Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, September 02, 2014
Stock and Commodity Market Ratio Messages / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Gary_Tanashian
Using monthly charts I want to update more big picture views of where we stand in the financial markets. This is just a brief summary [edit; okay it's not so brief. In fact it had to be ended abruptly or else it would have just kept on rambling] and not meant as in depth analysis with finite conclusions.
Tuesday, September 02, 2014
Stock Market Approaching An Important High? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - In 1932 and 1974, the 40-yr cycle was responsible for protracted market weakness. The current phase is due this year but where is the weakness? Has man (Federal Reserve) finally achieved dominance over universal rhythms or has it simply delayed the inevitable?
Intermediate trend - The correction is over and what is most likely the final phase of the uptrend (before a more serious correction) is underway.
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Monday, September 01, 2014
When Complexity Becomes Chaos / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
Modern achievements, especially in medicine and technology (fueled by cheap energy), have made the human experience longer and easier.Yet, at the base of it all lays the irrational man, still flinging immorality from the cages of his ongoing existential dilemma.
Despite the existence of natural governors, humans are still prone to abuse of power for the sake of power alone.
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Sunday, August 31, 2014
Dow, Gold and Silver - A Last Stand, A Fake Out And A Surge / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Austin_Galt
The Dow hit a marginal new all time high during the last week. So let’s see where things stand there first.
DOW DAILY CHART
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Saturday, August 30, 2014
Reasons to Be Bullish On Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Investment_U
Alexander Green writes: Just a few weeks ago, the bears started thinking things were finally going their way.
But it didn't work out that way... again.
This week, the S&P 500 closed above 2,000 for the first time. The Nasdaq hit its highest level in 14 1/2 years.
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Saturday, August 30, 2014
Stock Market Inflection Point Approaching / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Tony_Caldaro
The market started the week with a gap up opening on monday, hit SPX 2005 on tuesday before noon, then traded in a 14 point range for the rest of the week. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.7%, the NDX/NAZ were +0.8%, and the DJ World index gained 0.6%. On the economic front positive reports outpaced negatives ones, led by a Q2 GDP +4.2%. On the uptick: new/pending homes sales, durable goods orders, the FHFA, consumer confidence/sentiment, Q2 GDP, personal income, the PCE, and the Chicago PMI. On the downtick: the WLEI, Case-Shiller, and personal spending. Next week will be highlighted by the FED’s beige book, ISM, and the Payrolls report.
Saturday, August 30, 2014
Stock Market Status Quo.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
This an abbreviated holiday edition.
Folks, to be honest, there's not much to day about this market that we haven't discussed repeatedly for weeks, if not months. There are a number of issues the market is facing that one would think would be the beginning of the end for the bulls. We have overbought conditions on the key-index charts across most of the time frames everyone uses in one way or another. We have some divergences around, and most of all, we have froth at extremely high levels that usually knock the market down in a very large way. Not just your casual 4-5% correction, but levels that can cause bear markets meaning at least a correction of 20% or more. At times, 50%. Yes folks, the froth readings are that bad.
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Friday, August 29, 2014
Don't Get Ruined by These 10 Popular Stock Market Investment Myths / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: EWI
Interest rates, oil prices, earnings, GDP, wars, terrorist attacks, inflation, monetary policy, etc. -- NONE have a reliable effect on the stock market
You may remember that during the 2008-2009 financial crisis, many called into question traditional economic models. Why did the traditional financial models fail?
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Friday, August 29, 2014
Cycles Have a History, You Should Read About It / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: Harry_Dent
Last year, I was reading a sidebar in Barron’s where ex-fund manager and PIMCO director Paul McCulley was talking about a stock market peak later that year… at the same time sunspot cycles were forecast to peak.
This wasn’t the first time I’d heard respected analysts connect market activity to sunspot activity. Charles Nenner, a prominent cycle analyst believes there’s a plausible connection. So does Richard Mogey, founder of the Foundation for the Study of Cycles (and a speaker at our October IES Conference in Miami).
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Friday, August 29, 2014
Stock Market in a Quandary? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Yesterday’s decline did not appear impulsive enough to qualify as a Wave 1 down at any degree. In addition, despite Macro Wave I’s uncertain pedigree, Micro Wave iii and v are clearly impulsive. If this morning the SPX does not break down, it may leave us with a probable final Ending Diagonal sub-Minute Wave (v) to go if my earlier wave structure is incomplete. The reason I bring this up is that the futures made a new high, but are now pulling back. The Premarket is up on horrible news, but may only be completing a 5th wave of c of Wave (ii).
