Friday, December 08, 2017

Stock Market Bounce May be Over / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX appears to have completed a 38.2% retracement of its decline from the top. Yesterday’s 23.6% apparently allowed room for one more push higher. This is what I had originally expected.

Friday, December 08, 2017

4 Charts That Show How Trump Tax Cuts Will Trigger A Recession / Economics / Recession 2018

By: John_Mauldin

BY PATRICK WATSON : Not so long ago, I explained why tax cuts won’t stimulate the economy as much as Republicans think.

In short, most CEOs say they will use any tax savings for stock buybacks or dividends, not new hiring or expansion.

But what if, instead of little or no growth, this tax bill sets off an outright contraction?

Friday, December 08, 2017

The US Fed Might Shrink to Two Members in 2018 / Politics / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: John_Mauldin

BY JOHN MAULDIN : In talking with some of my Fed-watching friends, it appears the world’s most important central bank is about to experience some potentially profound changes—not just in personnel but more importantly in the kind of people who lead it.

Those changes could, in turn, have some serious economic impacts, so it’s worth taking a deeper look.  

But before we get into the impending changes at the Fed, let’s quickly review how the organization works.

Thursday, December 07, 2017

Precious Metals Breaking Down! 3 Amigos to Abort? 4 Horsemen to Ride? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Gary_Tanashian

I am not trying to be a wise guy with the first half of the title (it’s a goof on alarmist media), but if you were not bear biased or outright bearish on the gold sector’s daily and weekly technicals, and its macro and sector fundamentals by now all you have left are the alarmist headlines now telling us about H&S breakdowns, HUI/Gold ratio bearishness and whatever else is going on out there in media large and small to scare the lowly gold bug.

Thursday, December 07, 2017

The One Oil Market Indicator OPEC Must Watch / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

“We will not let go of our current approach until we reach a balanced market,” Saudi oil minister Khalid al-Falih said Monday at a news conference in Riyadh.

OPEC ended months of speculation last week when it decided to extend its production cuts through the end of 2018, easing concerns that the limits would be lifted before the oil market was ready. But while it put some uncertainty to rest, the next question is what OPEC does when the oil market becomes “balanced”? What is the exit strategy?

Thursday, December 07, 2017

Bitcoin Just Smashed Through $12k… Wait, $13k… Now $14k… This Is Getting Ridiculous! / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Jeff_Berwick

It was less than a week ago that we posted, “Bitcoin Smashes Through $10k... Wait... $11k! What The Fk Is Going On?”

Now, in the last 24 hours, it has smashed through $12k, then $13k and now $14k to a new all-time high over $14,200.

Thursday, December 07, 2017

Stock Market Tops Look Like This / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Enda_Glynn

The signs of crazed speculation just keep pouring in these days.
We another Doozie from the Bloomberg wire today!
TD Ameritrade tracks its clients inflows and outflows from retail accounts on a monthly basis.
you can follow it here

November saw the largest inflow into stocks in the index's history,
surging the index to a new all time high.

Thursday, December 07, 2017

Following 6 Critical Rules will make you a better Investor... / InvestorEducation / Learning to Invest

By: EWI

Face the facts -- investing isn't easy. If it was, everyone would be successful. Successful investing takes hard work and discipline.

Famed financial analyst Robert Prechter has identified the 6 critical rules successful investors follow. Learning the rules is the easy part -- putting them into action is what will make you a success.

Read Prechter's free report, Six Critical Money-Making Rules for Investors, now.....

Thursday, December 07, 2017

Crude Oil, Oil Stocks and Invalidation of Breakouts / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

On Tuesday, crude oil wavered between small gains and losses, but finally closed another day under the upper border of the short-term rising trend channel. Will this show of oil bulls’ weakness trigger further deterioration in the coming days? Will the relationship between black gold and oil stocks give us more clues about future moves?

Thursday, December 07, 2017

Finally, An Honest Inflation Index – Guess What It Shows / Economics / Inflation

By: John_Rubino

Central bankers keep lamenting the fact that record low interest rates and record high currency creation haven’t generated enough inflation (because remember, for these guys inflation is a good thing rather than a dangerous disease).

To which the sound money community keeps responding, “You’re looking in the wrong place! Include the prices of stocks, bonds and real estate in your models and you’ll see that inflation is high and rising.”

Thursday, December 07, 2017

Bitcoin - Please, Please, Please, Don’t Let Fear Of Missing Out Lead Your Investment Decisions / InvestorEducation / Learning to Invest

By: John_Mauldin

BY JARED DILLIAN : This tweet was getting retweeted all over the place last weekend. Apologies for the bad language.

