Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Saturday, January 16, 2010
Where Jim Rogers is Investing His Money in 2010 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
Investment Guru Jim Rogers says the Indian stock market has run up a lot. "I won't buy shares at these levels." He has a similar view on emerging markets, except China.
Though he currently owns Chinese shares, he is a tad negative on the economy. "The Chinese economy needs to cool." He feels real estate in China is getting into a bubble zone.
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Saturday, January 16, 2010
Stocks Bear Market Rally Update / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Not much has changed of late, but I do see change on the horizon for 2010. From a Dow theory perspective, the bullish trend confirmation that occurred in 2009 remains intact. From a cyclical perspective, the higher degree low that began at the March low remains intact as well. Longer-term, my opinion has not changed in that based on my data, I continue to believe that in spite of the now 11 month rally this is nonetheless a counter-trend advance within the context of a much longer-term secular bear market.
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Saturday, January 16, 2010
Financial Markets Marching Towards Inflation and Interest Rate Hikes During 2010 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
This weeks devastating Haiti earthquake illustrates that no matter how bad our financial and economic problems are they are nothing, a mere inconvenience when compared against how bad things truly could be as we continue to live protected, sheltered and privileged lives some distance from the difficult existence that nature has to offer.
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Saturday, January 16, 2010
Stock Market Sentiment Needs Correcting... / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
This is what likely needs to happen. I have talked about the short-term risk for some days with the primary trend still being higher. Within those primary trends there comes a time when markets need to pull back lower. That needs to take place when sentiment gets too heavy on the bullish side of things. We now see sentiment readings very close to levels that have caused pullbacks in bull markets just about every time although timing it is virtually impossible. A 37.5% spread as of the week of January 4th and this isn't great news for the bulls although far from a death knell. 37.5% more bulls equals a top soon to come and its possible the top was put in yesterday given some weekly engulfing candles on our Nasdaq/NDX charts (non confirmed on the Dow/S&P 500/Wilshire 5000).
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Saturday, January 16, 2010
Stock Market Crash 2010, History Repeating? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Consumers aren’t that confident. - Confidence among U.S. consumers rose less than forecast in January, signaling a lack of hiring will restrain spending. The Reuters/University of Michigan preliminary index of consumer sentiment increased to 72.8 from 72.5 in December. The gauge averaged 66.3 last year after reaching a record 28-year low of 55.3 in November 2008. Unemployment, close to a 26-year high and projected to average 10 percent this year, remains a hurdle for the recovery. Gains in confidence and spending, which makes up 70 percent of the economy, will depend on sustained job growth that hasn’t happened since the recession started two years ago.
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Friday, January 15, 2010
The Most Important Investment Report You'll Read in 2010 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Free 13-page Report: Robert Prechter's firm Elliott Wave International has just released its annual "Most Important Report of 2010." Inside, Prechter delivers hard facts, eye-opening charts and straightforward commentary to help you take advantage of the opportunities – and avoid the dangerous pitfalls – that you will face in 2010. You'll get analysis and forecasts you can act on, and you'll learn what the government's unprecedented involvement in the financial markets will mean for your portfolio in 2010 and beyond. Learn more and download your free report now..Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 15, 2010
Stock Market Trend Technical Nuances / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
If reading the market was easy, we would all be rich. Arguably, there is more to investment decision making than computer algorithms. The human mind is extremely complex and human behaviour is extremely difficult (perhaps impossible?) to model. At the end of the day the economy is driven by the sum total of all businesses and investing is/should be about finding good companies which are well managed by professional managers who understand that they are employed by – and accountable to - shareholders.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 15, 2010
Where Have Investors Gone? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
As Pete Seeger might have written it and the Kingston Trio might have sung it in the sixties, ‘Where have stock investors gone, long time passing? Gone to bond funds every one, long time ago.’
Will the last lines to that great folk song also become part of the picture? “When will they ever learn? When will they ever learn?”
