Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Wednesday, September 21, 2011
Financial Capital Burning Sensation Like Peeling Onions / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011
By: Doug_Wakefield
Have you ever peeled some onions for a dish you were making? Did you have a burning sensation, which brought tears from your eyes? Like peeling onions, we are watching events today that have, and will set up millions for that “burning sensation” with their financial capital, and why there is a desire to avoid peeling back any more layers of the onion.
Wednesday, September 21, 2011
Stock Market Forecasting Fed Disappointment / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Chris_Ciovacco
As shown in the chart below, the Dow was having a rough day on August 9 as it waited for the Fed’s statement to be released. After digesting the pledge to keep interest rates low “at least through mid-2013”, stocks spent the rest of the day rallying.
Wednesday, September 21, 2011
The S&P 500 and the U.S. Dollar Ahead of the Fed Statement / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: J_W_Jones
The Federal Reserve is holding a two-day meeting Tuesday and Wednesday of this week. Market participants are expecting the Federal Reserve to prop up financial markets yet again with some grand new plan. The fact is the Federal Reserve is running out of bullets. Interest rates cannot move much lower in terms of the Federal Funds rate, additional quantitative easing seems redundant since Treasury yields are close to all-time lows, and finally a twisting of maturities will do little to alter the current economic conditions. The Federal Reserve is just repeating practices which have proven over a long term do little to create jobs or get the economy moving in the right direction. A stock market rally does not help a person looking for a job!
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Tuesday, September 20, 2011
Stock Market VIX Fact That There is No Fear is to be Feared / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Capital3X
There is very little fear in the markets at this point of time. Clear price action, option market activity and VIX all indicate to a relaxed market.
Tuesday, September 20, 2011
Will it be Japanization, Monetization, or Financial Crisis 2.0? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011
By: Mike_Shedlock
I believe the Eurozone will break apart. Eurobonds are dead, so are fiscal unions. The question is really what path the crisis takes.
Via email, Saxo Bank chief economist Steen Jakobsen outlines several scenarios in a series of three emails that I spliced together.
Tuesday, September 20, 2011
Stock Market Some Selling...Sentiment Continues To Help The Bulls.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
You could see that reality take place today in the stock market. There was every reason for the market to get crushed today. There was terrible news overnight from Europe regarding Greece, and some bad news right here at home as Moody's was downgrading our individual states. Not looking good financially for our country. It's a nice toxic mix for the bears to nail the bulls. The futures were getting slaughtered overnight. All of Europe was under severe pressure to the down side. Our futures are reflecting the carnage overseas. Our markets never recovered. It's understandable. We were down nearly 250 on the Dow in the first hour of action. From there the market slowly started to recover off the lows. The Dow finishing down only 108 points with the Nasdaq down only 9 points thanks in most part to Apple Inc. (AAPL), which reached up over $11 today.
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Monday, September 19, 2011
The ShamWow Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Barry_M_Ferguson
Let us record history as it happens. Let us not let the truth become altered by the hands of time so that it fits a message of those who seek to rule us. Let us make permanent a recording of the week that passed in real time so that generations of the future will be able to look back to the moments that changed the rules that govern their life.
Monday, September 19, 2011
Second Greek Bailout May Not Stabilize Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Chris_Ciovacco
Financial markets tend to get fixated on a small number of issues, which often leads to questionable decision making for investors. It is important to look at a scenario where the second Greek bailout package is approved. The immediate question for the markets would become, “Now what?” The odds are fairly low approval of the second bailout will stabilize the bond, currency, and stock markets for an extended period of time. The excerpts below shed light on this concept:
Monday, September 19, 2011
Will Ben Bernanke and the Fed Pump the Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Michael_Swanson
This is going to turn out to be one of the most interesting weeks of the year for two reasons - first the market is putting itself in a position to turn back up after spending a month now going sideways and building a base and secondly there is a Federal Reserve Open Market Committee meeting on Tuesday in which Ben Bernanke may announce another new massive money pump to try to force another big stock market rally.
Monday, September 19, 2011
Protect Yourself From the Obama Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Money_Morning
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes:
I just finished a battery of media appearances on Fox Business, Bloomberg, BNN and CNBC Asia, and without exception I was asked about two things: President Barack Obama's jobs bill and the U.S. Federal Reserve's "QE3."
The first thing investors and analysts alike want to know is whether or not the president's jobs bill will work. The answer to that question is "no" - not as it stands, anyway.
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Monday, September 19, 2011
What Crude Oil Is Telling Us About Stock Market SPY? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Capital3X
Crude and SPY are as intimately woven as anything else. They have probably one of the best regression coefficients with the equity indices (esp SPY) and thus highlighting the multi asset pull of Bernanke QE moves.
We analyse crude daily, weekly and monthly charts and the proceed to understand the love relationship between SPY and Crude. Finally we will look at crude fundamental given that SPY rarely does not track crude in the medium term.
