Tuesday, April 12, 2016
Gold Money or Digital Money? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Guest Post from Graham Reinders, an intelligent man with vast experience. (slightly edited)
What Do We Want From Gold?
- Roosevelt proved that gold was a political/financial tool, and its value is politically governed.
- Nixon proved two things: that the “Gold Standard” was nothing more than an arbitrary political tool, and indeed he made gold “legally” not money anymore. To make it illegal is an easy step if necessary. Gold is now such a small fraction of the economy I do not think it matters except as an underground currency.
Tuesday, April 12, 2016
Gold Commitments of Traders / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
There was little change in this week’s Commitments of Traders report when it came to the positioning of traders within the gold futures market.
Here is an updated chart reflecting the current composition.
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Tuesday, April 12, 2016
Silver Price Surges 8% In 6 Days To Over $16 Per Ounce / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Silver bullion prices surged 3.65% yesterday and have surged 8% in just six trading days. Silver rose 56 cents from $15.34 to $15.90 per ounce yesterday, made further gains in Asian and early European trading and broke above the psychological resistance of $16 per ounce.
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Tuesday, April 12, 2016
Cold Shoulder for UK Savers as Market is Hit by Interest Rate Cuts / Personal_Finance / Savings Accounts
Data from Moneyfacts.co.uk can reveal that rate reductions in the savings market have now outweighed rate rises for six consecutive months.
In March, Moneyfacts recorded just 18 savings rate rises. Disappointingly, rate reductions over the same period completely overshadowed this figure, with the number of rate decreases over the month hitting 123, which means that 87% of rate changes were cuts.
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Tuesday, April 12, 2016
Stock Market Late Day Selling Again....Oscillators Up High And Crossing Down.. / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
A second consecutive day for the markets with a late push lower after being up strongly for the day. The Friday push lower still allowed for some slight gains, but a black candle was printed, which should have led to a down open this morning. Not to be as the market gapped up big this morning due to more fed stuff. Ms Yellen was meeting President Obama, and the usual bulls said why not, let's get this market even higher. It worked well, until the last hour of action when a big sell hit, which was enough to turn all the indexes slightly red for the day.
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Tuesday, April 12, 2016
Long and Intermediate Trends Crushing Gold and Silver Commercials… / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger discusses the tug-of-war going on between the Japanese yen and the U.S. dollar/Chinese yuan, and its effect on precious metals.
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Tuesday, April 12, 2016
Silver Price Climbs to $16, Confirming Gold’s Breakout / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Hi Ho Silver, Away!
Precious metals have registered a blistering start to the year. After more than four years of defeat, gold bulls once again have something to be excited about. The gold price is up 19% year to date and the mining stock ETF (GDX) is up over 60% since the start of the year. Not bad for a barbarous relic!
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Monday, April 11, 2016
Subprime Debt Makes a Comeback; Auto Loan Crisis is Here / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2016
"A great calamity is as old as the trilobites an hour after it has happened." ~ Oliver Wendell Holmes
Greed and recklessness continue to govern the markets; nothing was learned from the 2008 financial crisis. Hence, history is destined to repeat itself, and this might occur a lot faster than most anticipate. Fitch states that Subprime Auto bond delinquencies are at a 20 year high.
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Monday, April 11, 2016
HUI Goldbugs Index : Some Perfect Chartology / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
Below is a daily chart for the HUI which shows one of the original patterns that formed the, what turned out to be a Diamond reversal pattern to the upside. There are at least several more reversal patterns that formed at this most important low. As you can see the Diamond had seven reversal point making it a reversal pattern to the upside. The breakout was accompanied by a gap and then a backtest to the top rail. Everything looked good to go at that point then after just four days of rallying the HUI quickly reversed direction and traded below the apex of the blue triangle which is not what I wanted to see as that usually is a bearish setup in this case.
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Monday, April 11, 2016
Energy Sector Set To Save the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Over the past few week, we have seen the price of crude oil pullback from its recent high of $42 per barrel level. Last week April 4-8th the price of crude oil pulled back to a technical support zone and then posted a strong gain closing the weekly chart at the high.
Based on short-term technical indicators, along with the current momentum which crude oil has, I feel we will see the recent highs of $42 a barrel tested once again.
