Wednesday, January 30, 2019
Fed Fold Under Pressure, Telegraphs Looser Money Ahead / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates
By: MoneyMetals
Two big questions have been front and center for Fed watchers in recent months...
The first is just how high rates could go before stimulus-addicted markets would falter. The second is whether our central bankers would bow to pressure once markets faltered and politicians began calling for the Fed to resume easy money policies.
Both questions now seem to have an answer.
They began to wonder in earnest if sky-high stock market valuations could be supported in an environment where Fed officials promised to keep rates moving even higher for the foreseeable future.
Wednesday, January 30, 2019
Turk Telecom Turkey Holiday Resorts and Hotels Wifi Speed Test / Personal_Finance / Travel & Holidays
By: HGR
FREE WIFI is what virtually every decent hotel and holiday resort in Turkey offers but the quality of service varies greatly, for instance some wifi services only work in the reception area and not in any of the rooms. so for those planning a trip to the Dalaman / Fethiye area of Turkey during 2019, this is a test of what to expect in terms of wifi service at a major resort such as Letoonia Club situated about 40 miles south of Dalaman and across the bay from the city of Fethiye. As we check out what broadband signal, download and upload speeds are like so you know if you need to make alternative roaming broadband arrangements before traveling.
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Monday, January 28, 2019
Will 35th Recession Bring A Swift Return To Zero Percent Interest Rates? / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates
By: Dan_Amerman
Many people view the seven years of zero percent interest rates experienced in the United States between 2008 and 2015 as being safely in the past, with normal times having returned.
As explored in this analysis, so long as the business cycle of expansions and recessions has not been repealed - then we are highly likely to see a swift return to a potentially protracted bout of zero percent interest rates with the next major downturn in the economy.
Indeed, even the staff of the Federal Reserve itself expects more frequent episodes of zero percent interest rates in the future, and for those episodes to be on a more protracted basis.
This just may change everything when it comes to the financial plans of retirement and other long term investors. Zero percent interest rates don't just eviscerate the ability of retirees to earn interest income, but they also fundamentally change stock, bond, housing and precious metals prices, moving them to places that are outside of the historical averages.
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Monday, January 28, 2019
UK Mortgages Fixed Interest Rates Gap Falls to the Lowest Since 2013 / Housing-Market / Mortgages
By: MoneyFacts
The mortgage rate war is still very much at hand, with providers across the market attempting to attract new business – and the latest research from Moneyfacts.co.uk can reveal that the rate gap between two-year and five-year fixed rate mortgages has fallen to its lowest level since 2013.
The rate gap calculates the difference between average two and five-year fixed rates in order to gauge the level of competition in the mortgage market. This calculation shows that the rate gap stands at 0.41% today, down from 0.44% on average for the whole of 2018, which in itself marks a fall from 0.57% in 2017 and from 0.64% in 2016.
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Monday, January 28, 2019
Philippine Peso Stability Relies on Duterte’s Infrastructure Success / Currencies / Phillippines
By: Dan_Steinbock
Recent concerns about peso’s depreciation have been exaggerated. In the most dangerous international environment since the postwar era, there is no room for complacency, however.In the past, international and domestic critics of the Duterte government have complained that the Philippine peso has fallen "six straight years,” which is seen as a sign of the failure of Duterte agenda.
In March 2017, Bloomberg reported that “Asia's ugly duckling of 2017 is the peso, thanks to Duterte.” At the time, peso’s weakening was explained, oddly enough, by investors who had been spooked by allegations of “unlawful killings and corruption.”
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Monday, January 28, 2019
Saudi Stock Market (Tadawul) at pivotal juncture / Stock-Markets / Saudi Arabia
By: MarketsToday
As of yesterday’s (Sunday) 8,528.30 trend high, the Tadawul All Share Index (TASI) has rocketed over 12% in 25 trading days, when counting from the swing low of 7,589.23 on December 23. A long-term bullish trend continuation signal was triggered on the move as the day’s close was at 8,509.43, just above the most recent peak of 8,502.92 from July 2018. Further, yesterday’s close was the highest daily closing price since August 2015.
