Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, November 13, 2012
Euro-zone Trauma Means Stock Market Technical Weakness Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Christopher_Quigley
The technical picture in the market continues to deteriorate. The divergence between the Dow Transports and the Dow Industrials has been resolved with both indices now adopting a bearish stance. The Dow 30, the Dow 20 and the NASDAQ are all trading below their 200 day moving averages. The S & P 500 is only 3 points above this important technical level. In addition, with regard to market breath, the 20 day moving average has crossed the 50 day moving average on the McClennan Summation and the NYSE Advance/Decline Line. I am a great believer in market breath indicators so I reckon we are on the cusp of a bear trend turning into a bear market. It is all in play as we speak but for me the deciding indicator will be the Dow Transports. As mentioned in the October brief, should this index break below the 4850 level decisively, in all probability the bear trend will have gained "legs to last".
Tuesday, November 13, 2012
It Looks Like the Stock Market Is Saying "OMG" / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Money_Morning
Shah Gilani writes:
Today I want to talk about a few things I've been scratching my head over lately.
First, about those polls leading up to the presidential contest.
How come they were so wrong? How come the candidates were inches apart right up to the finish line, and then it's like a "tortoise and the hare" kind of ending?
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Tuesday, November 13, 2012
Stock Market S&P 1375 Holds For Now... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Jack_Steiman
The market closed last week a few points above that critical area of support for the S&P 500. With the Dow and Nasdaq already decently below their critical levels of support or the 200-day exponential moving average, everyone was wondering this weekend whether the S&P 500 would follow along.
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Tuesday, November 13, 2012
Market Forecasts for U.S. Stocks, Bonds, Gold, Silver, Dollar / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: EWI
Now - Nov. 19, you can join a free analysis-packed event for investors in the U.S. markets, hosted by Elliott Wave International, the world's largest financial forecasting firm.
Packed with videos, charts, analysis and more, this event centers around EWI's three flagship publications: The Elliott Wave Theorist, The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, and the Short Term Update. During this rare event, you will get to see the analysis and forecasting from each of these premier U.S. market publications.
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Tuesday, November 13, 2012
US Stock Market Downtrend Nearing a Low / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Tony_Caldaro
The US market rallied into election day, and then sold off after President Obama was re-elected. During the selloff the trends of all four major US indices realigned, for the first time since early October. For the week the SPX/DOW were -2.25%, and the NDX/NAZ were -2.65%. Asian markets lost 1.4%, European markets lost 2.1%, and the DJ World index lost 2.1%. On the economic front positive reports outpaced negative reports 7 to 2. On the downtick: ISM services and the WLEI. On the uptick: consumer credit, the trade deficit, export/import prices, consumer sentiment (5 year high), wholesales inventories, and weekly jobless claims improved. Next week we get to review the FOMC minutes, plus reports on Retail sales, the PPI/CPI and Industrial production.
Monday, November 12, 2012
The Stock Market Just Realized Two BIG Problems / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Graham_Summers
The US Presidential election ended November 6, 2012. Since that time, the market has fallen 3%.
There are a multitude of reasons for this, but the primary one is the fact that the markets is beginning to realize two key items:
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Monday, November 12, 2012
The Fiscal Cliff is a Mole Hill Compared TAG Program Expiry / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2012
By: Money_Morning
Shah Gilani writes:
Everyone is afraid of falling off the "fiscal cliff." But there's another dangerous countdown clock about hit to zero.
And no one is talking about it, even though it will spell even more financial problems for us all.
At midnight on December 31, 2012, the Transaction Account Guarantee (TAG) program will expire.
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Monday, November 12, 2012
Gold Prepares for Breakout as Stock Market Trends Towards a Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Clive_Maund
We exited our short positions in gold for a modest but useful profit when it broke out of its downtrend towards the end of October. It then broke sharply lower on heavy turnover in a move that looks capitulative, but afterwards turned and rose quite sharply over the past week. So the question now is “has it bottomed?” Although the answer to this question is “Yes, it looks like it has”, it also looks like it may back and fill for a little while to complete a base pattern before a sustained advance can get underway. COTs, particularly for silver, continue to give grounds for caution and warn that the current turn may be the B-wave trap of a A-B-C correction. We are aware of this danger and place stops accordingly to protect us from it.
Monday, November 12, 2012
MAP Wave Analysis - Stock Market Clues of US Fiscal Cliff? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Marc_Horn
In March MAP Wave Analysis projected the DOW ideal Q-2 reaching 13750 by November in Dow Stock Market Index Ready to Form a Major Top. Then in October the DOW failed to make a new high as detailed in DOW Stock Market Index 2007 Retest Failure – Game Over USA and in Best Stock Market Shorting Opportunity in 300 Years the context of the conclusions was detailed.
Monday, November 12, 2012
Stock Market Ready for a Bounce Within Intermediate Downtrend / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over) there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014. It is probable, however, that the steep correction of 2007-2009 will have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 120-yr cycle.
