Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Wednesday, July 23, 2008
The Greatest Transfer of Wealth in History is About to Unfold / Stock-Markets / Global Financial System
By: Ty_Andros
As we look out over the next six months what we see will be extraordinary. The opportunities for prepared investors have never been brighter as the unfolding volatility will be incredible. “Volatility is Opportunity ” for the prepared investor and it will arrive in spades. After a short period of corrective activity I believe explosive moves in almost ALL SECTORS (interest rates, stocks, commodities, natural resources, currencies, and more) lay on the near horizon. Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, July 23, 2008
Banking Crisis Alert -How Safe is Your Bank / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Marty_Chenard
Sunday's headline coming out of Washington was :"Paulson braces public for months of tough times"
Paulson had these comments:"I think it's going to be months that we're working our way through this period -- clearly months,"
"The number of troubled banks will increase as they struggle to cope with big losses on bad mortgages."
In one breath, he was telling Americans to "brace themselves for tough times ahead". In the next breath, he was essentially saying, don't worry, the US Banking system is sound.
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Wednesday, July 23, 2008
Bailouts Mean US Tax Payers Pay for the Mistakes of Rich Bankers / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Mike_Stathis
With all that's happened with the real estate and banking crisis, the word “bailout” has been plastered throughout the media with little discussion of exactly what a bailout entails. Supplying money to a distressed company does not by itself represent a bailout. It all depends on where the money is coming from, and whether or not a moral hazard has been created.
Bear Stearns vs. LTCM
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Wednesday, July 23, 2008
How to Make Money in a Stocks Bear Market and Protect Your Bank Deposits Video / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Sarah_Jones
In this new 40 minute long special video edition of the Theorist , Bob Prechter answer today's most urgent financial questions:
1) Your bank deposits – can they stay safe?
2) How do you navigate the bear market in stocks?
3) When will the bear market end?
4) And: what do these issues mean for the broader economy?
Wednesday, July 23, 2008
Investment Strategies to Exploit Current Macroeconomic Trends / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
By: Mike_Stathis
I have several investment strategies in play to exploit the macroeconomic trends that continue to unfold. Many of these strategies have paid off handsomely – shorting the financials, homebuilders, and mortgage companies – and playing the market trading ranges. While I feel there is still more to be made by shorting the financials, the fact is that shorting strategies are not suitable for many investors. Here, I attempt to provide some more practical guidance for everyday investors. As you will see, I gradually progress into more sophisticated strategies. You need to determine what the best approach is for you based upon your risk tolerance, investment needs and horizon.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, July 23, 2008
Dubai's Oil Boom Financial Centre Heading for Bust? / Stock-Markets / Middle East
By: Money_Morning
Martin Hutchinson writes: Dubai has plenty of qualities that catch an investor's eye.
- The emirate has the world's only (self-proclaimed) 7-star hotel.
- Dubai also is home to the biggest financial market in the Middle East, which is itself publicly quoted and trades at 25 times forecast 2008 earnings.
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Wednesday, July 23, 2008
Investing Lessons for Today From Japans Lost Decade of Economic Depression / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
By: Money_Morning
William Patalon III writes: A "Lost Decade" doesn't have to translate into lost profit opportunities. As the global financial crisis continues to escalate, the United States is increasingly facing the prospect of a long malaise that could easily eclipse Japan's Lost Decade of the 1990s in both duration and depth.
And history shows that such periods can be the worst for investors to navigate - especially when they follow a record stock-market run, such as the all-time-highs that U.S. share prices reached last fall.
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Tuesday, July 22, 2008
Bullish Countertrend Rally Developing in Dow Stocks Index / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Paulenoff
My pattern and momentum work on the 4-hour Dow Diamonds (AMEX: DIA) price action off of the July 15 low argues that the upleg from the 108.33 low to the 115.65 high (7/21) represents the initial recovery rally leg, and that the weakness into today's low at 113.80 represents a shallow correction of that initial upleg.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, July 22, 2008
The Mother of All Short Squeezes in Financial Stocks.. / Stock-Markets / Banking Stocks
By: John_Mauldin
How do you spell short-selling rally, gentle reader? In this week's Outside the Box we look at several short items (pardon the pun) from various sources, which paint a not pretty picture. The first hit my inbox this morning from Art Cashin (of CNBC fame and also Head Floor Trader for UBS).
" Deconstructing The Rally – The sharp rally that sprang from the new short sale restrictions has been spiky and, in several ways, very powerful. The impact of the short rule change was evident. As Barron's notes, the 150 stocks with the heaviest short interest rallied a stunning 15%. The stocks with the smallest short positions rose only 2%. That may be a function of existing shorts scrambling to cover to pass the new, belated, scrutiny. That thesis got added weight from a couple of areas. The Merrill Lynch results got mostly panned by several analysts and TV pundits. Nonetheless, the stock closed 24% above its lows for the week. Also, the financial sector ETF rose nearly 25% from the lows.
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Tuesday, July 22, 2008
United States Unfolding Financial and Economic Nightmare / Stock-Markets / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Money_and_Markets
Martin D. Weiss writes: The rally you saw last week was little more than a normal, bear-market bounce — predicated on the myth of government omnipotence ... spurred by the blind faith in fiat money ... and triggered by the official attacks on short-sellers.
For investors who jump into financial and other vulnerable stocks now, it's a trap door. But for those who feel like they're still stuck in all the stocks we've been telling you to get rid of, it's an escape hatch. Use it as your selling opportunity. And don't look back.