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Monday, January 28, 2019
Will Crude Oil Find Support Above $50? / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Recent global news regarding Venezuela, China, and global oil supply/production have resulted in the price of Oil pausing over the past few weeks near $53 to $55 ppb. We believe the continued supply glut and uncertainty will result in oil prices falling, briefly, back below $50 ppb before any new price rally begins. Our researchers at www.TheTechnicalTraders.com believe historical resistance near $54~55 is strong enough to drive prices lower before new momentum picks up for a renewed price rally.
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Monday, January 28, 2019
Did AAPL Save the Fed, or Did the Fed Save APPL? / Companies / Apple
By: Mike_Paulenoff
The upcoming week is loaded with potentially significant directional markets catalysts such as earnings from mega-cap industrial names like CAT, BA, and XOM, as well as from technology powerhouses AAPL, FB, AMZN, AMD, and QCOM. At the end of the week, the BLS is scheduled to release the December Employment Report.
To my mind, though, the most consequential potential market-moving "events" will occur Wednesday afternoon starting at 2 PM ET, when the FOMC releases its next policy statement, and at 2:30 PM ET, when Fed Chairman Powell addresses reporters at the post-meeting press conference. The Fed will clearly have Apple Inc. (AAPL)'s earnings news from Tuesday after the bell on its mind.
This is because back on Jan 2 -- the first trading session of the new year -- AAPL pre-announced a shortfall in revenues for fiscal Q1, 2019. It was the first such slash in quarterly earnings in the past 15 years, mostly blaming the decline in iPhone demand on sluggish economic conditions in China (aka the US-China trade dispute).
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Monday, January 28, 2019
Have You Felt Like A 'Genius' In This Stocks Bull Market Or Have You Felt Lost? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Avi_Gilburt
There is an old adage in the market which says that "everyone is a genius in a bull market." What that really means is that as long as you keep looking to the long side in a bull market, you will be seen as a genius.
But, remember, one of the main perquisites for maintaining "genius" status is that we must be in a "bull market." So, how do you know when a bull market is coming to an end?
Many view a 20%+ decline as suggesting we are in a bear market. To explain the extent to which many hold fast to this perspective, allow me to provide you something that I witnessed recently.
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Monday, January 28, 2019
Another Major Stock Market Top at Hand? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Brad_Gudgeon
Last week, I suggested that there would be a major top around the 22nd. That top proved to be January 18 right on the quadruple and powerful Bradley turn, as well as the Venus/Mars trine. That same weekend we had Mars square Saturn. On January 25th we had another Mars trine with Jupiter and the SPX appeared to make a failing ‘b’ wave top with only the Dow Industrials making a new high.Coming out of a rising wedge and making a double top is serious business, especially when you have P/C ratios as low as they are now and the fear has just about left the building. What I’m talking about is another drop coming like we had from October 3 to the December 24/26 bottom.
When I saw the shallow move down last week and the resulting attempt at new highs I knew the market was in trouble. Another thing I observed this week was President Trump asking his staff what important services would be affected if the government were shut down into April. He then suggested that the three week reprieve into February 15th would only last three weeks in which time he may enact his authority to create a national emergency. That got me to thinking.
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Sunday, January 27, 2019
Sheffield Best Secondary Schools Unqiue Trend Analysis 2019 / Local / Sheffield
By: N_Walayat
It's that time of the year when Year 9 students will be trundling along with their parents to their schools GCSE Choices evenings, presentations of what subjects students could select for their GCSE studies in Year 10, and 11. Though in reality for most their won't be much of a choice as the choices forms appear to have been carefully crafted to give the illusion of choice when in reality the decisions for who will do what have already been made by the schools aimed at maintaining or improving their schools position in the GCSE results tables and in view of limited spaces for resource intensive subjects such as Computer Science which tend to be over subscribed by many times the number of places available and thus only a fraction of students will actually get places on their chosen subjects.
Sunday, January 27, 2019
Stock Market Bulls Still in Charge, but… / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – Correcting within the very long-term bull market trend.
