Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, September 23, 2010
Bubble Trouble, Next to Burst, Gold, Treasuries, CDS...? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: PhilStockWorld
Gold, Treasuries, Junk Bonds, Netflix (we shorted them yesterday), PCLN (we shorted them Monday), Credit Default Swaps - take your pick of what is going to be the next bubble to burst.
We shorted TLT again yesterday ($105) as I sure wouldn’t lend the US money at those rates and neither, it seems, will the "smart money" guys anymore. The cost to hedge against losses on U.S. government debt rose to the most in six weeks as investors bet the Federal Reserve will put more cash into the economy.
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Thursday, September 23, 2010
A look at the Stock Market Cycles and Gold / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: Clif_Droke
Now that we’re only two weeks or less away from the 4-year cycle bottom, it’s time to start thinking about the year-ahead outlook and what the coming months may bring. This year has been a rough one in patches due in no little measure to the influence to the 4-year down cycle. In previous years when the 4-year cycle has bottomed by itself it has tended to be rather mild in terms of the bottom itself (the cycle always bottoms around late September/early October) but has always created turbulence for the stock market in the months leading up to its bottom.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, September 23, 2010
Anglo Irish Bank Rumours And Weak GDP Worries Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: PaddyPowerTrader
U.S. stocks fell Wednesday, dragging the S&P 500 Index to its biggest decline in two weeks, as a weakening earnings outlook for technology and financial companies overshadowed speculation the Federal Reserve is warming up the print presses for QE2.
Adobe Systems tumbled 19% after estimating sales that missed analysts’ projections and PMC-Sierra dropped 6% as the chipmaker reduced its third-quarter revenue forecast. Microsoft shed 2.2%after announcing a dividend increase that was smaller than some analysts expected. Morgan Stanley and Goldman both lost at least 2.2%, pacing a slump in financial shares, as Deutsche Bank cut its earnings estimates for the banks.
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Thursday, September 23, 2010
China’s Economy Rocks! Ignore the Naysayers / Stock-Markets / China Stocks
By: Tony_Sagami
If you read the business news or watch CNBC, you’ve been bombarded with a steady stream of experts warning you about China. Warning you about the Chinese stock market, warning you about the Chinese real estate bubble, warning you about the Chinese economy.
The majority of those China worrywarts have been crying “wolf” for a long, long time. Like Samuel Clemens said, “the reports of my death have been greatly exaggerated” and that is certainly true of the Chinese economy.
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Thursday, September 23, 2010
SP500 Pierces, Bonds Rally, Dollars Fall Out the Window / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: Chris_Vermeulen
It’s been a wild ride the past few days OptionsX, Obama and FOMC comments. Seems like everyone is waiting to see what the market is going to do going forward at this pivotal point…
Since the market topped in April and has since been trading sideways in this rather large range, everyone has small positions at work but waiting for a decisive move before fully committing to one side. There could be a few opportunities in the coming days using bonds, the dollar and the SP500 if all goes well which I explain below.
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Thursday, September 23, 2010
Stock Market S&P Support at 1131 Holding For Now... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Jack_Steiman
And that's about all one can say. It is expected that this level would hold the first test as the bulls fought long and hard to take it out. Unfortunately for the bulls, it was taken out at the same moment the market got very overbought on those daily oscillators across the board. The goal now for the bulls is to try and hold this level, or close to it for a while, until those longer-term daily oscillators can unwind enough to allow for further market upside. We opened up pretty flat today, but then the move down began. We gradually moved down to 1131. Hit it a few times, but the bulls found a way to hold on and allow it to move higher. Nothing great back up. Nothing to celebrate, but you have to like it when the bulls defend their turf.
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Wednesday, September 22, 2010
Scared Stupid, What Is Next For Stock Prices / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: Bob_Clark
First I will rant about my pet peeve and then I will follow up on the current cyclical structure in the stock market. Financial natural selection
The bears are being cut to pieces as stop after stop is hit, not only that but each time we surge a little higher, new pressure points prod the ones without stops to end the pain and cover as well. Fear drives out greed in the bears and greed drives out fear in the bulls.
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Wednesday, September 22, 2010
Stock Markets Ripe for a Setback as Fed Warms Up Money Printing Presses / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: PaddyPowerTrader
As I warned yesterday, the US equity market had overdone its expectations that the Fed where going to fire up the printing press & embark on QE2 with immediate effect. Hence it had set itself up for a fall and was ripe for a setback on the resulting disappointment.
The culprit for the early dip in European stocks this morning was to be the execution of a 1.5 bn euro programme order to sell European stocks!
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Wednesday, September 22, 2010
Stock Market Sector Strength Indicates Returning Confidence / Stock-Markets / Sector Analysis
By: Donald_W_Dony
Analysts and economists often refer to the strength or weakness in certain key industrial groups as evidence of a recovering or declining economy. During the recovery phase of a typical business cycle, there is usually greater buying emphasis on industry sectors that reflect a more optimistic stance. This wave of confidence can shift short-term to a more defensive approach.
