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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Stock-Markets

Thursday, June 23, 2022

No Dodging the Stock Market Bullet / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022

By: Monica_Kingsley

S&P 500 recovered from the intraday reversal to the downside, thanks to tech. Value‘s poor showing can be chalked down to the riskier junk bonds losing early gains, meaning the daily stock market move didn‘t surprise much when bonds closing values are considered. What‘s though flying under the radar, is the turn in Treasury yields – a couple of days after FOMC, bonds are having second thoughs, and aren‘t pushing the Fed to raise too steeply. Anyway, I wouldn‘t be surprised to see 75bp hike in July, to be continued with a few more 50bp hikes then. Coupled with the balance sheet that‘s about to shrink, that would finally start denting inflation – at the cost of real economy growth.

I say growth while I was looking for a Q1 GDP print to come in negative, and Q2 GDP would turn lackluster as well. Still, a full-fledged recession in the usual sense of the word (the consequences), won‘t hit until very late 2022 even though NBER might declare one (based also on unrelenting inflation data) earlier. All the typical signs are in – we had yield curve inversion, oil prices doubled in a relatively short amount of time, and inflation is entrenched above 5%. Whatever the Fed does – and it‘ll do a lot – inflation in essentials won‘t be dented all that much. There‘s no dodging the bullet in my view, and the markets would gradually go from living the soft landing fantasy to readjusting to the hard landing reality to come.

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Companies

Thursday, June 23, 2022

How To Set Up A Business To Better Manage In The Free Market / Companies / SME

By: Steve_Barker

To better manage your business in the free market, it is vital to set up your business efficiently and effectively. There are a few key things you can do to ensure that your business is well-organized and able to compete in today's marketplace. With the proper planning and execution, you can position your business for long-term success in the free market. Keep reading to learn more about setting up your business for success.

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Commodities

Thursday, June 23, 2022

Why Are Precious Metals Considered A Good Investment? Find Out Here / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2022

By: Steve_Barker

Are you thinking about investing in precious metals? Precious metals have been considered a good investment for centuries. There are many reasons they are seen as a valuable commodity, and in this article, we will discuss some of the most important ones. From their stability to their ability to hold value over time, precious metals are an excellent choice for investors who want to protect their money. If you're considering investing in this type of asset, read on to learn why it might be a smart move.

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Housing-Market

Wednesday, June 22, 2022

UK House Prices and the Inflation Mega-trend / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

UK house prices have soared into the stratosphere! Or have they? Not really, not in real terms anyway (RPI). However they are approaching the resistance of 2000's bull market high which could result in a consolidation of sorts. After all if I can see house prices in real terms hitting the buffers then so will be the expedience of most market participants where they are unable to finance property purchases at such extremes.

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Personal_Finance

Wednesday, June 22, 2022

Sportsbook Betting Reviews: How to Choose a Sportsbook / Personal_Finance / Gambling

By: Sumeet_Manhas

If you want to find the perfect sportsbook for you, you’ve come to the right place! This article will include all the information and resourced you need to help you out—from Sportsbook Betting Reviews to step-by-step instructions on how to choose a sportsbook, what criteria to follow, and what sites to avoid.

We hope that by the end of this guide, you’ll be armed with the tools and information necessary to make the right decision on which sportsbook is the best place for you to place your bets. Choosing the right sportsbook is important, especially if you’re planning to take sports betting seriously. So sit back, and take a look at what we have put together below.

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Companies

Wednesday, June 22, 2022

Looking to buy Cannabis Stocks? / Companies / Cannabis

By: Travis_Bard

Cannabis stocks are something you should definitely think of adding to your portfolio. This industry will be part of the future, as more countries legalize its recreational use, but mostly because there is a continuous growth in the use of CBD, which is a substance inside the cannabis plant, which has been found to hold many medicinal virtues. Here are a few interesting ways for you to invest, right now.

