Wednesday, November 21, 2018

Is A Sharp Stock Market Crash Ahead? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash

By: Harry_Dent

I’ve warned for years, and with increasing frequency of late, that the first crash when a major stock bubble of this magnitude finally tops is 42% in the first 2.6 months.

That’s the average of seven bubble crashes in the last century.

The 1929 crash started off with a 49% crash in just over two months – the most extreme.

Look at this correction thus far, compared to 1929 for the Dow…

Wednesday, November 21, 2018

Have We Seen The Worst of the Gold Bubble Burst? / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Harry_Dent

You know I’ve been fighting the gold bugs for a long time. Gold is an inflation hedge, not a deflation hedge. Turn to gold for safety during a deflationary period and you’ll get your ass handed to you on a golden platter!

Gold is simply another commodity and it burst in the 30-year cycle top between 2008 and 2011, just like it did after the 1980 top.

But my bubble model projected that gold would fall to at least $700 and possibly as low as $400 to $450 per ounce…

Wednesday, November 21, 2018

The Real Price of LNG, Climate Change, Coming Fracking Environmental Disaster / Politics / Climate Change

By: Richard_Mills

“This is a spectacular day for all British Columbians, again not one that happened today, not one that happened yesterday but one that has happened over the past few decades. I can’t tell you how proud and pleased I am to have the opportunity to lead the government to work with all levels of government to make life better for British Columbians. I can’t stop smiling.”

That was John Horgan, the Premier of British Columbia, declaring his support for, what, a plan to tackle unaffordable housing? Ending the fentanyl crisis? A major infrastructure project that will lower the frustration of Lower Mainland commuters?

No, what Premier Horgan was smiling about on October 2nd, was the signing of a final investment decision by LNG Canada. Flanked by industry leaders and Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, Horgan said that despite belching out 3.45 megatonnes of carbon emissions a year, BC would meet its climate change goals of cutting greenhouses gases by 40% by 2030 and 80% by 2050. The Pembina Institute estimates that between LNG Canada and Woodfibre LNG, the other, so far, approved BC liquefied natural gas project, the plants will increase annual carbon pollution by 9.1 megatonnes by 2030 and 10.2MG by 2050. But the targets will be met, somehow. Trust us.

Wednesday, November 21, 2018

Powell and Gold between Inflation and Global Slowdown / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Powell is apparently between a rock and a hard place. Inflation surged, while the global economy slowed down. What will he do? And how will gold react?

Inflation Jumps in October

The consumer price index climbed 0.3 percent last month, after rising 0.1 percent in September, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. It was the biggest rise since January, and it was mainly caused by an impressive surge in the fuel oil (+3.7 percent) and gasoline indices (+3 percent). However, the core CPI, which excludes food and energy, also rose, advancing 0.2 percent in October, following a 0.1-percent increase in September.

Wednesday, November 21, 2018

Why is the North American Wilderness Known for Spiritualism? / Personal_Finance / Gambling

By: Submissions

Tuesday, November 20, 2018

Cashback Credit Cards in Countdown to Christmas Shopping / Personal_Finance / Credit Cards & Scoring

By: MoneyFacts

Now that there are only five weeks to go until Christmas Day, consumers may be wondering how they will cover the cost and how they can make the most of every purchase, be it gifts or groceries.

The latest research from Moneyfacts.co.uk compares some of the best cashback credit cards around, as well as looking at other ways to make the festive season more rewarding.

Tuesday, November 20, 2018

Can We Expect A Major Rebound In Crude Oil Prices? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

After declining by more than 20 percent from the October peak, oil prices are showing some signs that they have now bottomed out.

WTI hit a low point at $56 per barrel on Wednesday and Brent hit a low just below $65 per barrel. Both crude benchmarks regained some ground at the end of the week, despite the huge increase in U.S. crude oil inventories. In fact, rising prices in the face of the 10-million-barrel increase in crude stocks suggests that oil may have already hit a bottom. “[Y]esterday’s price reaction to the US inventory data shows that negative news is now largely priced in,” Commerzbank said in a note. “This is the only way to explain why an increase in US crude oil stocks of a good 10 million barrels failed to put further pressure on prices.”

