Thursday, March 25, 2021

3 Ways To Play The Trillion-Dollar Crypto Boom / Companies / BlockChain

By: Submissions

Thursday, March 25, 2021

Tide Is Turning in Stocks and Gold / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021

By: Monica_Kingsley

Friday‘s session ended in a tie, but it‘s the bears who missed an opportunity to win. Markets however dialed back their doubting of the Fed, which has been apparent in the long-term Treasuries the most. One daily move doesn‘t make a trend change likely though, especially since the Mar pace of TLT decline is on par with Feb‘s and higher than in Jan. While Treasuries paused in early Mar, they‘re now once again as extended vs. their 50-day moving average as before.

And that poses a challenge for interest rate sensitive stocks and to some degree also for tech -  while I expect value to continue to lead over growth, technology would recover some of the lost ground on rates stabilization. And it‘s true that the $UST10Y move has been a very sharp one, more than tripling from the Aug 2020 lows.

Inflation expectations are rising, and so is inflation – PPI under the hood thus far only. Financial assets are rising, perfectly reflected in (this month consolidating) commodity prices. Cost-driven inflation is in our immediate future, not one joined at the hip with job market pressures – that‘s waiting for 2022-3. The story of coming weeks and months is the stimulus avalanche hitting while the Fed still merrily ignores the bond market pressures.

Thursday, March 25, 2021

Market Timing For The Next Two Weeks / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: Avi_Gilburt

Every time I branch out to read articles being presented throughout the internet each week, it simply makes me shake or scratch my head. Moreover, I stand in amazement at anyone who attempts to base their investment portfolio upon such information.

As I have said many times, after many years of market study, I have found no better analysis methodology that provides market context better than Elliott Wave analysis. It provides forewarning as to melt-up set-ups in the market, as well as periods of market volatility.

Last week, I warned our members that we were entering a period of time which will present a choppy and difficult market to navigate. And, the market certainly delivered within our expectations. And, did interest rates or exogenous events tell me this was going to happen?

Thursday, March 25, 2021

It’s the Bond Market, Stupid / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Gary_Tanashian

As our Continuum chart predicted over a year ago, Jerome Powell was called to his higher inflationary powers when the macro markets liquidated with great violence and terror. This link shows the Continuum (30yr yield and its monthly EMA 100 limiter) as it was then, begging for inflationary action…

Oh Jerome? Bond market calling…

Below is the Continuum today. Since the linked post from February, 2020, a lot has happened and it has been according to the plans we laid out last spring. The plan was inflationary because the Fed was going into steroidal inflation mode. The ‘Fed comfort box’ on the chart has thinned out from the original post because the red dotted limiter (monthly EMA 100) has declined appreciably since then.

These many months the NFTRH target has been 2.5% to 2.7% on the 30yr Treasury yield. This week that zone’s lower bound got dinged. It is coming time for a cool down at least, if the macro reflation is going to get a second wind. What could provide that second wind?

Wednesday, March 24, 2021

The Elliott Wave Principle - Prechter's Wall St. Classic: Get Your Free Access Now / InvestorEducation / Elliott Wave Theory

By: EWI

Dear Reader,

90% of traders throw in the towel. One of the main reasons is because they don't have a method.

Elliott Wave Principle is one of the most popular investment method books ever published. And now, we're working with Elliott Wave International to celebrate the book's 40th anniversary by giving you free access to Bob Prechter's bestseller.

Wednesday, March 24, 2021

Commodities Comeback / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: The_Gold_Report

Peter Krauth, editor of Gold Resource Investor, examines the commodity supercycle and the role recency bias plays in investment decisions. Recency bias is a funny thing. It's human nature to expect the near future to look like the recent past.

But we all know that's not how things always play out.

And that can be costly, even dangerous, for investors.

Take long term bonds, for example. Ten-year Treasury yields have more than tripled, from 0.54% to 1.66% since last July. Does that mean the 40-year bond bull market is dead?

Tough to say, or course. We'll only know that for sure with hindsight. You know… recency bias.

