Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, October 27, 2011
Stock Market Consolidating For Now Below 1260.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
There's nothing wrong with consolidation after a nice run up off the lows. Markets often rest when they get close to massive long-term resistance. The key to it all is how they consolidate, or not. If they just plunge lower, it's not the best action. If they hang around within a few percent of that massive breakout level, while things cool off on the oscillators, that's very good action overall. It appears, although no guarantee, that this is what's starting to set up for this market. The wrong news can come out and kill things, and the entire pattern in a heartbeat, but you have to look at what's taking place in the moment. For now, it says the market is handling out after a long run up. The handle could last quite some time, so you don't want to get too aggressive in it. But if this continues for a while longer without a major plunge lower, the bulls should be very satisfied with that type of set-up.
Wednesday, October 26, 2011
Do Bullish Investors Have an Ace in the Hole? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Right now, there are planes full of travelers heading to Vegas with dreams of striking it rich. These starry-eyed gamblers would greatly improve their odds by learning how to count cards. Yet, as we learned in the movie 21, where six MIT students team with Micky Rosa to become expert card counters and "bring down the house," this highly illegal technique carries dire consequences.
You may not be able to count cards at the blackjack table, but counting historical trends of the stock market and discovering inflection points are not only legal strategies, they are essential to successful investing.
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Tuesday, October 25, 2011
The Stock Market's Next 1,000-Point Move / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: Stuart Varney, host of the aptly named and very highly rated "Varney & Co." program on Fox Business, put the following question to me in his usual direct style: "Will we have an agreement on Wednesday out of Europe and what will that mean for the markets?"
Yes, I began, we probably will - but for all the wrong reasons, and it will never last.
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Tuesday, October 25, 2011
Stock Market Technical Tipping Point Near at Hand / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
In September, following five months of impulsive decline from its May high, the Dow has reversed abruptly, rallying incessantly after a fleeting 20% roller coaster drop from its secondary QE-2 bailout crest. The Dow is currently on path toward violently reclaiming more than 60% of these recent losses within the extremely short span of 14-sessions.
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Tuesday, October 25, 2011
Stock Market Keeps Fooling The Masses.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
And that's normal behavior. It rarely moves in the direction of the masses, especially for any extended time period. We have seen the masses get too bearish for quite some time now. It's approaching two months' worth of pessimism at extremes. The last five weeks have been off the charts. The market has exploded in those five weeks. Again, that's normal behavior.
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Tuesday, October 25, 2011
October has Killed Another Stocks Bear / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
October has a tendency to be a "bear killer." That is, in years when the stock market has been in decline heading into October, the month of October more often than not reverses the decline, at least temporarily. In the years that I've been writing a financial newsletter this was true in the following Octobers: 1998, 1999, 2001, 2002 and 2005.
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Tuesday, October 25, 2011
The E.U. is Over Banked, Chaos in the Land of Oz (Part 2) / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011
Elliott: In Part 1 of our interview, we agreed that by not allowing the too-big-to-fail (TBTF) banks to fail, the federal government is continuing its environment of corruption and moral hazard. Case in point - the scheme to force taxpayers to insure Bank of America’s worthless debt via the FDIC.
So, Russ, it will get worse, until TBTF banks get decapitalized?
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Monday, October 24, 2011
Stock Climb Wall of Worry. It is all about the Dollar Now / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The stock markets tend to make a seasonal low at this time, most years. Then rally into the New Year. The big question is, can we climb the wall of worry one more time.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 24, 2011
Financial Markets Extend Rally Despite Weekend Deadlock / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
The big weekend European summit has passed largely without a major agreement on the two potential models to expand the financial firepower of the European Financial Stability Facility. Focus has now shifted to Wednesday's joint EU and Eurozone summit which is supposedly the deadline for tangible plans being produced. What price on this deadline slipping with more hazy plans put out in the interim?
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Monday, October 24, 2011
The S&P Goes - So Goes SPXU and UPRO / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Above my desk I have a big sign that says “the market will always do what the market has always done, misdirect, confuse and confound.” The way the S&P has been behaving since August is proof perfect that this slogan is as true as ever.
For those of you not conversant with the Ultra Pro Shares ETFs Pro Shares Ultra Pro S&P 500 (UPRO) is a triple leveraged fund that seeks a 300% return on the performance of the S&P for a single day. Conversely, The Pro Shares Ultra Pro Short S&P 500 (SPXU) seeks a triple leverage or 300% return on the inverse performance of the S&P 500.
Monday, October 24, 2011
Stock Market Broadening Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
-- The VIX has signaled a potential change in the daily trend last week. Having made its Master Cycle low, it spent the week making a reversal pattern that implies an explosive rally is in the offing. A break in the upper trendline of the Broadening Bottom formation near 55.00 calls for an average gain of 25% above the trendline. A cross of intermediate-term Resistance at 35.87 gives us a buy signal in the VIX.
