Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, December 23, 2011
The Stock Market and Recession Crazes / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Recession is a four-letter word in the financial markets, striking terror into the hearts of everyone. And if reports since August are to be believed, there is a recession hiding behind every tree. For a myriad of reasons, economists have argued we are due to plunge into the next one any day now. But speculators and investors have to understand how recession talk is spawned, sometimes leading to recession crazes.
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Friday, December 23, 2011
European Debt Is ‘Obviously Unserviceable’ / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
Referencing Kyle Bass’ work in a December 18 video, we noted numerous countries have an unstable combination of debt and revenue relative to the size of their banking system. Another excellent source for debt sustainability analysis comes from Jeffery Gundlach, manager of the 2011 top-performing U.S. bond fund. Mr. Gundlach was recently interviewed by the Financial Times. He does not subscribe to the theory European leaders can “put a Band Aid on a system which didn’t break a week ago, or a month ago, or a year ago. It’s been in the process for years.” His analysis came to the same conclusion as Mr. Bass’; default on unpayable obligations will occur. He also believes growing the way out of the problem is not an option since the debt is “obviously unserviceable”.
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Friday, December 23, 2011
Markets the Friday Before Christmas, Even NYMEX Crooks Are Going Home Early / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Really guys!
Don’t we all have something better to do than watch the markets today?
I’m embarrassed for all of us. Even the crooks at the NYMEX are going home at 1:30 this afternoon, sacrificing an entire hour of losing money to us to be with their strippers. That’s right we OWNED those people yesterday, hitting play after play after play on the oil Futures, all based on our very simple premise that – If the crooks at the NYMEX want to pretend they want to buy a barrel of oil for $100 – we are very happy to promise to sell it to them!
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Friday, December 23, 2011
Market Forecasts 2012, The Dow's Annus Horribilis and Gold's... / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
I must admit that I do not prescribe to the 2012 end of the world or end of an era phenomenon; however, my recent analysis suggests that 2012 could indeed be a very significant year.
I have been following a fractal (pattern) on the Dow chart for the last couple of years. I have written about it before, in a previous article. Basically, the Dow chart is forming a similar pattern to that which was formed in the late 60s to early 70s.
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Friday, December 23, 2011
ECB Liquidity Loans Still Not Enough to Stop Stock Market Topping / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Giuseppe L. Borrelli writes: Yesterday we learned that the European Central Bank offered to loan 523 banks a total of 489 billion euros ($641 billion) in funding. The idea is part of a drive to increase liquidity and curtail the threat of sovereign default by some euro-zone members. Unfortunately the short-term liquidity needs for European banks exceed one trillion euros. What's more the ECB is loaning out money to EU banks for three years thereby increasing the overall debt of these troubled banks while allowing them to postpone the problem of how to pay down that debt. In return the ECB is receiving bad sovereign debt as security at face value and it is leaving itself with little cash on hand.
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Friday, December 23, 2011
Stock Market Failure at Resistance / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The trendline under wave [c] of ii appears to have been broken. The chances are that any indication of selling may beget even more selling, as the tacticians are all watching the 200-day moving average.
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Thursday, December 22, 2011
Essential Investor Knowledge For Maximizing Real Gains Gold, Silver, Crude Oil, Equities & The U.S. Dollar / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
“Since its inception in 1913, The Federal Reserve Board has been responsible for almost 95% devaluation of the U.S. Dollar. All this has been achieved through its ability to continually inflate the money supply.
And, between 1985 and 2005, the Federal Reserve Board has increased the money supply by five times. This extraordinary money creation is merely the catalyst for debt creation. In a fiat money system, money is debt…there is absolutely no way this money can ever be repaid except by continued inflation. But, now that the credit bubble is blown up, inflation is no longer an option; bankruptcy looms.”
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Thursday, December 22, 2011
Plan to Keep Your Assets Safe From an Out-of-control Government / Stock-Markets / Investing 2012
Terry Coxon, Casey Research writes: By keeping all your assets in the country where you live, you commit, ahead of time, to ratify whatever policy your home government might adopt, no matter how objectionable, unreasonable or pernicious that policy happens to be. If the next new mandate is "Register today to get a nail pounded into your head," you're already signed up.
