Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Saturday, June 06, 2015

Stock Market Crash - Are We Heading For 1987 All Over Again? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash

By: Toby_Connor

History has been pretty clear. When the Fed prints too much money, and holds interest rates too low for too long, it eventually it creates a bubble followed by a market crash. It happened in 2000 with tech stocks. Then again in 2006 with real estate. Followed not long after by a collapse in the banking system. Then a bubbling oil and commodities. And now I would argue we have the beginnings of a bubble in biotech. So the question is will we experience another crash like we did after each one of those previous bubbles? I think the odds are high we will. Especially if the Fed doesn’t immediately end its stock market interventions.

Saturday, June 06, 2015

Stock Market Correction Appears Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Tony_Caldaro

The market started the week at SPX 2107. A gap up opening on Monday took the SPX to 2119. Then a gap down opening Tuesday took the SPX down to last week’s low at 2099. But the market gapped up on Wednesday carrying the SPX to 2122. Then a gap down Thursday open eventually led to breaking last week’s low and hitting SPX 2086. For the week the SPX/DOW were -0.80%, the NDX/NAZ were -0.35%, and the DJ World index was -1.10%. On the economic front reports came in quite positive. On the uptick: personal income, PCE, construction spending, ISM manufacturing, ADP, payrolls, consumer credit, plus the trade deficit and weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: factory orders, ISM services, WLEI, and the unemployment rate rose. Next week’s reports are highlighted by Retail sales, the PPI and Export/Import prices.

Saturday, June 06, 2015

Hot Jobs...Rising Rates?...Greece Headache...Global Markets Sell Off..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

A very boring and yet interesting week just took place. Price action here in the United States was extremely boring. No one will deny that. Small caps were higher, but big caps were lower by about one percent each. Large caps not leading while froth led which is normal for this market since nothing that takes place makes much sense. That's the new normal. The interesting part of the week came from today's Jobs Report, which was very hot.

Saturday, June 06, 2015

Stock Market Connfirmed Sell Signals / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX appears to have completed yet another impulse and retracement, stopping at the 50-day Moving Average. Confirmation come at the re-crossing of the trendline, now at 2090.00.

Lance Roberts has an insightful piece about the Incredibly Bearish Bull Market. The bearish divergences are mounting, yet investors are still attempting to “buy the dip.” That is, until today. If the 50-day Moving Average holds, the markets may get ugly in a hurry. With the majority of investors :all in,” there may be less money on the sidelines than what we are being told.

Friday, June 05, 2015

Debt and the Tinderbox / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing

By: DeviantInvestor

We know that the Federal Reserve cranked up their digital printing presses and created over $16 Trillion in new currency, swaps, loans, bailouts, gifts, etc. in response to the 2008 financial crisis.  Example:  Bernie Sanders says that Bank of America received over $1.3 Trillion in bailouts.

If you invested in stocks and bonds, the various QE – “money printing” programs were probably successful for you.  Examine the following chart and note the impact of QE on the S&P 500 Index.

Friday, June 05, 2015

QE Breeds Instability / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing

By: Raul_I_Meijer

Central bankers have promised ad nauseum to keep rates low for long periods of time. And they have delivered. Their claim is that this helps the economy recover, but that is just a silly idea.

What it does do is help create the illusion of a recovering economy. But that is mostly achieved by making price discovery impossible, not by increasing productivity or wages or innovation or anything like that. What we have is the financial system posing as the economy. And a vast majority of people falling for that sleight of hand.

Friday, June 05, 2015

Support Broken as Stock Indices Sell Off / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices had a very tough session today, although they started out with a move down, and then within minutes they rallied sharply, particularly on news out of Greece. They then rolled over hard, taking the Nasdaq 100 from 4536 to 4475, down 50 points, and the S&P 500 in 5-wave declines went from 2113 to 2094, nearly 20 points down. In the afternoon they tried to rally, got up to resistance, and backed off, but in the last five minutes they spiked up at the close. Perhaps on short covering.

Friday, June 05, 2015

Stock Market Set up for a Flash Crash / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

As I had suggested, SPX impulse down to the double Megaphone trendline. It appears ready for a retracement, but it is hard to tell if it will go much beyond the 50-day Moving Average.

Remember, this is the start of a Minute Wave [iii]. Things may get interesting from here, even though it is only less than 2% off the market high. Yesterday’s high may be the top of point 7 in the Orthodox Broadening Top pattern. The opportunity for a flash crash is very high…about 96% once SPX makes its 2nd decline through the trendline.

Thursday, June 04, 2015

Asian Markets Are Flashing Strong "Buy" Signals / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets

By: EWI

Elliott Wave International's Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast editor offers you his forecasts for long-term investment opportunities

In this informative new interview, Elliott Wave International's Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast editor, Mark Galasiewski, tells you about three new investment opportunities in the region.

Thursday, June 04, 2015

Stock Market Valuations - Don’t Fight the Tape or the Fed / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations

By: John_Mauldin

A recurring theme in my letters is the various ways in which we can go about determining valuations for stocks and other investments. My good friend Steve Blumenthal has gathered a number of charts from various authorities showing different ways to look at valuations for today’s US stock market. He topped it off with some very good estimates of forward-looking returns on total US equity portfolios. He is not arguing to get out but rather to be aware of where we are and to temper your expectations for the future. Steve writes in an easy, fluid style that I think you will enjoy as this week’s Outside the Box.

