Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, October 09, 2014
Yesterday's Fed News Proved We Need a Stock Market Correction More Than Ever / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Money_Morning
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: I have long said that the Fed has never met a printing press it didn't like nor a dove that it didn't want to set free in the name of higher stock prices. And, yesterday, yet again, Yellen proved it.
Within minutes of releasing its latest set of notes hinting that the Fed will keep rates near zero, the S&P 500 took off on a 34-point gain that is the biggest so far this year. Moving first 45 points from its low of 1,925 to its peak of 1,970 in less than five hours (it later settled slightly lower), the index shrugged off the prior day's losses amidst global growth concerns and weaker European economic data.
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Thursday, October 09, 2014
Financial Markets are Convincingly Irrational / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Axel_Merk
To make sense of the markets, it may be ever more important to dissect what we may call convincingly irrational behavior by policy makers. To make sense of stocks, bonds and currencies, you might need to dissect some of the madness that's unfolding in front of our eyes. We assume no responsibility if you turn mad yourself in reading this analysis.
Thursday, October 09, 2014
Stock Market Reversal.....Fed Loves A Bull..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
What a day. We were down over 4% from the top on the S&P 500 just when those Fed minutes were ready to come out this afternoon. The market was already enjoying a strong bounce up when Fed Yellen came out and gave the market what it wanted. Low rates forever, it seems. Not hard to figure out since she hated what she saw around the world with regards to weakening economies. Global weakness along with weakening housing prices have her running scared, and when she's scared the market is very happy, because she makes statements she knows the market will just love. She turned more dovish again, and the market knows this means there's really not many other places to go. Folks bullied into a bull market continues, for now, although risk is still tremendous. Even though the market reversed hard today, it doesn't mean we're out of the woods by any means. We can back test the lost 20- and 50-day exponential moving averages and simply fall again, but I have to say that some of today's reversals were just stunning.
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Thursday, October 09, 2014
Rally Leaves the Stock Market Breadthless / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The Feds were playing with their jack-in-the-box again with a 70% retracement of sub-Minute Wave i. They had a little help from BoJ’s Kuroda with a spike up in USD/JPY to 108.74 just before 2:00. Since 2:00, it has declined back down to as low as 108.05.
It is clear that they are attempting to get liquidity by stopping the shorts out of their positions. But it’s not a change of trend. Resistance at the lower trendline of the larger Orthodox Broadening Top appears to be the stopper.
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Thursday, October 09, 2014
Fed Smacks U.S. Dollar; Europe and Japan Lose Hope / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: John_Rubino
Read full article... Read full article...FOMC's fear of a strong dollar drives greenback lower
NEW YORK (MarketWatch) -- The U.S. dollar turned lower against rivals Wednesday afternoon after the FOMC released minutes from its September meeting, revealing that members raised concerns that a one-two punch of a strong dollar and stagnant growth abroad could impede U.S. growth.The closely followed central bank minutes also showed that several Fed officials wanted to remove language indicating that short-term interest rates would likely remain low "for a considerable time," but held off in part because of concern that the market would misinterpret it as a policy shift.
Wednesday, October 08, 2014
Stock Market Decline May Accelerate / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
You can see that the Broadening Wedge visible on the daily charts was triggered yesterday. It has a similar target to the Orthodox Broadening Top.
SPX just exceeded last Thursday’s low, so it will continue its decline with the next support at 1904.14 to 1911.13, where we can see the mid-Cycle support and 200-day Moving Average.
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Wednesday, October 08, 2014
Stocks Retrace Last Week’s Rally As Investors’ Sentiment Worsens / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 1,985 and profit target at 1,900, S&P 500 index)
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: bearish
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: bearish
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Tuesday, October 07, 2014
Is The Stocks Bull Market Complete? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Ed_Carlson
With all possible counts for a basic advance from the 2011 lows having expired and a right shoulder (9/17/14) printed and confirmed by middle section counts we know that the bull market is complete. However, it never hurts to have some affirmation along the way that rallies like Friday's are nothing more than hiccups in the bear market.
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Tuesday, October 07, 2014
Final Stock Market Supports Being Broken / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The SPX Premarket is testing the lower trendline of the lesser Broadening Top formation at 1957.00 as I write. Once this is broken, there is no further support until we arrive at the 200-day Moving Average at 1902.00. This may be our target for the next 24 hours.
Tuesday, October 07, 2014
War, Peace, and Financial Fireworks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Casey_Research
Politics has long been a driver of international markets and fickle financial systems alike. Everything is connected. Here are some voices from the just-concluded Casey Research Fall Summit talking about cause, effect, and war.
James Rickards, senior managing director with Tangent Capital Partners and an audience favorite at investment conferences, says the Middle East, Russia, and China are all working against the US dollar and for gold.