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Housing-Market

Tuesday, June 21, 2022

UK House Prices Momentum Forecast / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

UK house prices momentum soared to over 10% per annum after the bull market broke out of it's 0% to 5% momentum range that it had been in for most of the 2010's. Instead it looks likely the UK is entering into a 10% to 7% momentum range which suggest to continue to expect year on year gains for several more YEARs in the range of 10% to 6%! Yes we will get corrections i.e. 2 or 3 months of mildly falling prices that I am sure will have the perma bears crowing of top being in and a crash just around the corner, but this bull market is far from done and momentum suggests to expect strong house price inflation for at least the next 3 years.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, June 21, 2022

The Fed is Incompetent - Beware the Dancing Market Puppet / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2022

By: The_Gold_Report

Expert Michael Ballanger reviews this week's market updates from Wednesday's FOMC meeting to his outlook on Getchell Gold Corp., which he maintains is a "pound-the-table Buy."

Firstly, if Wednesday’s FOMC meeting featuring Chairman Jerome (I have tools!) Powell did nothing else, it did accentuate just how incompetent they are. Powell stood in front of the cameras and told the world that the American economy was “strong” while one of his own branches, the Atlanta Fed, reported just a day earlier that growth had slowed to 0.00%, which is anything but “strong.”

“Stocks are super-unattractive when the Fed is loosening tightening and interest rates are falling rising. Don’t fight the Fed.”
— Legendary Fund Manager Marty Zweig

As the afternoon wore on, stocks moved higher thinking that the .75% rate hike to be followed by more .75% rate hikes throughout the year (targeting Fed Funds at 3.5%) should be seen as a bullish signal. Reductions in the Fed balance sheet assets and sharply rising rates are about as far from a bullish signal as one can get, so in the last hour, a 600-point Dow rally became a 300-point uptick setting the stage for today’s wake-up call, and 741-point slide.

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Economics

Tuesday, June 21, 2022

US Economy Headed for a Hard Landing / Economics / Recession 2022

By: MoneyMetals

The U.S. economy appears headed for a hard landing.

After months of ignoring the steadily growing inflation problem, the Federal Reserve is now using monetary blunt force to try to rein in rising prices.

Fed policymakers have effectively decided that inflation is so out of hand, they are willing to induce an economic slowdown that will reduce aggregate demand for goods and services.

The recent carnage in the stock market suggests that the Fed’s suddenly aggressive rate hikes are going to crimp consumer borrowing and hurt retail sales.

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Personal_Finance

Tuesday, June 21, 2022

How to Invest in EU - New Opportunities Uncovered / Personal_Finance / Investing 2022

By: Steve_Barker

Although the world seems to have gone haywire recently, one location remains a bastion of opportunity. The European Union (EU) is an enormous market that is considered one of the big three economic engines of the world (the others being the United States and China). With a plethora of opportunities for budding businesspersons, the EU offers a unique chance to conduct business in one of the world's most desirable regions. This post will explore some of the ways in which you could invest in this fantastic place in order to enhance your wealth and quality of life.

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Personal_Finance

Tuesday, June 21, 2022

How To Protect Your Assets During Inflation / Personal_Finance / Investing 2022

By: Steve_Barker

Inflation is a natural occurrence in any economy. Over time, prices for goods and services will gradually increase as the cost of production rises. This can be a problem for people who have saved money because their funds will be worth less over time. In order to protect your assets from inflation, you need to invest them in a way that will maintain or grow their value. In this blog post, we will discuss some of the best ways to do that!

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Stock-Markets

Monday, June 20, 2022

AI Tech Stocks Current State, Is AMAZON a Dying Tech Giant? / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Dear Reader

The stocks bear market continues with most AI tech stocks putting in new bear market lows during the past week, with key exceptions being Facebook and AVGO. Whilst Apple, Microsoft and Nvidia were the weakest stocks of the week, though all stocks rallied strongly Friday led by AMD which ended the week up 10% followed by Micron at +6% which are definitely two stocks to aim to accumulate during any further market weakness.

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Commodities

Monday, June 20, 2022

Gold/Gold miners fundamental checkup / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2022

By: Gary_Tanashian

As they leverage the macro, what’s good for gold is even better for gold miners

After last week’s article, in which we noted a unique move on ‘CPI Friday’ as gold and the miners put in an expected test of the lows and quickly reversed upward, unique among a world full of bearish markets…

A pivotal juncture for gold and gold stocks

…let’s take a checkup on and important fundamental consideration in the wake of FOMC and the .75% rate hike that everyone knew was coming.

