Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, February 03, 2014
Stocks Bull Market Over? Are the Bears About to Break...even? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Bearish rhetoric is once more reaching extremes FOLLOWING the tumbling of stocks to new recent lows, a decline that many market commentators have once more latched onto as a consequence of Fed Tapering of QE or more accurately money printing, this despite the fact that the stocks soared in response to the last December Taper decision which was a surprise for the markets whilst the January Taper move was expected.
Sunday, February 02, 2014
Stock Market Dow Divergence Continues. Market Risk Is Rising / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Christopher_Quigley
Despite the recent market pullback Dow Theory divergence continues as can be readily observed from the Dow indices comparison chart below. Divergence is an indication of market instability and investor uncertainty.
Clearly the Dow Industrials are in a short term bear trend. This is signified by lower highs and lower lows on the index. Will this trend become more pronounced and become a medium bear trend? It is difficult to say at this juncture. The key technical position on the Dow Transports is 6940. If this price point is violated then in all probability the market is heading significantly lower.
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Sunday, February 02, 2014
Central Bank Throwdown, What’s Driving Emerging Markets? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: John_Mauldin
Those of us who have attained a certain age can remember being bombarded by commercials in which we were asked "Is it live or is it Memorex?" The thrust of the ad was that it didn't make any difference, that the tape recording was just as good as being there to watch that TV show live. Video recording technology was in its infancy, and the ability to play a movie whenever you wanted was really cool. Imagine being able to set a video recorder to record a TV show while you were away! … As long as you had somebody in the house young enough to be able to program the recorder to do it, it was great technology.
Sunday, February 02, 2014
Stock Market Elliott Wave Primary III or Just a Correction / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Tony_Caldaro
Another volatile week. While the range for the week was not that wide, (SPX 1770-1799), the wild swings every day, and sometimes intraday, were. For the week the SPX/DOW were -0.75%, the NDX/NAZ were -0.60%, and the DJ World index was down 1.20%. Economic reports for the week were about two to one on the positive side. On the uptick: Q4 GDP, Case-Shiller, consumer confidence/sentiment, personal spending, PCE prices, Chicago PMI, monetary base, and the WLEI. On the downtick: new/pending home sales, durable goods orders, the M1-multiplier, and weekly jobless claims rose. Next week will be highlighted by Payrolls, ISM and Auto sales.
Saturday, February 01, 2014
Why The 40-Year Kress Cycle is Bad News for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Clif_Droke
Lost among all the bullish predictions for the 2014 market outlook is a salient fact that few Wall Street analysts are aware of. What they fail to realize is that the powerful 40-year cycle bottoms later this year.
Just how powerful is the 40-year cycle? Well consider that in the previous 120 years the 40-year cycle bottom has never failed to produce a major market decline. From the decline in late 1894 to the corrective pullback of 1934 to the devastating decline of 1974, the 40-year cycle has always made its presence felt in the stock market.
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Friday, January 31, 2014
European Stocks and Financial Markets Forecasts / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets
By: EWI
Today, European Financial Forecast Editor Brian Whitmer shares a six-page report that sheds light on the status of the euro and European stocks. You also get Brian's special report, Europe's Monetary Magicians are Out of Tricks. His analysis reveals the "value play" myth in tech and gaming companies, the status of the euro crisis and more.
Friday, January 31, 2014
Stock Market SPX May Gap Beneath its Head & Shoulders Neckline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The overnight markets took back all the gains from yesterday and then some. There are numerous items influencing investor sentiment, which are listed below.
· The Nikkei started off on a ramp, but gave up over 400 points, closing at a loss.
· The deflation monster is raging in Europe.
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Friday, January 31, 2014
Market Risk Times Risk Equals Fear - Debt Rattle 2014 / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2014
By: Raul_I_Meijer
Financial risk is springing up from so many sides and nooks and angles and crannies by now that the overall picture has become chaotic. And needless to say, anyone invested in anything detests chaos; it instills fear. If you can no longer oversee from which angle which risk might pop up, selling looks like a good move, and that’s what we see happening. The Nikkei closed down again earlier today, and European markets are doing them one better (aka worse). There is a long list of European countries, both in the EU and outside of it, that experience de facto deflation, offset in many cases only by higher taxation.
Friday, January 31, 2014
Stock Market Thursday Rebound / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: Before the market opened, the weekly initial jobless claims missed the mark, but the Advance Estimate for Q4 GDP was a solid 3.2% — in line with expectations. The S&P 500 surged at the open, consolidated for an hour or so and then rallied to its 1.38% intraday high during the lunch hour. The index traded in a relatively narrow range and closed with a trimmed gain of 1.13%. With one day to go, to the index is up 0.22% for the week.
Friday, January 31, 2014
Markets Critical Forecast Signals, Gold Price Explosion to Come / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: DeepCaster_LLC
“U.S. Major markets will Implode, if Emerging Markets Implode.Jim Sinclair
Sinclair’s claim is correct, but the Markets’ recent Negative Reaction to Argentina’s Devaluation and Turkey’s Massive Rate Increase provides us one Superb Forecasting Signal.