Tuesday, November 20, 2018

Stock Market Buy the Dip is Dead / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

Here’s today’s big headline from Bloomberg, one that really caught my attention.

Let’s determine the stock market’s most probable direction by objectively quantifying technical analysis. For reference, here’s the random probability of the U.S. stock market going up on any given day, week, or month.

Tuesday, November 20, 2018

Deep State Mad World / Politics / Social Issues

By: James_Quinn

And I find it kinda funny, I find it kinda sad The dreams in which I’m dying are the best I’ve ever had I find it hard to tell you, I find it hard to take When people run in circles it’s a very very Mad world, mad world

Tuesday, November 20, 2018

Commodities - What Do You Need To Know? / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Submissions

When dealing with the buying and selling of commodities, there are things which you need to know. It can be a complicated business, and this means that people who buy and sell products can fall into some of the common pitfalls and experience issues.

However, commodities can cover a wide range of different goods and services, so there are things that you're going to need to know. To try and make sure that you've got a good understanding of how things work, we're going to be taking a look at a few of the things you need to know about commodities.

Tuesday, November 20, 2018

Precious Metals Moving In Unison For A Massive Price Advance / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Are the metals markets ending a price correction in unison and preparing for a massive price advance?  This is the question we asked our research team to investigate and their findings may help skilled traders identify great opportunities in the future.  This multi-part research article will share our most recent opinion about the metals markets as well as share some critical new data that can shed some light into what we believe will become a massive upside price rally in the metals markets. Let’s get into the data.

Tuesday, November 20, 2018

Handicapping the Precious Metals Through Year-End / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger discusses the recent rise in precious metals prices and what he sees ahead for the metals. As many of us have grown to appreciate over the years, forecasts tend to be nothing more than "educated guesses" and no matter what methods one uses, predicting directional and amplitudinal movements in economics or finance or asset prices is analogous to standing in the paddock at Woodbine racetrack with a copy of the racing forum and a cup of black coffee, trying to determine whether Stormy's Revenge or Gluewagon is going to take the fifth in the mud. I spend literally hours upon hours drawing lines on charts and reading other people's forecasts in a desperate attempt to handicap the next $50 move in gold and I must confess that even without the nausea brought about by countless interventions and manipulations, it is an extremely difficult exercise.

Tuesday, November 20, 2018

Betting Markets Confirm Theresa May Safe From Tory Leadership Challenge this Week / Politics / UK Politics

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Last week Theresa May's disastrous BrExit deal with the European Union was released, one of having watered down virtually every British red line to nothing, that set the ball rolling on a Tory party leadership challenge with dozens of public announcements of letters being sent to the Tory 1922 backbenchers committee with 48 needed to trigger a challenge. My analysis at the time concluded with several possible BrExiteer contenders ready to take back control from the European Union with a Clean Brexit rather than the NO Brexit deal as my following video illustrates:

Tuesday, November 20, 2018

Rail Chaos Transpennine Express Cancels Services to Manchester Airport Whilst on the Train! / ConsumerWatch / Travel & Holidays

By: HGR

Strikes and power failures have become the norm for Britain's increasingly unreliable railway network as illustrated on a grand scale just yesterday when virtually the whole of the South East rail network being brought to a shuddering halt for over 6 hours for the second time in a month, leaving passengers scrambling once more for alternatives to reach their destinations on time, especially stressful for time critical appointments such as catching a flight.

