Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, January 03, 2017
10 Predictions for 2017: Gold, Stocks, Trump, Putin and War / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
The quote is a paradox within itself, but sums up the outlook of anyone that has gleaned a grain of wisdom in their life. Yet, here I am offering predictions for the future, a thing one could know with even less certainty than present conditions. We study trends, monitor political events, consider “cui bono” in all events and give it the old college try.
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Sunday, January 01, 2017
The Stock Market Has Topped. Next Up the US Dollar Driven Bloodbath / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The momentum driven post election rally has ended. Next up is the US Dollar driven collapse in the markets.
Copper called this weeks ago as we noted before. No one listed. It’s now down nearly 10% from its peak and clinging to support for dear life.
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Sunday, January 01, 2017
Biased 2017 Forecasts - Debt, Housing and Stock Market (1/2) / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
A couple weeks ago I was lucky enough to see a live one hour interview with Michael Lewis at the Annenberg Center about his new book The Undoing Project. Everyone attending the lecture received a complimentary copy of the book. Being a huge fan of Lewis after reading Liar’s Poker, Boomerang, The Big Short, Flash Boys, and Moneyball, I was interested to hear about his new project. This was a completely new direction from his financial crisis books. I wasn’t sure whether it would keep my interest, but the story of Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky and their research into the psychology of judgement and decision making, creating a cognitive basis for common human errors that arise from heuristics and biases, was an eye opener.
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Saturday, December 31, 2016
Most Popular Financial Markets Analysis of 2016 - Stock Market Crash Postponed Again / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
The two most unexpected political shock events of the year were Britain's EU Referendum BrExit vote that literally no one in the establishment media, markets, the pollsters or bookies saw coming, which left a newly appointment Prime Minister to explain what BrExit exactly means who response is always that "BrExit means Brexit". Though many who commentated on breakfast, I mean Brexit end up confusing the two. "Brexit means Breakfast". Anyway we shall soon find out exactly what BrExit means....
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Saturday, December 31, 2016
Stock Market Dow Closes 2016 Up 13.4% Confounding Perma Bear Doom Merchants For 8th Year! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The Dow Jones stock market index closed 2016 up 2338 points at 19,763, up 13.4% for year confounding the doom merchants who saw every surprise event of 2016 from Januarys oil price collapse to Britain's Brexit EU Referendum vote to America's very own self professed Mr BrExit, Donald Trump shocking the American establishment elite by winning the US Presidential election, all and more were apparently definite harbingers for a stock market apocalypse, reaching their most vocal just as the stocks bottomed and surged higher.
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Friday, December 30, 2016
SPX Stock Market Flash Crash May be Developing / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash
SPX cleared and retested Intermediate-term support/resistance now at 2256.83 this morning. It was a pleasant surprise to see it begin a new impulse lower. Although shallow, the new impulse tells us that there is room to decline. It is also a prime candidate for a flash crash as early as today. If the decline remains impulsive and gains momentum, we may see a low as early as Tuesday mid-day. SPX is on a sell signal.
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Friday, December 30, 2016
FTSE Stock Market Index Ends 2016 at BrExit New All Time High, Clueless Financial Press / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market
The FTSE ended 2016's last day of trading at a NEW ALL TIME high of 7,142, which according the mainstream financial press's reporting for virtually the whole year was an IMPOSSIBLE outcome. After all the surprise BrExit EU Referendum vote result was supposed to have heralded a crash, collapse, recession new bear market, NONE of which materialised!
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Friday, December 30, 2016
Major Stocks Bear Market Still Looms / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The US stock markets spectacularly defied the odds in 2016, soaring after both the UK’s Brexit vote and US presidential election. Both actual outcomes were universally feared as very bearish for stocks before the events. These contrary stock rallies have left traders feeling euphoric, convinced stock markets are impregnable. But with stock valuations hitting bubble levels in an exceedingly-old bull, a major bear still looms.
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Friday, December 30, 2016
Trump, BrExit, Crude Oil, Stocks Bull - Most Popular Market Oracle Videos of 2016 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
2016 is about to come to an end that featured two unexpected shock political events of Britain's EU Referendum BrExit vote that literally no one in the mainstream press, political elite, markets or bookies saw come, and then there was Trump winning the US Presidency, which again shocked the establishment elite. Whilst in the financial markets, the crude oil prices trend garnered much popular interest as the early year oil price collapse had pushed many oil producers towards the edge of economic collapse. And again the BrExit and Trump factors induced much market uncertainty as the consensus expectations were that both events would result in an end of the 7 year long stocks bull market, which instead resulted in the exact opposite trends to a series of new all time highs.
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Thursday, December 29, 2016
Stock Market Impulse Wave Down... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
It now appears that SPX has completed its first impulse down to 2244.56 and appears capable of bouncing either to Intermediate term resistance at 2254.48 or to the trendline near 2260.00 in a partial retracement. It may take another hour or so to complete its bounce, then reverse into a probable Wave 3 in the final hour of the day.
