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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Wednesday, March 04, 2020

Stock Market & Coronavirus Breakdown Metrics – Where’s The Bottom? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The end of February was brutal for traders that were not prepared for the breakdown in the US stock markets.  The breakdown in price actually started on February 20th and 21st.  Most traders didn’t pay attention to these minor downside price rotations in the Technology sector (NQ) and the Financial sector.  The early downside price rotations in key sectors gave traders a bit of a warning that the markets were starting to shift away from the earnings-driven rally that had set up the recent peaks.

The other item that concerned the markets was the spread of the Corona Virus into Italy, Iran and other areas without known contact to areas of the virus origin.  Obviously, there had to be some process of contact for the virus to spread – but there are concerns now that the virus could be active within various societies throughout the incubation period and spreading to people in densely populated cities in these areas.  The idea of a “super spreader” event becomes very real if societies are not able to identify and contain the sources of these transmissions.

The fear that gripped the markets last week had been telegraphed for many weeks with the news and speculation that China and Asia were going to be hit with much weaker economic data in Q1 of 2020.  Almost anyone with a bit of common sense should understand the economic complications associated with quarantining millions of people for well over 30+ days would destroy economic activity in China. Even environmental data (NASA) suggests the Chinese economic activity has collapsed in 2020.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, March 04, 2020

The Problem Is the Stock Market Bubble, Not the Pin / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Peter_Schiff

With the markets shell shocked by of the worst weeks on record, analysts are split on whether investors are simply overreacting to the coronavirus epidemic or if we are confronting an actual existential threat to the global economy. While most epidemiologists caution that the virus will be nearly impossible to contain, the good news is that it may be far LESS lethal than many of the contagions that we have comfortably lived with for years. When the panic and uncertainty subside, we may just end up with a new strain of influenza that will harass humanity seasonally, but will not meaningfully alter the course of global economics. But this is not really a story about a new biological disease, it's one about an old financial disease that is finally becoming symptomatic.

The truth is that the Dow at nearly 30,000 had been priced to perfection and was particularly vulnerable to any surprise "black swan" event, no matter how virulent. In this case, it's not the size of the pin that is causing the damage, but the size of the bubble the pin has pricked.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, March 03, 2020

As COVID-19 Rocks Markets, Uncertainty Rises in ASEAN / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2020

By: Dan_Steinbock

As the virus momentum is shifting from China to other countries, Southeast Asia faces new economic pressures and indirect collateral damage, due to outbreaks in Japan and South Korea, and inadequate international preparedness.

Worldwide, the number of confirmed novel coronavirus (COVID-19) cases could exceed 100,000 in a matter of week or so. The momentum of the outbreak has shifted, however.

In early February, I predicted a turnaround in the growth rate of new virus cases in China, but acceleration internationally. That's now the new normal. Until then, the cases in China were increasing exponentially. Now the momentum is increasingly outside China. In terms of the timeline, the number of confirmed cases outside China is now about the same as it was in the Chinese mainland about a month ago (Figure).
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Stock-Markets

Monday, March 02, 2020

Will Stocks Keep Cutting Through Supports Like a Hot Knife Through Butter? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: P_Radomski_CFA

During the first half of yesterday’s session, the bulls were in the driving seat after repelling sellers at the open. Yet again, their gains have evaporated, and stocks not only broke to new lows, but also closed there. Will today’s session be any different?

With the sizable daily volatility, it’s well worth checking the downswing on the weekly chart (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).

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Stock-Markets

Monday, March 02, 2020

Stock Market Post Bubble Contraction Finally Arrives / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Plunger

I would like to put out a quick special report to update you on the big picture in light of all of the market turmoil and provide some of the concepts which may suggest where we are going from here.

First off I you were reading these reports in the late summer of 2018 I put out a 3-part series on the Post Bubble Contraction (PBC). Well the PBC has now arrived. Of course it was virtually impossible to predict when it would finally get triggered since it was the FED fueling the bubble for as long as they could. But it appears the bubble has finally been pricked by a black swan from left field.

The below concepts you have all heard from me before, but now we see them actually unfold, so let’s review them again.

