Tuesday, August 04, 2015

How to Build Consistent Trading Success / InvestorEducation / Learn to Trade

By: EWI

EWI's senior analyst Jeffrey Kennedy shares with you practical advice on what it takes to improve the quality of your trades.

You've heard it all before:

• If you want to trade using Elliott wave analysis, to succeed you first need to understand its rules and guidelines.
• You need a clearly defined trading strategy (what? when? how? etc.) and the discipline to follow it.
• Additionally, your long-term success depends on adequate capitalization, money management skills and emotional self-control.

Tuesday, August 04, 2015

Gold is Still a Falling Knife: Why I Remain Bearish in the Short Term / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Jason_Hamlin

Precious metals showed bullish technical signs in early 2015, including gold making a higher low at $1,141 versus the November 2014 low of $1,130. However, in late May gold failed to make a higher high, which was a pivot point and signal that lower prices could be ahead. This bearish signal was confirmed on July 20th, when gold dropped below both the 2014 and 2015 low and we published an article stating our bearish short-term outlook. Prices have continued to slide since then, with gold down another 4% and mining stocks falling by nearly 14%.

Tuesday, August 04, 2015

Crude Oil Price at Levels Not Seen Since March / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

Trading position (short-term; our opinion): Short positions with a stop-loss order at $65.23 are justified from the risk/reward perspective.

On Friday, crude oil declined sharply after news that production among OPEC members in July pushed supply at the oil cartel to its highest level in seven years. In this environment, light crude lost 3.45% and re-tested the Jul low. Where will oil bears take the commodity in the coming days?

Tuesday, August 04, 2015

Investment Silver Demand Draining COMEX Vaults / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: MoneyMetals

If there are words to characterize the precious metals markets for July, it would be “divergences” and “shortages.” There was heavy selling in the leveraged futures market and extraordinary buying demand and shortages in physical coins, rounds, and bars.

Despite turmoil surrounding Greece and a huge sell-off in Chinese equities, traders dumped wheelbarrow loads of paper gold and silver. The expected safe-haven buying was concentrated entirely in physical bullion. Spot prices fell relentlessly during the month.

Tuesday, August 04, 2015

The Troika Loan Shark Stock Market Rally  / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Doug_Wakefield

July has turned out to be a very volatile month for stocks, whether Asia, Europe, US, or worldwide. Every time it appeared that something from the real world of finance and economics might create at least another 10% “correction” from all time high readings in US stocks, “someone” was there to make certain that investors and traders - especially in Europe, Japan, and the US - saw no lasting impact from the events in China and Greece with their own investments.

Tuesday, August 04, 2015

Plan for Surviving Gold's Summer of Discontent / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: The_Gold_Report

While Randall Abramson, CEO and portfolio manager with Toronto-based Trapeze Asset Management, freely admits that we are living through the summer of discontent in "Commodityland," he says investors should step back and look at commodities, especially gold, from a macroeconomic and historical perspective. In this interview with The Gold Report, Abramson discusses the magnet he expects to pull gold to around $1,400/oz inside 12 months, and he also offers some of his favorite names in the gold space.

The Gold Report: July 13–20 was an unusual week in the gold market. In a May newsletter to Trapeze Asset Management clients, you argued that the glass is "half full" for investors given current macroeconomic signals. Much water has traveled under the bridge since. Has your view changed?

Monday, August 03, 2015

Stock Market SPX Triggers Sell Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX has now crossed below both the 50-day Moving Average and the 2-hour mid-Cycle support at 2097.72. SPX is back on an aggressive sell that becomes a confirmed sell below the 200-day Moving Average at 2069.43.

Monday, August 03, 2015

The Gold Investment Demand Juggernaut / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Michael_J_Kosares

Whenever the mainstream media decides to undertake one of its periodic attacks on gold and gold ownership, it almost always begins by laying out gold's long history as a proven inflation hedge. It then proceeds to explain that inflation is not a problem at the present, and, as a result, no one with any common sense would bother to own it. This argument is a set-up – a pretext meant to confuse investor thinking and redirect interest away from the one investment vehicle likely to do them some good in these uncertain times.

Monday, August 03, 2015

Stock Market High Risk Area? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Marty_Chenard

I have often commented how important the trending of the Institutional "core holdings" were. If you think about it ... here is a group that has millions of dollars available for research and who pick what they consider to be the best, strongest, and safest stocks to buy.

So the trending of their group of "core holdings" says more about what the market will do then most of the other indexes.

Monday, August 03, 2015

Five Currencies' Positioning in One Chart / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Combining the net speculative futures positions of all 5 major currencies against the USD, we find CHF positioning to remain the only net long against USD, ever since the SNB decision end its EURCHF peg in January. GBP positioning is the only currency to show steady improvement against USD. Currency-by-currency analysis below.