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Monday, October 24, 2011
Stocks Bear Market Rally, Intermediate Trend Still Strong / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline (which appears to have already started) into 2014.
SPX: Intermediate trend - A very strong uptrend typical of bear market rallies has begun with no top in sight just yet.
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Monday, October 24, 2011
Stocks Bull and Bear Market Relationships / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Based on my long-term studies of both Dow theory and cycles, the evidence continues to suggest that the 2007 top marked the top of a 33 year secular bull market and that we have since been operating within the context of a secular bear market. The March 2009 low has been viewed by most as having marked the bear market bottom and the beginning of a new bull market. But, based on my long-term studies this is not the case. Rather, these longer-term studies suggest that the rally out of the March 2009 low has been a bear market rally. The decline into the August/October lows has certainly shaken the bulls and excited the bears. As an example, Investors Intelligence bearish sentiment readings have exceeded the levels seen during the correction into the June/July 2010 market low and are in fact now at 2008 levels. However, my work suggests that this is all part of a much larger trap that will impact both the bull and the bear.
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Sunday, October 23, 2011
Savers Protect Your Deposits From Bankrupting Banks and Quantitative Inflation / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011
The Euro-zone continues to teeter over the edge of the financial abyss as bankrupting countries that cannot print Euro's threaten the collapse of its banking system that would would soon collapse the whole global banking system in a matter of hours as electronic bank runs sweep across the worlds financial system resulting in trillions of dollars worth of deposits being withdrawn in a matter of hours and thereby collapsing first the Euro-zone and then within 24 hours the UK, USA and Asia along with it. My recent article (Euro-Zone Prepares to Print Trillions in Advance of Greece Debt Default) covered the potential consequences for the world in the event of financial armageddon, this article continues on from the last article that covered the inflationary depression consequences of money printing that the likes of Britain and the United States are engaged in and that the Euro-zone WILL eventually replicate (Bank of England's Quantitative Inflation Bankster's Paradise Inflationary Depression Economy ).
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Sunday, October 23, 2011
Volatile Stock Market May Surprise / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The US markets had a choppy week, bouncing between SPX 1191/1197 and 1233/1239, but finished near the high for the week at 1238. World markets were mixed to lower. Economics reports for the week were mixed as well. On the improve: the PPI, the NAHB index, housing starts, the Philly FED, the M1 multiplier, the monetary base, and jobless claims declined. On the downtick: the NY FED, the CPI, building permits, existing home sales, leading indicators and the WLEI. Industrial production and capacity utilization came in unchanged. For the week the SPX/DOW were +1.25%, and the NDX/NAZ were -1.30%. Asian markets were all lower, European and Commodity equity markets were mixed, and the DJ World index gained 0.3%. Next week will be highlighted by Q3 GDP, Durable goods, PCE prices and Housing. Best to your week!
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Sunday, October 23, 2011
Stock Market On The Precipice... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
I know it seems impossible for this market to keep going higher, and maybe it won't, but the S&P 500 is trying to break through its 200-day exponential moving average at 1234. It's ever so close to forcefully breaking through, and has yet to do so, but the overly bearish sentiment is taking hold for now, whether the market deserves to go higher or not. The bears don't want to see the market move higher from here, because the next level of resistance would be the triple bottom breakdown level of 1260 on the S&P 500.
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Saturday, October 22, 2011
Stock Market, If Only We Could Ignore Europe / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
U.S. Treasury Secretary Geithner says the debt crisis in Europe is Europe’s problem, and Europe has the means to resolve it if its governments would stop squabbling among themselves and take action. That seems to be the opinion globally, including among eurozone countries themselves.
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Saturday, October 22, 2011
Time is running out for the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The is an interpretation of the Broadening Top formation by Edwards & Magee’s Technical Analysis of the Stock Market. The Elliott Wave analysis would give us a triple zig zag. Both interpretations suggest that this pattern is “buying time.”
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Saturday, October 22, 2011
Investors Essential Portfolio Considerations into 2012 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
“…the world is a lot poorer than it was in June. But back then people still thought the Bernanke team was engineering a ‘recovery.’ Now we know, recovery hopes were fantasies. This is not an economy that can recover. It has to die. Then, a new economy will take its place.”
The Developed World Shifts from “More” to “Better”
Bill Bonner, The Daily Reckoning, 10/3/11
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Saturday, October 22, 2011
Ominous Signals for Silver and Stocks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
On October 20, we outlined several divergences and hurdles for the stock market to overcome. Since silver has more real world uses than gold, silver tends to be a good economic barometer, similar to copper. As we have mentioned in the past, silver tends to be in greater demand when (a) the economy is expected to grow, and (b) when inflation expectations are high.
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