Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, June 02, 2015
Lindsay Forecast for the End of the Stocks Bull Market – Part3 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Ed_Carlson
Lindsay’s Long Cycle serves as the basis for forecasting bull and bear markets. It lasts for approximately 20 years and its important highs and lows are labeled points A through M.
Tuesday, June 02, 2015
Stock Market Nice Recovery from Morning Declines / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices started the day off with a very sharp decline, breaking two levels of support, but within an hour had stabilized, and then reversed sharply, taking the Nasdaq 100 from 4490 to over 4535, a 45-point rally in a 3-wave run. They consolidated midafternoon as the S&P 500 made a nominal new high, but the NDX could not confirm it, and rolled over in the last hour to pare back the gains. Nevertheless, it was still a positive session, but narrowly so.
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Tuesday, June 02, 2015
The Stock Market Different Book Theory..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
The market has no trend you can count on. It's been that way for a drop over six months now. When a market is in a trend you can count on, technical analysis flows. Charts flow in a rhythm. When there is no trend there's no flow meaning you can look at a chart and say you think it should do one thing, but you can't count on it, because the lack of trend is like opening a new book each and every day. A non-trending market equals a market of frustration and a lack of consistent action, thus you need to keep your expectations down big time. Not over play because so many set-ups simply won't work. They may look good, but you can't count on getting out of it what you see on a given day. A different book is what causes the biggest losses as many get caught in the moment, with what seems to be rather than losing that expectation.
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Tuesday, June 02, 2015
Stock Market 2007 All Over Again? Mega-Merger Edition / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: John_Rubino
Intel is buying chip maker Altera. Charter is buying Time Warner Cable. All the big drug makers are buying all the mediums-sized ones.
Great news, right? If these huge companies with their top-of-the-line analytical tools and deep insight into their markets think paying way up to build empires is wise, then the stock market, far from being overvalued, must be cheap.
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Monday, June 01, 2015
Stock Market All Eyes on The Prize / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: WavePatternTraders
DOW
In my last article I was looking for new highs on the DOW, well we finally got that now, so with the DOW finally making a new high it's at least potentially completed the ending diagonal idea I have been working from the Oct 2014 lows. The only issue I see is the decline from the last peak is a messy move and not that impulsive, so see a retest of the all time highs would not surprise me.
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Monday, June 01, 2015
Stock Market On the Brink? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - The bull market is still intact.
Intermediate trend - Are long-term cycles sketching an important top?
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Sunday, May 31, 2015
Stock Market Wild Swings Coming! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Brad_Gudgeon
Last time I wrote, the market looked toppy and I was anticipating a 2.5 week low Tuesday (which used to be the dominant 5 week lo). We rallied Wednesday after the expected selling then sold off the rest of the week. I had said that I expected a June 1 top, but after careful study realized that the top would be June 3 instead.
The Mercury Retrograde mid-point low is due 12 calendar days after the initial retrograde point May 18-19, which points to May 30/31 for the low. That means the low will be on June 1 because May 30/31 falls on a weekend. There is also an adjusted Gann 16 TD low due Monday too. I expect initial buying (9/10 pts) on a possible gap up followed by selling down to about SPX 2085/86.
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Sunday, May 31, 2015
Stock Market Corruption Becomes Business as Usual / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
By: ...
MoneyMorning.com Michael E. Lewitt writes: Week after week, the news is filled with reports of law-breaking by institutions and individuals that hold positions of trust in society. Last week, FIFA, the body that rules the multi-billion dollar business of soccer, was hit by indictments of many of its senior officials who were charged with running a multi-year corruption scheme.
The week ended with former Speaker of the House of Representatives, Dennis Hastert – who for 8 years was the second in line to the presidency – being indicted for violating banking laws in connection with a scheme to pay hush money to a man with whom he had an illicit sexual relationship thirty years ago.
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Saturday, May 30, 2015
Stock Market Choppy Uptrend May Have Topped / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Tony_Caldaro
Another choppy week, but biased to the downside. The market started the holiday shortened week at SPX 2126. After a gap down opening on Tuesday the market dropped to SPX 2099. It rallied right back on Wednesday to close the gap, hitting SPX 2126. Then it worked its way lower for the rest of the week to close at SPX 2107. For the week the SPX/DOW lost 1.05%, the NDX/NAZ lost 0.40%, and the DJ World index lost 1.4%. On the economic front it was another mixed week. On the uptick: new/pending home sales, consumer confidence/sentiment, and the FHFA housing index. On the downtick: durable goods orders, Q1 GDP, the Chicago PMI, the WLEI, and weekly jobless claims increased. Next week’s highlights are Payrolls, the FED’s Beige book, ISM and the PCE.
Saturday, May 30, 2015
Bad GDP... Bad Chicago PMI... Excuses Running Out... Stock Market Yawns... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
There are two different worlds to write about each and every day with regards to the market. There's the real world and Disneyland. In this particular case the real world is the GDP that was reported in the red this morning. The number was anticipated to be negative, so no big shock when that became a reality. The market futures dropped a bit, but really nothing from nothing. The market anticipated a bad number due to the excuse of bad weather across the country during Q1. I think that's a terrible excuse but why not, let the market use it as an excuse simply because it doesn't want to fall very much. Now we fast forward to the present. We wait on the Chicago PMI to see if business is indeed picking up. The number was well below expectations showing recession during April. No more weather excuses Mr. Market. Here's where Disneyland comes in. Who cares! The market fell a bit for a while, but decided excuses were still the way to approach what's happening. Disneyland allowed the markets to recover off the lows. No big fall that would cause a little bit of technical damage.