The Stock Market Top is in…But the Bear Market actually began on December 14th 2018.

December 14th, 2018, according to Dow Theory Methodology, was the date that a bear market sell signal was triggered, announcing that we were now in a bear market. This valid signal only occurs in Phase III of a bull market. Since then, despite the wild blow off top to new Dow highs the sell signal was never reversed and remained valid. To reverse the signal would require the transports going to new highs along with the Dow. Since this never occurred the signal remained in affect.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, March 02, 2020

Stock Market 20-week Cycle Low ? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend: Uptrend from the 2009 low continues.

SPX Intermediate trend: Intermediate correction underway

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

Daily market analysis of the short-term trend is reserved for subscribers. If you would like to sign up for a FREE 4-week trial period of daily comments, please let me know at anvi1962@cableone.net

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Stock-Markets

Monday, March 02, 2020

Stock Market Dow, Three Strikes and your Out! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: readtheticker

The Dow has topped out with major events, the current virs could be the third strike!

2001 - 9/11 Twin Towers
2007 - Bear Sterns
2020 (?) - C19 Virus

Chart explains all. Dow Jones Industrial's comparing market tops 2000, 2007 and 2020.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, February 29, 2020

Dow Stock Market Coronavirus Trend Forecast Conclusion - Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The stock market that had been an state of denial for several weeks has FINALLY woken up to the reality of the CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC STORM that has triggered a series of waterfall drops this weeks, slicing through technical support levels as though they did not exist, catching most market commentators completely by surprise who had assumed that the virus would remain largely within China's borders. However, my Coronavirus analysis in a series of articles and videos starting late January increasingly warned to expect severe market consequences in response to the unfolding Global Pandemic.

This video is part 4 of a series of analysis that warned of the increasing probability for a Coronavirus stocks bear market that was first made available to Patrons who support my work. Will CoronaVirus Pandemic Trigger a Stocks Bear Market 2020?. Which illustrates that the key driver for the stock market trend for much of 2020 is not going to be fundamental, or technical but rather VIRAL!.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, February 29, 2020

Is This A Repeat of February 2018 Stock Market Crash? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Back in early 2018, after a dramatic rally in early January 2018, the US stock market collapsed suddenly and violently – falling nearly 12% in a matter of just 9 trading days.  Our researchers asked the question, is the current collapse similar to this type of move and could we expect a sudden market bottom to setup?

Although there are similarities between the setups of these two events, our researchers believe there are two unique differences between the selloff in 2018 and the current selloff.  We’ll attempt to cover these components and setups in detail.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, February 29, 2020

Stock Market Trend and Elliott Wave Analysis - Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The stock market that had been an state of denial for several weeks has FINALLY woken up to the reality of the CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC STORM that has triggered a series of waterfall drops this weeks, slicing through technical support levels as though they did not exist, catching most market commentators completely by surprise who had assumed that the virus would remain largely within China's borders. However, my Coronavirus analysis in a series of articles and videos starting late January increasingly warned to expect severe market consequences in response to the unfolding Global Pandemic.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Friday, February 28, 2020

Stock Market Coronavirus Deviation from Overall Outlook for 2020 - Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The stock market that had been an state of denial for several weeks has FINALLY woken up to the reality of the CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC STORM that has triggered a series of waterfall drops this weeks, slicing through technical support levels as though they did not exist, catching most market commentators completely by surprise who had assumed that the virus would remain largely within China's borders. However, my Coronavirus analysis in a series of articles and videos starting late January increasingly warned to expect severe market consequences in response to the unfolding Global Pandemic.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Friday, February 28, 2020

Stock Market SPX to Rise back to 3350 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: MEHABE

Global stocks tumbled to four-month lows, government debt yields sunk to unprecedented levels and crude oil extended declines as anxiety over the spread of the coronavirus surged. While climbing from the lows of the day, the six-day slide has still pushed the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average indexes down by more than 10% from all-time highs set this month, a so-called correction. The drop of as much as 10% since Friday puts the S&P on pace for its worst week since the 2008 global financial crisis. The MSCI All-Country World Index fell to the lowest since October, while the Stoxx Europe 600 also entered a correction.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, February 28, 2020

Stock Performance in the Rising Coronavirus Fever / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: P_Radomski_CFA

The bulls didn’t really get their act together yesterday, and the early gains evaporated a few hours into the session. As stocks closed near their daily lows, what chances of invalidating Tuesday’s  breakdown below the important support do the buyers have?