If nothing else, the bond market is telling us price inflation is becoming a thing again, notwithstanding what the Fed might be telegraphing.

Wednesday, March 24, 2021

The Best Backdoor Bitcoin Play of 2021 / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Submissions

Wednesday, March 24, 2021

US Deep State - Who is Shaking the Jar? / Politics / Social Issues

By: James_Quinn

“If you catch 100 red fire ants as well as 100 large black ants, and put them in a jar, at first, nothing will happen. However, if you violently shake the jar and dump them back on the ground the ants will fight until they eventually kill each other. The thing is, the red ants think the black ants are the enemy and vice versa, when in reality, the real enemy is the person who shook the jar. This is exactly what’s happening in society today. Liberal vs. Conservative. Black vs. White. Pro Mask vs. Anti-Mask. Vax vs. Anti-vax. Rich vs. poor. Man vs. woman. Cop vs. citizen. The real question we need to be asking ourselves is who’s shaking the jar… and why?” – Shera Starr

A few weeks ago, I saw the above quote in Jeff Thomas’ article Learning from Ants, and it has been reverberating in my mind ever since. It is a perfect analogy for what has been happening in this country for years, with the jar lately being shaken at a rate faster than a Biden vote count increase at 3:00 am in a swing state. Everyone in this country, and the world, is at each other’s throats. Who is shaking the jar? Why are they shaking the jar? Why do they want us fighting each other?

If they keep us focused on fighting each other, they believe we will not notice their reprehensible criminality, as they manipulate the masses through psychological engineering and the employment of propaganda techniques to push their desired narrative. If you ask someone – who is shaking the jar? – they will likely answer based on the standard left vs right, liberal vs conservative, white vs black paradigm which has been created by those benefiting from conflict. It is always a safe bet to follow the money when trying to identify the culprits.

Tuesday, March 23, 2021

Human Brain vs High End Desktop PC in 2021 / Politics / AI

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Where do we stand on the path towards your desktop computer becoming more intelligent than you! Currently the best retail desktop GPU is the Nvidia RTX 3090 that carries an MSRP of $1500, though the crypto boom means right now it is very difficult to get hold of and even then prices start at $2000 typically rising to $2200. Still it is easier to obtain then the lower skew RTX 3080 that us supposed to sell for $699 but instead available supply is typically being sold on on ebay for $1200-$1400!

Nevertheless how does the processing power of an RTX 3090 GPU compare to that of a human brain. The RTX 3090 has 10,496 parallel processors and operates at 1.7ghz. That converts into 36 teraflops of raw processing power.

Tuesday, March 23, 2021

Nervous Fed to Give Precious Metals Markets a Boost / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021

By: MoneyMetals

The Fed’s Open Markets Committee met last week and left policy unchanged – at least for the moment.

No one expected central banking officials to make rate adjustments last week with equity prices rubbing up against all-time highs and the economic recovery narrative still dominant.

Central bankers are likely getting nervous, however. Treasury yields are surging, and it is only a matter of time before stimulus addicted markets throw another tantrum.

In fact, the S&P 500 index fell after Wednesday’s announcement and each of the following two days.

Tuesday, March 23, 2021

Should you invest in the Welding Industry? / Companies / Sector Analysis

By: Sumeet_Manhas

The welding industry is looking at a bright future. Specialists expect the market to reach $27.22 billion (USD) by 2027. What is currently driving the market is the increasing investments in the tools that are needed, inside the industry. Also, the pandemic has affected the market in a way that it should force mergers to happen, which is seen as a positive driving force. Here is what you need to know, if you are looking to invest in the welding industry.

Tuesday, March 23, 2021

Stock Market Pause in an Uptrend / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend:  There is some evidence that we are still in the bull market which started in 2009 and which could continue into the first half of 2021 before major cycles take over and it comes to an end.
SPX Intermediate trend:  SPX may have completed a phase of its intermediate uptrend and is consolidating.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done daily with the help of hourly charts. They are important adjuncts to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which determine longer market trends.

