Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Thursday, July 04, 2019

Stocks Can’t Even Rally on a Trade War “Cease Fire” / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Graham_Summers

Yesterday’s market action was a MAJOR wake up call.

Stocks erupted 1.5% higher on announcements that the US/ China reached some form of a trade deal…

However, the rally barely lasted, giving up most of its gains by mid-day. It was only through a desperate end of the session manipulation (red box in the chart below) that stocks didn’t end the day flat.

Wednesday, July 03, 2019

Transportation Index Warns Of Stock Market Trouble Ahead? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Any weakness in the Transportation Index near current levels would indicate investors and traders believe the global economy may continue to contract going forward and may be an ominous sign for the global stock markets.

The Transportation Index is a measure of the current expectations related to shipping, trucking, trains and all measure of forward expectations for goods, products and raw materials to be moved across nations, seas, states, and locations.  When the economy is gaining strength, we typically expect to see the Transportation Index moving higher.  When the economy is weakening, we typically expect to see the Transportation Index moving lower.

Wednesday, July 03, 2019

Stock Market Final S/T Push? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – Finallong-term phase on the way?  How much longer, is the question.

Intermediate trend –  The intermediate-term correction continues  to unfold.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends. 

Wednesday, July 03, 2019

Forex Market Charts and Setups: GOLD follows our Path Down / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019

By: QUANTO

Global equities rose on Monday as the G20 summit in Osaka fuelled optimism that trade tensions will ease, while havens fell out of favour and oil rallied on an extension of production cuts by Opec+ countries. The agreement between the US and China to resume trade talks and halt the imposition of further tariffs, fed hopes that the trade war may be easing up. European stock indices followed their Asian peers higher, with the international Stoxx 600 up 0.9 per cent, led by sectors sensitive to the outlook for trade relations. The Stoxx index tracking carmakers rose 2.1 per cent and Frankfurt’s Xetra Dax 30, home to a range of exporters, was up 1.8 per cent. London’s FTSE 100 rose 0.9 per cent. S&P 500 futures tipped US stocks to open up by over 1 per cent.

The move out of havens was brisk and set gold on course for its biggest single fall in a calendar year, down 1.7 per cent to $1,385.70. Japan’s yen weakened by 0.5 per cent to ¥108.38 per dollar. The yield on 10-year US Treasuries rose by 4.5 basis points as investors move out of the debt gathered pace, taking it to 2.0447 per cent. We had suggested the short gold trade here: GOLD TO FALL 10%. Currently Gold has cracked 1385.

Wednesday, July 03, 2019

Re-examining a Popular Stock Market Long Term Bearish Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Troy_Bombardia

The stock market has been very choppy in the past year. Over the past few months, the yield curve has been extremely hyped-up in the media and social media. I found some interesting data that makes you re-think how useful the yield curve really is for marketing timing. Today’s headlines:

1. Long term volatility is high
2. VVIX tanked
3. Weekend gap up
4. Few -1% down days
5. ISM PMI
6. Gold’s sentiment is retreating
7. How useful is the yield curve?

Wednesday, July 03, 2019

Playing the Stocks Bull Market Till the Music Stops / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Submissions

The last week of June completed as an inside week that traded very close to within our expected 2969-2915 high-level consolidation range on the Emini S&P 500 (ES). The actual range for the week was 2961.75-2914.5.

Essentially, the market action started the consolidation late Monday. It backtested against 2915, a major must-hold level, with 2914.5 printed as the "sticksave" to become the low of the week by Wednesday June 26.

Wednesday, July 03, 2019

Stock Index Trend Trading Strategy / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Last week was a great week for trading as we locked in profits on a trade and raised our stops to protect the rest of our open positions.
take a look at how my trading system identifies trends, trades, and targets in the chart below.