But first I want to remind readers that this (NFTRH & NFTRH.com) is not a place to visit if you want to get pumped on oil, copper and general (and cyclical) commodities and resources along with gold. It is the place to visit if you want discrete commodity analysis amid cyclical/inflationary conditions and/or a guide to the proper macro fundamentals that should be in place for gold and gold stocks in their rare but unique utility as a counter-cyclical market, unlike commodities and stock markets.

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Personal_Finance

Monday, June 20, 2022

Personal Finance Tips: How To Get Out Of A Tough Financial Situation / Personal_Finance / Financial Education

By: Steve_Barker

Getting out of a tough financial situation can be difficult, but it is not impossible. There are many things you can do to improve your financial situation and get yourself back on track. In this blog post, we will discuss some personal finance tips that can help you get out of a tough spot. We will also provide some helpful resources that you can use for additional support. So, if you are struggling financially, please read on!

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Housing-Market

Sunday, June 19, 2022

UK House Prices Relative to GDP Growth / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This graph shows that following Brexit UK house prices consolidated in GDP terms for a number of years towards trend before the current blast higher driven by the governments maniac pandemic spending binge .However, house prices are NOT that distant from trend so unless there IS a significant recession around the corner, this graph suggests the bull market has plenty of scope to continue trending higher for many years.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, June 19, 2022

Will Global Markets Be Pushed Deeper Into Crisis Event By The US Fed? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022

By: Chris_Vermeulen

US and Global markets recoiled from the higher inflation/CPI data last week. The US Fed raised interest rates by 75pb on June 15. The Fed also warned that other, more aggressive rate increases might be necessary later this year. Before the Fed decision, global markets opened on Sunday, June 12, and quickly started selling downward. US Indexes sold off on Monday, June 13, by more than 2.5% almost across the board. A brief rally after the Fed decision seems to have evaporated in early trading on Thursday, June 16.

It is clear that global markets expected inflation to stay elevated but were hoping for some moderately lower data showing the recent Fed moves had already dented some inflation concerns. Now, it appears the US Fed has its backs against a wall and moved rates aggressively higher to stall inflation (and possibly destroy global asset values). From my perspective, this is unknown territory for the US Fed and Global Central banks. That means traders should expect increased volatility and the possibility of a very determined reversion of price over time.

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InvestorEducation

Sunday, June 19, 2022

Useful Things You Need To Know About Tweezer Top Candlestick Pattern / InvestorEducation / Technical Analysis

By: Steve_Barker

The tweezer top candlestick pattern was popularized by Steve Nison in the West through his book ‘Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques’. Tweezers have varied in appearance, but there are certain traits that they have in common. Their appearance at market-turning points makes it possible to use them for analysis purposes. At times, they specify the likelihood of a reversal. When the price direction of an asset changes, it is known as a reversal.

These candlestick charts have been used by the Japanese to trade commodities since the 17th century. They monitor the prices of commodities in an aesthetically pleasing manner.

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Housing-Market

Friday, June 17, 2022

UK House Prices Real Terms Sustainable Trend / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Continuing with the affordability theme the real terms sustainable house prices trend metric uses a souped up version of the oft mentioned average earnings X 3.5 ratio, where the X3.5 ratio has been defective since the 1980's instead the relentless trend puts the ratio currently at about 4.5X average earnings which resolves in the following trend graph.

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Companies

Friday, June 17, 2022

Why I’m buying the “new” value stocks… / Companies / Investing 2022

By: Stephen_McBride

It’s been a rough six months for tech stocks…

Amazon, Google, and Facebook are suffering their worst stock performance in years…

Some of these names have sold off so hard they’re now among the cheapest stocks on the market.

And that’s presenting a HUGE buying opportunity for you and me.

More on that in a moment…

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Companies

Friday, June 17, 2022

Optimize Benefits from R&D in Software Product Development with an R&D Tax Credit Software / Companies / SME

By: Sumeet_Manhas

We are transitioning into an economy that is based on knowledge and information as a consequence of the way that technology is increasingly taking over the processes of physical manufacturing. Right now, there is a continuous and growing need for R&D of software products just as when the production of physical products such as cars and building designs happened. Therefore, using an R&D Tax Credit Software to optimize tax benefits from R&D efforts is highly recommended for the purpose of ensuring that R&D efforts are optimized.

After all, we now recognize the importance that software plays even in the production of those physical items; apps based on blockchain technology, smart navigational systems, and smart power grids would never be conceivable without the relevant research that underpins them.

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