Monday, August 03, 2015

When China Stopped Acting Chinese / Economics / China Economy

By: John_Mauldin

“The one thing I know for sure about China is, I will never know China. It's too big, too old, too diverse, too deep. There's simply not enough time.”– Anthony Bourdain, Parts Unknown

Much of the world is focused on what is happening in Greece and Europe. A lot of people are paying attention to the Middle East and geopolitics. These are significant concerns, for sure; but what has been happening in China the past few months has more far-reaching global investment implications than Europe or the Middle East do. Most people are aware of the amazing run-up in the Shanghai stock index and the recent “crash.” The government intervened and for a time has halted the rapid drop in the markets.

Monday, August 03, 2015

Tesco Bank’s new 3.99% Two-year Fixed Rate Mortgage / Housing-Market / Mortgages

By: MoneyFacts

Below is a new product, which has been rated outstanding by Moneyfacts.co.uk, the highest rating we award.

Tesco Bank has just launched a new two-year fixed rate mortgage priced at 3.99% until 31.10.17. This deal is for applicants who borrow from £40,000 at 95% loan-to-value (LTV). A fee of £495 is payable, all of which can be added to the advance of the mortgage. An incentive package for remortgage customers of free valuation and free legal fees is available.

Monday, August 03, 2015

The Reality of Available Gold and Silver Bullion / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Peter_Schiff

Dickson Buchanan writes: The month of July has seen the most intense demand for physical gold and silver since April of 2013, setting numerous records for the year. On the heels of the spectacular drop in spot prices, buyers of physical metal have come out in droves. In fact, available supply is hardly able to keep up with the demand for immediate delivery of metals.

Monday, August 03, 2015

Stock Market Pullback at Hand, Gold About to Rally? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: Brad_Gudgeon

The stock market likely put in a failing 'b' wave top Friday at SPX 2114.  The attached charts show potential down as low as SPX 1920 for the coming decline into the expected August 11, 2015 low to as high as 2010.  The actual 40 week low is due on August 7, so I don't know if August 7 to 11 creates a double bottom reversal or not.  Usually, these types of bottoms are spike bottoms. 

The last 20 week low in March ran 7 TD's down to its low.  The rise last week reminds me of the late Nov/early Dec topping pattern (only that time it made a new high while this one has failed) and it projects down to August 11 and SPX 1930 based on the percentage differences, this one being 1.69 times as potent.

Monday, August 03, 2015

The Real Message of Plunging Commodities Prices / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Michael_Pento

The Chinese stock market recently saw its biggest selloff in 8 years as the dramatic 8.5% fall in Shanghai "A" shares also rattled markets around the world.

For the past few weeks China has been balancing its desire to keep the equity market from a complete meltdown, while still courting the international investment community with hopes of being a dominant player in the capital and currency markets.

Monday, August 03, 2015

Gold – The More Hate, The More Bullish We Become / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: SecularInvestor

After gold’s breakdown on Sunday July 20th, we have seen an avalanche of negative commentaries. Admittedly, from a chart perspective the breakdown does not bode well. We have to get that straight. The technical breakdown is going to lead the price of gold in US dollar terms towards $1,000 /oz, potentially lower.

But if we compare this breakdown in gold with the one in April and June of 2013, we would say the one from last week is a small dip on the long term chart while the one of 2013 was a real collapse. However, the negativity that was triggered by the latest small price drop is much stronger.

Monday, August 03, 2015

Silver Price - Are We There Yet? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

For an individual to fix Libor is a crime. For a central bank to suppress European bond yields is an act of financial statesmanship. - Jim Grant

ca·pit·u·la·tion

kəˌpiCHəˈlāSH(ə)n/

noun 

Monday, August 03, 2015

Crude Oil USO ETF Elliott Wave Analysis / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: WavePatternTraders

USO

It’s been 6 weeks since the last post of Oil http://www.wavepatterntraders.com/elliott-wave-analysis-of-uso-oil/ In that time we have a seen a great decline for those that have been short this market, looking at the gyrations I think based on the CL contract, I suspect USO is only ending wave 3, so whilst we should be close to a short term low for wave 3, the likelihood is that any bounce for wave 4 should prove to be a bull trap and then target new lows for wave 5.

Monday, August 03, 2015

Stock Market Report: Three’s a Crowd / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: WavePatternTraders

SPX

The SPX still appears to be inside the suspected ending diagonal pattern that has been going on from the Oct 2014 lows (aka Bullard lows). The overall look still appears to support the idea of a bearish wedge, or what Elliotticians call an ending diagonal, the back and forth whip is classic behavior for such a pattern, both the bulls and bears get taken to the cleaners as the market is likely ending the trend from the Oct 2011 lows. Once wave 3 or C is completed we should then embark on the largest decline since 2011.

Monday, August 03, 2015

Stock Market Critical Week Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market

Intermediate trend – SPX may have started an intermediate correction

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.