Tuesday, July 02, 2019

G20 News Drive Big Moves In The Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

This past weekend was full of exciting news and information.  Combine this with the strong US economic activity, the potential for some type of reprieve in the US/China trade issues and the historic meeting in North Korea between President Trump and Kim Jun Un, and the markets were set up for a big move at the open of trading in Tokyo.

The other big news originated from the Bank of International Settlements (BIS).  This Swiss-based central banking committee for “central banks” released an annual report on the progress of global central banks and the global economy last weekend.  They urged central banks not to chase easy money policies any longer and to focus on core policy changes, practical economic practices, and real leadership to help drive future growth.  They urged nations that easy money policies may help to show some types of immediate economic improvements – but that the risks of continuing such policies and lack of true economic reforms do nothing but pack risk into the back end of these efforts.

Saturday, June 29, 2019

The Trump Stock Market Trap May Be Triggered / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Barry_M_Ferguson

From the Christian Bible, John 8:32 - Jesus speaking: “If you abide in My word, you are My disciples indeed. And you shall know the truth, and the truth shall make you free.”

So, we have it on pretty good authority, Jesus Christ, that freedom is spawned from truth. If humans want to be free, they must therefore seek the truth.

The current day media, news - sports - financial, has gone full bore communist state mouth piece. They only report what they want us to believe. Deceivers push falsehoods to enhance their own power with the hope of enslaving the masses. The serpent doesn’t use an apple today. The serpent uses the microphone, politicians, entertainers, complete human ignorance, electronic media, and social media for deceit.

This is a truth we know. Low taxes plus low government regulation results in robust economies. Yet, no government on Earth facilitates this truth. In fact, they are the opposite and therefore in a spiritual sense, evil.

Friday, June 28, 2019

Is the Market Sending a Crisis Era Signal on the Economy and Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Troy_Bombardia

As the stock market continues to trend higher and Treasury yields continue to collapse, two groups of stocks are about to send crisis-era signals on the economy (according to Bloomberg). Today’s headlines:

1. Crisis era signals
2. Stocks continue to rally and Treasury yields continue to fall
3. Citigroup Economic Surprise Index still deep in negative territory
4. Gold’s sentiment extreme and volume
5. Bonds sentiment extreme

Wednesday, June 26, 2019

Stocks and XAU Gold Miners Next Bull and Bear Markets are Now Set Up / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Sharing market analysis and my opinions every day is far from easy and sometimes I feel like a song on repeat. My focus and goal has always been to try to alert fellow traders and investors of what is unfolding now in the financial markets around the globe because it appears we are about to experience another financial life-changing event much like the 2000 stock market top, and the late 2007 bull market top which will play out over the next 24+ months

If you lost money during the last bear market then you need a new game plan to take advantage of falling prices and the solution is not just to by gold, silver, and miners. In fact, you could lose a lot buying and holding them over the next year if you are not careful. We all know what the precious metals sector did during the last equities bear market (they crashed 64% with the stock market before starting to rally).

Tuesday, June 25, 2019

Is the Stock Market About to Drop? This Chart Says “YES” / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Graham_Summers

Sometimes it’s good to take a big picture look at the stock market.

By “big picture” I mean a monthly chart that is at least three years long.

Here’s one that caught my eye over the weekend.

Tuesday, June 25, 2019

Stock Market Bulls In Control, but Don't Get Complacent / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Ricky_Wen

The third week of June went according to the game plan as the market’s price action just followed the white line projections as we demonstrated in real-time.

If you recall, we got the eventual breakout above 2911 on the Emini S&P 500 (ES) that pumped into the all time highs target. The bulls fulfilled their goal by the end of the week with the high print close of the week’s range and bears are still considered dead. Who knew?

Monday, June 24, 2019

Stock Market New High, but…! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – Finallong-term phase on the way?  How much longer, is the question.

Intermediate trend –  The intermediate-term correction continues  to unfold.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends. 

Monday, June 24, 2019

Formula for when the Great Stock Market Rally Ends / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: readtheticker

When valuations for the boring water company or the boring electric company is trading like your Facebook, Apple, Amazon or Netflix or Google (ie FANG) you know something is wrong.