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Tuesday, July 22, 2008
Stock Markets Endure Another Volatile Week / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: Regent_Markets
Markets endured another volatile week, with US markets had a better time of it than their European counterparts. There were some clear psychological levels in play last week, as markets fell to fresh multi year lows, before recovering in the second half of the week. The Dow hit 11,000 for the first time since July 2006, and the S&P 500 hit 1,200 for the first time since October 2005. The CAC came close to hitting 4,000 for the first time since May 2005, the Dax hit 6000 for the first time since October 2006, and the FTSE reached its lowest point for over three years.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, July 21, 2008
S&P Fails to Break Inverted Head & Shoulders Neckline Resistance / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Paulenoff
In a bull market environment, the picture of the S&P 500 & its SPY ETF, as viewed by the e-Mini S&P 500 chart, would be very different. Let's notice that today's new recovery high at 1269 looks like it could have been an upside breakout from a base-like pattern that resembles an "inverted head-and-shoulders," doesn't it?Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, July 21, 2008
The Most Important Chart In the Investment Universe! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Captain_Hook
Many people are now being rudely awakened from slumber with respect to the effects on prices resulting from inflation , even if they only see the effects (rising prices) and not the cause. More specifically, as the cost of energy shoots higher, the lights are finally coming on for many consumers previously in the dark about what lies ahead. They are beginning to realize that even if prices come down from these lofty levels, they will still be high, never mind about going even higher. So, this realization is beginning to change a lot of attitudes, attitudes that were previously reluctant to accept the reality of the situation. Given, it's taking a lot of doing (i.e. oil at $140, etc.), but one would need be ‘brain dead' not to see (feel) the effects of escalating energy and food prices on personal budgets. Denial has worked for many up to this point, but many in this group will also be the ones panicking later on when they finally accept reality. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, July 21, 2008
Global Stock Markets Dancing to the Same Bearish Tune / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
Factoring in last week's stock market rebound, I have put together a table of global stock markets' performances over various measurement periods and in both local currency and US dollar terms. The numbers speak for themselves and can best be summarized in a single sentence: Despite the variation in the economic impact of the credit crunch, stock markets have by and large been dancing to the same tune. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, July 21, 2008
Stock Market Dead Cat Bounce! Beware of Bear Market Trap / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Money_and_Markets
Martin D. Weiss writes: Bernanke and Paulson's smoke, mirrors and hot air are temporarily buoying markets, luring gullible investors back into stocks! Meanwhile,
Merrill Lynch just disclosed it was creamed by $40 billion in investment write-downs in the second quarter — $69 billion so far this year.
Monday, July 21, 2008
Stock Market and Crude Oil at Critical Trading Levels / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Adam_Perl
Over the last couple of months we have been witnessing the outcome of constant aggressive monetary policy. The Fed has used all its weapons to try to keep the U.S economy out of recession, but at the same time they have spurred inflation. With a current fund rate of merely 2%, the Fed has found itself between a rock and a hard place, combating deteriorating economic growth accompanied by accelerating inflation. Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, July 20, 2008
Stocks Bear Market Decline Over? / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
Richard Russell (Dow Theory Letters): Is the decline over?
“So is the decline over? Anything is possible, but we still have not seen the kind of action that has ended almost every bear market of the last 75 years, according to the Lowry's studies. These previous declines have been characterized by a series of 90% down-days, with the last 90% down-day quickly followed by a 90% up-day.
“Since the May peak, we have seen only two 90% down days – June 6 and June 26. As I said, the ‘normal' situation at the final bottom of a true bear market is a 90% down-day quickly followed by a 90% up-day. So far, this has not occurred.
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Sunday, July 20, 2008
Fannie and Freddie Rescue Could Result in a Run on the US Dollar / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
“The end is neigh” was what many despondent investors were starting to believe as the past week kicked off with volatile trading amid concerns that US regional bank IndyMac's demise was a harbinger of many more bank failures.
Furthermore, Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson's plan to rescue the Government Sponsored Enterprises (GSEs), Fannie Mae (FNM) and Freddie Mac (FRE), left investors unconvinced.
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Sunday, July 20, 2008
Global Financial Crisis Worst Since 1930's Depression / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: William_R_Thomson
Q: Are we looking at a financial system "avalanche" rather than a technical bear market, in equities and bonds?
A: In no way can this be seen as a normal bear market. This is undoubtedly the worst financial crisis in the developed world since the 1930s. The only period remotely similar was the bear market of 1973-75, which was itself a part of the extended 1966-82 bear market in US shares. That bear market was driven in part by a 13 fold increase in oil prices from 1972 to 1980. This time we have had a 14 fold increase in oil prices from the $10 low of 1999. Last time we had massive inflation of 20 percent per annum. That has not yet arrived but may well be in the pipeline.
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Saturday, July 19, 2008
Stock Market Bounce Follow Through / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Dominick
I took the opportunity last week to offer a big picture review since it was clear we were at an important area in the major stock indices and, even though it avoided the specificity available to paying members, hopefully it kept readers from seeing a trap door early this week and shorting a bottom. This one is offerred as a follow-up on last week's call for a bottom in banks, a top in oil with a rally in stocks. And, of course, the question everyone wants answered now is whether there will be follow-through to this newfound upleg or did Friday's close end a bounce that will begin a march to new lows starting Monday.Read full article... Read full article...