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Tuesday, October 09, 2007

Nasdaq Nearing a Correction / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Now that the Q's (NASDAQ: QQQQ) have broken to the upside and satisfied the upside target from last week's consolidation between 53.00 and 52.50, today's new but unconfirmed high takes on more significant meaning -- and warns me that the Q's are at or are very near to an area from where I am expecting a correction -- into the 52.00 area initially, on the way to 51.00. Maybe the release of the FOMC minutes triggers the sell-off, or alternatively triggers and spikes towards 53.50/80 first. In either scenario, my near-term work is warning me that higher highs are not sustainable.

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Tuesday, October 09, 2007

To Beat the Stock Market, Be in the Right Sector - Part 1 / Stock-Markets / Learning to Invest

By: Hans_Wagner

What stock market sector have you been in lately? The sectors that are beating the market or the ones that are trailing behind? Being in the right sectors will make a significant difference in the performance of your portfolio. However, finding the right sector can be a difficult proposition. First let's examine a couple of recent studies on sector rotation that help illuminate the opportunities and the problems for investors. In a follow up article we will then provide some guidelines for investors and traders on how to use sector rotation to achieve better investing results.

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Tuesday, October 09, 2007

Wall Street Stock Market Rally...Credit Crunch Crisis Over? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch

By: Regent_Markets

Last week the ECB (European central bank) and MPC (UK central bank) opted to take a 'wait and see' approach with interest rates. Both announced that they would be leaving interest rates on hold, preferring to see how their respective economies hold up after the summer turmoil. Many economists are expecting both to move to a loosening bias in the future, with the UK predicted to cut rates before the end of the year.

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Monday, October 08, 2007

As Stock and Commodity Markets Continue to Climb Pressure Builds to Revert to the Mean / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Doug_Wakefield

TV Reruns or Real Manias : Last night my wife was watching an old “I Love Lucy” episode. I not only watched Lucy reruns as a kid in the 1960s; I watched those same reruns as my boys were growing up in the 1990s. Now it's 2007, and I'm still watching a group of individuals who haven't aged a day and are just as funny now as they were 40 years ago.

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Monday, October 08, 2007

NOLTE NOTES - Stock Market Rally - Where's the Volume? / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Paul_J_Nolte

Imagine watching your favorite football team on a Sunday afternoon and hearing the following from the announcers: “without any penalty flags, the (your team!) will be starting at the 50 yard line instead of inside the 5 where the ball was whistled dead”. You'd be turning up the volume way high to figure out what just happened. The economic figures on employment could be viewed the same way – after indicating the economy lost jobs last month, this month showed a gain AND the prior to months were revised to show decent gains – with little explanation.

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Monday, October 08, 2007

Global Economy Surging; U.S. Still Sagging Due to Continuing Housing Bust and Dollar Crash / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets

By: Money_and_Markets

Elisabeth and I just got back from a quick trip to Japan. Our main reason for going was to visit Anthony, who got his B.A. in Japanese language a few years ago and has been working in Tokyo since May.

But I also wanted to do a quick reality check on everything we've been telling you regarding the Japanese yen.

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Monday, October 08, 2007

Stock Market Technical Analysis : Anyone Hearing Bells? / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Dominick

You know what they say, they don't ring a bell at the top. This is not my top call, and readers should know I actually take great pride in having had the discipline to not call a top back in July, particularly since those levels were just taken out this week. But still, I know for the short term, at least, I'm going to be watching closely to see if there is anything getting started on the downside. Seems a bit like going against the trend, I know, but isn't that what we always do?

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Sunday, October 07, 2007

Stock Market Cycle Turning Points Analysis 7th October 2007 / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market.
SPX: Long-Term Trend - The 12-yr cycle is approaching its mid-point and some of its dominant components are topping and should soon restrain the bullish effect of the 4.5-yr. This could lead to another period of consolidation in 2008 with an eventual bull market top in 2009-2010.
SPX: Intermediate Trend - The intermediate-term trend has been up since the 4.5yr cycle low in August, but it could shortly be interrupted by a short-term correction.

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Sunday, October 07, 2007

Stocks Bull Market - Bad News is Good News as Markets Continue to Price in Interest Rate Cuts / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Since the Fed interest rate cut in September, the stock markets across much of the world took the cue to let rip with strong bullish rallies. The trigger for the rally is a switch in market perceptions from interest rate rises to interest rate cuts. The market is therefore pricing in more interest rate cuts AND lower inflation.

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Sunday, October 07, 2007

US Stock Markets Long and Short-term Outlook / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Joseph_Russo

Is a full-blown buying-panic about to ensue, or are we approaching a near-term, or perhaps a more significant cresting terminal of major import?

The answer is painfully clear. Nobody knows but the esteemed Mr. Price.

