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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Commodities

Wednesday, July 22, 2015

Currencies Depend on Faith, Gold Doesn't / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Peter_Schiff

In his July 17th Blog, Let's Get Real About Gold, author and Wall Street Journal columnist Jason Zweig likened investor interest in gold with the "Pet Rock" craze of the 1970s, when consumers became convinced that a rock in a box would provide continuous companionship, elevate their social standing, and give them something hip to talk about at parties. Zweig asserts that investor faith in gold, which he argues is just another inert mineral with good marketing, is similarly irrational, and has kept people from putting money in the much more lucrative stock market.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, July 22, 2015

Stock Market Early Shorting Opportunity / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

This may be an early entry opportunity for shorts, since we may see SPX retrace all the way to yesterday’s close. This would be considered to be super aggressive, since the battered VIX isn’t registering any signals, yet.

I believe the VIX is being suppressed, in order to prevent investors to properly hedge for the decline. This would also discourage short-sellers, who rely on the VIX for their signal. This portends a very deep decline, since there is virtually no hedging and very little short-selling, which would provide a bottom for this decline as short-sellers take profits.

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Companies

Wednesday, July 22, 2015

Should Stock Investors You Buy Microsoft On the Dip? / Companies / Microsoft

By: AnyOption

Microsoft has had a rocky relationship with investors over the years, especially the last one. If you look at the numbers over the last two years, it looks like the stock has soared with a 48.59% increase. But if you take a look at the last year alone, it’s up only 5.37%. Year to date it’s even worse at 1.79%.

To say the company has struggled to stay innovative amid competition with the likes of Apple and Google is an understatement. There’s a cartoon that’s been floating around the internet for years showing two small children representing Google Chrome and Mozilla Firefox fighting it out, while another small child representing Windows Explorer is off in the corner eating glue.

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 22, 2015

Crude Oil Price Barrier of $50 Holds - For Now / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

Trading position (short-term; our opinion): Short positions with a stop-loss order at $65.23 are justified from the risk/reward perspective.

Although crude oil declined after the market's open, hitting a fresh multi-month low, the commodity rebounded in the following hours and closed the day above the Jul 7 low. Did this upswing change anything in the short-term picture of crude oil?

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 22, 2015

Silver and the Deflation Thesis / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

56,859 contracts represents over 284 million ounces of silver in a market with a total of just under 1 billion ounces in open contracts (open interest of 197,092) and a combined warehouse “physical” inventory of just over 180 million ounces.

I decided to make public and expand upon one section in my private newsletter weekly commentary.

As silver was monkey-hammered once again this week, I got the usual “see that, Harry Dent was right. Silver is going down” response.

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 22, 2015

Gold Price Crash - Trend Forecast 2015, Gold Stocks Buying Opportunity? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The gold price bear market has continued in 2015 since its mid January 2015 peak of $1307 that had fooled many gold bugs into assuming that the preceding multi-year bear market was finally over and that 2015 would see a strong price rally to possibly even new all time highs! However, so far 2015 has seen a series of failed rally's rolling over into downtrends to new lows, punctuated by flash crash days such as that which took place on the 19th of July that saw a series of flash crashes that lasted no more than a couple of seconds that took the gold price to well under $1,100, to a new five year low of $1080 before recovering to currently stand just over $1,100.

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Politics

Wednesday, July 22, 2015

The Three Reasons Behind Iran’s Resistance to the Nuclear Deal / Politics / Iran

By: ...

MoneyMorning.com Dr. Kent Moors writes: Years ago, when I was doing monthly analysis on Iran’s oil and gas industry, one of the biggest quandaries was trying to make market sense out of what came from the leadership in Tehran.

Well, the past 48 hours have brought me back to those days.

Back then, it was not unusual for Iran’s religious and political heads to shoot themselves in the foot economically every time they opened their mouths on policy matters. And Iran remains one of the most convoluted webs of power relationships and brokerages anywhere.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, July 22, 2015

Market Bubble in Trouble? Rinse & Repeat / Interest-Rates / Liquidity Bubble

By: EWI

Our new, FREE report shows you specific areas of the U.S. stock market that have become dangerously frothy

When I was in college, I had this weekly ritual. I'd drive home to my parents' house every Friday, run inside to say hello, grab some food, and leave several bags of dirty laundry to be picked up the next morning.

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 22, 2015

Winning the Hunger Games - How to Choose Successful Agriculture Investments / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: The_Energy_Report

Starting with the premise that people have to eat, The Agletter Editor Tom Wallace has found productive fields in the many subsectors of the ag investment space. Without discounting the risks, he explains to The Energy Report how investors can recognize and hedge those risks. Wallace also names three favorite companies that span the spectrum, from planting the seed to foodstuff.

The Energy Report: Is investing in agriculture like investing in any other commodity, or do investors new to the space need to get familiar with special considerations?

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Currencies

Wednesday, July 22, 2015

US Dollar Breakout / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Ed_Carlson

The previous Friday's expected cycle low was successful in starting a rally last week in which the US Dollar had its best week since May. DXY gained 1.89% to close at 97.99 above the June 1 high and printed an engulfing bullish candlestick on the weekly chart.

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Economics

Wednesday, July 22, 2015

Japan Ageing Population Still a Problem With No Solution / Economics / Japan Economy

By: Rodney_Johnson

There’s a village in Japan where the dead outnumber the living, and I don’t mean the ancestors in the cemetery. The bodies are dispersed around the small town of Nagoro.

