Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Wednesday, February 24, 2016
An Escalating War on Cash / Stock-Markets / War on Cash
By: John_Browne
On February 16th, The Washington Post printed the article, "It's time to kill the $100 bill." This came on the heels of a CNNMoney item, the day before, entitled "Death of the 500 euro bill getting closer." The former cited a recent Harvard Kennedy School working paper, No. 52 by Senior Fellow Peter Sands, concluding that the abolition of high denomination notes would help deter "tax evasion, financial crime, terrorist finance and corruption." In recent days, former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers, ECB President Mario Draghi, and even the editorial board of the New York Times, came out in support of the elimination of large currency notes. Apart from the question as to why these calls are being raised now with such frequency, the larger issue is whether these moves are actually needed or if they merely a subterfuge for more complex economic manipulations by central banks to extend control over private wealth.
Wednesday, February 24, 2016
British Pound, Financial Markets Mayhem and the Trump Revolution - Video / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Mario_Innecco
Transcript excerpt: its February 24th 2016 in its Wednesday 9:30 a.m. London England time or 4:30
a.m. Eastern Standard Time the us- start out two day talking about the British
Pound and it's kind of part of the video I made under 12 January called British
Pound a harbinger of global financial mayhem and since then you know we saw
the stock market dropped quite a bit since the middle of January I know it
dropped quite a bit as well from the beginning of January and then we've been
rebounding over the last week or ten days and we are actually pretty much in
terms of the dow where we were on January 12 maybe a little or where we
are one you know I'm down right now as I speak is down 88 16,000 34 years and I
think we're around 16,400 in one of the reasons I mentioned British Pound be a
harbinger financial mayhem is that in the last financial crisis the pound
Wednesday, February 24, 2016
Stock Market Indices Reverses to Downside on Solid Sell-Off / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
It was turn-around Tuesday as the indices reversed yesterday’s gains and had a solid sell off. The day started out with a gap down, they formed early bear wedges that created a 5-wave morning move, late morning and early afternoon they coiled, and then consolidated, trying to test support. On a couple of occasions they were successful, but in the afternoon they came down, bounced, went lower, and nearly closed at the lows for the day.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 23, 2016
Stock Market Calm Before the Storm? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
It was fascinating (to me, at least) to see all of the hourly pivots being hit yesterday as equities made their rally high. The top Pivot was at 13:43 hours in which the 1946.70 high was made.
The Premarket is mixed while the futures show a clear reversal pattern overnight. All the overseas markets are down in overnight trading, but not significantly.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 23, 2016
This is 'The Bubble' Which 2008 was 'The Warm Up'! / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
By: Gordon_T_Long
... It is going to take longer to unfold then people think!
Graham Summers is the Chief Market Strategist with Phoenix Capital Research in Washington, DC. Phoenix capital research is an investment research firm, that has clients in 56 countries around the world, specializing in investment research on a subscription basis.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 23, 2016
Stock Market Running Up....Sentiment Playing Out...What Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
The relentless run up is continuing as the bulls are letting the bears know they'll be remaining busy for a while. Now we will have to deal with some selling soon as the short-term sixty-minute charts are overbought and flashing negative divergences. Sometimes, in very bullish environments the negative divergences can be worked out through time instead of price, meaning you unwind those divergences and overbought with very little price erosion. If that happens, you know you've transferred the energy from bear to bull. In bullish environments time works off the overbought conditions. In bearish environments it's price that works its way lower from any push up on those oscillators. We'll know very shortly which way this will work itself out. We saw the market futures turn north last night after Europe gapped up and kept on running higher. We opened strongly and closed very nicely, which now means the bulls have four large gap ups that kept running higher all day.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 23, 2016
Stock Market to Fall 16% More into March 11th? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Brad_Gudgeon
The chart below shows that the SPX 1650 level may be next and sooner than most think. Looking at this 2 hour chart of the SPX, we can see a similarity to the December 27, 2015 top. The move up from February 19 into February 22 is stronger by 27.7% suggesting a harder move down this time than in late December into January 20th. March 11th is nearby to the Bradley March 10th date. March 11th is the anniversary of the 2015 20 week low, is 20 TD's from the January 20th low, and the 7/28 week cycle low from August 24th, 2015. The 1650 level beckons.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 22, 2016
Bonds Aren't Buying the Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Bonds aren’t buying the rally in stocks. ZeroHedge reports, “While the algos are closely following every momentum-generating uptick in global equities on the back of yet another short squeeze in crude, one asset class that has been roundly ignored are Treasurys, which have refused to follow the equity euphoria and have in fact roundtripped today's entire risk on move, suggesting that once again, "bonds aren't buying it."
Monday, February 22, 2016
Stock Market Pivot Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
It appears that SPX Premarket has risen to the range of 1937.00 this morning. That means the Wave structure has morphed into a Minor wave C. The target for this wave [Where Wave (v) equals (i)] is 1945.48. An expanded flat Wave (2) would terminate in the range of the Wave A high at 1947.20. The Broadening formation trendline appears to be near 1952.00, so this gives us a range of outcomes for today.