Tuesday, November 20, 2018

The Giants Are Coming...Giants of The Internet! / Politics / Internet

By: D_Morgan

Monday, November 19, 2018

Calls Intensify for Halting Interest Rate Hikes / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: MoneyMetals

President Donald Trump isn’t thrilled about Jerome Powell’s stewardship of the dollar and interest rates. He would like the central bank’s help in keeping the economic party going, but so far the Fed Chair just won’t play ball. Now the Wall Street Journal has joined the President’s call for some renewed stimulus.

If officials at the Fed want to pause or even reverse course on raising interest rates, they have cover to do so. As yet, however, the consensus remains unshaken. The markets are counting on another rate hike following next month’s FOMC meeting.

Monday, November 19, 2018

Gold & Silver Corrective Rally is Almost Over / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Strong words, aren’t they? And yet, we are not afraid to put them right in the title. The number of factors (and their importance) that point to a nearby reversal and continuation of the major decline is too significant to believe in the bullish case, even though gold, silver, and mining stocks moved higher in the last few days.

We emphasized it many times and we will continue to do so, as it’s very easy to forget about it when things get volatile on a day-to-day basis. The long-term signals are far more important than the short-term ones. In a fight, it’s not always the bigger guy (or gal) that has the advantage, but in certain circumstances it’s obvious that weight matters (please keep this picture in mind while reading about the possible counter-trend upswing in the short run – that’s the little guy while the big guy are the powerful long-term factors). That’s exactly the case with the weight and importance of long-term signals when comparing them to the short-term ones. Surely, we could get a 1-2% upswing, but so what, if a 15% decline is just around the corner? And in particular, if it could take place right away?

Monday, November 19, 2018

Stock Market Going Sideways - Which Direction is Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Paul_Rejczak

Friday's trading session was mixed, as investors continued to hesitate following the recent decline. The S&P 500 index extends its month-long fluctuations along the level of 2,700. Is this some medium-term bottoming pattern?

The U.S. stock market indexes were mixed between -0.2% and +0.5% on Friday, extending their short-term fluctuations, as investors continued to hesitate following last week's sell-off. The S&P 500 index remains above 2,700 mark after bouncing off the support level on Wednesday-Thursday. The index was 11.5% below September the 21st record high of 2,940.91 three weeks ago. And now it trades 7.0% below the all-time high. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.5% and the Nasdaq Composite lost 0.2% on Friday.

Monday, November 19, 2018

Technical Analysis Points to DOW 30k Next Target / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

An incredible really/breakout pattern is setting up in the US Stock Market and US Indexes currently that many traders/investors may not be paying attention to.  This is such an incredible opportunity for traders, we are alerting you to this setup and what we expect to be the outcome based on our proprietary predictive price modeling and analysis tools.

Almost without fail, the end of each year experiences a “Christmas Rally” that results in a moderate bullish price bias for most of the 4th quarter.  Over the past 17 years, 76.47% of each Q4 period resulted in an average +1049.85 pts in the YM (Dow Futures Contract).  Only 23.59% of the time did the YM decline on an average of about -1039.75 pts.  This data helps us to understand that downside price rotation in the Q4 (Christmas Rally months) is possible, but unlikely by a 4:1 ratio.  It also helps us to understand that our expectations of a massive price rally, much greater than the average +1049 pts, may be a very big play for traders.

Monday, November 19, 2018

Will We See A 30% Stock Market Correction Due To A Trump Impeachment? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Avi_Gilburt

If you've been following my analysis of the S&P 500 through the years, you know that we have called the stock market rather well. In fact, we called for the rally to 2100 in 2015, and then expected a pullback from 2100 to the 1800 region as we came into 2016. However, unlike most others at the time, we expected that pullback would set us up for a 40%+ rally in the overall index before we saw a 20-30% correction. In fact, we were calling for a “global melt-up” at the time.

And, for those that remember back to November of 2016, when everyone and their mother was certain the market was going to crash if Trump won the election, we staunchly stuck to our guns and noted that we expected the market to rally strongly “no matter who was elected to office.” And that is exactly what we got, despite the common expectation of a market crash if Trump was elected.