Tuesday, March 23, 2021

US Housing Market House Prices Trend Forecast 2021, 2022 / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Formulating a US House Prices Forecast 

Pandemics end, momentum, economic, trend and real terms prices analysis ALL point towards a US house prices boom of sorts for 2021. Targeting a bull run into the end of 2021 of about +10% on the most recent Case Shiller 10 city Index (SPCS10RNSA ) rising from 248.5 (Oct 2020 data) to about 273 for Dec 2021 data.

Tuesday, March 23, 2021

Is This The Best Way To Play The Bitcoin Boom? / Companies / Bitcoin

By: Submissions

Tuesday, March 23, 2021

Scan Computers UK Quality of Custom 3SX System Build 2021 - 5950x, RTX 30380 - Scan.co.uk Review (4) / Personal_Finance / Computing

By: HGR

Ordering a custom built PC from Scan Computers UK, this is video no 4 in this series which is on quality of system build for this 5950x, RTX 3-80, 64gb £3300 monster, the components used, installation layout, the cabling, have they made any obvious mistakes, let's find as we check the the system before powering up. and do check out my previous videos in this series on ordering a custom built systems from Scan Computers UK.

Tuesday, March 23, 2021

Budgies Flying Around Flowering Real Bird of Paradise Plant in VR 180 3D / Personal_Finance / Animals & Pets

By: Anika_Walayat

Our bird of paradise plant is starting to flower for 2021, add to that our to real budgie birds of paradise plant, throw in being flimed in VR 180 3D and you get this unique video, enjoy!

Monday, March 22, 2021

Stock Market After The FOMC – What’s Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: Chris_Vermeulen

I have received numerous emails and questions regarding the market’s set up and what to expect after the Triple-Witching event (FOMC, Futures/Options expiration) last week.  It appears many traders/investors are seeking some clarity related to price trends and the potential opportunities that are setting up in the US markets right now.  In this research article, my research team and I provide some greater detail related to what we believe is likely to happen over the next 5 to 8+ weeks.

Our recent Gann/Fibonacci research article drew quite a bit of attention from readers.  Their biggest concern was that we were suggesting a major peak in the markets could setup in early April 2021.  We want to be clear about this longer term market setup to make sure our readers and followers fully understand the implications of this technical pattern. 

A peak/top could start to setup anytime after April 1, 2021, based on the Gann/Fibonacci research we’ve completed.  But, that peak/top setup could also happen anytime between April 2021 and August 2021 (or slightly later).  Timing this pattern is not something we can accomplish very easily as the range of dates where this Gann/Fibonacci inflection level exists consists of about 5+ months.  The one key factor we continued to stress in that article was to “watch for a technical breakdown in price above the $379 to $380 price level on the SPY”.  Many readers may be able to comprehend what we are trying to say by this statement, but we’ll try to help clarify it by showing what it would look like on a price chart.

Monday, March 22, 2021

The No.1 Crypto Stock for 2021? / Companies / BlockChain

By: Submissions

Monday, March 22, 2021

US House Prices Real Terms BUY / SELL Indicator Trend Forecast / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

What does my primary indicator on the health of the US housing market say that has proven accurate for literally decades! Catching every major bull and bear market of the past 30 years! From it's first SELL signal in 1990 to it's last BUY in 2012. What do real terms US prices say for the prospects for 2021?

Saturday, March 20, 2021

Does AstraZeneca Vaccine Make You IMMORTAL? Getting Vaccinated - Get the Call Get the Jab! / Politics / Coronavirus 2021

By: N_Walayat

I got the call to get the jab earlier this week and booked my jab for the same day and roughly at same time as Boris Johnson Friday 19th, that little prick (not the Prime Minister) gives one a sense of release from the pandemic (I now it takes weeks to work), so has the Astra Zeneca vaccine made me immortal? Meanwhile the French do what they always do which is why they lost to Nelson at Waterloo! It's like they would rather die then use a British vaccine.

Porterbrook Medical centre, Sheffield, very efficient in the delivery of jabs into the people arms, contrast this to a year ago when the government and NHS were all fumbling in the dark for the light switch whilst tends of thousands died each week.