Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, May 18, 2009
Nasdaq Q's Not Exhibiting Bullish Form / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
One indicator that complicates the action in the overall market (S&P 500) is the underperformance of the Nasdaq 100 as represented by the PowerShares QQQ Trust (NASDAQ: QQQQ). We notice that the Q’s have not been able to generate as much excitement as the S&P 500 Depository Receipts (AMEX: SPY) this morning and have yet to hurdle Friday’s high at 33.82.
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Monday, May 18, 2009
Another Weak Monday Opening for Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Equities were on the defensive Friday as the blue chip Dow Jones declined 63 points to break a six-week long winning streak. Energy stocks led us down, the once mighty GM cut 1,100 dealerships and retailers Abercrombie and Fitch and JC Penny warned of tough times ahead. The question for today is will this be the 8th Monday out of the last ten that stocks fall? The futures are pointing down right now and Asia has been weak overnight, so the signs are not good.
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Sunday, May 17, 2009
Stock Market Counter Trend Top of Undetermined Magnitude / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over and if they make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2012-2014. This would imply that much lower prices lie ahead.
SPX: Intermediate trend - On March 6, the index started a counter-trend rally of a corrective nature followed by a pause in the trend. We have reached a top, the nature of which is still undetermined, but more corrective action is expected.
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Sunday, May 17, 2009
How to Investors Can Profit as Leading Economic Indicators Turn Bullish / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
Sean Brodrick writes: The recent market rally has a lot of experts, analysts and investors scratching their heads. They ask: How can the market go up when dark storm clouds of failing banks, budget deficits and soaring unemployment hang over our economy?
The answer is the difference between short-term and long-term outlooks. The good news is you can play the market either way.
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Sunday, May 17, 2009
Stock Market Trading In Between Support... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
A week of selling came our way and it had a good side to it if you're a bull. Selling never feels good, but you have to look deeper than just price to see if what took place during that selling possibly gives us something to get hopeful about. Again, that's if you're near-term bullish only. The bears will want to see if the selling is the start of something bigger for them and will look deeply inside the numbers for the week to see if their hopes will soon be put in to motion as well. The week started out with most of the index charts and just about every leadership stock chart on high poles and very overbought at 918 gap resistance. We were able to get a bit higher than that level but the overbought extremes would not allow the market to make a deeper move to the upside. we started to gradually pull back and we warned of a test of the recent breakout at 875.
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Sunday, May 17, 2009
Stock Market Investor Sentiment: Is More Bulls A Good Thing? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
Although the S&P500 lost 4.9% for the week, the bullish contingent actually grew stronger. This can be seen in the "Dumb Money" indicator shown in figure 1. The "Dumb Money" indicator looks for extremes in the data from 4 different groups of investors who historically have been wrong on the market: 1) Investor Intelligence; 2) Market Vane; 3) American Association of Individual Investors; and 4) the put call ratio.
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Sunday, May 17, 2009
Stock Market Symmetry Scenario Gives S&P 500 Decline More Room to Run / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Let¹s say that the symmetry exhibited by the March-May rally with the January-March decline continues into the future. What would the next leg of the S&P 500 look like?Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, May 17, 2009
Global Stock Market Rally Finally Succumbs to Selling on Premature Recovery Optimism / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
A long-awaited reversal in the monumental global stock market rally since early March finally arrived last week. As the first-quarter earnings season started winding down and post stress-test capital-raising weighed on some banks, investors were faced with a slew of gloomy economic reports suggesting the recent optimism about a global recovery might have been premature.
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Saturday, May 16, 2009
Global Systemic Financial Crisis Surrealism at the Heart of Stock Market Trends / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
GEAB writes: The financial surrealism which has been at the heart of stock market trends, financial indicators and political commentaries in the past two months, is in fact the swan song of the referential framework within which the world has lived since 1945.
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Saturday, May 16, 2009
Stock Markets Expected to Consolidate After Strong Rally / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The good news is: In spite of a pretty rough week for the major indices there were no new lows to speak of on either the NYSE or NASDAQ.
Short Term I have often stated that the secondaries lead both up and down.
