Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Wednesday, December 30, 2009
Stock Market, Commodity and Dollar Forecasts for 2010 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: Tony_Sagami
Predicting the future is not easy, but at the end of last year I made five for 2009. How’d I do? Pretty darn good if I say so myself.
In this column, I’ll review my 2009 market predictions and more importantly, tell you what’s in store for 2010 and how to play the markets.
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Wednesday, December 30, 2009
Low Volume Stocks Bear Market Rally and the Real Estate Bust 2010 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Claus_Vogt
One of the most basic technical rules says that sound stock market rallies are accompanied by high and rising volume. By contrast, bear market rallies are characterized by low and falling activity.
Wednesday, December 30, 2009
Stock Market Trend Signs of Weakness / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Jay_DeVincentis
With the market up 6 days in a row, Tuesday’s weakness could be signs of more selling to come.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 30, 2009
Stock Market Selling To Come, Things Still Bullish Overall / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Jack_Steiman
Tonight I want to over multiple time frame charts with all of you to show you why buying anything new on the long side here is not the best of ideas unless you can scalp plays within hours. Not easy for the majority of you to do I know. I will be discussing the 60-minute time frame charts along with those critical daily and even weekly charts to show you what has set up and why taking on new longs right now is dangerous at best. Let me be clear that I do NOT think this market is going to get killed. Not one bit. I think the selling to come will be a wonderful opportunity to make great money going long. I just want all of you to be ready for a tough market in terms of upside in the very near future.
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Wednesday, December 30, 2009
Are Stock Market Sentiment Indicators Useless? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
By: Guy_Lerner
As we have chronicled, investor sentiment has not been a very useful tool for timing the market the past 6 months. The "Dumb Money" indicator has been extremely bullish since the end of July, yet the S&P500 has tacked on - albeit begrudgingly - about 14% since that time. Looking at the sentiment picture from the perspective of company insiders, insider selling has exceeded insider buying by historic amounts since May, and company insiders continue to sell significantly despite the strong gains.
Tuesday, December 29, 2009
Top Contrarian Investor’s Big Bet for 2010 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: Q1_Publishing
If you don’t believe crisis creates opportunity, just ask David Tepper.
In a recent Wall Street Journal feature - Fund Boss Made $7 Billion in the Panic - all of Tepper’s “secret” strategies were revealed for all to see.
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Tuesday, December 29, 2009
U.S. Dollar, Gold Stocks and Inflation 2010 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: Captain_Hook
In his most recent work, Martin Armstrong postulates that because of accelerating inflation, possibly leading to hyperinflation, a falling dollar ($), cycles associated with his Economic Confidence Model (ECM), and a move away from immovable assets by the investing public, stocks are destined to hit new highs as measured by the various indices around the world, and that such a move could begin in earnest at any time. And while he does allow for an alternative scenario, one where stocks could most pessimistically test the March lows in 2011 (an ECM low), using the Dow for discussion purposes, according to Martin a more likely scenario is that allowing for volatility, 2010 should be characterize by a trading range between 12,500 and 8,800, with new highs possible as early as 2011, the inverse of the possible low discussed above.
Tuesday, December 29, 2009
John Hussman Says Stock Market Bulls Dancing on the Edge of a Cliff / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Mike_Shedlock
Inquiring minds are reading Clarity and Valuation by John Hussman.
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Tuesday, December 29, 2009
Stock Market Timers Expecting End Of Year Bounce / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Guy_Lerner
The Rydex market timers are betting heavily that an end of the year bounce will materialize as the bullish and leveraged assets now exceed the bearish and leveraged assets by more than 2 to 1. See figure 1, a daily chart of the S&P500 with the ratio of bullish and leveraged assets to bearish and leveraged in the lower panel.
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Tuesday, December 29, 2009
Stock Market Remains in Buy Mode Going into Year End / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Jay_DeVincentis
It’s a time for reflection...
First of all, I’d like to wish you all a happy holiday season. For those of you who have been with me for a decade now, we sure have shared some interesting times, both good and bad, as we try to analyze this living entity we call the market.
Tuesday, December 29, 2009
Stock Market Forecast 2010 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Money_Morning
Jon D. Markman writes: I have been surprised to see the air thick with pessimism in recent weeks. Not so much the stock market, where the sentiment indexes show the bulls dominating the bears by slightly more than 52%. But among the general public.
