Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, January 30, 2009
Cassandra John Paulson Hedge Fund Manager Makes Billions from the Financial Crisis / Stock-Markets / Recession 2008 - 2010
As expected, the Federal Reserve kept its key interest rate near 0% and claimed it stands ready to take additional steps such as purchasing longer-term Treasury bonds if such a move will help get credit flowing once again.
It seems their logic is that lowering the yield on government bonds will spur other lenders to lower their own yields. Hmmm, isn't the mantra of cheaper money everywhere sounding familiar? Why, of course it is.
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Friday, January 30, 2009
Stock, Commodities, Futures and Forex Markets Analysis 30th January 2009 / Stock-Markets / Futures Trading
The March NASDAQ 100 was lower overnight due to profit taking as it consolidates some of Wednesday's rally. Stochastics and the RSI are bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March renews this week's rally, the reaction high crossing at 1256.25 is the next upside target. Closes below the 10-day moving average crossing at 1186.95 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 30, 2009
Recession Makes Stocks Pause For Thought / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
A reality check for the Dow yesterday; the onslaught of ever grimmer economic news (and serious downward revisions to previous numbers) finally took its toll and snapped the 4 day winning streak. There was notable weakness in banking (the recent star performer), autos (Ford's $6bn loss) , aerospace (on dire durable goods data) & industrial equities.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 30, 2009
Stock Market Investors Becoming Overly Complacent and Gold Update / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
A routine I have always kept to is listening to market news on the radio every morning. Recently it has felt as if the morning market news has morphed into the morning job losses report. It is no longer tracked on a monthly or weekly basis but rather the consortium of job cut announcements have been a routine part of the morning news. This Thursday morning, we were confronted with 12,000 jobs cuts lead by Eastman Kodak, Wednesday brought us 15,000, Tuesday 11,500 and kicking off the week on Monday we recorded 71,000 jobs losses.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 30, 2009
Stock Market Rally Reverses Lower / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The indices had a definite down day on Thursday, reversing the rally as they started out with a very negative pre-market, with lower futures. The markets gapped lower, rallied back to the gaps and failed, and then rolled over in stair step fashion for the rest of the day. A mid-afternoon rally also failed at resistance, with the S&P 500 closing very near the lows for the day.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 29, 2009
Obama's Role in the Next Stock Market Breakout Direction / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
A hunch is a dangerous thing… And nowhere is it more dangerous than in the investment world, where a wrong hunch can get you a one way ticket to poverty bay.
That said, we thought we'd let you know ours anyway. We have a hunch the market is ready for a very sizeable move. That shouldn't surprise you; after all the VIX is still hovering in the stratosphere, and big moves are, by definition, accompanied by elevated levels in volatility.
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Thursday, January 29, 2009
Peter Schiff Rebuttal- A Response to My Critics / Stock-Markets / Managed Accounts
My popularity on television and the internet has led a very small money manager to use his popular financial blog to promote his fledgling business by attacking the recent poor performance of my long-term investment strategy. The post is causing quite a stir and compels me to provide some badly needed context.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 29, 2009
Wall Street Deception, Political Quest for Remedy Positives for Gold Safehaven / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
What an interesting time we live in! By now, anyone who feels burned by the establishment, whether the Wall Street banksters (fraud kings) or US Congressional representatives (paid lobbyist clients), or US Congress banking committees (bribed Wall Street tools), or a private hedge fund con man (protected by regulators), or financial markets (victims of naked shorting), or an employer (from foreign plant & equipment investments), beware. More deception and betrayal and smokescreens and outright lies lie directly ahead.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 29, 2009
How Hedge Funds, Pyromaniacs and Gangsters Caused the Global Financial Crisis / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
Martin Hutchinson writes: Let's face it: The financial services sector has suffered a severe loss in popularity.
The result is that governments in both the United Kingdom and the United States are looking for lightening rods to absorb all the criticism, and bankers have made for the ideal candidates.
