Thursday, December 31, 2015
Stock Market Topping Out / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Gary_Savage
As you can see in the NYA chart below the SPX, the underlying stock market is topping out and likely trying to begin a bear market. The NYA quit going up as soon as the dollar started to surge in May of last year.
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Thursday, December 31, 2015
Will A Cascading 'Crackup-Boom' Start In The 'Peripheral Nations'? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Gordon_T_Long
This Chart Is Regularly In Gordontlong.Com's Monthly Mata Report
Thursday, December 31, 2015
Crude Oil and Gold – What Can We Infer from This Relationship? / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Nadia_Simmons
Trading position (short-term; our opinion): Short positions (with a stop-loss order at $39.12 and an initial downside target at $33.66) are justified from the risk/reward perspective.
Although crude oil moved higher yesterday, the key resistance lines continue to keep gains in check. What does it mean for the commodity? Will the oil-to-gold ratio give us more clues about future moves?
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Thursday, December 31, 2015
Tech Stocks and Gold Big Picture, Big Moves Brewing / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
By: Rambus_Chartology
Since gold topped out in 2011 it has been in a confirmed and unrelenting bear market. Since that bull market high in gold the INDU has been outperforming gold in a big way. The first chart I would like to show you is a combo chart which has the INDU:GOLD ratio chart on top and GOLD on the bottom. As you can see both the INDU:GOLD ratio chart on top and GOLD on the bottom reversed direction in 2011 with the ratio chart on top showing the INDU moving in a near parabolic move against gold. Gold on the bottom chart is showing a near parabolic move lower since its 2011 bull market peak. Since October of this year both have hit their respective parabolic trendlines as shown by the blue arrows. If this combo chart continues to play out then we should see the INDU keep outperforming gold going forward. The ratio chart on top shows the price action getting very close to breaking out into new highs and gold is very close to breaking down to new lows since the big reversal took place in 2011. All this chart means is that the INDU should keep outperforming gold until something changes this fact.
Thursday, December 31, 2015
Why Austrian Investing Is Important In The Era Of State Imposed Fiat Money / Economics / Fiat Currency
By: GoldSilverWorlds
We are living in extreme times. When it comes to investing, the economy and markets, the extreme monetary policies of central banks all over the world should be top of mind of every investor.
To make our point, we refer to the 3 following charts that readers know by now … But it always helps to put things in perpsective. Our focus here is on the time period as of 1971 which will likely go in history books as the era of the “Great Monetary Experiment” (or something alike).
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Thursday, December 31, 2015
Gold and Silver 2016 Outlook / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
The precious metals sector will close 2015 entrenched in a seemingly forever bear market. Most of the sector has been in a bear market for over four and a half years. Gold’s bear market will reach four and a half years in a few months. Meanwhile the US Dollar’s bull market remains strong and is likely to continue. In this article we discuss our 2016 big picture outlook for the US Dollar, Gold and gold stocks.
Thursday, December 31, 2015
A Look Back At Stock Market 2015...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
While 2015 was a boring year for the market, it wasn't boring for traders, and the experience overall was not a good one. It was the year of transition. The year where the bulls didn't get spoon fed the way they had for so many years prior. They had become accustomed to getting exactly what they want all the time. If the market fell a bit, no worries. It'll just blast back up in short order. It was the year when the market said not so easy this time. Time after time! As the year moved along we saw the bull-bear spread tumble lower, getting as low as 7% last week after hitting near 47% just a few months back. The constant neutrality has been playing on the emotions of those ravaging bulls. The giving-up process began after roughly eight months of being left in the cold due to high expectations.
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Thursday, December 31, 2015
Keep Alert for a Stock Market Breakdown / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX remains above its 50-day Moving Average at 2066.13. However, it may be finalizing a reversal pattern that may lead to lower prices. Keep an eye out for the breakdown.
Thursday, December 31, 2015
Stock Market December 2015: Into 2016 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Donald_W_Dony
Bull market tailwinds continue to push the S&P 500 forward in 2016. Positive markers include the rising U.S. dollar, the trend of the U.S. Yield Curve, the on-going decline in unemployment and the steady upward trend in the U.S. Consumer confidence.
Over the past 40 years, the U.S. dollar has had a close relationship with the S&P 500.
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Wednesday, December 30, 2015
The Crude Oil Price 2016 Prediction Game / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: EconMatters
Anybody who tells you they know where the oil market is headed for 2016 is inexperienced, too stupid to realize there are far too many variables in play that are unknowable to predict with any accuracy their effects on other variables in the oil equation, talking their own respective books, just piling in with the recent herd mentality on the street, giving an opinion about as valid as the best paint color for a room, or like to see themselves on television talking about the hot market moving topic du jour.
Wednesday, December 30, 2015
Today's Turn Date May Influence the Markets / Forecasts / Financial Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
The SPX Premarket is down 5 points as I write. That is not enough in itself to declare that the top has been made, but today happens to be a combined Trading Cycle and Primary Cycle Pivot. Confirmation may come with the decline beneath the 50-day Moving Average at 2066.04 and/or the 2-hour mid-Cycle support and trendline at 2061.18.