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Monday, September 19, 2011
Kabuki Theater Economy / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: PhilStockWorld
The stock market was driven by three major influences this week: the ongoing European “Black Debt” saga, the Dollar, and rumors galore. The rumor that lifted the markets out of their initial funk on Monday was that China would be buying Italian debt.
Discussing the double-edge sword of Chinese investments, Chinese Briefing reported, “Debt-ridden European countries are longing for China’s purchase of their public debt despite fears that the country has motivations of a ‘reverse colonization’ of Europe. Nowadays the message ‘the Chinese are coming’ can often help governments trapped in financial crisis press public refinancing needs and shore up creditworthiness.
Monday, September 19, 2011
Stock Market Waiting Patiently! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Dr_John_Trapp
I'm looking forward to getting past this correction. Let's begin this weekend analysis with a review of Friday's action. You will remember that I said my favorite Fibonacci setups are the 78.6% retracement and the 161.8% external retracement. I commented that they were almost always good for at least a scalp. Friday was a day when they were good for more than a scalp.
Monday, September 19, 2011
Are $1.4 Trillion ETFs The New WMDs? Anatomy Of Highly Toxic UBS Scandal / Stock-Markets / Exchange Traded Funds
By: DK_Matai
We have mounted an investigation into the role of Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) linked to the $2 billion black hole at UBS. We have uncovered a complex entangled world wide web of $1.4 trillion including derivative exposures and counterparty risks.
Sunday, September 18, 2011
Stock Market Intermediate Support Is Holding / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Andre_Gratian
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014 after this bull market has run its course.
SPX: Intermediate trend - The market strength which was experienced last week attests to the seemingly impregnable support which exists in the low 1100's. With the market volatility being what it is, the market profile may change again, but it has become doubtful that the bottoming 3-yr cycle will cause the index to make a new low.
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Sunday, September 18, 2011
Tick Tock, Tick Tock Goes Nasty New Cyclical Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Adam_Brochert
I remain convinced that a nasty new cyclical bear market in common equities has begun. Now that Germany's stock market ($DAX) has dropped 35% from its May peak, there is little point in Wall Street trying to pretend that this is "just another correction/buying opportunity." The US stock markets have held up better than most, but this is about to change in my opinion. In fact, it was Germany that held up much better than the US in late 2007/early 2008, only to play catch-up later once the bear market really got rolling. Now, the crisis is centered in Europe (for now), so Germany and the US get to reverse their roles relative to the prior cyclical bear market of 2007-9.
Sunday, September 18, 2011
Stock Market, this is Not 2008 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Tony_Caldaro
It was a wild week for sure. The SPX started the week by declining about 1.5% to 1136 and ended the week hitting 1220 for a 5.4% gain. The Central Banks announced three separate USD swap programs mid-week, to increase liquidity in Europe. There was also lots of talk of an ECB TALF program. In the mean time, in the US, economic reports were decidedly negative. On the plus side: business inventories improved, along with, the current account deficit, consumer sentiment, the Philly FED, and the M-1 multiplier rose. On the negative side: import/export prices declined, along with, retails sales, the CPI/PPI, the NY FED, industrial production, capacity utilization, the monetary base and the WLEI. The budget deficit increased, as did weekly jobless claims. If you are counting that’s five positives and twelve negatives. Nevertheless, the SPX/DOW were +5.05%, and the NDX/NAZ gained 6.45%. Asian markets lost 0.4%, European markets gained 4.2%, the Commodity equity group 0.3%, and the DJ World index gained 2.9%. Next week we have the much awaited FOMC meeting, the yet to be interesting Housing reports, and Leading indicators.
Saturday, September 17, 2011
Why This Popular Investment Strategy Will Not Save Your Portfolio / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: EWI
So what is this popular investment approach?
You've heard the answer before: Diversification.
You probably know that the purpose of diversification is to spread risk across asset classes. The assumption is that if one asset goes down, the others will be stable or perhaps even move up.
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Saturday, September 17, 2011
Stock Market Where We're At... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
This is the bigger picture question we have to deal with. It's always fun to look only at the little picture, because most people are so short-term oriented these days, and really, who can blame them with how fast the markets move. They want to know what's going to happen today, and who cares about tomorrow. Who cares about months from now!! I do, and so should all of you. For this reason, I thought we'd take a look at things the way they are now, and then decide what's around the corner for us all.
Saturday, September 17, 2011
China Market Action Question Stock Rally’s Staying Power / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Chris_Ciovacco
Regardless of what happens in Europe, stocks are not the place to be if a recession is around the corner. The odds of a recession are increasing. A bearish economic outlook is supported in Friday’s Wall Street Journal:
Read full article... Read full article...“It feels like a recessionary environment. What they call it later on I can’t tell you,” says Bart van Ark, chief economist of the Conference Board, who put the odds of recession at 45%. Since 1988, every time the Conference Board’s estimate of the probability of recession topped 40%, a downturn followed shortly thereafter.