Friday, January 28, 2022
Financial Stocks Sector ETF XLF $37.50 Continues To Present Opportunities / Companies / Banking Stocks
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Recent volatility in the US markets ahead of the Fed comments/actions have prompted a relatively big pullback in almost every sector. Many traders are concerned the Fed may take immediate action to raise rates. Yet, a small portion of traders believes the Fed may be trapped in a position to act more conservatively in addressing inflation going forward. I think the Fed will continue to talk firmly about potentially raising rates. The Fed is more interested in decreasing the assets on their balance sheet before they risk doing anything to disrupt support for the global markets.
Suppose my analysis of the Fed predicament is correct. In that case, the recent collapse of the US markets represents a fear-based emotional selloff of many sectors that may still represent a strong opportunity for a recovery rally in 2022. One of those sectors is the Financial sector – particularly XLF.
I wrote about this on January 7, 2022, in this article: FINANCIAL SECTOR STARTS TO RALLY TOWARDS THE $43.60 UPSIDE TARGET
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Friday, January 28, 2022
Stock Market Rushing Headlong / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022
By: Monica_Kingsley
Glass half full call on S&P 500 yesterday was vindicated – this yet another reversal has the power to go on, and credit markets appear sniffing out the upcoming reprieve. While rates have justifiably risen, they have done so quite fast in Jan – time to calm down and reprice the excessively hawkish Fed fears. Even if it was just energy and financials that rose yesterday, the table is set for gains across many assets – just check the progress from yesterday‘s already optimistic upturn, or the already fine early view of yesterday‘s market internals.
VIX is calming down, Fed is unlikely to rock the boat too much – such were my yesterday‘s thoughts about:
(…) seeing a rebound on Wednesday‘s FOMC (I‘m leaning towards its message being positively received, and no rate hike now as that‘s apart from the Eastern Europe situation the other fear around).
The sizable open profits – whether in S&P 500 or crude oil – can keep on growing while gold slowly approaches $1,870 again (look for a good day today), and copper stabilizes above $4.50 to keep pushing higher even if not yet outperforming other commodities. More dry firepowder and fresh profits ahead anywhere I look – even cryptos are to enjoy the unfolding risk-on upswing.
Friday, January 28, 2022
The right way to play Climate Change Investing (not green energy stocks) / Companies / Climate Change
By: Submissions
By Justin Spittler : The climate change money continues to pour in…
Two weeks ago California Governor Gavin Newsom proposed a $37 billion budget to fight climate change.
The six-year plan is mostly focused on green transportation and cleaner energy.
And that’s just the latest news…
In November, Reuters reported that “banks, insurers, and investors with $130 trillion at their disposal pledged to put combating climate change at the center of their work.”
$130 trillion!
Thursday, January 27, 2022
Why Most Investors LOST Money by Investing in ARK FUNDS / Companies / Investment Funds
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Understand this, it is highly probable that 90% of RETAIL INVESTORs in ARK Funds have LOST MONEY!
LOOK at the volume on the ARKK chart and that tells you when the retail investors were FOMO-ing, then buying the DIPS in ARKK!
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Thursday, January 27, 2022
The “play-to-earn” trend taking the crypto world by storm / Currencies / cryptocurrency
By: Submissions
By Justin Spittler: Something incredible happened last year in the Philippines.
Everyday people were making up to $3,500/month… from playing a video game.
That might not sound like a lot of money to you and me. But you should understand something.
The typical Filipino makes around $878 per month.
And these people making thousands of dollars a month aren’t professional gamers. They’re not part of an esports team. And they don’t receive money from sponsors.
They’re simply playing Axie Infinity.
Wednesday, January 26, 2022
Quantum AI Stocks Investing Priority / Companies / Investing 2022
By: Nadeem_Walayat
From time to time I get asked by Patrons what stocks would I prioritise exposure to, so that there is no confusion my priority has stayed fairly constant for a good 5 years now as illustrated by the ordering of ny AI stocks portfolio where as far as I can recall Google has always remained primary, numero uno, and why through thick and thin, even if I thought armageddon was just around the corner, Google has remained a constant in my portfolio and represents the pinnacle of what one would deem to be a PERFECT STOCK. Google is PRIMARY, In fact one could just buy and hold Google and nothing else and likely beat the market!
Whilst all of the other stocks do jiggle around in their positions from time, however the primary AI stocks have remained fairly constant for some time. In fact digging into my article archives here is one of the earliest iterations of my AI stocks portfolio list dating back to October 2016 which has aged well noting that Apple had a stock split so that the un split price now would be about $700!