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Wednesday, December 30, 2015
$10 Trillion Investment Needed To Avoid Massive Oil Price Spike Says OPEC / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: OilPrice_Com
OPEC says that $10 trillion worth of investment will need to flow into oil and gas through 2040 in order to meet the world’s energy needs.The OPEC published its World Oil Outlook 2015 (WOO) in late December, which struck a much more pessimistic note on the state of oil markets than in the past. On the one hand, OPEC does not see oil prices returning to triple-digit territory within the next 25 years, a strikingly bearish conclusion. The group expects oil prices to rise by an average of about $5 per year over the course of this decade, only reaching $80 per barrel in 2020. From there, it sees oil prices rising slowly, hitting $95 per barrel in 2040.
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Wednesday, December 30, 2015
Business Mergers Soar in 2015 / Companies / Mergers & Acquisitions
By: BATR
What does a CEO do when the economy is in a persistent down turn and your business cannot expand or grow? Jump at the time tested strategy of acquisition to gain market share seems to be the response in 2015. Yet a merger is no sure thing. Anyone remember AOL’s deal to buy Time Warner. How did that turn out? Just how much additional efficiency can be squeezed out of any company? In the era of part time contract workers and low wages, all the fat has been long gone. As for research and development in new technology or products, how will such innovation be marketed in an economy infatuated with the promise of Amazon Prime drone deliveries?
Wednesday, December 30, 2015
Stock Market Santa Claus Rally or The Start of Something Bigger? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Clif_Droke
Stocks are trying to live up to the expectations for a year-end "Santa Claus" rally. Most of the market's improving internal condition is due to the latest strength in the energy sector, with the NYSE Oil Index (XOI) rallying some 6% from its recent lows.
Although recent trading volume has been far lighter than normal, the NYSE advance/decline ratio for Dec. 23 was an exceptional 13:1 in favor of upside volume. That completely reversed the 1:11 downside volume day on Dec. 11. It also was the first time since Oct. 5 that the up/down volume ratio has been so high in favor of advancing volume. While the Dec. 23 big volume ratio may have been a holiday-related aberration, if it's followed by a 9:1 up/down volume ratio in the next few days it will qualify as a major volume reversal signal which would mean at least a temporary reprieve from the selling pressure of the last few months.
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Wednesday, December 30, 2015
Gold a Safe Harbor on an Ocean of Excess Reserves / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Michael_J_Kosares
"We had initially asked to pay interest [in 2006] on reserves for technical reasons. But in 2008, we needed the authority to solve an increasingly serious problem: the risk that our emergency lending, which had the side effect of increasing bank reserves, would lead short-term interest rates to fall below our federal funds target and thereby cause us to lose control of monetary policy. When banks have lots of reserves, they have less need to borrow from each other, which pushes down the interest rate on that borrowing — the federal funds rate." Ben Bernanke, The Courage to Act
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Wednesday, December 30, 2015
China Impending Real Estate Housing Market Crash / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Harry_Dent
We woke up this morning to find oil prices weighing on the market… again… with China suffering the biggest losses. Oil prices have already kept stocks at bay in the best time of the year.
Funny how this “Santa Claus” rally that I predicted wouldn’t happen this year, didn’t. The last time was in 2007 and 2008 – the last years the stock market crashed.
Wednesday, December 30, 2015
U.S. Taxes - How I Beat the IRS / Personal_Finance / Taxes
By: Rodney_Johnson
A month ago I got a love letter from the IRS. Well, it didn’t exactly express emotion, but it definitely made clear they wanted to see me, and soon.I was being audited.
The tax year in question was 2013, and they wanted to focus on K-1’s, basis for stock transactions, charitable contributions, and health insurance payments. I did what anyone would do. I called my accountant.
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Wednesday, December 30, 2015
Does The National Debt Supercycle Override The Normal U.S. Interest Rate Cycle? / Interest-Rates / US Debt
By: Dan_Amerman
Markets and economies usually run in cycles and there have been numerous previous reversals where falling interest rates have been replaced by rising interest rates. The soothing reassurances from many financial authorities and much of the financial media are that there is no need for the general public to worry - because this sort of thing is quite normal.
But is this actually true? Have we really been "here" before?
Or are there are major differences between this time around and the previous cycles of rising interest rates which mean that much of recent history may not apply at all?
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Wednesday, December 30, 2015
Get Your Money Out of Italian Banks Now! Austerity and Bail-Ins Fan Populist Flames / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2015
By: Mike_Shedlock
Austerity and Bail-Ins Fan Populist Flames
The Italian economy is growing, albeit barely. But Italy is still saddled with massive amounts of debt.
Citizens are upset about a recovery that has passed most of them by. For example, youth unemployment is a whopping 39.8%.
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Wednesday, December 30, 2015
The War On Cash Is Now Being Rolled Out At An Incredible Speed / Currencies / War on Cash
By: Jeff_Berwick
In the old days there used to be bank robbers… old Westerns were full of the stories. Now, the banks rob you.
It’s all part of a grand scheme to turn the entire world into indentured servants under total control.
Here is where the world is headed: Countries like India are already building corporately sponsored cities, municipal environments where people live in the same place they work.
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