SPX: Intermediate trend - SPX has made a triple top, which is a bearish pattern. It has now given a strong indication that an intermediate correction is underway.
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Sunday, November 11, 2012
The Best Stock Trade You Can Make in November / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Investment_U
Alexander Green writes: In December 1996, I sold some shares of Best Buy (NYSE: BBY) to offset gains elsewhere in my portfolio.
I still consider it the most boneheaded investment move I ever made. A year later, the stock was up more than five-fold. A few years further on, it was up more than 30-fold.
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Sunday, November 11, 2012
Time to Buy Stocks, End of Year Santa Rally is Setting up! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Bob_Clark
World stock markets are dropping.
This time of year traditionally sees a rally. It is called the year end rally, or the Santa Claus rally. What is going on?
Investors are worried, they want to know if Christmas is cancelled this year. In this article I look at how cycles will effect the outcome.
Sunday, November 11, 2012
Stock Market Election Week Modest Gain / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short : After two days of harsh post-election selloff, the S&P 500 finished the day with a modest gain. For the first 30 minutes of trading, the index appeared directionless, but a strong consumer sentiment number put the index in rally mode, which lasted to the lunch-hour interim high, up 1.04%. The index then gave up most of the gains. A mid-afternoon rally had no staying power, and the index closed with a small but welcome gain of 0.17%. For election week, the index fell 2.43%. This was the worst weekly performance since the last week in May.
Saturday, November 10, 2012
Stock Market Forecasts for Dow, Dax, FTSE, Kospi and ASX / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: Manas_Banerji
After an election, we may expect one thing that there will not much window dressings but that is only an expectation, not guarantee. In this moment it will be hard job for US to balance between reduction in budgetary deficit and corresponding imminent recession which experts are talking about. Experts and media may talk about many things that is threatening global growth but I do feel that debt loads (especially for nations with big debt market) is one of the biggest matter that are hampering global growth, both directly and indirectly.
Saturday, November 10, 2012
Stock Market Where We've Been, and Where We're Going / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: EWI
After years of campaigning and billions of dollars spent, the U.S. Congress is virtually no different than before Election Day: a Republican-controlled House, a Democratic majority in the Senate and the same occupant in the White House.
Saturday, November 10, 2012
Stock Market Vision Cloudy...Continues Lower.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Jack_Steiman
Cloudy vision is what the market tries to avoid. It hates uncertainty. That's understandable. In the real world, none of us do either. The market is trying to understand what now. With the fiscal cliff dead ahead, who is going to step up on both sides and make something positive happen by meeting somewhere in the middle of each sides belief system. Is it possible for both sides to come to an agreement by checking their egos at the door? In the past, that hasn't proven to be the case and this is what really bothers the market right now. Even today, we heard from Boehner and Obama and both talked about hoping to be able to agree to something. That's not what anyone, especially the market, wants to hear. It wants to see them walk out together to announce that they will work ceaselessly until they find a cure. They will do whatever it takes to make the fiscal cliff become a bad thought that never became a reality.
Saturday, November 10, 2012
Probabilities For The Stock Market Going Forward! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Sy_Harding
The Dow plunged 433 points, or 3.3%, in the two days after the election. The timing makes it ‘obvious’ to many pundits that it’s due to President Obama being re-elected.But he was already president prior to the election, and the stock market has been in a strong bull market that started March 10, 2009, less than two months after he was inaugurated. And after a 10% March to June correction this year, the market continued to rally strongly off the June low even as the polls showed him as likely to win re-election.
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Friday, November 09, 2012
Nasdaq Stock Index Break its Bull Market Trendline / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Donald_W_Dony
After over three years of steady advancing, Nasdaq appears to be finally breaking its bull market trend.
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Friday, November 09, 2012
The Most Important Indicator for International Investing and National Economic Success / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: DeepCaster_LLC
“…We think that our responsibility is to clearly explain how the economic machine works by describing the cause/effect relationships that make it up…
“What are the Keys to Success? It seems intuitively obvious, and is in keeping with our experiences as a practitioners operating in many countries over several decades, that four factors drive relative growth: …competitiveness, indebtedness, culture and luck. In a study that we did … we show how we measured each of these and how they predicted subsequent growth, … focus on one of the components of our ‘Formula for Economic Success; –self-sufficiency–…
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Friday, November 09, 2012
What’s Around the Corner Now the U.S. Election’s Over / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: InvestmentContrarian
George Leong writes: Investors bid up stocks prior to the presidential election on Tuesday, when President Barack Obama won his second term. Investor confidence was due to some uncertainty eliminated with the election, but the nervousness quickly resurfaced on Wednesday morning, impacting investor confidence; stocks plummeted on the realization that Obama still has many hurdles to overcome and the fact that the global economy, namely in Europe and China, may be prone to more weakness that will negatively impact investor confidence.
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