For starters, the guy’s Twitter handle is “bitstein.” But anyway. This is the fable of the grasshopper and the ant.

Thursday, December 07, 2017

Why Bank Presidents Could Rule the Fed Next Year / Politics / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: John_Mauldin

There’s a possibility the Fed will shrink to three—or even two—governors next year. I wrote about this in great length in my latest Thoughts from the Frontline, and I highly suggest you give it a read.

Among other things, the missing governors could have an enormous impact on monetary policy.  But before we delve into the implications again, I must explain the Fed’s Byzantine organizational scheme.

Thursday, December 07, 2017

Bitcoin Doesn’t Exist – 2 / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Raul_I_Meijer

Chapter 1 of this five-part series by Dr. D is here: Bitcoin Doesn’t Exist – 1

Chapter 3 will follow shortly.

Dr. D: You have to understand what exchanges are and are not. An exchange is a central point where owners post collateral and thereby join and trade on the exchange. The exchange backs the trades with their solvency and reputation, but it’s not a barter system, and it’s not free: the exchange has to make money too. Look at the Comex, which reaches back to the early history of commodities exchange which was founded to match buyers of say, wheat, like General Mills, with producers, the farmers. But why not just have the farmer drive to the local silo and sell there? Two reasons: one, unlike manufacturing, harvests are lumpy. To have everyone buy or sell at one time of the year would cripple the demand for money in that season. This may be why market crashes happen historically at harvest when the demand for money (i.e. Deflation) was highest. Secondly, however, suppose the weather turned bad: all farmers would be ruined simultaneously.

Thursday, December 07, 2017

B&M Stores Cheap Products Review - £4 Wooden Shoe Rack / ConsumerWatch / Shopping

By: HGR

BM Stores tops the list of where to shop for a bargai with its low cost products that tend to be significnalty cheaper than similar producuts at the more traditional retailers. So in this video we take a look at a typical low cost product, a self assembly wooden shoe rack that costs just £4! See whether we grabbed ourselves a bargain or if it proved to be a false economy.

Wednesday, December 06, 2017

Nvidia NVDA Correction is Around the Corner / Companies / Company Chart Analysis

By: ElliottWave-Forecast

The American semiconductors company Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) is specialized is designing graphics processing units (GPUs) for the gaming, cryptocurrency, and professional markets, as well as system on a chip units (SoCs) for the mobile computing and automotive market.

Wednesday, December 06, 2017

British Pound Sterling Volatility In Crucial Week of Brexit Talk / Currencies / British Pound

By: ElliottWave-Forecast

Sterling fell versus the dollar earlier this week as Brexit talk between the UK and EU falter at the last minute. British Prime Minister Theresa May is on the race to break the deadlock on the issue of Irish border. Irish border is one of the three key issues required to be settled before the U.K can move on to the next stage of Brexit talk. The next phase of talk involves trade negotiation at the crucial EU summit on December 14.

Wednesday, December 06, 2017

An "Unprestigious" Preview of Debt Deflation / Economics / Deflation

By: EWI

An "Unprestigious" Preview of Debt Deflation

Wednesday, December 06, 2017

Gold and Bond Yields / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Donald_W_Dony

As the U.S. economy continues to expand, the response by the FOMC is to slowly raise interest rates in attempt to extend the business cycle as long as possible.

This action of ratcheting-up short-term rates is positive for bond yields.

After steadily declining since 2008, the U.S. 10-year Treasury Bond yields have found a floor in 2012 and 2016 at 1.50 percent.

Wednesday, December 06, 2017

More Strange And Disturbing Action In The Paper Gold Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: John_Rubino

For at least the past decade the behavior of the people who trade gold futures contracts – and thereby determine the metal’s price – has been generally predictable: The “commercials” – big banks and companies that buy gold to do things with it – have suckered the speculators – mostly hedge funds who chase trends – into going very long and very short at exactly the wrong time.

Which means the price action in gold six or so months in the future was broadly predictable. When the speculators were way long, it was going down and vice versa.

Wednesday, December 06, 2017

Day Trading vs Swing Trading: Which One is the Better Strategy? / InvestorEducation / Learn to Trade

By: Boris_Dzhingarov

Which is the most appropriate trading strategy to earn a living? Well, that depends. First of all, different markets demand different strategies. That said, it narrows down to your style, personality and circumstances; but it takes more than just that to find a strategy that best suits you.