Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, January 28, 2010
Stock and Commodities Trading for SP500, Gold, Silver and Crude Oil / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The stock indexes have been trading very choppy making it difficult for swing/trend traders. It’s during times like this when seasoned traders rise above the herd of average traders.
If you only trade one strategy like swing trading or trend trading then you are likely finding it difficult to make money right now. On the other hand, day traders are having a blast right now as they take advantage of the powerful intraday rallies and sell offs.
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Thursday, January 28, 2010
Stock Market Post FOMC Interest Rate Decision Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The stock market indices had an interesting and volatile session, but at the end of the day after the FOMC announced they managed to stage a sharp 3 wave rally and closed near the highs for the day. Only a last 10-minute profit-taking pullback brought them off the highs for the day. But it was a positive day for the indices, particularly because key support held, especially on the Nasdaq 100.
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Thursday, January 28, 2010
Stock Markets Turn Late... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market needed fear. A bull bear spread of 37.5%. Markets normally have a strong pullback once you see levels over 35%. It's not an exact timing mechanism but it was coiled spring looking for a catalyst. It found it and down we went. It was no small move down either as two and a half months of gains were wiped out in three days worth of market action. That's more than just ouch. Moves down are always more aggressive than moves higher because fear is a greater emotion than greed.
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Wednesday, January 27, 2010
Gold's Inflation Bogey and Prechter's Stock Market 50 Point Crash / Stock-Markets / Gold and Silver 2010
This time IS different for gold. Different from how everyone sees it, that is...
STOCK-MARKET BULLS are so dumb, apparently they need Bob Prechter to tell them to sell.
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Wednesday, January 27, 2010
China Funds FXI, GXC, PGJ, HAO Rolling Over / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
This article is about four exchange traded funds (FXI, GXC, PGJ, HAO) and four closed-end funds (CHN, JFC, CAF, GCH), and the deteriorating price performance of those funds and the China indexes.
Putting the bottom line at the top, we think China is rolling over, at least in the short-term, and we are short FXI as of last Thursday, but still long the S&P 500 (proxy: SPY) for the time being.
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Wednesday, January 27, 2010
Stock Market Investor Fears Over China and Re-regulation / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
US stocks fell Tuesday, erasing gains in the session’s final hour, as concern the Federal Reserve may signal more plans to unwind stimulus measures overshadowed higher-than-estimated earnings from Apple, Tellabs, Travelers etc and a jump in consumer confidence. JP Morgan slid 2% to lead declines in the Dow. Verizon Communications shed 1.7%, while US Steel plunged 12% on a wider-than-estimated loss and the prospect of diminished demand from China. Benchmark indexes extended declines as Elliott Wave International CEO Robert Prechter said a new bear market may have begun.
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Wednesday, January 27, 2010
Robert Prechter Warns Bear Market Rally is Over / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Robert Prechter on CNBC Repeats what he has been saying since at least October 2009 that the Bear Market Rally is now over. Warns that this is the last chance for Investors to get out, watch for a repeat of late 2008 falling stocks, commodities and real estate. Expects dollar to rally.
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Wednesday, January 27, 2010
Stock Market Remains in Sell Mode until 28th Jan / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
What Do I Do?Its times like these that make it very clear...
When people ask me what this service is all about and what I do, I tell them that I am a Market Timer. Most people think of financial sites and analysts and measuring financials, etc. Im about data, indicators, formulas and charts. I look for patterns and trends and try to give you the best advice and other tools to improve your success. The more right I am, the better my tools are, the better you do. Win/Win...
Wednesday, January 27, 2010
What Level of New Highs is Historically Related to Stock Market Corrections and What is the Current Level? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Interesting question isn't it? If you watch the daily count of New York Stock Exchange "New Highs" some very interesting historical information appears.
For example ... below is a two and a half year chart of the New Highs compared to how the S&P 500 trended during that time.