This is when a seriously over valued market is screaming at you.

Of course the reader must understand in a world where money printing goes super nuts (Zimbabwe style) the stock market may go hyper inflationary and picking a time frame for a top is never a good idea, but we are not there yet. There is no Ben Bernanke helicopter money to the masses yet (ie MMT).

Sunday, June 23, 2019

Financial Sector Paints A Clear Picture For Stock Market Trading Profits / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

After the incredible week we’ve seen, with the Fed leaving rates unchanged and precious metals rocketing higher above their previous five-year highs, it’s time we pay attention to what’s happening in the financial sector and the US stock market majors.  Closing out this week, we heard all traders and investors pay very close attention to the US dollar, precious metals, and the US major indexes.

There are a number of major factors taking place throughout the world that will likely drive future price trends over the next 30 to 60 days. Tensions in the Middle East, debt issues in China and Europe, central bank actions throughout the world and the US, and the ultimate driver of price moves – fear and greed. We’ve mentioned to a number of associates recently that our research focuses on the transition of traders from fear into greed.  Our belief is that as traders begin to fear certain events or price trends, the price action tends to become more volatile. As this volatility increases and trends accelerate, traders transition this fear into greed where they attempt to take advantage of opportunities generated by large price swings.

Saturday, June 22, 2019

How Do Stock Prices React to Fed Interest Rate Cuts? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Dimitri_Speck

The “Greatest Economy in History” Stumbles

“This is the greatest economy in the history of our country”, Donald Trump opined just a few months ago.

Alas, recently there is growing evidence of an economic slowdown.

Friday, June 21, 2019

Fed Leaves Rates Unchanged – Gold & Stocks Rally/Dollar Falls / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

We believe the US stock market is nearing upper resistance.  We still believe the US stock market will eventually attempt to move about the psychological levels of 3000 for the S&P, 30,000 for the Dow and 340 SPY.  This move to new all-time highs will likely result in a ”scouting party” type of price pattern where price attempts to identify new resistance, slightly above the psychological levels, then reverses back below these levels to retest support.

Our continued belief that a large pennant/flag formation is unfolding has not changed. As technical analysts, we need to wait for the new price peak form before we can identify where the upper channel of the pennant/flag formation is trending. We would urge traders to be conscious that any outside move in the stock markets as a very limited upside potential from current levels. The SPY is trading at 293 and we believe upper resistance will be found slightly above 300. Thus, we really have about a $7 or $8 move to the upside from current levels – only about 3% to 4% more room to the upside.

Thursday, June 20, 2019

Small Cap Stocks May Lead A Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

We believe a unique Pennant/Flag formation is setting up in the US stock markets. We believe the Small Cap sector may provide a better technical reference to the price breakout we are expecting in late August or early September than the mid or large-cap sectors.  The charts tell a very interesting story when comparing the different sectors to the SPY.

As most of you are well aware, the very deep selloff between October and December 2018 prompted a low price pivot point that most technical analysts are using as a reference to support. What we find interesting is that these Small Caps have really failed to mount any type of price recovery.  We believe this is because of the continued capital shift where foreign investors and institutional investors are piling into mid-cap and large-cap equities chasing dividends and safety.  The small-cap index chart may provide the best technical reference for the pennant formation and eventual breakout move.

Thursday, June 20, 2019

Stock Market Final Blow Off Top Just Hit… Next Week Comes the FIREWORKS / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Graham_Summers

Well, that’s that.

The markets surged on the Fed announcement of NO rate cuts because the market now believes the Fed is GUARANTEED to make a MASSIVE cut in July.

The S&P 500 (blue line in the chart below) hit our upside target for this rally, catching up the breadth (black line in the chart below). We might finish the week around here, but going forward anyone going long is effectively “picking up pennies in front of a steamroller.”