Sunday, December 30, 2018
Beware the Young Stocks Bear Market! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Zeal_LLC
Stock markets are forever cyclical, an endless series of alternating bulls and bears. And after one of the greatest bulls in US history, odds are a young bear is now gathering steam. It is being fueled by record Fed tightening, bubble valuations, trade wars, and mounting political turmoil. Bears are dangerous events driving catastrophic losses for buy-and-hold investors. Different strategies are necessary to thrive in them.
This major inflection shift from exceptional secular bull to likely young bear is new. By late September, the flagship US S&P 500 broad-market stock index (SPX) had soared 333.2% higher over 9.54 years in a mighty bull. That ranked as the 2nd-largest and 1st-longest in US stock-market history! At those recent all-time record highs, investors were ecstatic. They euphorically assumed that bull run would persist for years.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, December 29, 2018
How Trump’s Trade Policies Actually Damage the Economy / Economics / Protectionism
By: Patrick_Watson
We have a temporary truce in the trade war.No one is quite sure if it will last, especially financial markets. After a short-lived rally, they saw little to celebrate in the latest Trump-Xi meeting.
The US and China have serious disputes. And I think tariffs are the wrong tool to solve them. So I’m not optimistic this break will accomplish much either. We’ll see.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, December 29, 2018
Universal Basic Income Is Easier Than It Looks / Politics / Benefits
By: Ellen_Brown
Calls for a Universal Basic Income (UBI) have been increasing, most recently as part of the “Green New Deal” introduced by Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, D-N.Y., and supported in the last month by at least 40 members of Congress. A UBI is a monthly payment to all adults with no strings attached, similar to Social Security. Critics say the Green New Deal asks too much of the rich and upper-middle-class taxpayers who will have to pay for it, but taxing the rich is not what the resolution proposes. It says funding would primarily come from the federal government, “using a combination of the Federal Reserve, a new public bank or system of regional and specialized public banks,” among other vehicles.
Saturday, December 29, 2018
2019: Zombie Markets Before The Fall / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Raul_I_Meijer
I haven’t really written about finance since April of this year, and given recent fluctuations in what people persist in calling the markets, maybe it’s time. Then again, nothing has changed since that article in April entitled This Is Not A Market. I was right then, and I still am.
Read full article... Read full article...[..] markets need price discovery as much as price discovery needs markets. They are two sides of the same coin. Markets are the mechanism that makes price discovery possible, and vice versa. Functioning markets, that is. Given the interdependence between the two, we must conclude that when there is no price discovery, there are no functioning markets. And a market that doesn’t function is not a market at all.
[..] we must wonder why everyone in the financial world, and the media, is still talking about ‘the markets’ (stocks, bonds et al) as if they still existed. Is it because they think there still is price discovery? Or do they think that even without price discovery, you can still have functioning markets? Or is their idea that a market is still a market even if it doesn’t function?
Saturday, December 29, 2018
Will Japanese Yen Continue to Outperform in 2019? / Currencies / Japanese Yen
By: ElliottWaveForecast
Care to guess what is the best performing major currency in 2018? Chances are you will say that it’s the US Dollar. Although US Dollar is doing pretty well this year, the best performing currency is in fact the Japanese Yen. You can see in the table below that despite the Dollar Index rallying 4.9% as of Dec 27th, the Yen has outperformed the U.S Dollar by 1.43%. We can also see the U.S. Dollar has rallied against all the other major currencies, but the Japanese Yen has rallied even at a greater percentage against the same currency. For example, EURUSD has dropped 5.08%, meaning that U.S Dollar has rallied 5.08% against European Dollar this year. However, EURJPY dropped 6.5%, which means that Japanese Yen has rallied at a greater percentage against the European dollar.
Saturday, December 29, 2018
World Stock Market Indices: When to Start Buying Stocks Again? / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: ElliottWaveForecast
The World Indices have shown a sideways to lower year in 2018. The last Quarter alone World Indices lost their gains, for example, the SPX or the Dow Jones. Other World indices peaked earlier than others this year and some of them did not produce new highs again.
