Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, September 18, 2015
Fed’s Vast Gold / Stock Market Impact / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Zeal_LLC
Yesterday’s Fed decision was one of the most anticipated ever, with much potential to really change the global financial-market dynamics going forward. But thanks to the Fed’s incredible market distortions of recent years, Fed meetings spawning exceptional volatility is nothing new. Fed decisions’ impacts on gold and stocks have been vast. And this next tightening cycle should reverse their Fed-imparted directionality.
Before we get started, a big caveat is necessary. While this essay was published the morning after that Fed decision, I had no choice but to research and write this draft before yesterday’s momentous 2pm event! Producing one of these weekly essays takes a lot of time and effort, and even after writing 670 of them there was no possible way to start this process after the Fed and still make the publishing deadline.
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Friday, September 18, 2015
Stock Market Testing the Flags / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX is testing the inside boundaries of its Bearish Flag. I have revised the Flag minimum target to reflect yesterday’s spike high. Should SPX break below its Flag formation on heavy volume today, the probability of a flash crash within the next week becomes elevated above 50%.
Friday, September 18, 2015
How Should You Invest During Recession? / Stock-Markets / Recession 2015
By: Submissions
Nicholas Kitonyi writes: The general rule is that the best time to invest in the stock market is when stock prices are low, and sell when they are high. Ideally, stock prices trade at low prices during recession as compared to when the economy is expanding.
However, as many investors would tell you, it is not always that simple. In fact, sometimes it is much difficult to pick out the right stocks during recession because you never know where the recession would leave the company by the time it’s over.
Friday, September 18, 2015
Halloween Came Early this Year on Wall Street / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Clif_Droke
The Federal Reserve guessing game ended Thursday after the FOMC made its decision on interest rate policy. The Fed left rates unchanged in a tip of the hat to investors who felt the economy was vulnerable to overseas weakness. This was what most on Wall Street wanted, although there was a sharp intraday reversal after the announcement (apparently a case of buy the rumor, sell the news).
Thursday, September 17, 2015
Great Financial Crisis 2nd Leg - The Chinese Emperor Has No Clothes / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
By: Brian_Bloom
The first chart below may be signalling a very significant technical development from the perspective of global investor confidence.
The lower low in the On Balance Volume (OBV) chart is not yet significant in terms of extent; nevertheless, its significance lies in the fact that it is pointing to the “potential” emergence of a wave of selling pressure in the equity market of a country that has clearly been cooking its economic books (see evidence below).
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Thursday, September 17, 2015
Stock Market Fed Decision Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
A colleague, Gary, called me yesterday to comment that this formation might have a better fit as a Flag or Pennant formation instead of a Triangle. A glance at the two-hour chart shows an upward tilt that would agree with that assessment. The Wave Structure also fits, whether a Minor Wave 4 or an Intermediate Wave (B), which is the alternate view.
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Thursday, September 17, 2015
The Talk of US Stock Market Crash Does Not Make Sense / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Submissions
Nicholas Kitonyi writes: Over the last few weeks, there has been a lot of talk of a possible US market crash. This comes following a substantial decline across all the major US Indices and their associated ETFs which saw them drop by 6%-9% between late August and early September.
However, we have already witnessed significant resurgence in US markets over the last few days, which suggests that investors still remain optimistic.
Thursday, September 17, 2015
Stock Market Short Interest Off The Charts...Fed On Deck.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
A new report came out this morning showing trader-short interest is at an all-time high. Nothing like fear to create a more bullish environment. The short interest here is at a greater level than at any time during the 2000-bear market or the 2009-bear market That's almost impossible to believe, but that's what the numbers are showing. Most folks know the rule of this crazy game with regards to following the herd. Never do it! If the masses get too bullish it's probably not a bad idea to start removing most of your long holdings. No different than when things get far too bearish. Right now the trading world is far too bearish, which tells me that over time it's more likely, though no guarantee, that we'll get through S&P 500 1993 before losing S&P 500 1867. Taking out 1993 would negate the bearish-bear flag pattern, and set things up more balanced between the two sides. Then it would be more about sentiment.
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Thursday, September 17, 2015
Refugee Crisis is a Far Bigger Risk to Your Money than the Fed or China / Stock-Markets / Refugee Crisis
By: ...
MoneyMorning.com Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: Today we’re going to talk about the 800 pound gorilla in the room. No politician will touch it and no citizen wants to acknowledge it in an era where political correctness has run amok.
But we have to.
“It” is Europe’s desperate refugee crisis, and “it” is by far the single biggest threat to your money today. You’re not hearing about this at the moment but you will in the months ahead.
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Wednesday, September 16, 2015
Jim Rogers on Timeless Investing Strategies You Can Use to Profit Today / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015
By: Casey_Research
By Nick Giambruno
Recently I spoke with Jim Rogers about the most important investment lessons he has learned over the years.
Jim is a legendary investor and true international man. He’s always ahead of the game. Jim made a bundle by investing in commodities in the 1990s when they were out of favor with Wall Street. He’s also made large profits investing in crisis markets.
