Tuesday, November 08, 2016
Dome Forces US Stock Market Lower / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: The_Gold_Report
Technical analyst Clive Maund takes a look at the current state of the U.S. stock market, and reflects on how the outcome of the impending election might steepen a decline.
A number of subscribers have written in asking about the technical state of the broad U.S. stock market, which we haven't looked at for a while. With the failure of an important support level a few days back and the election drawing near, it's certainly a timely question.
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Tuesday, November 08, 2016
Hillary Clinton Is Spirit Cooking The US Before WW3 / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Jeff_Berwick
I heard the term “spirit cooking” for the first time a few days ago. At first I assumed it was some form of culinary style that was done in a spiritual way.
Boy was I wrong.
Reports on the internet are actually referring to a meal involving “blood, sperm and breastmilk.” The term was mentioned in an invitation to John Podesta, chairman of the Clinton campaign. Podesta didn’t go to the dinner involved, apparently, but the term and its ingredients made considerable news on the internet.
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Tuesday, November 08, 2016
US Economy Q3 GDP Was Hogwash / Economics / US Economy
By: Michael_Pento
Since most everyone is focused on the upcoming U.S. elections, many investors may not have had the time to peel back the onion on the third quarter U.S. GDP report. So, if you just glanced at the headline GDP number of a 2.9% annualized growth rate, you may have concluded that the U.S. economy was finally on its way to sustainable growth.
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Tuesday, November 08, 2016
US Election Trump Season Finale! Hillary Latino Army vs BrExit Swing States, End of White Power? / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Finally it's the Trump show season finale! And were all wondering what the cliff hanger will be after having watched a year long worth of crazy swings and turns, from the republican nomination to the debates, to gropergate, to missing tax returns, and finishing off with thousands of deleted emails. So will Trump accept the result if Hillary Clinton wins? Or Could Trump still on the back of a BrExit style anti-establishment vote that won't show up in the polls, or will Hillary's newly formed Latino army bring home the vote in Florida amongst other Brexit swing states?
Tuesday, November 08, 2016
Forecast summary: Commodities, Forex and Stocks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Ken_Ticehurst
Our forecast down phase for WTI has now begun, we warned that $50 would be the top and that we would descend in to 2017 with a potential major low to come. Our forecast has not changed and we could easily see price back down to $30 early in 2017. We expect this weakness to be reflected in many other parts of the commodity sector.
Tuesday, November 08, 2016
Make-or-Break: 5 Great Investment Ideas For 2017 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2017
By: InvestingHaven
Market conditions are challenging, and investors are facing a hard time with lots of volatility over the course of the last 24 months. Gold, for instance, rallied strongly this year until right after the Brexit. Likewise, crude oil doubled in price this year after it went through its steepest collapse in history.
What can we expect next year? In other words, are which investment ideas do we see for 2017? To answer that question, we identified 5 assets with an amazing chart setup.
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Tuesday, November 08, 2016
Here's Why Investors Should Ignore Corporate Earnings Season / Companies / Corporate Earnings
By: EWI
Shattering the myth about earnings and the stock market
[Editor's Note: The text version of the story is below.]
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Tuesday, November 08, 2016
The Yen is Expected To Benefit From US Dollar Uncertainty Over Election Week / Currencies / Japanese Yen
By: Submissions
Adam Teen writes: The US dollar enters a crucial week against its rivals, including the Japanese Yen, as the volatile sessions are expected because the USA is officially going into polls on Tuesday 8th.
Strong economic performance data released over the past week did not quite convince investors that it is safe to hold the green buck over the next few sessions.
Tuesday, November 08, 2016
Silver's Roadmap / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: P_Radomski_CFA
History tends to repeat itself and the more similarities to a past pattern we have, the bigger likelihood that it will continue to repeat. The day-to-date price swings of silver may seem erratic, but from a broader point of view, they are repeating – to a great extent – the same pattern that we saw in the past. The most interesting thing is what followed that past pattern.
Tuesday, November 08, 2016
Has Hispanic / Latino Vote Won US Election for Hillary Clinton in Florida and Beyond? / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Trump started off his election campaign by denigrating latino's, and thus it looks like Trump has achieved what no democrat has achieved to such great extent which is galvanise the Latino vote in unprecedented numbers to come out and vote for the Democratic candidate and thus it will be the estimated 6.5 million Latino's in Florida who could win Hillary Clinton the state and US Presidential election of 2016.
