Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Wednesday, July 30, 2014
Five Industries Worried About Peak Oil / Stock-Markets / Sector Analysis
By: OilPrice_Com
The debate over the impact of peak oil has been raging for decades. Although few deny that the end of mass oil consumption is drawing nearer, educated estimates now range between 2020 and 2030. But more important than the timeframe of peak oil are its consequences. Some seek to spell the end of life as we know it, so reliant is the world upon black gold. Others, equally extreme in their views, embrace the news, looking forward to a time when humanity will magically clean up its act.
Wednesday, July 30, 2014
Stock Market Hunkers Down / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short.
This morning’s release of July Consumer Confidence surprised to the upside, a finding the rather conflicts with the latest Gallup survey of Economic Confidence. But in the real world, the key headlines were about the announcement of sanctions against Russia. The S&P 500 made a shallow arc higher in the morning, hitting its intraday high shortly after the Consumer Confidence report was released. It then sold off in a couple of waves to close at its -0.45% intraday low.
Wednesday, July 30, 2014
Stocks Bear Market Formation Revealed / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: EWI
The Stock Market with Elliott Wave Labels from 1693 to Present Day Reveals a Bear Market Formation Since 2000
The following article was adapted from Robert Prechter's June 2014 issue of The Elliott Wave Theorist, one of the longest-running investment letters in the business, continuously published monthly since 1979.
Figure 1 shows the stock market's waves from 1693 to the present. The circled Roman numerals denote waves of Grand Supercycle degree, the largest complete waves for which stock market data exist.
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Wednesday, July 30, 2014
What the “Steak Bandit” Says About Asset Values / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Money_Morning
Dr. Kent Moors writes: Just stay with me here. This is a story about energy – especially oil.
It begins last Saturday. On a trip to the local supermarket, I saw something you just don’t see every day.
You see, I always do the grocery run. It is one of several clauses that have appeared over time in my marriage contract (no doubt about it, this is one document you need to read before signing!).
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Tuesday, July 29, 2014
Lindsey Forecast Dow Stocks Bull Market is Over / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Ed_Carlson
Regular readers will remember the column posted two weeks ago as well as last week’s column confirming the bearish forecast by showing the positive divergence in the VIX which is expected a market tops.
It is important to be aware that George Lindsay admonished his newsletter subscribers that his methods were to be applied only to the Dow Jones Industrials index and not the broader indices. He explained this caveat that using the Dow (“or an even narrower index”) will avoid the constant turn-over of individual components in those broader indices.
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Tuesday, July 29, 2014
Stock Market Down Hard Then Reversal..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
No one reading this article will argue that things are deteriorating technically. We also have fundamental headaches, such as we saw from the real-estate world today. But focusing on technical action, the bears certainly have made some progress. A nice gap down now in the way of the bulls making their task of sustainable upside far more difficult. That said, we started up a hair this morning, only to see the futures fall apart just after the open. A real swoon lower with the S&P 500 falling well over ten points quite rapidly. It looked bad as the 20-day exponential moving average was getting taken out with relative ease.
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Tuesday, July 29, 2014
Will Crashing Commodities Crash the Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Clif_Droke
There are some analysts out there who maintain that the precipitous decline in commodity prices this year bodes ill for the stock market. Witness for example the dramatic drop in the price of corn. Below is a chart of the Teucrium Corn Fund (CORN), a proxy for corn futures. As you can see, corn prices are at multi-year lows right now. This is ironic given that the mainstream media assured us earlier this year that higher ag commodity prices were on the way.
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Tuesday, July 29, 2014
Stock Market Bubble Warning / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Barry_M_Ferguson
Everyone has an opinion as to whether or not US stock indices are in a bubble at the present (July, 2014). Given a moment’s reflection, I came up with ten reasons US stocks are indeed in a bubble.
1) Fed Chair Yellen expressed concern in mid-July (2014) that certain asset classes appeared to be stretched in terms of valuation. The three that she mentioned were social media stocks, biotechs, and small caps. This is a bit disturbing on several levels. First, Fed people are bankers and not economists or investment experts. As bankers, the Fed only knows one thing. That is, they have the power to steal money from a sovereign Treasury and give that money to their banker friends who help the Fed to control the world. Second, Ms. Yellen may indeed be correct.
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Monday, July 28, 2014
New Trading Highs - And That’s a GOOD Thing?? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Raul_I_Meijer
The past year has seen a long list of “XYZ is at its highest level since XXX” announcements. Some notable examples:
NASDAQ tech stocks are back to 1999 levels
The number of initial public offereings, including companies with no earnings, is back to 1999 levels
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Monday, July 28, 2014
Investors Remain Uncertain As Stock Fluctuate Near Long-Term Highs - Will The Uptrend Extend? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook remains neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: neutral
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Monday, July 28, 2014
$900 Billion in Capital Is About to Move / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Money_Morning
Michael E. Lewitt writes: Six years after the financial crisis, the SEC finally concluded a four-year battle with financial industry lobbyists to toughen regulations governing money market funds.
Readers may remember that a run at the $62.5 billion Reserve Primary Fund during the 2008 financial crisis brought the multi-trillion money market industry to a standstill.
