Tuesday, January 12, 2016
Silver, Silliness, Gold, and Risk / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
The movie “The Big Short” features Michael Burry. His statement from Zerohedge:
“It seems the world is headed toward negative real interest rates on a global scale. This is toxic. Interest rates are used to price risk, and so in the current environment, the risk pricing mechanism is broken.”
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Tuesday, January 12, 2016
Stock Market Retracement is Already Underway / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
Good Morning!
SPX Premarket is higher by 18 points at present. However, it had declined in the overnight futures to the cash equivalent of 2006.00, then rallied higher from there, fulfilling the requirement for Wave b and launching Wave c.
The current price at 2043.60 is only the Fibonacci 23.6% level. As mentioned yesterday, 1970.03 (at the same level as the 4.25-year trendline) is the 38.2% retracement level.
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Tuesday, January 12, 2016
Sales Surge After U.S. Mint Quadruples Silver Eagles Allocation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
American Eagle silver coin sales jumped on Monday after the U.S. Mint said it set the first weekly allocation of 2016 at 4 million ounces, roughly four times the amount rationed in the last five months of 2015, after a surge in demand.
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Tuesday, January 12, 2016
Credit Cards Providers Fresh Battle for Balance Transfer Customers / Personal_Finance / Credit Cards & Scoring
The start of 2016 has initiated a fresh rate war between credit card providers, who have become embroiled in an intense battle to attract new customers.
Research from Moneyfacts.co.uk reveals that Bank of Scotland, Halifax, Lloyds Bank, TSB, Barclaycard and Tesco Bank have all scrambled to make changes to their balance transfer credit cards since the turn of the year by extending the interest-free terms or reducing the introductory balance transfer fee. Virgin Money also launched a 38-month 0% interest balance transfer deal (with a 2.79% fee) last week.
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Tuesday, January 12, 2016
Stock Market Last Hour Rally Puts Indices Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The stock market indices started the week off on a very negative note with a pop at the opening, an immediate 5-wave decline, and by mid-afternoon they reached their lows at 4220 Nasdaq 100 and 1901 S&P 500. A bounced ensued, followed by a pullback retest that was successful, and then an explosive market rally late in the session, taking the Nasdaq 100 from 4230 to 4300, 70 points straight up in less than 25 minutes, and the S&P 500 went from 1905 to 1930. They pulled back a little into the close, but finished positive on the session.
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Tuesday, January 12, 2016
Betrayed By The Gold Silver Ratio ? Gold Bug heresy? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
“ET TU BRUTE ?” “Cuo Bono ?”
“It's a long time from now to never....” Says 'John Snow' in Game of Thrones. In my opinion, probably as far as from here / now to “It must go back to....” uttered so much in the worship of the Gold Silver Ratio (GSR). And yet it doesn't, at least not until you suffer your stops being run and a loss of capital, or worse. Your Capital was just betrayed at the hands of The GSR.
Tuesday, January 12, 2016
Your Guns Will be Consficated, Disarm Americans Ensure Full-blown Submission / Politics / US Politics
Ladies and Gentlemen; the Imperial Storm Troopers are ready to neutralize the threat from the American people against the Colonial Empire. Obama has declared war to the cheers of the progressive imbeciles, who are the most avid abettor of the Totalitarian Collectivist society. You may not get a visit from ATF, DHS or FBI any day soon, but you can be sure your society is being SWAT by the government domestic terrorists carrying out the wishes of a tyrannical regime. The political class and the underlings that implement their illegitimate dictates want to disarm the public out of fear the peasants may storm the castle. Guns and bullets are only instruments of protection. The crucial war on populist independence is waged against the minds, hearts and souls of thinking and fearless Americans.
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Tuesday, January 12, 2016
Stocks Bull Market Hanging By A Thread..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The S&P 500 uptrend line from 2009 is hanging on by a thread. During the day it went far below only to take it back late but barely. 1925 the level, and with a close at 1923 that's a hold. You need a strong, powerful close below to get the market to fail fully. We are close, but no cigar yet. In time I do believe the market will lose this key level with force, but we may be too oversold short-term, although that is by no means a guarantee. Bear market stays oversold, but the levels of oversold here are unusual. Near zero stochastic's on many index charts. Some as low as 0.59 today.
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Tuesday, January 12, 2016
The U.S. Wants to Seize Your Passport…Here’s What You Can Do About It / Politics / US Politics
By Nick Giambruno
Alexander Solzhenitsyn was a talented Russian writer and outspoken critic of the Soviet Union’s totalitarianism. He helped raise global awareness of the Gulag forced labor camp system.
For his efforts, the Soviet government stripped him of his citizenship in 1974. It did the same - and worse - to many other people it considered internal enemies.