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Thursday, December 29, 2016
In 2017 Be the Bank / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
Dear Parader,
In our last edition before the New Year, I share an overview of an interesting and easy way to get a better return on your money. What’s most important, it allows you to largely side-step the risk and volatility inherent in stock and bond markets.
We then conclude with an approach you might want to consider using for difficult people and negative relationships that crop up in your life.
As I write, sitting at the dining table at our family house in Vermont, the snow has kicked up. If I skied, I might want to head to the mountain. But as I don’t, I am content to stay indoors and dream of returning to the sunnier climes of Cafayate, Argentina, which I will do tomorrow morning.
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Thursday, December 29, 2016
Will the Stock Markets 2016 Bullish Run Continue in 2017? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
After an underwhelming 2015, the global stock markets peaked again in 2016 registering significant rallies across world. This came despite having a series of surprises in the geopolitical spectrum with Britain voting to leave the EU while the US voted Donald Trump to become the country’s 45th president against all odds.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, December 29, 2016
Goldman to Trump: Situation Assessment, Government Bail-Ins and the Precious Metals Threat / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
Despite its avid support for Hillary Clinton, fewer than three weeks after the election, Gary Cohn, the number two executive at Goldman Sachs met privately at Trump Tower with the President-elect. Ten days later, he was named to one of the most powerful financial positions in the world, Director of the National Economic Council of the United States of America.
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Thursday, December 29, 2016
European Commission Threatens Widespread Gold, Asset Confiscation / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
The “war on terror” continues...
The US and the North Atlantic Terrorist Organization (NATO) attacked Libya and Syria and began transporting Muslims to Europe as a means of destabilization. They have also conducted numerous other false flag attacks, such as Charlie Hebdo, by which to further confuse and imprison the local population.
The most recent was the so called “terror attack” which occurred several days before Christmas in Berlin, Germany. A truck was deliberately driven into a crowded market killing 12 people and leaving 48 injured.
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Wednesday, December 28, 2016
Stock Market Extremely Strong Pop to Start the Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The stock market indices started the week off with a very strong move up with an extremely strong pop in the first thirty minutes, reaching the highs for the day. The DOW closed just underneath 20,000 at 19,980. However, in the afternoon, they pulled back in a 3-wave decline, particularly in the last hour, and finished barely ahead on the day.
Net on the day, the Dow was up 11.23 at 19,945.04, 35 points off its high. The S&P 500 was up 5.09 at 2268.88, 5 points off its high. The Nasdaq was up 25.78 at 4965.81, but still 27 points off its high.
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Wednesday, December 28, 2016
Market Trends Generated By Jubilee 2016 Will Continue Into 2017 And Beyond / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
There were numerous trends established or maintained in 2016. In fact, the seeds planted in 2016 from Jubilee Year are bound to sprout in 2017 or 2018 with the kind of chaos and economic destruction that will give rise to further globalism.
Gold, silver and bitcoin as we have regularly commented, are the assets to consider as we approach grimmer times. (A little more on repercussions at the end of this analysis.)
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Wednesday, December 28, 2016
Financial Markets 2016: A Year for Contrarians; 2017 Shaping Up That Way as Well / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
2016 was the year I finally decided to codify my niche as a psychology-focused market contrarian, putting the Alice, Red Queen and Rabbit components of NFTRH’s logo right there on my inner forearm, forever.
This is because I love the imagery and themes of NFTRH’s guiding metaphorical story, Alice in Wonderland, and because the weird technical tools I use are generally in service to one thing; being right when the herds are going the wrong way. The concept originally came to me as the markets were beginning their descent into the crash of 2008 as the newly launched market management service needed a view that was apart from the emotional herds then preparing to go down the drain. Alice’s quote (Lewis Carroll), a portion of which occupies my other inner forearm was perfect in this regard…
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Wednesday, December 28, 2016
Stock Market Final Thrust Higher May Still Be Needed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
SPX appears to be waiting for the final thrust in Wave [v] of an Ending Diagonal Wave 5. The target appears to be in the vicinity of 2281.00. Remember, 2285.92 is the maximum for Wave [5] in the SPX.
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Tuesday, December 27, 2016
Is an Stock Market Intermediate Top Forming? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: If the market strength persists, the long-term trend may need to be re-evaluated.
SPX Intermediate trend: SPX intermediate P&F count to 2270 has now been met, but there are higher counts that could still be filled before a serious reversal take place.
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Monday, December 26, 2016
The Big Theme for 2017: a Global Cash Ban / Stock-Markets / War on Cash
The big theme for 2017 will be Cash… not a pro-deflationary “time to own cash” theme… but a “let’s ban it as quickly as possible” theme.
Let’s review.
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