It’s a small community of some 35 people, most in their 60s or older. The place is so sparsely populated that the locals consider their 150-plus dead a part of their community.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, July 22, 2015

Are Free Markets The Solution? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: Harry_Dent

You’ve probably seen the Jack Link’s Beef Jerky commercials where unsuspecting campers think it would be fun to mess with Sasquatch – an eight-foot tall, 400-lb. freak of nature.

I like these commercials. What kind of idiot thinks they can get away with that?

When you mess with Mother Nature, she knocks you out with a fist to the face or a kick in the ribs.

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Commodities

Tuesday, July 21, 2015

Gold Hammered “Unprecedented Attack” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: GoldCore

- Gold market comes under “unprecedented attack” – Telegraph
– “Sharp drop bore similarities to bear raids by Chinese funds” – FT
- Paper contracts for 57 tonnes of gold dumped onto market in two minutes
- Gold still holding up in euros, Canadian dollar and other currencies
- Very negative sentiment towards gold signals close to bottom
- Physical gold still vital financial insurance despite simplistic anti gold narrative 

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Politics

Tuesday, July 21, 2015

Down with the U.S. Constitution! / Politics / US Politics

By: Antonius_Aquinas

It has been quite an eventful and productive couple of weeks for the forces of statism in the former “land of the free, and home of the brave.”

The federal government’s highest court has enshrined “perversity” into law, guaranteeing untold amounts of future litigation while infringing on the right of freedom of association and, just as important, “disassociation” for those who rightly consider sodomy an abomination which wantonly mocks the Author of the natural law.

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Politics

Tuesday, July 21, 2015

The Turkish Enigma / Politics / Turkey

By: STRATFOR

By George Friedman: In my "Net Assessment of the World," I argued that four major segments of the European and Asian landmass were in crisis: Europe, Russia, the Middle East (from the Levant to Iran) and China. Each crisis was different; each was at a different stage of development. Collectively the crises threatened to destabilize the Eurasian landmass, the Eastern Hemisphere, and potentially generate a global crisis. They do not have to merge into a single crisis to be dangerous. Four simultaneous crises in the center of humanity's geopolitical gravity would be destabilizing by itself. However, if they began to merge and interact, the risks would multiply. Containing each crisis by itself would be a daunting task. Managing crises that were interlocked would press the limits of manageability and even push beyond.

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Personal_Finance

Tuesday, July 21, 2015

Bank Current Account Overdraft Fees Hit a High, Attacking Careful Customers / Personal_Finance / Current Accounts

By: MoneyFacts

Research by Moneyfacts.co.uk reveals that considerate customers who plan their authorised overdraft are being rewarded with higher fees, while those who fall into an unauthorised overdraft are seeing their costs reduce.

Providers traditionally charged interest on the amount customers borrowed in their overdraft, but in recent years other fees, such as usage fees, have been introduced. These fees sit either alongside the usual interest rate or in its place, and are designed to make bank charges clearer.

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Politics

Tuesday, July 21, 2015

I Am A Citizen of the World And My Religion Is To Do Good / Politics / Religion

By: Michael_T_Bucci

"I am a citizen of the world and my religion is to do good," said Thomas Paine, American revolutionary and pamphleteer. He didn't use a gun; he used a pen. Like today, a tangible paradigm shift occurred that shook the foundations of the old monarchial order to clear a path for 'the rights of man'.  Those rights are under fire today in America, Great Britain and the EU. Market forces have appropriated democracy for itself. The Seven Deadly Sins have become beatitudes and virtues. God died in the 1960's, said Time magazine.  Today, Divinity is called Universe and Universe includes Planet Earth, should it survive.

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Commodities

Tuesday, July 21, 2015

Gold and Silver: The Final Capitulation Commences / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Bob_Kirtley

The first 10 years of the bull market in gold was in hindsight plain sailing allowing us to generate profits by sticking with the trend. Alas all bull markets come to an end and so it did in 2011 when gold peaked at $1900/oz. Silver, despite having numerous industrial uses also felt the draft and fell dramatically along with the mining sector which lost approximately 70% of its value during a 3 year period of pure carnage.

This pattern of falling stock prices interrupted by sudden price hikes has characterized the precious metals sector for the last three years or so. Unfortunately the bounces were rarely of the same magnitude of the preceding falls in prices and so we have witnessed the Gold Bugs Index, the HUI, fall from a high of 630 to a close today of 113, recording a drop of some 80% in the value of these stocks. 

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, July 21, 2015

Stock Market No Fireworks Yet, But We May Have Seen the Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

I was amazed this afternoon to see the top come in 61 days from the high on May 21, very close to 3:30 pm on both days. Due to the July 4 holiday, this turned out to be precisely 43 market days, to the hour, from top to top.

This is no guarantee of a top, but as I mentioned earlier, today was indicated by the Cycles Model as an important Cycle high. In fact, my earlier prognostications suggested that today might be a lower high in SPX, which it was. But I am marking it as a slightly truncated Wave 5 of (5) high, since it is only 190 ticks lower than the previous high.

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Commodities

Tuesday, July 21, 2015

Is Gold a Stupid "Pet Rock" or a Bedrock Asset? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: MoneyMetals

Greece defaulted at the end of June, and metals investors expected higher prices in July. What we expected isn’t what we got. It isn’t the first or last time markets surprised investors. Do lower spot prices mean precious metals are failing as a safe-haven investment?

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