Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, October 16, 2007
Systematic Threat to Global Financial System - The Fingers of Instability, Part 9 / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch
In This Issue – 3 Fingers of Instability
- Marking to Myths!
- Keeping the Illusions Front and Center
- Bodies Beginning to Float to the Surface…And They Are WHALES!
Series Introduction – Click Here
Things are unfolding in an interesting manner and it is the ebb and flow of the issues into and out of the financial Media's reporting of them that provide us with the true picture as it merges. This week several VERY INTERESTING articles allowed us a better picture on the enormity of this Systemic threat to the global financial systems of the G7. The enormous lengths the authorities are going to in order to keep the enormity of the problem from hitting “THE HEADLINES”. It is now becoming clear that new cockroaches are emerging in the biggest money center banks in the world and they are “STUCK” in the “ROACH MOTELS” (see Ted bits archives at www.TraderView.com ) of their own making.
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Tuesday, October 16, 2007
Stock Markets Give Ground to the Bears / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
Last week the bulls finally gave some ground to the bears with the US markets hitting reverse gear on Thursday after making new record highs on the day. There was no obvious reason for the reversal other than the general feeling that things were getting a little ˜frothy'.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 15, 2007
Stock Markets Headed Lower As Near-term Low Is UltraShort S&P / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The big picture of the UltraShort SPY (AMEX: SDS) shows Thursday's counter-trend reversal, followed by Friday's dip, followed by today's upside continuation that has hurdled Thursday's reversal high. So far, the price action coupled with the rounded bottom pattern carved out by the RSI momentum gauge suggests strongly that a significant near-term (and possibly intermediate-term) low has been established in the SDS (a high in the major equity market ETFs).Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 15, 2007
Brazil's Prominent Natural Resource Stocks Are Up 620%, 1,388% and 1,499% ... / Stock-Markets / Brazil
Martin Weiss writes: I'm in the interior of Brazil right now, and I don't have to travel too far to see, first-hand, the vast natural resources that are helping to make investors rich.
Brazil's sugar cane industry is soaring, propelled by surging demand for ethanol.
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Monday, October 15, 2007
The Stock Markets October Panic Window Approaches / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Adding to the list of things that can go wrong from our last discussion , things that could cause a possible dislocation in the stock market during the possible panic window opening next month, we have an astute observation by Rick Ackerman. Then you have Gary North out further discussing Fed antics associated with a contracting monetary base , which he is suggesting will topple the equity complex, and possibly the system. Here, you can't blame the Fed for instituting such policy. Again, the idea behind constricting growth in the monetary base is to support the dollar ($) and curb the inflationary effects of easing rate policy. And while I agree with the conclusions of both these gentlemen, as stated in our last commentary the timing associated with when such factors will come home to roost is still very much up in the air however, not imminent by any means.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, October 14, 2007
Stock Market Update: Niagara in a Barrel / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By now, those of you who read this update regularly but aren't members must think what we say about what we do at TTC is just too good to be true. That we're just lucky bulls. I mean, week after week the market bucks some of the best traders and analysts out there, yet I continue to claim unbiased Elliott wave analysis produces consistently profitable trades and avoids all the traps. Go figure.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, October 14, 2007
CDO Bad Debt Bank Losses Yet to Be Reported as Stock Markets Form Topping Patterns / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch
Wall Street is already betting that next week's earnings at the nation's biggest banks will be dismal. What remains to be seen is just how bad they will be. Hundreds of billions of asset-backed paper has had to be disposed of. Yet so far the losses of banks that have already reported this quarter are less than $20 billion. Could they have gotten off so easily? The preponderance of evidence shows that much of the paper, which includes subprime mortgages, auto loans and credit card debt has not yet found buyers.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, October 14, 2007
Equities Topping But Crude Oil Has Further Higher to Gush / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
So far, Thursday's plunge in the Nasdaq, as gauged by the QQQQ's, represents only a "minor" pullback within the dominant August-Ocotber uptrend -- unless, of course, this recovery rally represents an impending secondary failure at the top of the Aug-Sept channel.
My work argues that it is the latter, and that the Q's will grind a bit higher on Monday, and then put in a second high coordinate within a near-term topping process in the 53.00-54.00 area.