Monday, November 07, 2016
Brexit Makes This US Presidential Election So Uncertain / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: GoldCore
Ignore election theory, this one’s too uncertain
- This year’s election breaks the mould in a number of important ways
- Markets seem to be agnostic as to which party is in control of the White House.
- However, likely that uncertainty will drive markets for time-being
- Polls might be victim to ‘the Bradley effect’
- Hillary is seen as lower-risk and less volatile than the Republican.
Monday, November 07, 2016
The US Presidential Election Stock Market Cycle / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Gary_Tanashian
The market has been very readable since before Brexit. It was over bearish and due for a post-Brexit rally 
. It was due for a drop to test major support , but amid last week’s highly broadcast 9 straight down days and the renewed Clinton email scare, it was due for a bounce from over bearish status . However, this is not the end of the story. We remain on a test of major support unless certain upside resistance parameters are taken out. Beyond this highly volatile phase, we are likely either going to confirm major support and potentially break out to new highs or a bear market will ensue.
Monday, November 07, 2016
Stock Market Investor Sentiment Turns Bullish Ahead Of U.S. Election / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Monday, November 07, 2016
Overcoming the Middle-Income Trap with Structural Reforms / Politics / Social Issues
By: Dan_Steinbock
According to the World Bank, China is an upper-middle-income country. However, only structural reforms will allow China to surpass the middle-income trap.According to a recent report by the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (CASS), China has entered the ranks of the so-called “upper-middle-income” countries. It has triggered a fair amount of interest among those Chinese who are concerned for the middle-income trap; that is, a status quo in which a country attains a certain level of income but gets stuck at that level.
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Monday, November 07, 2016
Stock Market Still Correcting / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: The long-term trend is up but weakening. Potential final phase of bull market.
SPX Intermediate trend: The uptrend from 1810 continues, but it has entered a corrective phase which could extend into November.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Monday, November 07, 2016
Regardless of How America Votes, Americans Want a Different Foreign Policy / Politics / US Politics
By: Dr_Ron_Paul
I have said throughout this presidential campaign that it doesn't matter much which candidate wins. Both Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are authoritarians and neither can be expected to roll back the leviathan state that destroys our civil liberties at home while destroying our economy and security with endless wars overseas. Candidates do not matter all that much, despite what the media would have us believe. Ideas do matter, however. And regardless of which of these candidates is elected, the battle of ideas now becomes critical.
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Monday, November 07, 2016
The US Presidential Election Is Not A Brexit Moment / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Bob_Kirtley
There have been a number of comparisons drawn from the event risk around the upcoming US presidential election and the Brexit referendum earlier this year. There are a number of similarities, most notably in the market reaction to changing poll numbers prior to the vote, but also a significant number of crucial differences which make trading strategies around the US election different from those around Brexit.
Monday, November 07, 2016
The Markets and the US Election Outcome No One Is Thinking About / Stock-Markets / US Presidential Election 2016
By: John_Mauldin
BY JARED DILLIAN : I’ve been saying that the Fed is more hawkish than people think for quite a while, but nobody is listening to me.
This is not a good Fed. They aren’t making decisions on a predictive, forward-looking basis. They are very concerned about optics—how things look. And to them, right now the optics of having Fed funds at 0.375% with unemployment at 5% are very bad.
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Monday, November 07, 2016
Corporate Earning reports Have Turned into a Dangerous Shell Game / Companies / Corporate Earnings
By: John_Mauldin
You own stocks for two reasons. You either think the shares will gain value or give you dividend income, or both.
Neither will happen unless the company is making money or at least has the plausible hope of making money someday. Earnings reports are important because they tell us whether that’s happening.
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Monday, November 07, 2016
Thanks to Obamacare, US Government Debt Is Worse Than You Think / Interest-Rates / US Debt
By: John_Mauldin
You’re probably aware that the US budget deficit jumped to $590 billion for fiscal 2016. What you might not know is that US government debt rose by $1.4 trillion last fiscal year. That difference between the deficit and debt increases is a huge number.
What did we spend that additional $800 billion on?
My friends Dr. Lacy Hunt and Van Hoisington of Hoisington Asset Management can answer that question and more. Using current CBO projections and the trend in off-budget debt, Lacy and Van estimate that US government debt could grow by an additional $13 trillion in the next 10 years (by 2025). That would put total debt at $33 trillion and push to 150% debt-to-GDP.
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