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Thursday, January 29, 2009
Stock Market Buoyed By US Fed And Treasury / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
After hanging on with its fingertips to the slippy 8,000 level despite the onslaught of awful earnings, weak guidance and dire economic data, the Dow Jones went ahead last night after a market friendly FoMC statement from the US Federal reserve. New Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner helped too, saying that the government has lots of options to keep banks private and has no intention of nationalising them. Add to this the idea of a non punitive bad bank and the talk of an extra $2trn in capital injections and no wonder bank stocks went higher.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 29, 2009
Stock Market Punches Through Resistance / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
So much for resistance. Both the S&P 500 and NASDAQ blew through resistance levels, including their respective 50 day moving averages. The DJIA was the laggard, unable to breach overhead resistance and the 50 dma.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 29, 2009
Stock Market Bottom Pickers Beware of the Dow Jones Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
We had a slow start to the week with prices drifting sideways and upward on below average volume. Wednesday the market put in a nice rally with small and mid cap stocks leading the way higher. The chart of the Dow or the DIA exchange traded fund shows the low volume clearly. Most indexes are now trading just below a short term resistance level and Wednesdays rally was on light volume. I don't like to be a bear, low volume rallies are not a bullish sign.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 29, 2009
Underlying Stock Market Trend Conditions / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
You are looking at the highway and see a car moving swiftly, efficiently, and smoothly down the road. You think in my youngest son's vernacular and say, "Wow, that's a sweet car".
After going two hundred feet down the road, the car backfires, sputters, and stops.
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Thursday, January 29, 2009
"Bad Bank" Does Not Trump "Bad" Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Government Intervention
A "bad bank" does have some positive elements and in the long run could help both the economy and the financial markets. This morning's futures tell me people are focusing on the positives many of which are significant and real. However, when managing risk, especially in a bear market, it pays to play devil's advocate. For investors rushing to buy SPY (S&P 500 ETF), DIA (Dow 30), QQQQ (NASDAQ), or XLF (Financials), it may pay to temper your enthusiasm a little.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 29, 2009
Stock Market Key Overhead Resistance Gives Way in Bullish Session / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The indices had a fantastic bullish session as pre-market futures were sharply higher based on the government news about bank corporations that absorb bad debt. In any case, the indices opened sharply higher, backed and filled for the first 45 minutes or so, and then started a strong advance that lasted all morning into mid-afternoon, reaching as high as 1245 the Nasdaq 100, at that point up nearly 32 points. The S&P 500 spiked up near 878, up 31 points. They did have a sharp setback in the last 1 1/2 hours, but in the last 30 minutes took back most of those losses.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 28, 2009
Nasdaq Q's Continue to Act Well / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
The Q's (NASDAQ: QQQQ) continue to act well and are right at their highs for today's thrust from a two-week base pattern. My next near-term target is 30.20/50, the lower portion of which already has been met. My higher target of 30.80 to 31.25 coincides with confrontation with the Nov-Jan resistance line, now at 30.80. The resistance line at 30.80 up to 31.25 should put a lid on any "euphoric" reaction to the FOMC statement released at 2:15 pm ET. Conversely, at this juncture only a decline that breaks 29.70 will begin to compromise the still-constructive near-term pattern in the Qs.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 28, 2009
Stock, Commodities, Futures and Forex Markets Analysis 28th January 2009 / Stock-Markets / Futures Trading
The March NASDAQ 100 was higher overnight and is trading above resistance marked by the 20- day moving average crossing at 1205.62. Stochastics and the RSI are turning bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 1205.62 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted while opening the door for additional gains near-term. If March renews this month's decline, the reaction low crossing at 1097.00 is the next downside target.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 28, 2009
Stock Market Volatility VIX Forecasts Trends / Stock-Markets / Volatility
Does a down moving VIX always mean that the market will move up?
As you are well aware, the market is often in conflict with opposing conditions.
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Wednesday, January 28, 2009
Waiting for the Next Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
If you have been watching the news, plenty of analysts and commentators, especially the perma -bulls, are falling over themselves because the market put in three positive days in a row. That is all fine and good, but one really needs to look at the charts to see the true picture.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 28, 2009
Stock Market Up Again Despite Grim Economic Data / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Stubborn stocks ground out a few more hard yards in the face of more grim economic news. They drew some cheer from better than expected results from American Express (albeit still very weak). That the market can drag itself higher in the face of the current headwinds (job losses, poor earnings and guidance and dire real economy data) reinforces the importance of expectations and the significant pessimism currently built into market pricing.Read full article... Read full article...