Thursday, December 27, 2018

The Next Stock Market Crisis is Here and Now / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Graham_Summers

The next crisis is here.

And yes, it is a crisis. Ignore anything the media says about this, we are seeing selling that is on par if not worse than the 2008 collapse.

And it’s not over by a long stretch.

Most traders remain in complete denial about what is happening. They think this is some kind of garden-variety correction or that investors are overreacting to the Government shutdown.

Thursday, December 27, 2018

[eBook] How to Identify Highly Accurate Reversal Signals / InvestorEducation / Learn to Trade

By: Submissions

Dear Reader,

Everyone knows that trading reversals are some of the highest profit potential trades out there…

Risk is low and targets can be huge!

Wednesday, December 26, 2018

Has this Stock Market Selloff Reached a Bottom Yet? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Everyone wants to know if this selloff has reached a low or bottom yet and what to expect over the next 30~60+ days. Since October, the US stock market has reacted to the US Fed raising rates above 2.0% with dramatic downward price moves. The latest raise by the US Fed resulted in a very clear price decline in the markets illustrating the fact that investors don’t expect the markets to recover based on the current geopolitical and economic climate.

Over 5 years ago, our research team developed a financial modeling system that attempted to model the US Fed Funds Rate optimal levels given certain inputs (US GDP, US Population, US Debt, and others). The effort by our team of researchers was to attempt to identify where and when the US Fed should be adjusting rates and when and where the US Fed would make a mistake. The basic premise of our modeling system is that as long as Fed keeps rates within our model’s optimal output parameters, the US (and presumably global) economy should continue to operate without massive disruption events unless some outside event (think Europe, China or another massive economic collapse) disrupts the ability of the US economy from operating efficiently. We’ve included a screen capture of the current FFR modeling results below.

Wednesday, December 26, 2018

Federal Reserve – Conspiracy Or Not? / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Kelsey_Williams

Conspiracy surrounding the Federal Reserve is a subject of much debate. A controversial topic, yes;  one which stirs the imagination of some, fires the suspicion of others, and provokes the declamation of not too few detractors. 

From G. Edward Griffin/The Creature From Jekyll Island…

“Back in 1910, Jekyll Island was completely privately owned by a small group of millionaires from New York. We’re talking about people such as J. P. Morgan, William Rockefeller and their associates. This was a social club and it was called “The Jekyll Island Club.”

Wednesday, December 26, 2018

Frank Holmes Predicts Gold Price Explosion to the Upside in “Blink of an Eye” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: MoneyMetals

Welcome to this week’s Market Wrap Podcast, I’m Mike Gleason.

Coming up Frank Holmes of U.S. Global Investors joins me and shares why he believes this past quarter has been a very constructive and encouraging one for gold -- and he also gives us his outlook for the equity and metals markets in 2019. Don’t miss another great interview with Frank Holmes, coming up after this week’s market update.

Heavy selling in the stock market this week is stimulating demand in the future markets for safe-haven assets, most notably precious metals.

Stocks plunged on the heels of another rate hike by the Federal Open Market Committee on Wednesday.  The FOMC raised its benchmark rate by a quarter point and signaled it intends to hike two more times in 2019.

Wednesday, December 26, 2018

5 Potential Impacts of The LIBOR Expiration In 2021 / Interest-Rates / Mortgages

By: Submissions

In 2021, one of the most important financial tools will disappear. The London Interbank Offer Rate, or LIBOR, is the average estimated interest rate for loans between major London banks. In the decades since this number was created, it became a major element in determining short-term interest rates internationally. The interest on roughly $350 trillion contracts and loans rely on this number. Yet the UK government has ordered that the LIBOR be phased out by 2021. As a financier making long term plans, this can seem like a crisis waiting to happen. There are many possibilities for a future without the LIBOR, and not all of them are bad. Here are potential impacts of the LIBOR expiration in 2021.

Tuesday, December 25, 2018

Rampaging Stock Bear Markets WorldWide vis-à-vis CHRISTMAS / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: I_M_Vronsky

All major stock indices WORLDWIDE are presently in a Bear Market mode. In fact there is no exception: Stocks are trending downward in the North America, Asia, Europe and Mexico…without exception. This analysis will consist of mainly the stock charts of 16 major exchanges of the three continents (i.e. the Americas, Asia and Europe):

• North America (USA and Canada)

• Asia (China, Hong Kong, India and Japan)

• Europe (Germany, France and Euro FTSE)

• Mexico

• Dow Jones Global And World Indices

Tuesday, December 25, 2018

Treasury Secretary Panics as Stock Markets Melt Down and Trump Mulls Firing Fed Chair Powell / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: MoneyMetals

Wall Street didn’t take well to the Federal Reserve’s latest rate hike and projection for two more to come in 2019.

Neither did the White House.

President Donald Trump slammed Fed chairman Jerome Powell yet again and reportedly asked advisors within his inner circle whether he has the legal authority to fire Powell.

Tuesday, December 25, 2018

Sheffield Christmas Market and Lights 2018 - City Centre from Fargate to Moorfoot / Local / Sheffield

By: Anika_Walayat

Here's a walk through Sheffield city centres Christmas Market 2018, the various sights and sounds, food stalls, light displays and general atmosphere of what it was like, even a santa's grotto, walking from the starting point in Fargate past the big wheel. Town hall christmas tree, onwards to the big santa at City Hall and then back at the peace gardens to visit santa#s grotto. Then off to see the moor displays from the big polar bear outside the Light, down past Atkinson's big christmas tree terminating at moor foot.