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Saturday, May 16, 2009
Stock Market Counter Trend Rally on False Hopes of Green Shoots Recovery / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
A Brief History and Dow Theory Update - The method used and written about well over 100 years ago by Charles H. Dow were first termed “Dow’s Theory” after Dow’s death in 1902 by S.A. Nelson, who was a reporter for The Wall Street Journal under Dow’s stewardship. About a year following Dow’s death, William Peter Hamilton, who also served as a reporter under Dow began to write articles for The Wall Street Journal – mostly under the heading "The Price Movement." In these articles Hamilton analyzed and discussed, in terms of the investment or speculative outlook, the movements of the Dow-Jones Averages as related to business conditions in general.
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Saturday, May 16, 2009
The Impact of Economic Data Revisions at Stock Market Junctures / Stock-Markets / Recession 2008 - 2010
Can I Have Some More of that Data, Please?
The Fault, Dear Brutus, is Not in Our Stars
Faith-Based Economics
Is Unemployment a Lagging or a Leading Indicator?
An Unsustainable Trend in Debt
Some Thoughts on the Health Care Problem
Why does government data need to be revised so often? Is it conspiracy, as some claim, or is it methodology? And if it is methodology that leads to faulty data, then why not change the methodology? Is unemployment a lagging indicator, as conventional wisdom suggests? We look again at the underlying assumptions to suggest that things are not always the same. And finally, we look at unsustainable trends, fiscal deficits, and health care -- there is a connection.
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Friday, May 15, 2009
UltraShort SPY (SDS) Looks Higher / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
UltraShort SPAs we head into the noon-time lull, the ProShares UltraShort SPY (NYSE: SDS) is carving out an interesting and very nervous near-term pattern between 61.30/80 on the high side, juxtaposed against 59.60/40 on the low side. The weight of my near-term technical work leans towards an upside resolution to the trading range, with the SDS thrusting above 61.80/85 towards my optimal target zone of 63.50. At this juncture, only another downside pivot reversal that presses the SDS beneath 59.50/40 will wreck the developing pattern.Y (SDS) Looks HigherRead full article... Read full article...
Friday, May 15, 2009
Time to Sell the Stock Market Rally, Real Bottom is Far Away / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Bill Bonner writes: Have you checked your stops, dear reader?
Remember back in November, we waited for the Obama Bounce? It was the one of the most reliable phenomena in the world of investing, we said. Then, we began to wonder. Month after month...no bounce.
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Friday, May 15, 2009
Battle of the Tech Stock Giants, Apple vs RIMM / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
It is the battle of the tech titans as both RIMM and APPL battle for the smartphone market share. Although Research In Motion is a well established tech giant as the creator of the BlackBerry, they may have hit a wall with Apple, Inc.'s launch of the phenomenally popular iPhone.
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Friday, May 15, 2009
Stock Markets Snap Three Day Losing Streak / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
On a drab, lethargic day, financials Citigroup and JP Morgan led the Dow Jones to a modest 46 point gain. Chip stocks on the Nasdaq (notably Rambus, who had an anti trust suit against them dismissed by the FTC) and the broader S&P 500 faired better, posting 1% and 1.5% rises respectively. In other equity news Wal-Mart came in with numbers that were in line with expectations, while upper end chain store Nordstrom beat profit estimations after the closing bell. They also bullishly raised guidance for the year.
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Thursday, May 14, 2009
This Leading Stock Market Indicator Holds the Key for Investors / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Tom Dyson writes: To predict the stock market, I watch lumber...
To store lumber, you need a large climate-controlled warehouse with a railroad spur. Even then, it could still spoil within six months, destroying your entire investment.
Thursday, May 14, 2009
Stock Market Indices Rally Back to Resistance Before Giving Back a Chunk of Gains / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The indices had a snapback session from a technically oversold condition, and rallied back to resistance but rolled over in the last hour and took back a chunk of the gains. However, they still ended positive on the session.
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Thursday, May 14, 2009
Economic Green Shoots Torpedoed by Chrysler Bankruptcy / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
More Americans than forecast filed unemployment-insurance claims last week because of the Chrysler LLC bankruptcy that is likely to reverberate through the economy for months.
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Thursday, May 14, 2009
ETFs For Every Investor! / Stock-Markets / Exchange Traded Funds
Ron Rowland writes: In last week’s Money and Markets column, I told you about the advantages exchange-traded funds have over mutual funds. Today we’ll go a little deeper and look at the many exciting ways you can execute your investment ideas with ETFs.
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