Tuesday, June 04, 2019

US Unemployment and Housing Market Trend Forecast / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

A stable strong economy can further be seen in the unemployment statistic of just 3.8% marginal above the low of 3.7% and off of a recent high of 4%. As long as unemployment stays stable at around 4% then this should be supportive of house prices going forward.

Monday, June 03, 2019

NVIDIA (NVDA) - The GPU King - High Risk High Reward AI Stock Investing (9) / Companies / AI

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Are you ready for the exponential machine intelligence mega-trend?

In this series of videos I present my Top 10 AI stocks to invest in to profit from the exponential machine intelligence mega-trend. Firstly for a primer do check out my earlier two videos with the first illustrating why everything will start to change exponentially by 2022. And the second video explaining how to invest in machine intellgence stocks in terms of accumulating positions and limiting risk.

My Top 10 AI stocks are ranked in terms of risk vs reward and volatility. So I consider my Top 5 stocks as primary, then the next 3 as secondary and the last 2 as far more risky tertiary stocks. And remember that when investing in the stock market that your capital is at risk. There are NO SURE BETS!

Monday, June 03, 2019

How Foolish We All Are About China And Life / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019

By: Avi_Gilburt

While I will let the “real” analysts debate about how we should handle our trade deal regarding China, I am only here to discuss the sentiment around the China deal.

This past week, I have seen many posts like this one:

“We wouldn't be down at these relatively low levels had China settled with Trump. Guaranteed.”

The posters’ logic works like this: The market has been dropping ever since the China deal fell apart. So, it is clear that the cause of the drop is the China deal debacle. And I am quite certain that almost all of you think in this exact same way. I mean it so logical, right?

Monday, June 03, 2019

How China Wins Trade War / Economics / Protectionism

By: Richard_Mills

The trade feud between the US and China has deteriorated into trench warfare, with tariffs used as bayonets to bludgeon the other’s economy into submission. China’s Huawei has been blacklisted and US firms ordered to stop doing business with the telecom giant, further souring the bilateral relationship. For Part 1 of this series read:

US is winning trade war with China...for now

Recent decisions made by the Trump and Xi administrations to either pile on more tariffs or increase the rate on existing ones, mean there is virtually no more tariff leverage either side can exert on the other, to extract the concessions needed for a deal.

The United States earlier this month raised tariffs on $200 billion worth of Chinese goods from 10% to 25%, effective June 1; China retaliated with $60 billion worth of 25% tariffs on American products. The Trump administration is reportedly “very strongly” considering tariffs on the remaining $325 billion of Chinese imports.

Monday, June 03, 2019

Big Developments in America’s 5G Rollout Stock Investors Need to be Aware of / Companies / Mobile Technology

By: Stephen_McBride

My longtime readers know 5G is the most disruptive force of the decade.

In short, 5G will supercharge America’s wireless networks. It will give us internet speeds 1,000x faster than today’s.

This will open up a whole new world of disruption.

Monday, June 03, 2019

Notice Savings Accounts Prosper as Interest Rates Rise to Seven-year High / Personal_Finance / Savings Accounts

By: MoneyFacts

As a method to entice new savers, providers have improved their notice accounts over the years, and the latest wave of activity has led to a rise, not just in the rates on offer for the top deals, but also to the average market rate. This is positive news for consumers looking to secure a decent return without locking in to a fixed rate bond.

Indeed, the latest analysis by Moneyfacts.co.uk shows that the average notice account rate has risen to 1.15%, the highest seen since October 2012 when it stood at 1.19%. The current top five notice account rates in the market have also improved, now paying 1.88% on average, up from 1.62% a year ago and 1.79% five years ago (based on a £10,000 deposit).

Monday, June 03, 2019

Is Silver The Sleeper Rally Setup Of A Lifetime? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Our research team believes Silver could be the Sleeper Rally setup of a lifetime for investors if the global economic cards continue to get scattered and crumpled over the next 10+ years.  The recent rally in Gold got a lot of attention last Friday (the end of May 2019).  We had been warning about this move for the past 8+ months and generated an incredible research post in early October 2018 that clearly highlighted our belief that Gold would peak above $1300 early in 2019, then stall and move toward $1270 near April/May 2019, then begin an incredible upside price rally in June/July/Aug 2019.  We couldn’t have been more clear about this prediction and we posted it publically in October 2018. See This Previous Gold Forecast Snapshot

Now, our research team is going to share with you some incredible insights into what may become the most incredible trade setup we’ve seen in the past 12+ years – the Sleeper Silver Setup.