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Wednesday, September 22, 2010
Stock Market FOMC Volatile Session Closes Near Unchanged / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had a very volatile day, especially after the FOMC announced that they kept rates unchanged. The morning was spent with the indices moving back and forth on the Nasdaq 100, holding support. The S&P 500 kept moving steadily lower in a down channel until the FOMC report.
Tuesday, September 21, 2010
Stock Market Confusion? S&P 500 bullish, VIX bearish? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Marty_Chenard
Below is a long term view of the VIX (Volatility Index).Note that the VIX has been below its September inverted support line for the past 4 days while the S&P has been above its support with a triple top upside breakout yesterday.
Yesterday, the S&P breakout was bullish, but the VIX falling below both of its inverted supports at labels 3 and 4 was bearish.
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Tuesday, September 21, 2010
NBER Declares the Recession is Over / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Mark_McMillan
The NBER declared that the recession ended in June 2009, more than one year ago and apparently the market liked that...
Recommendation: Take no action.
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Tuesday, September 21, 2010
Stock Market Indices Follow Through on Last Week's Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices started the week off with a bang and followed through brilliantly on last week's rally, gapping up from the get-go and exploding early on short covering. They consolidated mid-day, and then ran again hard in the afternoon, as the Nasda 100 had two rallies of more than 20 points during the session and the S&P 500 had two rallies of more than 12 points. Only a last 5-minute pullback prevented them from closing on the highs for the day.
Tuesday, September 21, 2010
Stock Market Bulls Clear 1131 S&P 500... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Jack_Steiman
It seemed as if it would never happen, but the bulls refused to let thing get away from them as the bears put up their front at that critical resistance level. Sure we sold off many times from 1131, but never hard and never for long. That was the key. The bears needed to throw everything they had at holding off 1131, but beyond that they simply could not sell this market off in any big way that put the bulls on notice that the bears weren't going to ever let it take place. Shallow pullbacks was all they could put together.
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Monday, September 20, 2010
Monday Stock Market Movement - Mind the (Wealth) Gap! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: PhilStockWorld
Congratulations to 440,000 of us!
That’s how many people became Millionaires in the past 12 months (ending in June). According to a new survey from Phoenix Marketing International’s Affluent Market Practice, the number of American households with investible assets of $1 million or more rose 8% in the 12 months ended in June. The survey says there now are 5.55 million U.S. households with investible assets of $1 million or more. That follows two years of declines and brings the Millionaire count back to 2006 levels. Of course, that is still below the peak of 5.97 million in 2007 and the current growth rate is well below pre-financial crisis levels, when the Millionaire population increased as much as 35% a year.
Monday, September 20, 2010
Stocks Advance But Irish Bond Spreads Hit Fresh Highs on Debt Crisis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: PaddyPowerTrader
Stocks Advance but Irish Bond Spreads Hit Fresh HighsThe big story Friday related to a research report by Barclays Bank (actually published Thursday morning) stating that Ireland MAY require external aid If unexpected banking losses emerged or economic conditions deteriorated further. This assertion was picked up in the most tabloid fashion imaginable by the Irish Independent in a clear case of scare mongering in what smelt of a Fox News make the facts fit the underlying editorial line (i.e. to heap more pressure on the FF / Green’s coalition) and then amplified in a game of worldwide financial Chinese whispers that went viral. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 20, 2010
Stock Market Quadruple Witching / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Mark_McMillan
Quadruple witching (expiration of stock index futures, stock index options, stock options, and single stock futures) occurred with relatively low volume and volatility...
Recommendation: Take no action.
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Monday, September 20, 2010
Stock Market SP500 Options Expiry Overnight Shakeout, What’s Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Chris_Vermeulen
I think it’s safe to say that everyone knows the markets are manipulated... but during options expiry week we tend to see prices move beyond key resistance and support levels during times of light volume which triggers/shakes traders out of their positions.
Trading during low volume sessions Pre/Post holidays for swing traders or between 11:30am – 3:00pm ET for day traders tends have increased volatility and false breakouts. This happens because the market markets for individual stocks can slowly walk the prices up and down beyond short term support and resistance levels simply because there is a lack of participation in the market.
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Sunday, September 19, 2010
Stock Market Trend, the Gold-Plated Economy / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Peter_Navarro
The stock market continues to show technical improvement – even as the economy continues to exhibit fundamental deterioration. On the technical front, Market Edge has its Strength Indices showing improvement while its Momentum Index remains very strong. At the same time, 81 of the 91 Industry Groups followed by Market Edge are rated either strong or improving. This all adds up to a stock market that continues to inch up on weak volume.
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Sunday, September 19, 2010
Stock Market Caught in a Boundary Cycle / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Christopher_Quigley
The market at the moment is going through a “boundary cycle”. Believe it or not the range the Dow Transports is caught in is the range that was created by the flash crash of May 6th. (Dow 30: 10,800 – 9800). As I said immediately after this event it would take a while for the technical position of the market to repair itself and this has proven to be the case. Nothing coming from the SEC has proved that they have managed to deal successfully with the issue of Over The Counter High Frequency Quant Trading and until they do so we will continue to observe outright manipulation of individual equity and index positions. Modern market confidence will not be set on solid ground until HFQT is regulated or banned.