Saturday, October 13, 2007
McHugh's London FTSE 100 Index , German DAX, and Australia Stock Market Forecasts / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
The London FTSE, German DAX, and Australia's SPASX200 are all approaching a top. The FTSE looks to be finishing a wave b-up inside a wave a-down, b-up, c-down for a correction of the recent multiyear Bull market. It is completing a Rising Bearish Wedged for wave b-up. Prices have exceeded the upper Bolling Band, two standard deviations above its 20 day moving average. It has also reached the 10 day average of each day's highs. These are normally places where tops occur. The same is true of the German DAX.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, October 13, 2007
Semiconductor Tek stocks Gap Down Suggests More Downside / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
Big gap down this morning has pressed the Semiconductor HLDRs (AMEX: SMH) below both its rising 200 DMA and its 15-month support line (36.40/30), which could trigger potentially significant technical damage to the intermediate-term chart structure -- if the weakness sticks for the remainder of today's session. Having said that, however, my pattern and momentum work (hourly and daily) are encouraging me to remain short even if the SMH manages to grind its way up to 37.00/20 again, largely because my primary scenario has morphed into a bearish one.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 12, 2007
Higher Stock Market Volatility / Stock-Markets / Volatility
Yesterday, we discussed why the NYA Index (New York Stock Exchange) is an important index to watch ... because most of all the program trading occurs on it, and the large Institutional trades are found here.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 12, 2007
The Greatest Stocks Bull Market in History - Chinese Shanghai Red-chips / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
“There is a bubble growing. Investors should be concerned about the risks,” warned Cheng Siwei, the vice-chairman of the National People's Congress in an interview with the Financial Times on January 31st. “But in a bull market, people will invest relatively irrationally. Every investor thinks they can win. But many will end up losing. But that is their risk and their choice,” warned Cheng.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 12, 2007
Buy Stocks on Weakness / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
The bull continues to charge ahead. I still expect some kind of correction at some point this month because it would be uncharacteristic for the markets to continue going up with no interruptions.
The main risk remains the shaky situation in the credit world. Consequently, the slowdown of the US economy could turn into a recession that would be very bad for the global economy. At this time, the probability for a recession by the end of the year or the first quarter of 2008 is around 50 percent.
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Thursday, October 11, 2007
Nasdaq Down-spike Not a Mere Dip / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
Frankly, I am not surprised that the major equity market ETFs in general and the Q's (NASDAQ: QQQQ) in plunged to relieve some of the excessive overbought condition that has developed in recent days. However, the fact that the reversal emerged right at the top of the Aug-Oct trading channel, and right at the upside target measured off of the July-Aug base pattern suggests strongly to me that a meaningful first crack in the uptrend has occurred…Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 10, 2007
Act Now to Invest in Booming Austrailia Before the Dollars Winter of Discontent / Stock-Markets / Austrailia
Fading Green, Brighter Gold - Sean Brodrick writes: When I was in college, I worked on the Cog Railroad that runs up the side of Mt. Washington in New Hampshire. One of my favorite times was at the end of the season, when the surrounding slopes and valleys of the White Mountains would turn flame red, royal purple and rich gold with the change of seasons.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 10, 2007
Stock Market Analysis Suggests a Drop of More than 10% - The Fingers of Instability, Part 8 / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
Series Introduction – Click Here
Tea Leaves
In this edition of Fingers of Instability we are going to look at the last ninety days since the July Highs in stocks and commodities and look at what the numerous markets, including money supply, credit markets, stocks, gold, copper crude oil, and the dollar, have done since that time. It offers an interesting perspective on what has transpired and the finger prints of what we can expect in the near future. This issue has many interesting charts and graphs for perspective. However, we must key off money and credit creation first and foremost as it colors everything else. Regular readers know I have outlined the emerging “Crack up Boom” (see Tedbit archives at www.TraderView.com ) and the indirect exchange, as outlined by Ludwig Von Mises, that we will be seeing for maybe the next decade or more. It is on plain display in this missive.
Wednesday, October 10, 2007
Hedging Your Income Stocks Portfolio Against Credit and Inflation Risks / Stock-Markets / Dividends
Income investments come in all shapes and sizes. But all have one thing in common as far as we're concerned: We've got to buy and hold ‘em to get the most out of them.Part of that is axiomatic. You can't collect the distributions unless you stick around for them to be paid. Individual bonds are the exception because they accrue interest as long as you hold them. But as far as stocks, Canadian trusts, limited partnerships, income-paying funds, preferred stocks or anything else goes, you've got be in there on the ex-dividend dates or you won't get paid.
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Wednesday, October 10, 2007
Investing in Singapore / Stock-Markets / Singapore
Tony Sagami writes: I'm frequently asked what my favorite part of Asia is.
For tourism, I have a hard time answering. I love the history and charm of Beijing … the natural beauty of Taiwan's mountains and beaches … the vibrant bustle of Shanghai … the stunning views of Hong Kong's Victoria Harbor … and the colorful culture of Thailand.
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Tuesday, October 09, 2007
Nasdaq Nearing a Correction / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
Now that the Q's (NASDAQ: QQQQ) have broken to the upside and satisfied the upside target from last week's consolidation between 53.00 and 52.50, today's new but unconfirmed high takes on more significant meaning -- and warns me that the Q's are at or are very near to an area from where I am expecting a correction -- into the 52.00 area initially, on the way to 51.00. Maybe the release of the FOMC minutes triggers the sell-off, or alternatively triggers and spikes towards 53.50/80 first. In either scenario, my near-term work is warning me that higher highs are not sustainable.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 09, 2007
To Beat the Stock Market, Be in the Right Sector - Part 1 / Stock-Markets / Learning to Invest
What stock market sector have you been in lately? The sectors that are beating the market or the ones that are trailing behind? Being in the right sectors will make a significant difference in the performance of your portfolio. However, finding the right sector can be a difficult proposition. First let's examine a couple of recent studies on sector rotation that help illuminate the opportunities and the problems for investors. In a follow up article we will then provide some guidelines for investors and traders on how to use sector rotation to achieve better investing results.Read full article... Read full article...