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Saturday, October 06, 2007

Semiconductor Stocks Fourth Quarter End of Year Rallies / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks

By: Marty_Chenard

The past 4 years have seen a Semiconductor rally every 4th. quarter.  Will there be another Semiconductor stock rally between now and the end of the year?

Since 2003, the Semiconductor Index (Symbol: SOX) has had a rally every 4th quarter. 

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Saturday, October 06, 2007

S&P Stock Market Index in Final Upleg / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Mike_Paulenoff

The S&P 500 Depository Receipts (AMEX: SPY) are only about $0.30 from making new multi-year highs above the July high of 156.00. Remarkable though this upmove has been in the "aftermath" of the credit crisis (as if it is no longer a crisis at all), my overall work leaves little doubt that today's thrust is the final upleg in the Aug-Oct advance.

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Saturday, October 06, 2007

Weekly Financial Markets Analysis - FedWatch: Why the Fed is still pumping Liquidity Into the Commercial Paper Market / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The credit crisis is far from over. On Thursday the Federal Reserve lent another $28 billion at the Temporary Open Market Window . The total for this week was $43 billion. The pattern of lending is still very active, with many of the loans rolling over on a weekly or bi-weekly basis.

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Friday, October 05, 2007

Hologram Tam & the Great Global Banking Money Supply Swindle / Stock-Markets / Money Supply

By: Adrian_Ash

"...If forgery were a question of quantity as well as quality, the world's entire private banking system would be queuing up for porridge tomorrow morning..."

THOMAS McANEA was a drunk, an ex-con freed on a technicality, and a failed businessman with barely "two pennies" to rub together, according to the Scottish police.

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Friday, October 05, 2007

Capitalism and Freedom Unmasked / Stock-Markets / Global Financial System

By: Stephen_Lendman

An era ended November 16, 2006 when economist Milton Friedman died. A torrent of eulogies followed. The Wall Street Journal mourned his loss with the same tribute he credulously used when Ronald Reagan died saying "few people in human history have contributed more to the achievement of human freedom." Economist and former Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers called him a hero and "The Great Liberator" in a New York Times op-ed; the UK Financial Times called him "the last of the great economists;" Terence Corcoran, editor of Canada's National Post, mourned the "free markets" loss of "their last lion;" and Business Week magazine noted the "Death of a Giant" and praised his doctrine that "the best thing government can do is supply the economy with the money it needs and stand aside."

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Wednesday, October 03, 2007

Preparing for a Stock Market Peak / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Today's action in the Nasdaq neither confirmed a near-term peak nor confirmed that the action off of Monday's new multi-year high represents a bullish congestion pattern ahead of another upleg.

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Wednesday, October 03, 2007

US Investment Outlook - 4th Quarter 2007 / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: David_Urban

So long as the dollar continues its freefall stock prices will rise. This will be more due to the collapse of the dollar than anything else. If you are in the US it will be a very good time to invest in large cap stocks but the best investments will be in gold and oil alternatives.

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Wednesday, October 03, 2007

Lower Interest Rates = Lower Stock Market - The Double Failure of the So-Called Fed Model / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations

By: Bob_Bronson

Lower interest rates will lower, not raise, the stock market's P/E the stock market decline will accelerate as the fed lowers interest rates : Despite the popularity of the so-called two-factor Fed Model among institutional investors, we've explained why and how it is a faulty way to value the stock market.  For example, Treasury-based interest rates (“interest rates”) lower than the earnings yield (inverse of the stock market's P/E ratio, or E/P) does not mean the stock market is undervalued, as is hyped by TV talking heads and reported by most all of the financial media.  A third factor, risk aversion (investor mood), must be considered. (Past article) Read full article... Read full article...

 

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Tuesday, October 02, 2007

Hong Kong Stock Market Moon Shots! / Stock-Markets / Hong Kong

By: Money_and_Markets

Tony Sagami Writes: Every year when the moon reaches its brightest stage, the Chinese celebrate the Moon Festival ( Zhong Qiu Jie ), which dates back more than 3,000 years.

The festival happens on the fifteenth day of the eighth month of the lunar calendar, and is a celebration of the abundance of the summer harvest. This year's event happened last week.

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Tuesday, October 02, 2007

Pharmaceuticals ETF Breaking Out / Stock-Markets / Exchange Traded Funds

By: Mike_Paulenoff

After 8 days of high-level consolidation at the high of its recent upleg off the August low at 73.09, the Pharmaceutical HLDRs (AMEX: PPH) appears to be breaking out to new highs and starting a new upleg. Today's close is very important. If the majority of the breakout upmove is preserved, then I expect the PPH to climb towards 81.50/80, and then to the 82.20 area. Let's notice that today's strength represents a thrust off of the rising 200 DMA, which usually triggers very powerful upmoves. At this juncture, only a decline that breaks below 79.80 will wreck today's constructive action.

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