Tuesday, December 29, 2009
Stock Market Seasonality Versus Overbought..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Jack_Steiman
This is normally a very strong time of the year for the retail buying crowd. The market drifts higher even if the conditions aren't exactly perfect. This is what we currently have going on. The daily charts and the 60-minute charts are overbought. Intra day they were really at extremes of overbought, especially the 60-minute short-term time framers. RSI readings at 70 or higher with stochastics 90 or higher normally equates to a rather sizeable pullback.
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Tuesday, December 29, 2009
Covered Calls Options Trading Strategy / Stock-Markets / Options & Warrants
By: Jay_DeVincentis
The basic covered call is a relatively simple strategy. The owner of a security sells the right to have their security purchased at a predetermined price in the future in return for money now. If the security price does not fall over the life of the option, the call writer will keep the premium collected when the call was sold. The call writer’s profit is limited in exchange for the premium.
Monday, December 28, 2009
Marc Faber Discusses U.S. Dollar, Stocks, Inflation 2010 Video / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: Submissions
Marc Faber, publisher of the Gloom, Boom & Doom Report, talks with Bloomberg's Deirdre Bolton and Jon Erlichman about the outlook for the U.S. dollar. Faber also discusses money printing and inflation.
Monday, December 28, 2009
Longer-Term Interest Rates, TBT, Climb with Equities / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: Mike_Paulenoff
As persistent as the upside march of the stock indices has been since mid-December, so has the climb in longer-term interest rates (3.25% to 3.85% in 10 year YIELD). At what point higher interest rates and a sharply steepening yield curve negatively impact the attractiveness of equities is anyone's guess at this point. The only thing that is certain is that such an inflection point is getting closer by the day.
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Monday, December 28, 2009
Emerging Markets Beating the Dow Six to One! / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
By: Martin_D_Weiss
Martin here with a brief review of global markets for 2009 and some basic thoughts regarding the risks and opportunities in 2010.
As we have been writing for many years, and as we highlighted in our Weiss Global Forum this past summer (click here for transcript), key emerging markets are — and should continue to be — greatly outperforming the Dow across the board.
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Monday, December 28, 2009
Stock Market Seasonal Trend, Real or a Myth? / Stock-Markets / Seasonal Trends
By: Sy_Harding
What happened to the market’s seasonal patterns this year?
For many years I have touted the consistency and power of the stock market’s seasonality, the tendency of the market to make most of its gains between November and April, and to experience most of its corrections, bear market losses, and crashes between May and October.
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Monday, December 28, 2009
John Cassidy Fails in His Critique of the Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Robert_Murphy
While driving my son to school one morning, I heard a National Public Radio interview with John Cassidy, author of the new book How Markets Fail. Fortunately, we got to the front of the line before Cassidy let out the zingers. A few minutes earlier, and my son would have seen Daddy lose his temper.
Monday, December 28, 2009
Stock Index Analysis for S&P and Nasdaq / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Piazzi
Hope you all had a Merry Christmas, and are en route to a wonderful New Year.
In a post of December 11, I said: In June, index looked heading for a good drop, or correction, but it turned around without giving much and rallied. In November, Index looked very weak internally and cyclically, it looked ready to break, but it recovered without giving much. It has been my proposition for months that the bears of the last drop (before March) have been little significance to the market action (other than providing timely squeezes for rallies), and I think they are totally out of the game at this point. Market needs new bears with capital and conviction.
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Sunday, December 27, 2009
S&P500 Stock Market Rally and Forecast 2010 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: MarketTimingCycles
In last October’s reviews we wrote : ” There is a larger support and resistance zone we expect the S&P500 is heading towards. This point in time is also 45 weeks or 225 trading days after the March 2009 bottom. In Gann terms this point in time is typically a hard angle that typically come in as a high. We expect the market to continue it’s uptrend towards this point in time. Our dynamic market timing cycle model following the longterm cycles from the past also supports the larger trend will continue to move upwards until the end of 2009. Earlier in October we mentioned the probable price target of 1121. On the short term we expect the dominant cycle to bottom early to mid November 2009.”