Thursday, June 04, 2015

Prepare Now For the Epic Crisis in Central Banking / Stock-Markets / Central Banks

By: Graham_Summers

Last year (2014) will likely go down in history as the “beginning of the end” for the current global Central Banking system.

What will follow will be a gradual unfolding of the next crisis and very likely the collapse of the Central Banking system as we know it.

However, this process will not be fast by any means.

Thursday, June 04, 2015

The Dow Just Gave Stock Investors a “Buy” Signal... Did You Miss It? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Investment_U

Matthew Carr writes: I’ve been passionate about art my whole life.

In fact, I spent a large chunk of my undergrad years studying the various techniques used in digital design... painting... photography... and animation.

One of the first things you learn in animation is the bouncing ball.

Thursday, June 04, 2015

Buying Stocks on Margin - The Dumbest Man in China / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: DailyWealth

Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes:

Thursday, June 04, 2015

Stock Market Daily Charts Still Favorable....Long-Term Charts Are Not.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

So what do you trust more? In the very short-term I have always followed the short-term charts over the longer-term charts. You try to follow the most trustworthy index charts and they can be found on the daily charts. Weekly and monthly charts seem to take too long to use for your short-term trading. They'll kick in at some point, but it's too unpredictable. So if we use the daily charts you can see those key-index oscillators are in good shape with the MACD stochastic's and RSI all out of overbought territory. The room is there on all of the oscillators if the bulls can make the move. None of those key oscillators would get overbought until the triple-top breakout at S&P 500 2134 was long gone.

Thursday, June 04, 2015

Stock Major Market Stress / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Marty_Chenard

This is the updated P&F Chart of the Institutional "core holdings" that we posted last week.

Note how it has stayed within its rising wedge pattern ... that is a short term plus for now and until there is a downside breakout. (Historically, rising wedges break to the downside.)

Wednesday, June 03, 2015

SPX Making a Double Zigzag / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX has completed a double zigzag. This does not fit a Wave (c) ending, but tells us there is a high likelihood for yet another zigzag to complete an Ending Diagonal formation. The target appears to be 2126.22, which will make it an Expanded Flat Wave [ii]. It may also delay the decline until Monday.

Wednesday, June 03, 2015

How To Spot A Bubble / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble

By: Raul_I_Meijer

We’ve been entertaining ourselves to no end the past couple days with a ‘vast array’ of articles that purport to provide us with ‘expert’ opinion on the question of whether we are witnessing a bubble or not. Got the views of Goldman’s David Kostin, Robert Shiller, Jeremy Grantham, Jeremy Siegel, Howard Marks.

But although these things can be quite amusing because while they’re at it, of course, the ‘experts’ say the darndest things (check Bloomberg ‘Intelligence’s Carl Riccadonna: “You had equity markets benefit from QE, but eventually QE also jump-started the broader recovery.. Ultimately everyone’s benefiting.”), we can’t get rid of this one other nagging question: who needs an expert to tell them that today’s markets are riddled with bubbles, given that they are the size of obese gigantosauruses about to pump out quadruplets?

Wednesday, June 03, 2015

Stock Market At Major Turning Point / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The news this morning centers around the Ten Year Note Yield, which appears to have exceeded its prior high. The best fit would be a Wave (v) of Minute Wave [c] of Minor Wave B. This would allow a strong Wave C decline to finish off the decline in yields for good.

Tuesday, June 02, 2015

You Don’t Know Where the Stock Market is Heading! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Bob_Loukas

I’ve been of two minds recently regarding the current Cycle picture in equities. So this week I focused more attention on finding secondary evidence to support a more definitive position ondirection. As I suspected it might, my research provided an almost endless array of contradictory evidence and facts.

The internet and social media are a mixed blessing to researchers – they can lead to a huge number of hypotheses and points of view, but the quality of information is generally pretty low. At its best, however, the internet can lead to ideas and links to compelling analysis and primary sources. The point is that there exists online a mass of data points, ideas, opinions, analyses and thesis that can occasionally help to bring real clarity of thought, but more often, the information serves only to confuse, and even obfuscate.   From a trader’s perspective, the information is generally unable to answer the questions that are of greatest import.

Tuesday, June 02, 2015

For Stocks, Things Are Always Getting Better! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Barry_M_Ferguson

On Monday evening, May 18, 2015, ECB board member Benoit Coeure gathered together a group of bankers and hedge fund managers. That evening, Mr. Coeure gave them the ECB’s game plan for accelerating bond purchases in the euro-zone. Of course, this was a closed meeting and the general public, the slaves, were not privy to this information that would surely move equity and monetary indexes. This group was given ample time on Tuesday morning to set their positions accordingly. Then, around noon, the public was informed of the new ECB intention. This is known as ‘insider trading’ and it is a felony unless of course the person or institution using the insider information is a banker or bank or hedge fund manager. So, we can all conclude that equity prices are gamed by the same people who rig them. Average investors simply need to understand the criminality.