Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, May 25, 2009
Stock Market Investor Sentiment Widening Divergence / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
For the US equities market, we see a widening divergence between the "Smart Money" and the "Dumb Money" indicators. The "dumb money" has maintained its extreme bullishness from last week while the "smart money" is now more bearish.
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Monday, May 25, 2009
Stock Market Trends Pattern Recognition Time / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The dollar ($) is breaking down, and everybody is watching (including the Chinese), so it must be time to throw a deleveraging scare back into the market to affect a rally and support Treasuries. This is what the good conspiracy theorists are thinking right now. And you know what, not coincidentally this is actually the way things just might play out, looking like the markets are being managed right when it’s needed. In fact however, this time around price managers are getting a great deal of help from speculators who continue to bet wrong, where another rally in stocks (and test of support for the $) after a brief sell-off here would look like just what the doctor ordered from a price management perspective (equities must remain firm for re-inflation efforts to take hold), but in fact would be more the result of renewed bearish speculation within the context of our faulty and fraudulent market mechanisms.
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Monday, May 25, 2009
No Battle Between the Bulls and Bears Today / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Larry Edelson writes: Thirty-eight years ago, in 1971, President Richard Nixon declared the last Monday in May a federal holiday — a day to remember and honor America’s fallen soldiers, as well as other loved ones who have passed away.
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Monday, May 25, 2009
Memorial Day Disaster, Foreigners Dumping Dollar Assets, Stocks & Bonds / Stock-Markets / US Bonds
Martin Weiss writes: This would normally be my time for a quiet Memorial Day at home.
But even as we seek calm, investors overseas are doing precisely the opposite.
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Monday, May 25, 2009
Bankers Shortchanging Tax Payers on TARP Bailout Stock Warrants / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Bankers - 1; Taxpayers – 0. - Banks negotiating to reclaim stock warrants they granted in return for Troubled Asset Relief Program money may shortchange taxpayers by almost $10 billion if Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner’s first sale sets the pace, data compiled by Bloomberg show.
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Monday, May 25, 2009
North Korean Nuclear Test Shakes Sleepy Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Stocks staggered into the long Memorial Day weekend after a late sell-off left them flat on the day and the week in light volume.
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Monday, May 25, 2009
Stock Market Rally Red Flags / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
I have spoken about the red flags that are out there but we all know you don't turn bearish just because you are starting to see some red flags. It puts us on heightened awareness no doubt but you don't just flip sides until you see the proper sell signal get put in to place. That would a break and close convincingly below 862 S&P 500 or its 50 day exponential moving average.
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Sunday, May 24, 2009
Stocks Bear Market Primary Trend Intact / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Here is the 200-day primary trend line of the S&P 500 showing its prolonged and continued downward movement (bear market condition) along with the position of four secondary trend lines that must move above the primary trend line before the primary trend changes slope from negative to positive.
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Sunday, May 24, 2009
Stock Market Trend Confusion and U.S. Dollar Crackdown / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
John Hussman (Hussman Funds): Stock market advance - “leadership by losers”
“As of last week, the market climate for stocks remained characterized by mixed valuations - modestly overvalued on the basis of most fundamental measures except those that assume a sustained return to the record profit margins of 2007, and slightly undervalued if one assumes that a return to those profit margins is a given.
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Sunday, May 24, 2009
U.S. Stock Market Follows Dollar and Bonds Lower as Commodities Surge / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
“Words from the Wise” this week comes to you a bit later than usual and in a shortened format as my “day-job” demands keep me from doing my customary commentary. However, a full dose of excerpts from interesting news items and quotes from market commentators is provided.
Stock markets kicked off the last week on a high note, but then the US parted ways with other markets as the remaining four days went downhill for American stocks. In contrast, global markets in general had only one down day on Thursday.
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Saturday, May 23, 2009
Stocks Bear Market, Russo Vs Prechter an Elliott Wave Count Comparison / Stock-Markets / Economic Theory
First, we wish to state for the record that there is no meaningful difference in the intermediate and long-term market opinions held by the astute Mr. Prechter and those held by this analyst. Secondly, we would like to note that we hold the utmost respect for Mr. Prechter’s talents, skills, contributions, and achievements in both his publishing empire, and in his eloquent and brilliant sharing of Elliott Wave Theory. Without Mr. Prechter, this analyst would not exist in this venue.
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Saturday, May 23, 2009
Oversold Stock Market Expected to Bounce Higher Next Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The good news is: In spite of being down all of the last 4 days of last week, all of the major indices finished higher for the week.
Short Term: A reaction usually follows 4 consecutive days in either direction.
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Saturday, May 23, 2009
Banking and Finance "Over the Rainbow" Smoke and Mirrors / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
This writer just completed a six-part series on Ellen Brown's remarkable 2007 book titled "Web of Debt." This article follows from it by picking up on the theme she struck, using L. Frank Baum's "The Wonderful Wizard of Oz" as a combination parable, monetary allegory, and political manifesto for change at a time it's most needed.
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Saturday, May 23, 2009
Stocks Bull Market or Bear Trap? It’s Easy to See / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
There has been a large volume of press regarding the latest run-up in stock prices and whether this is a legitimate beginning of a trend, or a bear market trap. The answer is pretty simple and easy to see from the plot below:
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Friday, May 22, 2009
Overbought Stock Market Downtrend Signaled 10 days ago? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
C-RSI "overbought" condition ...
We have been showing this chart to our paid subscribers for days, and now we will share it with you.
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Friday, May 22, 2009
How the Yield Curve Impacts on Stock Market Trends / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
Will the steeper yield curve and higher interest rates have a negative affect on stock prices? During the week of May 4, 2009, the U.S. Treasury conducted a record $71 billion May refunding that required higher rates than expected to complete. In fact, the 10-year yield completed its seventh straight weekly rise, a move that has not happened in five years. A steeper yield curve means companies selling longer-term corporate bonds must pay more for the privilege. It shows that interest rates affect investors in the stock market.
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Friday, May 22, 2009
Inflation Expectations Puts Pressure on Equities / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
This is a headwind for equities that has started to pop up over the past couple of weeks. Yet, it has taken years to ferment and likely will persist for the foreseeable future. The headwind I am talking about is inflation.
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Friday, May 22, 2009
Stock Market Bottom? What Market Bottom? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Inquiring minds keep asking "Is The Bottom In?" Of course, no one knows for sure. However, I believe it is not, and one of the reasons is the complete collapse in S&P earnings.
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Friday, May 22, 2009
This is Not a Stocks Bull Market, Fresh Bear Market Lows Expected / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
How do you measure wealth generation?
- Average annual gains?
- Gains relative to an underlying index (the S&P 500)?
- Gains relative to inflation?
Friday, May 22, 2009
Economic Green Shoots with No Roots / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
U.S. asset markets were savaged yesterday. The combined smell of declining equities, bonds and the dollar is not a pleasant one. Risk takers now realise that policy makers are naked. S&P’s revision of the U.K. rating outlook has sent a shockwave, it seems. Public deficit cannot keep running at 13% per year (both the U.K. and U.S. deficits will be of that size this year), future generations can’t afford it. Zealous Quantitative Easing (QE) will also lead to long-term inflation fears.
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