Americans, by and large, run all their affairs within the confines of the US. The US economy is so large and so varied that it's easy to assume that everything you want to do with your wealth can be done without crossing any borders. And people in the US, like people anywhere, live with the habits and attitudes developed over generations. They're only human. In the case of Americans, those habits grew out of long experience with a government that was small and that generally practiced the rare virtue of following its own laws. In a happy exception to mankind's experience with rulers, there was little to fear from it.
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Thursday, December 22, 2011
Chinese and Indian Tails Wagging the Global Equity Dog? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
There is no significant decoupling in our current global economy. As I am typing this, the Chinese stock market (Shanghai Index or $SSEC) is making new lows (intraday basis) for the current decline it has been undergoing. Is the Chinese market signaling what comes next for developed stock markets like the US and Germany? Is the tail predicting what the dog will do? I think it is.
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Thursday, December 22, 2011
Gerald Celente's Top 12 Forecast Trends 2012 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Hold onto your hat, your wallet, and your wits.
After a tumultuous 2011 in which many of the trends we had forecast became headline news around the world, we are now forewarning of an even more tumultuous year to come.
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Wednesday, December 21, 2011
Stock Market SPX SELL / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Trying to sell/sell short on the initial plunge is a dubious endeavor. However, the snap-back often gives you a better entry.
Those that went flat yesterday now have an opportunity to re-enter.
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Wednesday, December 21, 2011
Learning from MF Global Bankruptcy / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
In this article we look at how the failure of MF Global might affect the financial markets and trade in general. We learn from one of the gold market’s most famous investors, Jim Sinclair, and hear how this incident might affect the gold price. Mr Sinclair’s comments are worth reading for all investors but especially those inclined toward gold and silver.
During our spare moments reading apparently ‘anoraky’ financial books, we come across the odd gem that we excitedly recommend to our friends for a week or two in a flush of enthusiasm.
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Tuesday, December 20, 2011
Mark Mobius Betting Millions on Mexico, Indonesia, Nigeria, and Turkey / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: You may be surprised to learn that some of the world's best investors are buying heavily right now - not because they think we've hit a bottom, or even the bottom, but because they're setting themselves up for the next big run.
Take Mark Mobius, for example.
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Tuesday, December 20, 2011
Stock Market Year End Chaos / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The SPX has one more support level to break through, and that is the weekly mid-cycle support at 1194.37. Once that is accomplished, the next levels for is the cycle bottom support at 1014.11. The support also corresponds with the bottom trendline of a massive Orthodox Broadening Top formation.
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Monday, December 19, 2011
Stock Market Breakdown / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The SPX has broken below its prior weekly low at 1209.47 on December 14. This week we should see a drop below the 1150.67 low and possibly to the minimum target of 1025 .00 before any kind bounce. The cycles suggest that we may not see a bottom until December 29.
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Monday, December 19, 2011
Good Night Dear Leader, South Korea's Kospi Falls 3.4% / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Asia was in turmoil last night as news of the death of Kim Jong Il hit the wires. South Korea’s Kospi Index fell 3.4%, both the Shanghai and Hang Seng fell more than 2% at their opens but, along with the Nikkei, they all finished strong and down about 1.25%.
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Monday, December 19, 2011
Why We May See a Rally in U.S. Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
David Zeiler writes: With so much negative news dominating the headlines, investors can't be blamed for being worried or shying away from stocks. But if you take closer look at the market - specifically the Standard & Poor's 500 index - you might be surprised by what you see.
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Monday, December 19, 2011
Stock Market Ready to Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014.
SPX: Intermediate trend - The current action suggests that a wave "C" from 1075 is underway and, after a short consolidation, is about to resume its uptrend.
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Sunday, December 18, 2011
Euro Collapse Crisis Sledgehammer Pounds Into Stock Market Santa Rally / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Santa's Late! The stock market as measured by the DJIA closed the week down at 11,866, showing significant deviation from the santa rally script with barely a week remaining, the lack of progress to the upside has been as a consequences of the increasing mass of unserviceable debt out of the euro-zone where politicians repeatedly show themselves to be ignorant of the facts and what to do to get out of the hole that the euro-zone is sinking deeper into an economic depression each day.
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Sunday, December 18, 2011
December Dual Trading in Progress: Views From Inter Market / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
December is tracing our views till now. First a rally to 1260 on SP500 and then a muted correction to the confluence zone at 1210 and culminating a rally back to 1250/60 zone area to finish a rather eventful and volatile year which once again brought to the fore the broken structure of the world economy.
We present key major currency charts and macro economic analysis to validate our views.
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