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Wednesday, September 16, 2015
Stock Market Sectors, Does Anyone Win With an Interest Rate Hike? / Stock-Markets / Sector Analysis
By: Investment_U
Matthew Carr writes: Editorial Note: It’s the big moment investors have been waiting for. As we write, the Fed is meeting to decide if it will raise interest rates for the first time since 2006. And while there won’t be any official announcement until Thursday, folks are understandably on edge. But should you be?
We asked Matthew Carr to do what he does best - to sift through decades of market data and uncover the real effect of rate hikes on stocks. We hope you enjoy his commentary. And afterward, if you’re still worried, click here to see how our Chief Investment Strategist Alexander Green is preparing Oxford Club Members for the end of the bull market.
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Wednesday, September 16, 2015
Stock Market Trend Forecast Sept to Dec 2015 - Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The 15% drop in average stock prices during the past month has galvanised a growing number of bears to once more dig out ancient text book reasons for why this is the time for the stocks bear market to finally begin, and not only that but keep making definitive statements for the expectations for market crash's that always fail to materialise for the obvious reason that a crash is a panic event that can only at best be discerned no earlier than during the preceding day. Even then the probability would favour the market ending higher on the so called crash day because market crashes are NOT common events.
Tuesday, September 15, 2015
U.S. Stocks: End of the Complacent Era? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: EWI
Stock market bears have been conspicuously absent
August 20 was the third consecutive down day for the Dow Industrials as the index tumbled 358 points.
The U.S. stock market had managed to hover near record highs, even as other markets (oil, precious metals, housing) had long since fallen from old highs. The 34-year bull market in 30-year U.S. government bonds ended months ago.
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Tuesday, September 15, 2015
Stock Market Crashing: Is it Time to Panic? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Sol_Palha
''Come to the edge,'' He said. They said, ''We are afraid.'' ''Come to the edge,'' He said. They came. He pushed them... and they flew.
Guillaume ApollinaireThe answer to this plain question should always be a resounding no: it never pays to give into panic. The smartest option is to derail this emotion before it gains any traction. Once fear takes over, the end is nigh.
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Tuesday, September 15, 2015
Stock Market Triangle within a Triangle / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Keeping in mind that the Minor Waves of Intermediate Wave (1) are in an [a]-[b]-[c] form, I had wondered how the next Wave [b] would look. Here’s our answer. It appears to be yet another Triangle with a smaller degree throw-over Wave (e). There is no guarantee that it is finished yet. We may have confirmation when we see a five-wave [c] emerge out of the bottom of the triangle at 1954.00. Note the very light volume in this ramp. Volume should pick up substantially on the decline. This has a similar feel
Tuesday, September 15, 2015
China Stock Market on the Edge. TNX Rising / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
All eyes turn to china as the Shanghai Index sits on a ledge of support at 3000.00. As ZeroHedge comments, “What, however, is dawning right now on traders is that China has once again lost control of its market, and days after crushing index futures trading by hiking margins to unprecedented levels, the SHCOMP resumed its old acrobatics tumbling as much as 4.2% in final hour of trading, and dropping below 3,000 for the first time since Aug. 27, before closing 3.5% lower at 3,005.172.”
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Tuesday, September 15, 2015
The Rollercoaster Journey of the Global Stock Markets Today / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Rodney_Johnson
As I walked through Lowe’s last weekend, I was struck by the presence of Halloween decorations. At the risk of sounding like a cranky old man, I couldn’t help but tell my wife: “It’s not even September yet!” And then I thought how 2015 seems to be flying by. Maybe I actually am a cranky, getting-old, man.I have the same take as I read through the financial papers. Things are moving at light speed. From crashing equity markets to falling commodity prices, there’s a lot to contemplate at one time.
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Tuesday, September 15, 2015
This Global Financial Crisis is Set To Continue…And Get Worse / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2015
By: Harry_Dent
I just landed in Vancouver for our third annual Irrational Economic Summit. Besides losing some luggage on the flight over and a few other hiccups along the way, I’m here, my team’s here, and we’re ready to kick off the event tomorrow.In the past we had only offered small, live conferences to members of our Dent Network. Back in 2013, we opened the doors to a wider audience.
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Tuesday, September 15, 2015
Stock Market Unwinding Without Price Appreciation.... Fed The Last Hope For The Bull / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
When a market is in a certain trend up or down you watch how the daily oscillators behave to understand what's likely next. When things are more bullish you can unwind overbought oscillators without too much price depreciation. When things are turning more bearish you can unwind oversold oscillators without too much price appreciation, and that's where we are right now. We're unwinding oversold oscillators over the past fifteen days when the bear flag first started to form, yet all we've done is remain well below key-resistance flag top at 1993 on the S&P 500.
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Tuesday, September 15, 2015
Stocks, Gold and Commodities Elliot Wave Theorist Analysis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: EWI
Dear reader,
With the market action during the last few weeks, many investors have been operating in panic mode; subscribers to Robert Prechter's Elliott Wave Theorist haven't. Why?
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