothing to add from Friday's report. Every market pauses from time to time no matter what direction it's moving in directionally. A pause to refresh. That's exactly what we saw today. The market made a strong move, and, thus, got overbought not only on the short-term charts, but on the daily charts as well. Daily charts hang in better at overbought, but those short-term charts do need occasional unwinding. We got a bit of that today, although nothing special as those ravenous-retail bulls are looking to buy all dips for the moment.
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Tuesday, October 27, 2015
Gold Investors Stick to Your Guns—Hold on to Those Mining Shares / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
Do you have wealth insurance? Tocqueville Gold Fund Portfolio Manager John Hathaway has studied the past and he sees a bright future for those who have taken the precaution of protecting themselves from the downside of a general bear market by buying resource mining stocks when they are at historic low prices. In this interview with The Gold Report, Hathaway shares the names the fund is holding as ammunition for a better gold market.
The Gold Report: John, you have studied the fundamentals of gold through history. What is behind the current market prices, and what will it take to move prices higher again?
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Tuesday, October 27, 2015
The Age of Religion - Judaism, Christianity and Islam Science Secrets Revealed - Video / Politics / Religion
The scientific secrets contained within the worlds major religions of the book (Judaism, Christianity and Islam) are revealed including of the sun, moon, earth and universe and human origins. Find out the true meaning of the 'Age of Religion' and what it means for mankind.
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Monday, October 26, 2015
Precious Metals Starting To Produce Some Winners / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
Everybody who’s owned gold and silver mining shares through a couple of cycles has their favorite story of the stock that took off and ran away. There was Glamis Gold, which rose from $1 to $40 in the space of a few years before selling out to Goldcorp. And Silver Wheaton, which soared from $3.45 in 2008 to over $40 in 2011. And many, many more.
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Monday, October 26, 2015
Stock Market’s Technical Strength Grows / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The Continued Hollowing Out Of European Industry.
“The power of producing wealth is infinitely more important than wealth itself; it insures not only the possession and the increase of what has been gained, but also the replacement of what has been lost.” Freidrich List "The National System of Political Economy"
I always believed the above quote by Freidrich List and I could never understand the modern politician’s obsession with “free trade”.
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Monday, October 26, 2015
Fed Set to Spook the Markets Once Again! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The charts below show that the recent rally is just fodder for the beast. Prior to the last FED meeting on September 17, I warned of an impending sell-off due to the FED's statements. The S&P 500 fell from a high of 2020 to a low of 1871 in 8 trading days or about 7.3%! The BIG question this time is "how low?" not IF.
I have two downside targets: SPX 1913/15 and SPX 1828/30. Astro-wise, early this week, we have the "George Bayer Rule" of Mercury crossing the same path the sun did during a prior eclipse. The last time we saw this, the SPX fell 236 point in 4 trading days (late August 2015). We also have Mars joining in this time with Mercury.
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Monday, October 26, 2015
The Global Depression and Deflation Is Currently Underway! / Economics / Deflation
"The clear and present danger is, instead, that Europe will turn Japanese: that it will slip inexorably into deflation, that by the time the central bankers finally decide to loosen up it will be too late." Paul Krugman, "The Euro: Beware of What you Wish for", Fortune (1998)
Most central bank policy makers, investors, and analysts around the world today are gripped by the worry of declining growth rates, dwindling international commodity prices, high unemployment, and other macroeconomic figures.
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Monday, October 26, 2015
Big News This Week on the Fed, Debt Ceiling, and Physical Silver Premiums / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Clint Siegner writes: Gold and silver spot prices lost ground to a strengthening U.S. dollar last week. The dollar enjoyed its best week in 5 months, as other major world currencies weakened. European central bankers are once again hinting at more stimulus, and the Chinese government cut interest rates for the 6th time in the past year.
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Monday, October 26, 2015
Someone Is Spending Your Pension Money / Personal_Finance / Pensions & Retirement
“Retirement is like a long vacation in Las Vegas. The goal is to enjoy it to the fullest, but not so fully that you run out of money.”– Jonathan Clements
“In retirement, only money and symptoms are consequential.”– Mason Cooley
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Monday, October 26, 2015
Green Light Silver – Part 2 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
In part one we stated that “Silver looks like it has bottomed and will move substantially higher.” In summary:
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Monday, October 26, 2015
US Stocks Snorting Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
I have some free time tonight and the better part of the day tomorrow to post a few charts before I have to catch my flight home on Tuesday. I just want to thank you again for you patience.
Lets take a quick look at the daily INDU chart I posted on Wednesday that now shows the breakout of the rounding top trendline. So far so good.
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Monday, October 26, 2015
House Benghazi Hearings: Too Much Too Late / Politics / US Politics
Last week the US House of Representatives called former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton to appear before a select committee looking into the attack on a US facility in Benghazi, Libya, in 2012. The attack left four Americans dead, including US Ambassador to Libya, Chris Stevens.
As might be expected, however, the "Benghazi Committee" hearings have proven not much more than a means for each party to grandstand for political points.
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