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Monday, October 06, 2014
Trading Cycles Trader Interview / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Submissions
Deric O. Cadora writes: Gary Savage is an expert cycle trader and publisher of a successful market newsletter. His writings strongly influenced my own shift toward cycle methodology many years ago, and although our approaches now differ to a degree, the core techniques of cycle methodology remain constant. And so as a fellow cycle trader and publisher, I find myself in a unique position to interview Gary from a cycle trader's perspective, and Gary has been gracious enough to agree.
Monday, October 06, 2014
Stock Market Pop-n-Drop Mini Crash Today / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
I spent a good part of the weekend installing the “Hidden Cycle” patterns (green on the daily) into my Cycles Model. I had theorized last December that this Cycle should be tracked, since it could become a dominant new Cycle. The theory was tested and proven, as the “Hidden Cycle” has now become the dominant one.
Monday, October 06, 2014
Stocks Bounced Off Sharply Following Recent Move Down - Downtrend Reversal Or Just Correction? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 1,985 and profit target at 1,900, S&P 500 index)
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: bearish
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: bearish
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Monday, October 06, 2014
Stock Market Odds Favor More Weakness Ahead! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - In 1932 and 1974, the 40-yr cycle was responsible for protracted market weakness. The current phase is due this year but where is the weakness? Has man (Federal Reserve) finally achieved dominance over universal rhythms or has it simply delayed the inevitable?
Intermediate trend - We are looking for the move from 1905 to end, after which a much more serious correction should start. (It has probably started!)
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, October 06, 2014
Stock Market VIX Voodoo Analysis / Stock-Markets / Volatility
By: Austin_Galt
The Volatility Index (VIX) seems to be indicating something big is brewing. Let's investigate taking a bottom up approach beginning with the daily chart.
Sunday, October 05, 2014
Stock Market Elliott Wave Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Tony_Caldaro
Quite a volatile week. The market started at SPX 1983 on Monday, gapped down to open the week, rallied back to slightly above 1983 on Tuesday, then declined, without any gap downs, to 1926 by midday Thursday. Then the market rallied, with a gap up opening on Friday, and still ended the week lower. For the week the SPX/DOW were -0.7%, the NDX/NAZ were -0.7%, and the DJ World index lost 2.0% again. On the economic front there was good news and not so good news. On the uptick: personal income/spending, the PCE, the ADP, monthly payrolls; plus the unemployment rate, weekly jobless claims and trade deficit all improved. On the downtick: pending home sales, construction spending, Case-Shiller, the Chicago PMI, ISM manufacturing/services, factory orders, the WLEI and the monetary base. Next week we get the FOMC minutes, export/import prices and consumer credit.
Sunday, October 05, 2014
Investor Profit Opportunity in Hong Kong's Unrest / Stock-Markets / Hong Kong
By: Money_Morning
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: Most investors haven't got a clue about what Hong Kong's riots represent, let alone the investment potential that's being unleashed there. As a result, they're going to miss out on some really terrific profit opportunities.
Hong Kong is like an onion. Returned from a century of British rule to Beijing on June 30, 1997, there are layers and layers of subtleties. For most westerners, the place is a complete enigma.
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Saturday, October 04, 2014
Dow Stock Market Broadening Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Austin_Galt
The final move into top on the Dow now looks to be underway. Let’s investigate using the daily, weekly and monthly charts.
Saturday, October 04, 2014
“Money Bubble” Predictions Coming True - Stock Market Volatility Surges / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: John_Rubino
In The Money Bubble: What To Do Before It Pops, James Turk and I climb out on some long, skinny limbs with a series of extreme predictions. Now it’s time to start tracking the ones that are (or seem to be) working out, beginning with increasingly wild swings in US equities:
Read full article... Read full article...Chapter 26, page 294:
For a sense of how an over-indebted financial system enters a catastrophic collapse, imagine a spinning top. For a while after being set in motion, the top stays in one place, spinning smoothly. But then a slight wobble creeps into its rotation, gradually becoming more pronounced until it turns violent. The unstable top then shoots off in a random direction to crash against whatever is nearby. That’s how the financial markets will behave when the Money Bubble bursts.
Friday, October 03, 2014
Stock Market Crash, Collapse Imminent.... Again? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Wednesdays 228 point (1.4%) drop on the Dow triggered a hyperbolic wave of bearishness across the mainstream broadcast channels and the BlogosFear that in near unison proclaimed that the 5.5 year old stocks bull market had finally, DEFINITELY come to an end! The media's after the fact consensus coalesced around the reason that expectations for the U.S. Fed to bring QE to an end this month and signal that interest rate hikes are around the corner. So the market apparently panicked, that's if you call a 1.4% drop a panic, and despite the FACT that stocks actually do quite nicely during the early years of a RATE hiking cycle! In fact its rate CUTS that stocks bulls need to worry about for they signal WEAKNESS ahead. The complete opposite to what is being taken as granted by journalists who just tend to regurgitate what dribbles out of the mouths of clueless academics or salesmen.