There is a lot of speculation going around the Market which results in many questions which need to be answered. We can hear a lot of experts calling different reasons and scenarios. It goes from a Political crisis to the Trade war with China, to the Feds raising interest rates and many more assumptions. However, the reality is that neither of the mentioned reasons can justify the latest moves in our opinion.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, December 29, 2018
How Fractional Shares Benefit Investors / InvestorEducation / Learn to Trade
By: Sumeet_Manhas
Have you ever wondered what you would do with the small balance on your gift balance because there is nothing you can afford and buy with it? A similar issue is experienced when buying investments like stocks and ETF in whole share quantities. Fractional shares give investors flexibility in two main areas; to put all the available cash for immediate work and buy fractions of stock in companies with a high price per share.There are sites where you can specify the number of fractional shares you intend to trade. Then, the online calculator helps you determine the number of shares you can actually trade. Shares are whole units which are offered by companies as stock. These stocks are then traded on the open market in full share quantities. Most brokers discourage investors from buying and selling stock in whole share quantities.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, December 28, 2018
Can Gold Swim in a Crosscurrent? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Powell noticed some crosscurrents in the path of the US economy. Will it stay on the surface? And is gold a good swimmer?
Crosscurrents Cause Fewer Hikes
We hope that you enjoyed Christmas. As we promised last week, we will analyze the post-meeting Powell’s press conference today. The Fed Chair remained optimistic about the US economy, which “has continued to perform well.” However, “some crosscurrents have emerged.” Powell meant the moderation of global growth, increased financial market volatility, and tightened financial conditions. As a consequence, the Fed now sees only two instead of three hikes in 2019:
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, December 28, 2018
From Stock Market Panic to Euphoria - Upward Reversal or Just Correction? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Paul_Rejczak
Stocks rallied on Wednesday, retracing their Monday's and some of their last Friday's decline, as investors' sentiment much improved after Tuesday's holiday pause. We saw a panic-selling climax on Monday, but did the downtrend reverse?
The U.S. stock market indexes gained 5.0-5.8% on Wednesday, as they retraced their Monday's sell-off and got above last Friday's closing prices. The S&P 500 index fell the lowest since the late April of 2017 and it traded 20.2% below September the 21st record high of 2,940.91 yesterday. The daily low was at 2,346.58. Then the market rallied and closed 16.1% below the mentioned record high. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 5.0% and the Nasdaq Composite gained 5.8% on Wednesday.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, December 28, 2018
GBP/USD - Has the Hope of the Bulls Gone? / Currencies / British Pound
By: Nadia_Simmons
Monday's session brought a breakout above the upper border of the consolidation and hope for higher values of GBP/USD. Unfortunately, none of these things lasted too long as the next days showed that the bears are not going to let their rivals through to the north without a fight. What are the implications of the recent price action?
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, December 28, 2018
Is It Time to Sell Your Business? Here’s How to Do It Right / Companies / SME
By: Dylan_Moran
Selling a business is never an easy decision. After all, you put a lot of money and hard work just to start and run your business. But there comes a time when selling your company is the right thing to do, and you need to take the necessary steps, no matter how hard, to make your sale successful.
A lot of entrepreneurs commit costly mistakes when selling their business, and it ruins their hopes of a sale and wasting months of time and effort. To keep yourself from going through the same route, here are some tips that you can follow:
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, December 28, 2018
The Quintessential Guide to Starting a New Cryptocurrency / Currencies / BlockChain
By: Dylan_Moran
...
Thursday, December 27, 2018
When Will the First Big Stock Market Rally Start? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
The S&P has now fallen -20%, the conventional definition for a “bear market” (We define “bear markets” as 33%+ declines that last at least 1 year. 15%+ declines = “big corrections”).