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Wednesday, January 27, 2010
Stock Market Quiet Inside Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Take a stock such as Apple (AAPL), which had a very nice day. Or did it! Great earnings for sure and rewarded for those earnings. It opened at 205.95 and closed at 205.94 after printing nearly 214.00 intraday. It actually printed a doji and a black candle and on a big move like that you don't want to see the sellers catch up so late in the day and print that black candle. The last hour did a lot of damage. We saw that type of reversal down on all the index charts and thus they too didn't print very pretty candles. Does this late action negate the better looking 60-minute charts that are out there? We are about to find out aren't we.
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Tuesday, January 26, 2010
Stock Market Investors 2010 Risk Reward Focus, Calm Seas, Blood in the Water / Stock-Markets / Risk Analysis
The picture below is a little cheesy but I think it depicts the way many investors feel right now as they sit isolated, feeling trapped and abandoned. They may have listened to the fear mongers and pulled their pensions or are thinking about it, maybe they fired their advisor and are cuddled up with their cash wondering what to do next.
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Tuesday, January 26, 2010
The Chinese Interest Rates Torture Continues For Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Monday brought some respite, as hopes of a reappointment for Bernanke grew and Greece managed to ‘successfully’ launch its 5-year bond. Are risk takers out of the woods then? The jury is still out. Asian equities sold off overnight again, on yet more fears about tighter policy in China (see below). Greece of course managed to raise €8bn, with the book even reaching €25bn. This comes as a relief, suggesting the country is still able to fund itself. However, such success has a price – Greece had to pay mid swap +350bp, or 30bp more than the price of its exiting July 2015 issue. Still, this should help calm fears of a Greek default.
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Tuesday, January 26, 2010
Economic Depression Wealth Preservation, Investing, and Prepping in 2010 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
The trend going forward during this economic depression is getting back to basics. We often discuss ‘prepping’ as a way to protect your family in the event of an unforeseen catastrophe (natural or man-made). Recently, we’ve seen more financial analysts and advisers recommend shifting from traditional investments like stocks, bonds, CD’s and money market accounts, to tangible assets that will gain value regardless of what stock and bond markets do.
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Tuesday, January 26, 2010
MSCI Emerging Market Index Fund Key Price Levels / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
Figure 1 is a weekly chart of the i-Shares MSCI Emerging Market Index Fund. This is the third largest ETF in the market with $39 billion of assets.
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Tuesday, January 26, 2010
Stock Market Investors Fooled by Talk of Economic Recovery / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
What a week we’ve just witnessed. In 3 days the entire gains in equities in 2010 have been wiped out. The Dow, Nasdaq and S&P 500 all fell into the red for the year to date. The gold price dropped to its’ lowest in a month. And this all happened at a time when investor confidence had started the week at a 27 month high according to the VIX index…
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Tuesday, January 26, 2010
Is the Stock Market in Trouble? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Hello everyone this is Adam Hewison. I just got back from New Zealand and Australia and when I returned from "down under" and studied the charts this past weekend, I can see that the major indices have not fared well while I was away.
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Tuesday, January 26, 2010
Stock Market Trend Tracking the 45 Day Cycle / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
Through my outlooks in recent years, I have often pointed out that the most dominant cycle in US stocks is the nominal 10-week component - which, at the present time, has a current 'expression' of 45 trading days from trough-to-trough.
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Tuesday, January 26, 2010
Stock Market Quiet Inside Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Today's candlestick traded inside of Friday's large down stick and normally that equates to another day of struggling for this market. When a market has trended down for a few or more consecutive days and you get this type of inside stick, you can expect a little more selling in normal times. Apple's (AAPL) earnings tonight could try and turn that tide but normally the market will have a tougher time. Futures are up some after hours based on AAPL so it may be different this time but don't bet on that too much. Nothing will be easy for this market very short term. Those tough and too powerful sentiment readings just haven't been worked off enough to get aggressive with regards to buying stocks.
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Tuesday, January 26, 2010
Stock Market Bullish Harami Candlestick Price Pattern / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The good news about a hirami is that it is moderately bullish...
http://www.stockbarometer.com/candlesbullish.aspx
Monday, January 25, 2010
Stock Market Breakdown! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The monthly chart of the Dow Jones Industrial Index below (courtesy BigCharts.com) shows that the Index:
1. has failed to penetrate the falling trend line on the upside, and
2. has broken below the lower boundary of the (typically bearish) rising wedge pattern