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Monday, July 28, 2014
Stock Market One FINAL High? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - One final high needed to produce the start of an intermediate correction.
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Sunday, July 27, 2014
Stock Market Breakout Doesn't Hold... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
When anything breaks out, whether it's a stock or a single index or the entire market, you need to get a follow-through with power. Not only that, when you break out, you need to power through on the day you actually do so. We broke out over 1985 on the S&P 500, but only by a little more than a point. It held the next day but only added one additional point. A red flag to be sure. Yesterday it all fell apart with a big gap down due mostly to two earnings reports. Visa Inc. (V) and Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN), one froth and one not froth, took it on the chin as both had warnings. AMZN on bigger than expected losses, and V on future growth due to a slowing global economy.
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Sunday, July 27, 2014
Wall Street Shadow Banking: You Can’t Taper a Ponzi Scheme: “Time to Reboot” / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2014
By: Ellen_Brown
One thing to be said for the women now heading the Federal Reserve and the IMF: compared to some of their predecessors, they are refreshingly honest. The Wall Street Journal reported on July 2nd:
Read full article... Read full article...Two of the world’s most powerful women of finance sat down for a lengthy discussion Wednesday on the future of monetary policy in a post-crisis world: U.S. Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen and International Monetary Fund Managing Director Christine Lagarde. Before a veritable who’s-who in international economics packing the IMF’s largest conference hall, the two covered all the hottest topics in debate among the world’s central bankers, financiers and economists.
Saturday, July 26, 2014
Derivatives Market Species Origins - Abuse, Props and Risks / Stock-Markets / Derivatives
By: Jim_Willie_CB
The topic of financial derivatives is a huge can of worms. The subject has arisen in the financial press much more in the last few years since the global financial crisis turned critical and became a clear case of grand struggle to prevent a veritable collapse. In a loose sense, the derivatives are the scotch tape, bailing wire, band-aids, and chewing gum holding the system together, the glue and adhesive, with rose colored glasses used with a large amount of deception. Another analogy preferred for usage by the Jackass is the floating fabricated foundation laden with vaporous illicit toxic fabric, the phony platform on which insolvent structures lie. That the big banks do not serve well as credit engines or investment crucibles is no surprise. They are insolvent, and their derivative foundation is fractured. It is very difficult to explain how the derivatives serve as foundation. Imagine a spinning wheel, spinning very fast, except that the flat disk has almost zero mass. It spins so fast that it appears to serve as a platform which can support weight. Its floor is mentioned more than seen. It is fake, an illusion.
Saturday, July 26, 2014
Stock Market Manipulation and Technical Analysis / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
By: Anonymous
It is no secret that the markets are manipulated. Periodically, the question is asked if the Dow theory, cycles or any other technical methods can remain valid in a world of extreme manipulation. The short answer is, Yes. While manipulation can have a temporary effect on the market by stretching a cycle, it cannot fix the underlying problem or negate the natural cyclical rhythm of the economy or the market. In fact, history clearly shows that it is not nice to mess with Mother Nature in that the inevitable cyclical ebb and flow will have its way. So, yes, the natural cyclical forces of the market can be extended through manipulative practices, but ultimately such manipulation only serves to make matters much worse in the end. Thus, the efforts to manipulate, control the market and the economy and even the belief that they can be controlled is a cycle in itself. Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, July 26, 2014
China’s Stock Market Finally Looks Like A Buy / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
By: Sy_Harding
Is China’s economy, the second largest in the world, a disaster coming down to a hard landing, which has been the popular forecast for four or five years now? Or is it merely slowing from unsustainable double-digit growth of more than 12% a few years ago, to a more reasonable and sustainable pace?
This week the International Monetary Fund cut its forecast for China’s 2014 economic growth to 7.4% from its 7.5% forecast in April.
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Friday, July 25, 2014
Stock Market Early Sell Signals / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
VIX has completed its pullback to the declining trading channel trendline. This morning it has crossed above the 50-day Moving Average and is on an SPX aggressive sell signal. This would be confirmed above mid-Cycle resistance at 13.54.
Friday, July 25, 2014
Why the Stock Market Is Heading For A Fall - This Time Is Not Different / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: LewRockwell
David Stockman writes: The 2008 Wall Street meltdown is long forgotten, having been washed away by a tsunami of central bank liquidity. Indeed, the S&P closed yesterday at 1,983—or up by nearly 200% from its March 2009 low. Yet four cardinal measures of Main Street economic health convey nothing like a 2X pick-up from the post-crisis bottom.
Thursday, July 24, 2014
Where to Invest: With Macroinvestors or Macroeconomists / Stock-Markets / Investing 2014
By: Fred_Sheehan
Stanley Druckenmiller, the justly renowned investor, spoke at the Delivering Alpha conference on Wednesday, July 16, 2014. Quoting Druckenmiller: "As a macro investor, my job for 30 years was to anticipate changes in the economic trends that were not expected by others - and therefore not yet reflected in securities prices. I certainly made my share of mistakes over the years, but I was fortunate enough to make outsized gains a number of times when we had different views from various central banks."