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Wednesday, January 26, 2022
Is Everyone Going To Be Right About This Stocks Bear Market? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Avi_Gilburt
If I'm reading all these articles properly, it seems that we're approaching the end of the world as we know it. In fact, I'm reading expectations of 40%, 50% and even 80% market declines. While I did not receive my invitation to this party, it seems that almost everyone else has and they have chosen to attend.
But, is that how the market works?
When the market was hovering in the 4800SPX region, I reiterated to the members of ElliottWaveTrader.net my expectation that we will likely revisit the 4400SPX region before the market begins its next major rally phase. In fact, I even warned them that the certainty that a new bear market has begun will likely be ubiquitous by the time we strike 4400SPX.
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Wednesday, January 26, 2022
Stock Market Glass Half Empty or Half Full? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022
By: Monica_Kingsley
Tough call as select S&P 500 sectors came back to life, but credit markets are a bit inconclusive. Some more selling today before seeing a rebound on Wednesday‘s FOMC (I‘m leaning towards its message being positively received, and no rate hike now as that‘s apart from the Eastern Europe situation the other fear around).
VIX looks to have topped yesterday, and coupled with the commodities and precious metals relative resilience (don‘t look at cryptos where I took sizable short profits in both Bitcoin and Ethereum yesterday), sends a signal of upcoming good couple of dozen points rebound in the S&P 500. Taking a correct view at the hightened, emotional market slide yesterday, is through the portfolio performance – as you can see via clicking the link, yesterday‘s setup needn‘t and shouldn‘t be anyone‘s make or break situation.
Wednesday, January 26, 2022
Stock Market Quoted As Saying 'The Reports Of My Demise Are Greatly Exaggerated' / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022
By: Avi_Gilburt
I have been writing for Seeking Alpha for over a decade now, and I have also been running a service for investors for over a decade as well. And, I think I have seen it all.
One of the things that still strikes me is the extent to which investors will go to cling to their market perspectives no matter how much you try to explain to them how their old perspectives are not accurate or how much you attempt to open their eyes to new perspectives. You can present as much evidence as you want, you can provide as many examples as you want, yet there will still be a huge number of readers who are unwilling to accept anything beyond their own views. There are truly a lot of closed minds out there who simply love the way their blinders fit upon their eyes.
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Wednesday, January 26, 2022
The Synthetic Dividend Option To Generate Profits / Personal_Finance / Options & Warrants
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Many companies regularly distribute a portion of their profits in the form of a dividend to attract investors and incentivize them to remain long-term shareholders. But most companies, ETFs, and commodities don’t pay a dividend at all. When there’s no dividend, the only opportunity for income or a profit comes from a capital gain (or loss) from selling the position.
Wouldn’t it be nice to get regular payouts from “no dividend” investments? As a dividend, these payouts could be used for income. Or, if left invested, our cost-basis could be further reduced with every payout.
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Wednesday, January 26, 2022
The Beginner's Guide to Credit Repair / Personal_Finance / Credit Cards & Scoring
By: Steve_Barker
If you're like most people, you probably don't think about your credit score until there's a problem. And by then, it can be too late. Your credit score is one of the most important numbers in your life, and it's important to understand how it works and how to improve it. In this blog post, we will discuss the basics of credit repair and give you some tips on how to get started.
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Tuesday, January 25, 2022
AI Tech Stocks State Going into the CRASH and Capitalising on the Metaverse / Stock-Markets / Metaverse
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Dear Reader
Caught off guard by the Stock Market Panic underway?
We'll you cannot say you weren't warned!
AI Stocks Portfolio Buying and Selling Levels, Bubble Valuations 2000 vs 2021
Amazon to the MOON 2021! Then what?
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Tuesday, January 25, 2022
Stock Market Relief Rally, Maybe? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022
By: Monica_Kingsley
S&P 500 closed below the 200-day moving average – unheard of. But similarly to the turn in credit markets on Wednesday, the bulls can surprise shortly as the differential between HYG and TLT with LQD is more pronounced now. The field is getting clear, the bulls can move – and shortly would whether or not we see the autumn lows tested next.
Now that my target of 4,400 has been reached (the journey to this support has been a more one-sided event than anticipated), 4,300 are next in the bears sight. The bearish voice and appetite is growing, which may call for a little caution in celebrating the downswings next. Relief rally is approaching, even if not immediately and visibly here yet. All I am waiting for, is a convincing turn in the credit markets, which we haven‘t seen yet.