Let’s briefly check what kind of progress the bears made yesterday on the weekly chart (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).

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Stock-Markets

Friday, February 28, 2020

Stock Market SPY Breaks Below Fibonacci Bearish Trigger Level / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Our research team wanted to share this chart with our friends and followers.  This dramatic breakdown in price over the past 4+ days has resulted in a very clear bearish trigger which was confirmed by our Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling system.  We believe this downside move will target the $251 level on the SPY over the next few weeks and months.

Some recent headline articles worth reading:

On January 29, 2020, we issued this research post about a potential WaterFall selloff

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Friday, February 28, 2020

Will CoronaVirus Pandemic Trigger Stocks Bear Market 2020? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The stock market that had been an state of denial for several weeks has FINALLY woken up to the reality of the CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC STORM that has triggered a series of waterfall drops this weeks, slicing through technical support levels as though they did not exist, catching most market commentators completely by surprise who had assumed that the virus would remain largely within China's borders. However, my Coronavirus analysis in a series of articles and videos starting late January increasingly warned to expect severe market consequences in response to the unfolding Global Pandemic.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Thursday, February 27, 2020

Dow Long-term Trend Analysis - Coronavirus Triggering a Stocks Bear Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Nadeem_Walayat

  • Stock Market Deviation from Overall Outlook for 2020
  • QE4EVER
  • As Goes January So Goes the Year
  • Short-term Trend Analysis
  • Long-term Trend Analysis
  • ELLIOTT WAVES 
  • Formulating a Stock Market Trend Forecast
  • Dow Stock Market Forecast Conclusion
  • TRADING THE DOW
  • Will Trump Win US Presidential Election 2020?

TREND ANALYSIS 

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, February 27, 2020

India's Nifty 50 Stocks: Does the Bad Jobs Outlook Spell Trouble for Stocks? / Stock-Markets / India

By: EWI

India's "employment outlook" just reached its lowest level in 14 years.

There are a lot of mouths to feed in India -- north of 1.3 billion.

That means a lot of jobs are required to put food on the table for a lot of people. But there's a problem: the jobs picture in the world's second most populous nation isn't pretty.

As far back as a year ago, the Washington Post said (Feb. 1, 2019):

**India's jobs crisis is worse than people thought ...

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, February 27, 2020

Has the Stock Market Waterfall Event Started Or A Buying Opportunity? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Over the past 5+ days, a very clear change in market direction has taken place in the US and global markets.  Prior to this, the US markets were reacting to Q4 earnings data and minimizing the potential global pandemic of the Coronavirus.  The continued “rally to the peak” process was taking place and was very impressive from a purely euphoric trader standpoint.  Our researchers found it amazing that the markets continued to rally many weeks after the news of economic contraction and quarantines setup in China/Asia.

Make sure to opt-in to our free market trend signals newsletter before you continue reading this or you may miss our next special report!

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, February 26, 2020

Fake Markets Are on Collision Course with Reality / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2020

By: MoneyMetals

Keeping up appearances is about to get a lot harder for the central planners trying to manage perceptions of the U.S. (and global) economy. The coronavirus is going to have a meaningful impact on global supply chains, even if stock market cheerleaders haven’t fully realized it yet.

This might be because the corporate media and ruling elites are burning a lot of what is left of their fading credibility trying to ignore or downplay the problem.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, February 26, 2020

Is This What Falling Through the Floor Looks Like in Stocks? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: P_Radomski_CFA

While last week brought us higher stock prices, Thursday and Friday were bad days for the bulls. And little wonder, as the technical deterioration continues to play out. Looking at both the closing prices on Friday and today’s premarket action, how close to the end in this correction are we?

Let’s check yesterday’s price action in the weekly chart’s context (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).

Read full article... Read full article...

 


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