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Friday, May 29, 2015
Investing’s Great Struggle / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015
By: Zeal_LLC
The great endeavor of investing can be distilled down into four simple words, buy low sell high. They are so basic, so resoundingly clear, that even a child can understand this principle. Yet still the great majority of investors never achieve significant success. Even while full-well knowing the core idea of investing, they end up buying high and selling low. That treacherous struggle of investing must be overcome.
It’s funny, as life is full of simple ideas that are incredibly challenging to put into practice. Investing is certainly not unique in this regard. Americans’ expanding waistlines are a great example. The only way to lean up is some combination of eating less and exercising more. We all know this basic truth, we all know what we ought to be doing on both fronts, yet it’s still really hard to execute. Emotions are the reason.
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Friday, May 29, 2015
The Pressure Just Shifted from Greece to the US and EU / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
By: Raul_I_Meijer
With the 3rd US Q1 GDP print coming in at -0.7% (-3% if not for inventories), perhaps the media spotlights – and lively imagination – can move away from Greece for a few weeks. The US has enough problems of its own, it would seem. For one thing, its Q1 GDP is now worse than Greece’s. Of course its debt is also much higher, just not to the IMF and ECB. But let’s leave that one be for the moment. Though a bit of perspective works miracles at times.
Thursday, May 28, 2015
Hundreds of Billions of Dollars Are About to Flow Into Chinese Stocks / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
By: DailyWealth
Steve Sjuggerud writes: China will ultimately make up 50% of one of the world's major emerging-markets indexes...
"Who cares," you might think, at first...
YOU ought to care...
You see, hundreds of billions of dollars will flow into Chinese stocks in the next two or three years...
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Thursday, May 28, 2015
World War D—Deflation - Secular Bear Markets Analysis / Stock-Markets / Deflation
By: John_Mauldin
Everywhere I go I’m asked, “Will there be inflation or deflation? Are we in a bull or bear market? Is the bond bull market over and will interest rates rise?”
The flippant answer to all those questions is “Yes.” And that can be the correct answer as well, but it depends on what your time frame is and what tools you use to measure the markets and inflation. One of the newer members of the Mauldin Economics team is Jawad Mian, who writes a powerful global macro letter from his base in Dubai. He has been making the case for the “end of the deflation trade” (or more properly the return of a reflationary period) and the knock-on effects that would cause. Longtime readers know that I am in the secular deflation camp and ask me why there’s such a seeming difference my views and Jawad’s.
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Thursday, May 28, 2015
Stocks Extend Their Short-Term Uncertainty, Which Direction Is Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,140, and profit target at 1,980, S&P 500 index)
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Thursday, May 28, 2015
Stock Markets Buy and Hold is Back! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Rambus_Chartology
Tonight I would like to show you some really big consolidation patterns in regards to some big cap tech stocks mainly the networking and semiconductors. I have shown you some of these big bases in the past but now I’m going to create a brand new portfolio based just on these big patterns. It definitely won’t be as exciting as trading in and out all the time as the game plan will be to hold these stocks for a minimum of two years, no trading. This will be an investment portfolio based on these massive consolidation patterns. Big base or consolidation patterns equals big moves.
Thursday, May 28, 2015
Stock Market Right Back Up... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
When dealing with the stock market of the past five to six months there is a theme to be understood. Never judge one day's action as if that's the new trend to come. We have seen so many big days both to the up side and down side. There's a huge down day, such as there was yesterday. You feel assuredly that today is going to be either a follow up day, or, because markets were oversold, a slight up-day to unwind. This theme has repeated itself over and over. Big up-days and big down-days are game and you win a close, exciting game. You feel the momentum will be nothing to get excited or unhappy about depending on your position in the market. It can be compared to baseball in that a pitcher throws a great continue on, but the next day your pitcher gets hit hard and you lose.
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Wednesday, May 27, 2015
Stock Market Retracements Appear to be Nearing Completion / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX has overshot its 2117.42 target but seems to be wrapping up its retracement under the 61.8% retracement level. Not only is this good positioning for a short position, but it appears that it will be triggering its small Orthodox Broadening Top. The target for this formation may be as low as 1623.00. In any event, this appears to be fertile ground for a Flash Crash.
Wednesday, May 27, 2015
Imminent Stocks Bear Market Signaled by Dow Theory ... / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Clive_Maund
Don't be fooled by the new highs in the flagship US stock indices that are being trumpeted on Wall St as a sign of strength - the internals of the market are terrible and getting worse, and one big sign of impending trouble is the Dow Theory non-confirmation of these new highs by other key indices.
First we will see how the S&P500 looks on its charts before moving on to consideration of other key indices. On the 1-year chart for the S&P500 index we can readily see that the breakout to new highs was marginal, on weak volume, and that the index has made very little progress since late last year - it appears to be rounding over and weakening within an uptrend that is converging, which has bearish implications. The fact that it has made new highs has theoretically opened up the possibility of a run to the upper boundary of the uptrend, which is quite some way above, but other factors that we will come to shortly suggest that it will fall way short of that, and they further suggest that this breakout could be false and be followed by a reversal to the downside anytime now.
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Tuesday, May 26, 2015
Is the Next Black Monday Stock Market Crash Right Around the Corner? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: DailyWealth
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: Black Monday happened in 1987, the year before I went to college...
The stock market fell 23% in one day. It was the worst one-day fall in stock market history.
"Overvaluation" was one of the causes, according to my finance professors at the University of Florida.
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