The dollar is likely to waver in the medium-term, and that‘s what‘s helping the great and profitable moves in commodities, and reviving precious metals. Crypto short profits are likewise growing – the real question is when the tech slide would stop (getting closer), and how much would financials rebound as well. Not worried about energy – the oil dip would turn out a mere blip.
Tuesday, January 25, 2022
Why Gold’s Latest Rally Is Nothing to Get Excited About / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2022
By: P_Radomski_CFA
You don't have to be a fortune teller to predict some of the precious metals’ behavior in the market. Any incoming signs take the shape of a bear.
What a signal-rich week that was! At least if you’re interested in forecasting gold and predicting silver prices.
The USD Index rallied, but that was the least interesting of the important developments, as it had already reversed during the preceding week. So, the fact that the USD Index continued its medium-term uptrend last week is not that noteworthy.
Tuesday, January 25, 2022
Gold Slides and Rebounds in 2022 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2022
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
My outlook for the gold market in 2022 suffers from manic depression: I see first a period of despair and an elevated mood later.So, 2021 is over! 2022 will be better, right? Yeah, for sure! Just relax, what bad could happen?
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Tuesday, January 25, 2022
Gold; a stellar picture / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2022
By: Gary_Tanashian
Gold’s ‘real’ price indicates a fine ‘risk vs. reward’
[edit] Since this article will be distributed to a wider viewership than nftrh.com, where regular readers know I take pains not to hype this most precious ‘value’ asset, take note that a positive risk vs. reward does not mean run out and go whole hog gold stock bull right this minute. Risk vs. reward is a condition, but not a timer. The miners, as of now, are on a seasonal bounce/rally. But with patience, the sector is setting up to distinguish itself as unique and quite bullish in 2022.
As today’s (Thursday’s) market activity shows, the bubble is still in force as US stock markets/sectors generally remain intact (for the most part, with some notable exceptions outside of the headliners, as certain table legs get kicked out). But gold is in a beautiful Cup & Handle structure, as I’ve shown repeatedly (ref. 2022: The Golden Year) since NFTRH began projecting the handle-making in the summer of 2020.
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Saturday, January 22, 2022
CATHY WOOD ARK GARBAGE ARK Funds Heading for 90% STOCK CRASH! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The great valuation reset that I have been warning of for a good 6 months is taking place with a vengeance! As it's not a question of everyone waiting for the Fed act to raise rates because the market is already raising rates anyway and at their sharpest pace in over a year which punishes the high PE garbage growth stocks whilst rewarding low PE strong cash flow stocks.
Look at ARK GARBAGE STOCKS - NO EARNINGS, NO SALES, JUST SOME GARBAGE MANTRA of "DESRUPTIVE TECHNOLOGY" THAT SPEWS OUT of CATHY WOOD from time to time! The only thing getting disrupted are the portfolios of all the poor souls who fell for her snake oil sales pitch!
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Saturday, January 22, 2022
Gold Is the Belle of the Ball. Will Its Dance Turn Bearish? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2022
By: P_Radomski_CFA
The precious metals still do pirouettes on the trading floor, but they can stumble in their choreography. The bears are just waiting for it.
With the GDX ETF soaring on significant volume on Jan. 19, the senior miners had a renewed pep in their step. With gold, silver, and mining stocks all dancing to the same beat, the precious metals garnered all of the bullish attention. However, with the trio known to cut their performances short as soon as investors arrive, will the mood music remain so sanguine?
Well, for one, the GDX ETF has a history of peaking when the crowd enters the party. For example, I marked with the blue vertical dashed lines and blue arrows below how large daily spikes in volume often coincide with short-term peaks. Moreover, with another ominous event unfolding on Jan. 19, historical data implies that we’re much closer to the top than the bottom.
Saturday, January 22, 2022
Best Neighborhoods to Buy Real Estate in San Diego / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Umer_Mahmood
San Diego is known for immaculate weather and pristine beaches alongside a bustling downtown scene focused around PetCo Park and the Gaslamp district. While San Diego is not known for its affordable real estate, the area is still rapidly growing, and those who have the funds to spend can find some great neighborhoods that are rapidly growing.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 21, 2022
Stock Market January PANIC AI Tech Stocks Buying Opp - Trend Forecast 2022 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022
By: Nadeem_Walayat
2022 has gotten off to a great start with many of the target AI tech giants having taken a early year tumble to fresh swing lows that is failing to register in the general indices such as the Dow, and which acts as an harbinger of what to expect during a volatile 2022, whilst my stock market trend forecast will seek to map out the trend for Dow into the end of the year. However my primary focus is on accumulating AI tech stocks and thus my analysis also includes individual price targets for each of the AI tech stocks.
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