Monday, February 22, 2016
USDCAD And SP500 Elliott Wave Analysis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Gregor_Horvat
USDCAD
On USDCAD we are looking at declining price action from 1.4018 that can be an expanding diagonal, now moving down into the final stages of decline. We see wave 5 of C) headed beneath 1.3650 and even towards 1.3600 area, where pair can be looking to form a low this week.
USDCAD, 1H
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 22, 2016
Stock Market Phase Correction In Progress / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Severe correction underway.
SPX: Intermediate trend - Phase correction in process.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 22, 2016
Japan Has Officially Lost Control of Its Financial System / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
By: Graham_Summers
For over six years, the markets have been moving based on Central Banker actions and words.
The first phase (2009 to 2013) was dominated by action (ZIRP and QE).
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, February 21, 2016
Why This Financial Crisis Will Be Worse Than 2008 / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
By: Graham_Summers
For six years, the world has operated under a complete delusion that Central Banks somehow fixed the 2008 Crisis.
All of the arguments claiming this defied common sense. A 5th grader would tell you that you cannot solve a debt problem by issuing more debt. Similarly, anyone with a functioning brain could tell you that a bunch of academics with no real-world experience, none of whom have ever started a business or created a single job can’t “save” the economy.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, February 21, 2016
Stock Market Drop Likely Monday, Gold Price Topping? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Brad_Gudgeon
The technicals, cycles and astro-read suggest a high probability of a severe drop in the stock market Monday to as low as the low/mid SPX 1840’s. The SPX likely completed the 100 TD low 16 TD’s on February 11. The SPY grid lines below shows lines of support and resistance.
Sunday, February 21, 2016
India Stock Market BSE SENSEX Bombay's Last Hurrah / Stock-Markets / India
By: Austin_Galt
The BSE SENSEX is the Indian stock index which trades out of Mumbai or Bombay for those with a sense of nostalgia. Price hit a low of 22600 on the 12th February 2016 which was just over 24% down from the 2015 high of 30024.
So, is that the end of the bear market? In my opinion, the answer is both yes and no. What? That sounds like I'm having a bob each way which is not uncommon for many technical analysts, I dare say!
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, February 20, 2016
Stocks Bear Market Rally Continues / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Tony_Caldaro
An eventful holiday shortened week. The market started the week on Tuesday at SPX 1865. After gap up openings on Tuesday/Wednesday the SPX reached 1931. After that it pulled back to 1902 on Friday. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 2.7%, NDX/NAZ gained 3.7%, and the DJ World index gained 3.8%. Economics reports for the week were again biased negative. On the uptick: the PPI, industrial production, capacity utilization, GDPn, plus weekly jobless claims were lower. On the downtick: NY/Philly FED, NAHB, housing starts, building permits, leading indicators and the WLEI. Next week we get the second estimate to Q4 GDP, the PCE, and more housing reports.
Saturday, February 20, 2016
Stock Market Sentiment...Looking At The Technical World..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
The market is showing some very interesting pattern set-ups on the daily index charts. The oscillators on the attempted pullback on those daily charts are holding nicely with many of the bear market stocks not showing a move lower on those oscillators as their price pulls back. A sign of many bear-market stocks bottoming? It could very well be, but that answer only comes with certainty when we experience the next strong down move. So far so good. Many stocks are in very deep bear markets, even though our indexes are not. Individual stocks from all over the stock-market world are experiencing some horrific moves lower. There are some signs based on positive divergences that this process may be in the very beginning stages of turning around.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, February 19, 2016
Stock Market Danger Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
You may ask, “Why the rally back to the zero line?”
The first answer is, “Because it can.” That’s what support and resistance lines are meant to portray. They represent pockets of buying power or selling pressure, depending on which side you are coming from.
There is another reason. Computer algorithms can be trained to “sense” these areas and use them to the owner’s advantage. In this case, it may be to the owner’s advantage to maintain the market at this level so that certain options will pay off.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, February 19, 2016
Equity Outflows Resume... It’s Time to be All-in Short / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX bounced off Intermediate-term support at 1904.40 this morning. There are a couple more supports that must be taken out today so progress may be slow, but steady on the downside. This assumes no catalyst rears its ugly head to spark the panic decline today.
Despite the three-day rally, we have seen the longest streak of equity outflows since 2008.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, February 19, 2016
Premarket Stock Market Decline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX has fallen to its 2-hour mid-Cycle support in the Premarket. This is unusual for OpEx in the Index Futures. It suggests some turmoil that may carry over to the open. OpEx Fridays are usually more volatile than normal, but this type of activity before the open is unusual.
ZeroHedge reports, “Not even this morning's mandatory European open ramp has been able to push US equity futures higher, and as a result moments ago the E-mini hit session lows on rising concerns about Brexit as talks drag on in Brussles, but mostly as a result of overnight confusion about China's loan explosion and whether the PBOC has lost control over its maniacally-lending banks.”
Read full article... Read full article...