Monday, December 24, 2018

Jaguar Land Rover BrExit Car Crash, Steep Losses and New Year Job Cuts / Companies / Auto Sector

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The news out of Jaguar land Rover seems to go from bad to worse as it's latest results saw profits of £953mln for the period March to September for 2017 wiped out for the same period in 2018, replaced with a loss of £354mln resulting in the loss of over 1 thousand jobs and many more being put on a three day week. With rumours of plans to shed as many as 5000 jobs in the new year out of a work force of approx 38,000 that is unlikely to bring any Christmas cheer to the JLR work force as the loss making car manufacturer attempts to cut costs.

Monday, December 24, 2018

Gold Price Trend Forecast Review and Stocks Brief / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Here's a quick update of my Gold Price trend forecast.

My forecast conclusion as of early September was to expect the following trend for the Gold Price for the remainder of 2018

Monday, December 24, 2018

If The Fundamentals Are Still Bullish, Why Is The Stock Market Crashing? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Avi_Gilburt

I would not have had to invest or work at all if I had $100 for every time I heard an analyst tell me that the market is just not trading upon fundamentals at this time. In fact, when the market seems to disconnect from the fundamentals, analysts view it as the market being wrong.

But, isn't it my responsibility as an investor to align my investment account with the market rather than the "fundamentals?" So, I would much rather be wrong and profitable rather than be right and in the red.

Take a step back and think about this. When the market was hitting its low in 2009, were the fundamentals bearish or bullish?

Monday, December 24, 2018

S&P Breaks 2018 Feb Lows – What Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The ES (S&P e-mini contracts) broke the support level from the February 2018 lows immediately after the US Federal Reserve announced a 25 bp rate hike this week. This breakdown below the February 2018 lows is concerning because it indicates that previous support is not holding and we could be in for further downside price activity.

Monday, December 24, 2018

Stock Market Waterfall Decline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – Bullish, but correcting within the long-term bull market trend.

Intermediate trend – A bearish correction has started which could retrace as low as 2200 before it is complete

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends. 

Monday, December 24, 2018

Trump Derangement International / Politics / Mainstream Media

By: Raul_I_Meijer

Dirk Kurbjuweit, deputy editor-in-chief of Germany’s Der Spiegel magazine for the past 4 years, unwittingly put his foot a mile deep in his mouth this week when he reacted to a letter written by US Ambassador to Berlin Richard Grenell. His reaction presents perhaps the most perfect example of the downfall of news, journalism, the media in general, that we’ve seen so far. Most perfect among very stiff competition.

After Der Spiegel itself this week ‘outed’ its award-winning star reporter, Claas Relotius, as someone who had made up many of his lauded articles from scratch, Grenell suggested the magazine, and especially its editorial staff, shouldn’t think they can get away with putting all the blame on just this one guy. He tweeted:

We value policy criticism. We love a free press. But @Spiegel literally fabricated stories saying people (Americans) were racist & xenophobic. They made up events, details, & lies – and no editor checked the stories. Every real journalist should be outraged by this.

Sunday, December 23, 2018

Land Rover Discovery Sport 1 Year Owner Driver Mega Review - What's Good and Bad / ConsumerWatch / Motoring

By: N_Walayat

Here is my comprehensive mega review of what's good and bad about the Land Rover Discover Sport after having owned and driven a HSE Black trim for over 1 year. All of the questions answered that you need to ask before buying a Discovery Sport after having put the car through its paces for a whole year of driving, of what to expect under real world driving conditions, all that is good and bad which includes the following and more -

Sunday, December 23, 2018

Silver Price Trend Forecest 2018 Review / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This is the 1st in a series of 4 videos that concludes in a trend forecast for the Silver price 2019.

1. Silver Price Trend Forecast 2018 Review
2. Gold - Silver Ratio
3. Silver Price Trend Analysis 2019
4. Silver Price Trend Forecast Conclusion for 2019
   

Sunday, December 23, 2018

The Fed Tightens the Monetary Noose / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Steve_H_Hanke

The Fed defied President Trump’s irreverent Tweets. Indeed, the Fed did what it signaled it was going to do long before Trump pushed the “Tweet” button. Yes, the Fed—with all 10 members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voting “yes”—increased the federal funds interest rate by 25 basis points to the 2.25-2.50% range. And, as night follows day, the U.S. equity markets, currency markets, and precious metals markets took a hit.

Sunday, December 23, 2018

President Trump's Trade Rubbish / Politics / Protectionism

By: Steve_H_Hanke

The U.S. trade war rages on. With each passing day, there is news about a flare up, primarily on the front where the United States and China are confronting each other. While these flare ups rattle the markets, they don’t seem to rattle President Xi or President Trump. Indeed, neither Xi nor Trump seem inclined to give ground. For his part, Trump has recently tasked Robert Lighthizer, the U.S. Trade Representative, to lead the U.S. in trade negotiations with China. And, Lightizer, having a long ultra-protectionist record, has a reputation for taking no prisoners in trade battles.

Sunday, December 23, 2018

Can The Markets Get Any Worse? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Supported by its Cycle Top at 21.96, VIX rallied above its Head & Shoulders neckline at 30.00 on Friday, closing above it.  It is entirely possible that it could meet its target in the next week.