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, December 27, 2018
3 Tips on Being Financially Stable / Personal_Finance / Money Management
By: Submissions
According to a research carried out in 2016, it was discovered that about 46% of Americans did not have enough money to cater for a $400 emergency issue like hospital bill or vehicle repair. This indicates that many people are finding it increasingly difficult to maintain financial stability. If you are surviving from paycheck to paycheck or struggling with financial issues, you need to find a way out and be financially secure.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, December 27, 2018
UK House Prices 2019 NO Deal BrExit 30% CRASH Warning / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The mainstream media has been busy all year publishing dire warnings of the consequences for NO Deal Brexit warnings emanating out of the Government and the Bank of England the latest of which was the Government warning of a loss of 9% of GDP, albeit as a deviation from trend over 15 years. Soon followed by Britain's central bank, the Bank of England setting forth it's own NO DEAL economic armageddon forecasts, warning of an immediate economic collapse on a scale twice that of the 2008 Financial Crisis. A 25% collapse in sterling, a collapse in GDP of 8%, inflation soaring to over 6.5% and a 30% CRASH in UK house prices.
Thursday, December 27, 2018
The Next Stock Market Crisis is Here and Now / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Graham_Summers
The next crisis is here.
And yes, it is a crisis. Ignore anything the media says about this, we are seeing selling that is on par if not worse than the 2008 collapse.
And it’s not over by a long stretch.
Most traders remain in complete denial about what is happening. They think this is some kind of garden-variety correction or that investors are overreacting to the Government shutdown.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, December 27, 2018
[eBook] How to Identify Highly Accurate Reversal Signals / InvestorEducation / Learn to Trade
By: Submissions
Dear Reader,
Everyone knows that trading reversals are some of the highest profit potential trades out there…
Risk is low and targets can be huge!
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 26, 2018
Has this Stock Market Selloff Reached a Bottom Yet? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Everyone wants to know if this selloff has reached a low or bottom yet and what to expect over the next 30~60+ days. Since October, the US stock market has reacted to the US Fed raising rates above 2.0% with dramatic downward price moves. The latest raise by the US Fed resulted in a very clear price decline in the markets illustrating the fact that investors don’t expect the markets to recover based on the current geopolitical and economic climate.
Over 5 years ago, our research team developed a financial modeling system that attempted to model the US Fed Funds Rate optimal levels given certain inputs (US GDP, US Population, US Debt, and others). The effort by our team of researchers was to attempt to identify where and when the US Fed should be adjusting rates and when and where the US Fed would make a mistake. The basic premise of our modeling system is that as long as Fed keeps rates within our model’s optimal output parameters, the US (and presumably global) economy should continue to operate without massive disruption events unless some outside event (think Europe, China or another massive economic collapse) disrupts the ability of the US economy from operating efficiently. We’ve included a screen capture of the current FFR modeling results below.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 26, 2018
Federal Reserve – Conspiracy Or Not? / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank
By: Kelsey_Williams
Conspiracy surrounding the Federal Reserve is a subject of much debate. A controversial topic, yes; one which stirs the imagination of some, fires the suspicion of others, and provokes the declamation of not too few detractors.
From G. Edward Griffin/The Creature From Jekyll Island…
Read full article... Read full article...“Back in 1910, Jekyll Island was completely privately owned by a small group of millionaires from New York. We’re talking about people such as J. P. Morgan, William Rockefeller and their associates. This was a social club and it was called “The Jekyll Island Club.”
Wednesday, December 26, 2018
Frank Holmes Predicts Gold Price Explosion to the Upside in “Blink of an Eye” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: MoneyMetals
Welcome to this week’s Market Wrap Podcast, I’m Mike Gleason.
Coming up Frank Holmes of U.S. Global Investors joins me and shares why he believes this past quarter has been a very constructive and encouraging one for gold -- and he also gives us his outlook for the equity and metals markets in 2019. Don’t miss another great interview with Frank Holmes, coming up after this week’s market update.
Heavy selling in the stock market this week is stimulating demand in the future markets for safe-haven assets, most notably precious metals.
Stocks plunged on the heels of another rate hike by the Federal Open Market Committee on Wednesday. The FOMC raised its benchmark rate by a quarter point and signaled it intends to hike two more times in 2019.
Read full article... Read full article...