Monday, June 03, 2019

Stock Market Technical Data Points Snowballing Into The Abyss? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Submissions

Or Is This The Time To Relax Or Take Action?

There is so much to write about I could fill five pages and still receive an Incomplete. I know myself would not read five page, but here goes and will try to make it brief. IMO there is a sense of urgency snowballing since early May. The Russell 2000 broke out of a well defined base on May 3rd and I thought the final leg of our decade long Bull Market was underway through the fall. Two trading days later President Donald tweets China has reneged on several agreed upon aspects of the negotiations. The market reversed swiftly and significantly. All breakouts failed, a very bad sign and it only gets worse.

Monday, June 03, 2019

Stock Market Correction Extends, Gold Breaking out? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – Final long-term phase on the way?  How much longer, is the question.

Intermediate trend –  The anticipated intermediate-term correction has started.  C-wave likely.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends. 

Monday, June 03, 2019

UKIP Racists Infiltrating Brexit Party Will Kill it Electorally as they did UKIP / Politics / BrExit

By: Nadeem_Walayat

UKIP is DEAD! Electorally speaking as first the local election results and then the European Elections showed a total collapse of their vote to just 4%, losing all 24 of their MEP's as Gerard Battens embrace of the likes of Tommy "Fake Name" Robinson killed the party. Whilst TR himself only managed to scrape the bottom of the barrel with just 2% of the vote in the North West region. Basically UKIP and TR only got the perma BNP vote.

Monday, June 03, 2019

LinkedIn Hack Scam Extortion Emails / ConsumerWatch / Cyber Crime

By: Nadeem_Walayat

It's another day and another scam email lands in my email box trying to extort bitcoins out of me, giving me 24 hours to make payment else supposed footage of compromising activities grabbed from a web cam will be immediately made available to the whole wide world. And before you ask No, I don't have a web cam connected to my computer.

Sunday, June 02, 2019

Did the Stock Market Just Make the Mother of All Bull Traps? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Troy_Bombardia

The S&P is now down -6.5% from its all-time high, after making a marginal new high vs. its September 2018. On the charts, this “looks like” a bull trap. Is it really? Today’s headlines:

1. Examining the “bull trap”
2. Collapsing Treasury yields, and what this means for stocks
3. SKEW’s decline
4. Dow has fallen 6 weeks in a row
5. Copper and stocks both down 4 weeks in a row
6. First monthly decline after a 4 month rally
7. Emerging markets outperforming the U.S.

Sunday, June 02, 2019

US ECONOMY and House Prices Trend Forecast / Housing-Market / US Economy

By: Nadeem_Walayat

GDP

The US economic fundamentals appear good as real GDP is rising at an annualised rate of +3.2% up from +2.6% a year ago. Whilst not a boom is still definitely not deflationary so supportive of house prices as the economy continues to chug along and thus implies US house prices should revert towards the 4% to 6% trend.

Sunday, June 02, 2019

Gold Standard, Federal Reserve, Economic Law / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Kelsey_Williams

In a recent opinion by Sebastian Mallaby, published in the Washington Post, the author and columnist says the following:

“Money is an abstraction, a political confection, a set of castles built on air. No wonder it makes people feel queasy. Gold is tangible, immutable, somehow reliable and real; there will always be people who believe in it. But the truth is that modern central banking is one of those elite inventions that generally works. The gold standard has given way to the PhD standard, and we are all the better for it.”

In his article, Mr Mallaby presents his arguments as to the reason and logic that a gold standard will not work and that it is an idea which is out of date and inferior to the current system, i.e., “modern central banking”.

The opinions are a response to statements made by Judy Shelton,  currently under consideration for appointment as one of the seven governors on the Federal Reserve Board.

Mr. Mallaby refers to former President Reagan’s “nostalgia” abut the gold standard as being “curious” and says that “survival of this sentiment in 2019 is even more baffling”.