Indeed, so far in 2014 the Markets have provided us with several Superb Forecast Signals in Key Sectors.
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Thursday, January 30, 2014
The Disappearing Stock Market Bears / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: EWI
See what happens in the financial markets when the bears vanish
If Inspector Gadget or Maxwell Smart had lived in the digital age, their bosses would have used the smartphone app Snapchat to deliver their secret missions.
Snapchat is a popular app with about 8 million users that lets your smartphone send a photo that self-destructs seconds after your recipient views it. As of September 2013, users were sending about 350-400 million vanishing messages a day -- which compares with the 127.5 million shares that changed hands in the Dow on Jan. 27, 2014.
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Thursday, January 30, 2014
Stock Markets Deepen Losses on Fed Decision / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Paul_Rejczak
Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook remains neutral:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: neutral
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: neutral
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Thursday, January 30, 2014
Stocks Pop, Gold & Bonds Drop / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The SPX Pre-Market calls for a higher open. However overhead resistance in the form of the hourly Cycle Bottom awaits at 1784.98. This bounce may not last.
The Department of Labor reports, “In the week ending January 25, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 348,000, an increase of 19,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 329,000. The 4-week moving average was 333,000, an increase of 750 from the previous week's revised average of 332,250.”
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Thursday, January 30, 2014
Emerging Markets Crisis or Media Hysteria? / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: Emerging markets have been hemorrhaging this year and are now grabbing media attention. However, as the charts show, the decline in these markets and currencies has been taking place for some time now and is certainly not a sudden development. Question is: does the drop in these markets now present a real emerging threat to the rest of the globe, especially the stock markets of major developed economies? Let’s take a look…
Thursday, January 30, 2014
Stock Market Nasty Down Day with Negative Technicals / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices suffered another nasty session, except for theTheTechTrader.com, which looked good and channeled up nicely. That includes some of the natural gas ETFs, particularly the UGAZ. But the day was an ugly one.
The day started out with a gap down, and then 3-wave corrective move to fill the declining topsline, and then they rolled over again in a 3-wave plunge. They took out the lows slightly, then snapped back after the FOMC, by came down again into the close.
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Thursday, January 30, 2014
Fed Tapers.... Stock Market Falls.... Short-Term Positive Divergences In Place.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
Well, it was an interesting day. I don't think anyone would argue that. The market went up a 12 handle last night on the S&P 500 futures when they announced a rate hike. I have no idea why a rate hike would spike our market to such a degree but it did. By the time we woke up this morning that green 12 was a red 12 handle. The market was not in the mood for anything to the upside with complacency trying to work itself off now. We gapped down hard and then blasted back higher after drifting back down fairly hard.
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Wednesday, January 29, 2014
All Asian Pacific Stock Markets Analysis including China, Korea, India, Japan, Australia... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: EWI
Today's post of the State of the Global Markets Report features unique insights on all of the major Asian-Pacific markets, including China, Korea, India, Japan, Australia and more. You will also get two special reports from Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast Editor Mark Galasiewski: Emerging Markets Reflect Social Mood and Australia: Labor's Loss and the Bull Market Ahead.
Wednesday, January 29, 2014
Is U.S. Fed Responsible for Emerging Markets Crisis? / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
By: Axel_Merk
From the bully pulpits in São Paulo to the blogosphere in cyberspace, the Fed is blamed for the turmoil in Emerging Markets (EM). That’s a bit like blaming McDonald’s for obesity. Blaming others won’t fix the problems in EM economies, it won’t fix investors’ portfolios and it is an unlikely way to lose weight. Investors and policy makers need to wake up and realize that they are in charge of their own destiny. Let us explain:
Wednesday, January 29, 2014
How Does This Stocks Bull Market Rank Against Past 100 Years Rallys? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: Today’s chart of the day is a simple analysis using Prof. Robert Shillers stock market data to look at where the current stock market rally exists in relation to previous market rallies following either cyclical or secular bear market corrections. I have analyzed the data using both nominal and real (inflation adjusted) prices.
If we look at nominal market prices going back to 1900, we find that the current rally of 135.23% (as of January 27th close) ranks as the 7th longest rally in history. As shown in the chart below the current rally ranks behind the 1920-29 market bubble, the post-WWII bull market and the “tech boom” of the 90′s.
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Tuesday, January 28, 2014
The Hottest Investable Market on Earth 2014 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2014
By: Money_Morning
China has been dominating the headlines in recent days.
And not in a good way.
Since late last week, worries about slowing growth, financial-system shenanigans and the potential for an “Asian-Contagion” type spillover have whacked global stocks – and have left folks wondering if the “China Miracle” is over.
But China’s kind of like a still-young tech venture: There are going to be reversals, it’s going to be volatile, and it’s normal to expect this kind of whipsaw market action.
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