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Thursday, August 28, 2014
Central Banks at the Root of Evil / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Dr_Martenson
The current bubbles in financial assets -- in equities and bonds of all grades and quality -- raging in every major market across the globe are no accident.
They are a deliberate creation. The intentional results of policy.
Therefore, when they burst, we shouldn't regard the resulting damage as some freak act of nature or other such outcome outside of our control. To reiterate, the carnage will be the very predictable result of some terribly shortsighted decision-making and defective logic.
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Thursday, August 28, 2014
The Stock Market is Getting Edgy / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
This morning’s Premarket is down pretty substantially. The news is making things worse for the market that was already in decline at 5:00 am. Although the news may be blamed for the decline, it was already built into the Cycles Model.
The high on August 26 is 27 years and a day (3.1416 * 8.6) from the high leading into the 1987 crash. If it follows the 43-day Panic Cycle then we may follow the exact same pattern as in 1987.
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Thursday, August 28, 2014
Stock Market Negative Expectations Following Short-Term Consolidation / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,030, and a profit target at 1,900, S&P 500 index)
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: bearish
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: bearish
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Thursday, August 28, 2014
What the Burger King Deal Tells Us About Today's Stocks Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Money_Morning
Michael E. Lewitt writes: The S&P 500 recently hit a new high as it drove through the 2000 mark for the first time in history on the day that Burger King Worldwide Inc. (NYSE: BKW) announced that it would purchase iconic Canadian fast food chain Tim Hortons Inc. (NYSE: THI).
Thus far in 2014 there have been $2.3 trillion of announced mergers & acquisitions (M&A) transactions around the world - $1.16 trillion in the United States alone - and undoubtedly there are more on the horizon.
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Thursday, August 28, 2014
Stock Market Will We Ever Sell......!..Froth Ramping Again... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
Of course we will, and the market is set up right here to do so, except thus far it hasn't. Three straight days of daily-chart topping sticks across all the major indexes. It hasn't mattered. The market refuses to sell. It really should from here. Overbought and negative divergences and major froth and.....! You get the idea. At least a small pullback, one would think. So today we were set-up to sell, and although we tried to really sell-off late in the day, over the last thirty minutes the Spy was able to rally back up and barely finish in the red.
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Wednesday, August 27, 2014
Stock Market Panic Decline Begins / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX escaped the support of its Ending Diagonal trendline yesterday, putting it at risk of a sharp decline. Yesterday’s peak at 11.27 a.m. put it within an hour of 17.2 days of rally since its low at the close of August 7.
The Premarket is flat with a slight downward bias this morning. There is more bad news out of Europe, but traders appear to be jaded with no news of any significance being reported domestically.
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Wednesday, August 27, 2014
Stock Market Staring Into the Great Abyss / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: DeviantInvestor
Is a looming war coincident with a depressed gold price and a stock market peak an example of — staring into the great abyss?
Tuesday, August 26, 2014
Stock Market Bear Tracks Abound In Wall Street / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: I_M_Vronsky
Today's boundless investor complacency is eerily reminiscent of the unbridled investor euphoria of the roaring 1920’s. And all avid market students remember what happened then…i.e. the 1929 Stock Market Crash.
Pervasive investor complacency reigns in Wall Street today…similar to what caused myopic prudence in 2000-2001 and again 2007-2008. It is imperative to recall that in each case stock indices lost more than 50% of their value.
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Tuesday, August 26, 2014
Stock Market 6 Month Cycle / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Ed_Carlson
With the passage of the final high of the 2009 bull market high in the Dow (precisely forecast by the Lindsay model on July 17) our attention now turns to the S&P 500. Unfortunately, Lindsay’s methods only apply to the Dow so we must use other means but, as history has shown, highs in the two indexes shouldn’t be too far apart (in the year 2000 the Dow’s high was in January and the S&P’s was in March).
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Tuesday, August 26, 2014
Even Mainstream Academia Worried about Massive Bubbles in Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: EconMatters
Academia Finally Sounding Alarm
As stocks set new records each month even other academic economists are starting to realize that not only is the Federal Reserve behind the curve, but that they are part of the rising risk concerns that are building in the financial system, and their failure to take responsibility for valuations that are 10% over-valued even on the most optimistic valuations, is alarming given the past bubbles and the damage that has occurred through excessively low interest rates providing far too much liquidity in the system.
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