Sunday, June 02, 2019

How to Get CHEAP Game of Thrones Merchandise / Personal_Finance / Money Saving

By: HGR

The biggest TV show on earth is over! But it's not too late to pick up a few pieces of TV history at rock bottom prices, for you have a short window of opportunity to get dozens of souvenirs from fridge magnets, to clothing, to house banners, Dragon Eggs, maps, LED lights, tankards, towels, cushions, even a HODOR door stop, and much much more at cheap prices, especially when one looks at the rip off prices being charged online, typically X5 what the items can be got for if ones knows where to look ;)

Saturday, June 01, 2019

BAIDU (BIDU) - Top 10 AI Stocks Investing To Profit from Machine Intelligence Mega-trend / Companies / AI

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Are you ready for the exponential machine intelligence mega-trend?

In this series of videos I present my Top 10 AI stocks to invest in to profit from the exponential machine intelligence mega-trend. Firstly for a primer do check out my earlier two videos with the first illustrating why everything will start to change exponentially by 2022. And the second video explaining how to invest in machine intellgence stocks in terms of accumulating positions and limiting risk.

My Top 10 AI stocks are ranked in terms of risk vs reward and volatility. So I consider my Top 5 stocks as primary, then the next 3 as secondary and the last 2 as far more risky tertiary stocks. And remember that when investing in the stock market that your capital is at risk. There are NO SURE BETS!

Saturday, June 01, 2019

UK House Building 20 Years Shortfall / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The Tory government has once more pledged to build 300,000 homes per year to address Britain's chronic housing crisis which is set against the current pace of construction of about 200,000 homes per year. However, every government of the past 20 years has made similar promises to increase house building to targets of anywhere between 250,000 to 400,000 homes per year and ALL have FAILED to deliver! Every house building manifesto promise BROKEN! That's by Labour, Coalition, Tories, and our current DUP/Remain barely able to open a tin of beans government. So the first message is to take government house building targets with a giant pinch of salt!

Saturday, June 01, 2019

Finding Record Investor Profits Hidden In The Fed Minutes / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Dan_Amerman

Sifting through the minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) to look for signals of changes in policy is a fixation for the financial media and the investment industry. Because both the stock and bond markets can reverse directions based upon the Fed's intentions for the direction of Fed Funds rates, there is an intense focus on finding signals for those intentions and whether the signals are changing.

However, like generals preparing for the last war - there is a strong case to be made that most analysis of the FOMC minutes is focusing on the details, while missing the big picture for the next recession (which could be growing more imminent).

As explored herein, the Fed itself is as much focused on how to change the "SOMA" to enable the strongest form of "MEP" in the event of another recession, as it is on Fed Funds rates.

When we get past the jargon, what the Fed is debating in plain sight are the specifics for how to give as much money as possible to some investors in the event of another recession, in the shortest time possible.

Saturday, June 01, 2019

US Bond Market You Have to Invite the Vampire Into Your House / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Gary_Tanashian

A vampire needs to be invited in order to enter your house. So the story goes. But in this case, we are talking about the Macro house, with its nexus in the USA and its Central Bank.

You see, the Federal Reserve inflates money supplies as a matter of doing business, which is why I noted so strenuously in Q4 2018 that Jerome Powell’s then-hawkish stance in the face of a declining stock market made perfect sense… because the 30 year Treasury bond was not bullish; it was bearish and getting more so under the pressure of rising inflation expectations.

Saturday, June 01, 2019

Fethiye Tuesday Market Turkey 2019 - All You Need to Know Before You Go! / Personal_Finance / Holidays

By: Anika_Walayat

If your going to be holidaying in Turkey this year and are anywhere near the Dalaman / Fethiye area then you MUST visit the Fethiye Tuesday market! It is huge! Vibrant, bustling with variety, Turkish culture in action with plenty of bargains to be had if your upto the haggling challenge. It's a experience in its out right and its FREE, apart from the shopping. You get to see a side of the world that you don't usually see, full of tourists from all over the world of all types and ages, a true melting pot.

The market sells virtually everything under the sun, food, fruit, sweets, electronics, bags, all sorts of bags, trinkets, shoes, jewellery and clothes, tons of clothes, from the mainstay for tourists t-shirt's tons and tons of t-shirts to the local traditional garments and the wide variety of tourist souvenirs such as fridge magnets that can be picked up dirt cheap if you know where to look as we show in our latest video on shopping in Fethiye market.