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Friday, January 15, 2010
Vexing Stock Market Grinding Higher Defying Gravity / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Over the last few months, the behavior of the US stock markets has been rather vexing. Usually when they grow overbought, when greed and complacency wax extreme after a powerful rally, a healthy pullback soon rebalances sentiment. But instead they’ve ground higher lately, defying precedent and confounding students of the markets.
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Friday, January 15, 2010
U.S. Stock Market Indexes Cyclical Trend Forecasts 2010 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
As we forge ahead into the year 2010, it is a good idea to step back and get an overall perspective on the US stock indexes, both from a cyclical point of view - as well as to get a look at the accompanying technical action.
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Friday, January 15, 2010
Alternative Explanation For S&P500 Rally Trim-Tabs Conspiracy Theory / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
A recent post on Zero Hedge suggested that the “Non-Stop Rally Since March”, could have had a covert helping hand:
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Thursday, January 14, 2010
Key Price Levels for SPY, DIA, QQQQ, and IWM Stock Indices / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
It has been many months since I have looked at the key price levels on the ETF's that represent the major market indices. This used to be a regular feature back in the early days of this rally. I have recently renewed my interest in this methodology of determining significant turning points as these key price levels tend to represent important areas of support and resistance.
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Thursday, January 14, 2010
Doug Casey Says Stock Market Set to Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
L: So, what's on your mind this week, Doug? I understand you've had a "guru moment"…
Doug: Well, it's nothing but a gut feeling, but I think the stock market is riding for a big fall this year.
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Thursday, January 14, 2010
The Power to Trigger a New Stock Market Rally? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
An interesting question. Is there a group of investors that we can say may be responsible for triggering new upside rallies?
Take a look at today's chart and decide for yourself.
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Thursday, January 14, 2010
Decline in Credit Card Debt in the United States, Market Review / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Americans borrowed less for a 10th consecutive month in November with total credit and borrowing on credit cards falling by the largest amounts on records going back nearly seven decades.
The Federal Reserve said yesterday that total borrowing dropped by $17.5 billion in November, a much bigger decline than the $5 billion decrease economists had expected.
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Thursday, January 14, 2010
Stock Market Indices Rally in Afternoon to Close Positive / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The stock market indices started out with a little bit of a pop and then immediately sold off sharply. When yesterday's late lows held, the indices turned around and rallied for the rest of the day. Only a mid-afternoon pause prevented them from going straight up, but they never violated their intraday moving averages on the 5-minute charts, with the Nasdaq 100 going from 1855 to 1890 and S&P 500 jumping from 1133 to 1148.
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Thursday, January 14, 2010
Stock Market Bulls Fight Back... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Yesterday we get a strong gap down that runs lower all day. A trend down day that puts the bulls on notice for more down side action. The move lower coming from overbought oscillators on those daily charts. Surely the market could use some time off to get things unwound. Give the bulls a breather. The market could use it so let’s just continue the selling today. Not to be. The market rallied early on and failed right where it was supposed to. Right at the back test of the gap down that would put the brakes on any rally.
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Wednesday, January 13, 2010
Avoid Emerging Markets Like the Plague, Global Stock Market Margin Call / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
As we reported last month, individual investors are “pouring money into mutual funds that buy foreign stocks, especially in emerging markets such as China and India.” It appears that UK investors are joining the party. Not surprisingly, stories of the Chinese bubble are starting to come in. As typical of the top, investors feel that nothing can “change the upward trend.”
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Wednesday, January 13, 2010
Marc Faber Global Stock Markets Heading for an Imminent Strong Correction / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
Marc Faber discusses the stock market and the economic outlook for 2010 and concerned about the U.S. Debt bubble.
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Wednesday, January 13, 2010
NASDAQ-100 Bubble Bust Compared To S&P 500 Stocks Index / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
Interesting remark in a recent article by Karl Denninger:
But in 2003 credit was rapidly expanding, as it was in 2004. This is why the S&P expanded back to (and slightly beyond) its previous high - that was all financial leverage. The Nasdaq, made up of companies that made "things" (and services) for the most part, did not recover because it was not able to play financial engineering.
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