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Monday, April 11, 2016
Crude Oil Stocks - For the Bulls or Bears? / Commodities / Oil Companies
In the previous month, crude oil extended gains and climbed above the barrier of $40. Despite this improvement, the combination of resistance levels encouraged oil bears to act, which resulted in erasing 40% of the previous upward move. What happened at the same time with oil stocks? What's next for the XOI? Let's jump right into charts (chart courtesy of http://stockcharts.com ) and find out what can we infer from them about future moves.
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Monday, April 11, 2016
SPX May Have Topped this Morning / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
SPX topped out at 2062.93 and promptly turned back down. New short positions may be added here. Confirmation comes beneath Short-term support at 2051.37. Stops may be put in at 2065.00 to 2067.50.
ZeroHedge comments, “This morning's 160 point spike in Dow Futures - out of nowhere - was predicated on hopes of an Italian bank bailout. While this may seem like an odd reason to "buy buy buy" US equities, in the new normal, it really is not.. and when put in context, the 'bounce' in EU banks should do more to scare than soften investors' concerns...”
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Monday, April 11, 2016
Commercial Gold Traders Appear to be Losing Their Grip! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
For years the best trading strategy in gold and silver has been to buy when the ‘net short’ position of commercial traders was low, and sell when the numbers were high.
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Monday, April 11, 2016
UK Government EU Referendum Propaganda Leaflet Backfires as Anger Spurs BrExit Support / ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum
The Conservative government's baldrick-esk cunning plan of using £10 million of tax payers money to send out 27 million pro-Remain propaganda leaflets to Britains households looks to have badly backfired as its announcement has increasingly been met with a wall of anger from the electorate at what is seen as blatant attempts to gerrymander the election by the establishment by spending TAX PAYERs money on a leaflet the cost of which is EXCLUDED from the supposed £7 million election spending limits for either LEAVE or REMAIN camps.
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Monday, April 11, 2016
Time to Invest for Stagflation / Stock-Markets / Stagflation
Whether you call it a 1970's style stagflation or, as we call it, a recessflation, investors need to prepare their portfolios to profit from a protracted period of rising prices in the context of zero growth. Here are some facts: Growth in the U.S. has averaged just 2% since 2010. However, Q4 2015 GDP growth grew at a 1.4% annualized rate and the Atlanta Fed model has Q1 GDP growth slowing to just 0.1%. The simple truth is that the rate of growth is slowing towards 0%, just as asset prices continue to rise to record levels due to vast intervention from central banks.
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Monday, April 11, 2016
Bank Bail-Ins In EU as Heta "Bailed In" In Austria / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2016
Bank bail-ins in the EU are here after Austria’s financial markets regulator FMA imposed a hefty haircut on creditors in an Austrian bank. Creditors in the bank Heta Asset Resolution will receive less than half of their money back according to the country’s financial regulator, the FMA.
Senior bondholders in the so called “bad bank” could expect to receive around €0.46 for each euro which would be paid from the realisation of assets by 2020, according to the FMA statement. It said that this had been calculated using “very conservative” assumptions.
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Monday, April 11, 2016
Still No Clear Stock Market Short-Term Direction As Investors Await Quarterly Earnings / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,100, and profit target at 1,950, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Monday, April 11, 2016
Buy-to-let Mortgage Providers Slash Interest Rates / Housing-Market / Buy to Let
The buy-to-Let (BTL) market has recently been under extra pressure thanks to stamp duty changes and recently-announced affordability tests, so a sudden rise in mortgage rates would not have been unexpected. However, research from Moneyfacts.co.uk can reveal that, in fact, the opposite has occurred.
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Monday, April 11, 2016
Market Manipulation for Dummies - Video / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
Transcript excerpt: hi it's Monday April we laugh and 2016 it's about 9:40 London time in the
morning and I'm gonna talk about market manipulation and it's always strange
subject because we can't really prove it because we can't go to the banks warned
treasury departments of countries and say oh did you intervene you know at
such-and-such a time because they say oh we can't divulge exact client private
client information
well I'll start today and not put a link these photos on you know below in the
description because I can't really showed them because they're Getty Images
by you have a link to the website and photos and it says John snow towards
Monday, April 11, 2016
Gold Mining Shares Topping, Drop Due / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
Either we saw a top in the mining shares Friday or we will see it on Monday. The cycles suggest a low around April 19th and the e-wave pattern suggests a continuation higher after the bottom is put in, likely into early June.
The 8 year low still looms in the fall. I still believe we will see lower prices after the spring rally terminates, and lower stock prices and a strong dollar play havoc with the commodity sector.
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