Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, June 04, 2010
Seven Reasons We Are Glad To Have Stock Market Short Sell Positions / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Seven reasons we are glad we have short exposure.
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Friday, June 04, 2010
Ending Phase of the Cyclical Stocks Bull Market? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
I have to wonder, are we entering the ending phase of this cyclical bull?
For sometime now I've noticed the similarities between the `02-`07 cyclical bull and what we've experienced since March of last year. The one difference is that this time we've truncated the middle phase of the bull. I suspect that was a direct result of the massive liquidity Bernanke ... and all central banks have pumped into the system.
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Thursday, June 03, 2010
Underwhelming Jobs Numbers See Stocks Trim Gains / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
In another late late show Wednesday US stocks, as I expected, rebounded from oversold levels in the last hour of trading because of stronger than expected home sales (buyers took advantage of the now expired tax credit), decent auto sales numbers and a read on the Challenger layoffs survey which implied underlying jobs growth of 200k. Other contributing factors were the calm on the bad news from Europe front and comments from Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan that he saw “more than hopeful signs” on loan demand.
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Thursday, June 03, 2010
Strong Three-Wave Rally Closes Stock Indices Near Session Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market indices rocketed higher today after an early morning dip in a strong 3-wave rally. The indices had a superior turnaround session as earlier losses were wiped with a strong morning rally. They did get a midday pullback to test intraday support and then turned it around for the sharpest rally of the day in the last hour and a half. In the last 10--15 minutes they spiked up into the close and finished right near the session highs going away.
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Thursday, June 03, 2010
Gold & SP500 Low Risk Trading Setups / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
It’s been a very exciting week so far for gold and SP500 traders as we take advantage of mass crowd behavior. Trading against the masses can be very profitable during certain situations but more times than not it’s a great way to lose money which is why I focus on taking the opposite side of these moves.
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Thursday, June 03, 2010
Stock Market Understanding Where We Are....Is it A Bear?..Still A Bull?... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The evolution of a market is never easy to fully understand as there can be so many "obvious" messages built in. It's obvious we're this, or it's obvious we're that, when in truth, nothing is very obvious at all.
Let's talk about what we do know. We know that the market at this moment is in a clear down trend. Today does not change that one bit.
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Thursday, June 03, 2010
Stock Market Trading Over The Next Four Months / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Following the May 20, 2010 Market Minute titled "Reversal levels reached", global equity markets have completed the expected correction and are now starting the next four month trading cycle. This means that there is a high probability of positive markets in June.
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Wednesday, June 02, 2010
Tough Resistance Ahead for S&P 500 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Now that the e-mini S&P 500 has recovered just about all of yesterday's late-session plunge (18 points), what if anything does the big-picture candlestick chart tell us?
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Wednesday, June 02, 2010
European Bourses in Red But U.S. Stocks Set For Rebound / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Tuesday saw another example of how nervous and jittery markets are prone to excesses, which result in exaggerated kneejerk reactions to the latest breaking news story. An AFP report that Lebanese forces had fired on Israeli warplanes triggering another late rush for the exit, leaving the Dow down 1.1%. Earlier in the day it had been buoyed by better than expected ISM (manufacturing) & constructing spending numbers.
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Wednesday, June 02, 2010
Institutional Investors An Critically Important Indicator? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
For years, we have pointed out that Institutional Investors pretty much ruled the markets because they were responsible for 50% to 70%+ of the volume in any given day.
For that reason, watching how much they buy and how much they sell everyday is critical. Buying when Institutions are selling is foolhardy, and so is selling when Institutional investors are buying.
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Wednesday, June 02, 2010
Health Care Sector, the Ultimate Hedge in Economic Crisis / Stock-Markets / Healthcare Sector
This week we have a really counter-intuitive Outside the Box. I was talking with the editor of Breakthrough Technology Alert, Patrick Cox about health care costs and he made some very interesting observations from new research about health care. It seems healthy people pay more for health care than sick people. I asked him to do a write-up for us. Despite the new health care bill that passed, health care costs are going to go up, not down. And that's a good thing, as Pat explains. You really want to read this.