Tuesday, January 12, 2016
Stock Market Correction May be Underway... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
I would be remiss if I didn’t report this observation, so here goes…
It appears that the decline from December 29 may have completed a five-wave impulsive decline in 56 hours (8 days). This matches the time that it took to decline from November 29 to December 14 and is 1.62 times the length of that decline.
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Tuesday, January 12, 2016
Shipping Said to Have Ceased… Is the Worldwide Economy Grinding to a Halt? / Economics / Global Economy
Last week, I received news from a contact who is friends with one of the biggest billionaire shipping families in the world. He told me they had no ships at sea right now, because operating them meant running at a loss.
This weekend, reports are circulating saying much the same thing: The North Atlantic has little or no cargo ships traveling in its waters. Instead, they are anchored. Unmoving. Empty.
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Tuesday, January 12, 2016
Here is How You Fix the Oil Market / Commodities / Crude Oil
Monday, January 11, 2016
Economic Recession, Could the Unthinkable Happen in 2016? / Economics / Recession 2016
The most important question investors should be asking at this point isn’t whether the secular bull market which began in 2009 is over, but whether continued equity market weakness in 2016 will lead to the unthinkable, namely an economic recession. A recession in 2016 has been deemed virtually impossible by most mainstream economists, so much so that all discussion of this possibility has evaporated. And while most U.S. economic data categories are still admittedly strong, the persistent weakness under the surface of the equity market over the last several months demands that the topic be reexamined.
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Monday, January 11, 2016
Junk Rhymes with Subprime / Interest-Rates / Corporate Bonds
On December 16th 2008, in what Ben Bernanke averred took a tremendous amount of "moral courage", the Federal Reserve officially arrived at its Zero Interest Rate Policy. ZIRP was a huge win for borrowers because it drove down the carrying cost of debt to historic lows. Unfortunately, savers didn't fare as well.
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Monday, January 11, 2016
Crude Oil Price Closed Week under 2009 Low! / Commodities / Crude Oil
Trading position (short-term; our opinion): Short positions (with a stop-loss order at $39.12) are justified from the risk/reward perspective.
On Friday, crude oil lost 1.14% as concerns over a global supply glut, the situation in China and the Middle East continued to weigh on investors sentiment. Thanks to these circumstances, light crude closed the week under the 2009 low. Does it mean that we’ll see a test of the barrier of $30 in the coming weeks?
Monday, January 11, 2016
Think Tiny When it Comes to 2016 Real Estate Investments / Housing-Market / UK Housing
Larissa James writes: For years, homes have been getting bigger and bigger. As a result, real estate investors have tied their money up in massive properties and McMansions. And while there will always be a demand for large luxury homes, there’s a growing trend that’s evolving into a new real estate investment opportunity. They’re classified as “tiny homes,” but cash flow is anything but tiny for those willing to take on new risks.
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Monday, January 11, 2016
Stock Market Bulls are Rethinking Their Positions... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
SPX just took out Friday’s low at 1918.46 and may be resuming the decline to 1880.00. What we witnessed on Friday was not a fourth wave pattern. The next alternative pattern may be an extended third wave. We must wait for the decline to give us more definition before labeling it, since there are several alternatives.
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Monday, January 11, 2016
A Stock Market Bear Party Perhaps / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
This blog post is a continuation of the bearish theme I highlighted and posted for you back in December, titled: Game Changing Action
Maybe 2016 will be the year when equity bears finally get to celebrate. Although I wouldn’t call an end to the “buy the dip” era quite yet, the current market has a different type of feel and vibe to it. Many people believe – and there is supporting historical evidence – that as January goes for equities, so goes the year. Bulls should hope this axiom doesn’t hold in 2016. The month is still young, but the first week of January ushered in the worst 5-day start to a year in the S&P 500’s history. The last time the market started a year this poorly was 2008, and we know how that turned out.
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Monday, January 11, 2016
The “Hanging in There” Game for Oil Producers / Commodities / Oil Companies
9.2 Million Barrels
The latest EIA report shows the US Production rate steady and holding at the 9.2 million barrels per day. And although there have been some anecdotal reports out of Canada at the start of the year on this recent down leg in oil prices, that this has triggered them to shut down production, that at these prices it makes no sense to continue operations; the rest of the beleaguered producers in the oil space are continuing to operate and hold on throwing more bad money after bad money.
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Monday, January 11, 2016
Another Poor Year for UK Annuity Rates / Personal_Finance / Pensions & Retirement
New research from Moneyfacts has revealed that 2015 was another poor year for annuity rates as low gilts, uncertainty created by the new pension freedoms and preparations for Solvency II took their toll.
Annuity rates have more than halved since 1994
The research found that annuity rates in 2015 fell for the second year running, and have now declined in 17 out of the 21 calendar years since Moneyfacts started surveying the annuity market in 1994. During this period the average annual income payable from a standard level without guarantee annuity has fallen by a considerable 56%.
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