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Wednesday, June 02, 2010
Stock Investing Top Profit Plays for a Defensive Portfolio / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
William Patalon III writes: Prussian military theorist Carl von Clausewitz once said that "the best defense is a good offense." Although that bit of wisdom has been used everywhere from the battlefield to the gridiron, it could just as easily be deployed as part of a "defensive investing" strategy.
And in today's markets - whipsawed by worries emanating from virtually every major market around the globe - a defensive-investing plan needs to include protective stops, inverse funds, high-yielding dividend shares, "sin stocks, and investments in oil and other value-storing commodities," Keith Fitz-Gerald, the best-selling author who is Money Morning's chief investment strategist, said in an interview this week.
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Wednesday, June 02, 2010
Stock Market Indices Roll Over Hard in Last Hour / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market indices were quite volatile in the morning, opening sharply lower and then bouncing sharply higher. The Nasdaq 100 made new rally highs at that point just under 1880, but the S&P 500 did not make new highs, and that negative divergence caused a sharp pullback.
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Wednesday, June 02, 2010
No Stock Market Bottom in Sight, Bear Market Forces Gathering Strength / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
"The National Government will regard it as it’s first and foremost duty to revive in the nation the spirit of unity and cooperation. It will preserve and defend those basic principles on which our nation has been built. It regards Christianity as the foundation of our national morality, and the family as the basis of national life."-- Adolph Hitler, My New World Order, Proclamation to the German Nation at Berlin, February 1, 1933
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Wednesday, June 02, 2010
Stock Market Gap Down Filled But Action Still Weak Overall.....Poor A/D Line / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
One thing the bears need to do to gain solid control of this market is to get a back-test gap failure off the 200-day exponential moving average which occurred today at the open. The only problem for the bears is the gap, instead of running lower, filled fairly quickly thus there is now still no open gap below that back test which if it did exist, would make the job of the bulls more than difficult in getting that 200-day back. A gap down failure off a back test can often be death for the bulls if they can't fill it immediately.
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Wednesday, June 02, 2010
GOLD:CRB The Most Important Chart / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Right now, in my view, the chart below is the most important chart in the book. It is a distilled proxy for investor confidence, world-wide, in the integrity of the financial system.The ratio of the gold price to the commodities index can be found at http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui , courtesy stockcharts.com. When the chart comes up on your screen, enter the following in the space marked “symbol” $GOLD:$CRB
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Wednesday, June 02, 2010
Adapting to Systemic Dysfunction, Every Investment is a Pure Gamble -PERIOD / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Same As It Ever Was With the possible exception of Black Swan events, and beyond the amplification and speed with which share prices can persistently collapse following negative episodes of such, there is no difference in navigating markets now (amidst a heightened state of systemic dysfunction) relative to doing so at any other point in market history.
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Tuesday, June 01, 2010
Stock Market Technical Update: What’s Next? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
In light of the growing market volatility, I thought it best to provide a technical update on where the markets are and what’s likely to come.
Many bulls view stocks’ latest drop as a buying opportunity. They are overlooking several glaring technical issues that warn very strongly that this correction is different from previous corrections occurring in the post-March 2009 rally.
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Tuesday, June 01, 2010
A Vote for Armageddon / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
I wanted to start off this week discussing the political climate that surrounds the markets today.
With the entire financial system on life support from the Federal Government either directly in the form of transfer payments (food stamps, unemployment, etc.) or indirectly via the Federal Reserve’s countless lending windows and back-door schemes to funnel taxpayer money to Wall Street Banks, you simply cannot analyze the market without accounting for Government Intervention.
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Tuesday, June 01, 2010
Completed Corrective Period for German EWG ETF / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets
My near- and intermediate-term pattern and momentum work in the iShares German Index Fund ETF (NYSE: EWG) argue that all of the action from the Oct '09 high at 23.40 into last Tuesday's low at 17.97 represents a completed corrective period in that aftermath of the Mar '09 to Oct '09 advance. Let's keep in mind that current strength comes off of 17.97, which was the 50% support plateau of the entire upleg during 2009, and a sign that the EWG is trading very technically at the moment.
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