Intermediate trend – A bearish correction has started which could retrace as low as 2200 before it is complete
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
Sunday, January 27, 2019
Fed Doves Take Flight (But We Are Not in Kansas Anymore) / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates
By: Gary_Tanashian
Wise guys trading Fed Funds futures see no more rate hikes in 2019, and a few even imagine a rate cut before year-end. Here are the projections for the next 3 meetings, showing an overwhelming view that the Fed will hold the current 225-250 target rate. Graphics: CME Group
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Sunday, January 27, 2019
Will Liquidity Prevail In The Markets? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
VIX challenged Short-term resistance at 21.77 on Tuesday, but eased back toward long-term support at 16.51 at the close on Friday. The Primary Cycle [C] that may have just started may be a multiple of the Primary Wave [C] of February 2018.
(RealInvestmentAdvice) All Quiet on the Western Front is a 1929 novel which describes German soldiers’ extreme physical and mental stress during World War I, and subsequent detachment from civilian life felt by many soldiers upon returning home. This novel was eventually made into a major motion picture.
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Saturday, January 26, 2019
Dubai Stock Market Faces Potential Bullish Reversal / Stock-Markets / Dubai
By: MarketsToday
DFMGI
- Potential inverse head & shoulders bullish reversal setup in the daily chart for the Dubai Financial Market General Index (DFMGI). (Exposure can also be accessed via iShares MSCI UAE ETF (UAE), traded in the U.S. Although average volume is relatively low.)
- Pattern occurs off December 2,429.12 low, which completed a 34% 14-month decline from the October 2017 swing high.
- Bullish 14-day RSI divergence.
- Breakout triggered on decisive move above 2,561.
- Minimum target objective of approximately 2,716.80 as derived from the head & shoulders pattern (previously support zone from October 2018 & in area of 1.618 Fibonacci projection).
- Other potential targets are highlighted on the below chart and derived from prior price and Fibonacci confluence levels.
- Current pattern is invalid on a daily close below the right shoulder at 2,479.37.
Saturday, January 26, 2019
IMF Proposes a 10% Wealth Tax on NET WORTH / Stock-Markets / Taxes
By: Graham_Summers
They’re coming for your money.
The Everything Bubble has burst and the debt markets are in distress. We’ve already seen yields rise above their long-term downtrend, suggesting that higher debt costs are now a reality.
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Saturday, January 26, 2019
TONY FOULDS Get's US Bomber Crash Memorial Fly Over on 22nd Feb (BBC) / Local / Sheffield
By: N_Walayat
2019 will mark the 75th anniversary of the crash of a US B17 Flying Fortress bomber in Endcliffe Park, Sheffield on the 22nd of February 1944 costing the lives of the 10 member crew of the "Mi Amigo". Pensioner Tony Foulds aged 82 regularly tends the memorial site after witnessing the plane crash as a child, and states that he owes his life to the airmen who avoided children in the park.
Tony after bumping into the BBC Presenter Dan Walker managed to arrange a multi-air craft fly over on the 22nd of February 2019 (weather permitting). This is the BBC news report when Dan Walker breaks the news to Tony Foulds live on BBC Breakfast News that he has got his fly by, with tears and smiles.
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Saturday, January 26, 2019
Why Everyone’s Talking About Gold & Silver / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
If you have been following some of the research posts by some of the biggest names in the precious metals industry, you may understand “why” so many people are so excited about the opportunities in Gold and Silver recently. There are so many facets to the fundamental and emotional functions of precious metals as an industrial commodity as well as a safe-haven investment to protect against risk and to hedge against inflation. Old school traders were taught to “watch gold, oil, and bonds” for signs of concern, weakness and as a means of gauging total market sentiment. The idea behind this statement was these market tend to act as the “canary in the coal mine” in terms of fear and risk.
Recently, we posted an article that suggested Gold, Silver and many other precious metals would move in unison as this new price expansion takes place (https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/metals-moving-in-unison-for-a-massive-price-advance-part-ii/). Many of our modeling systems are suggesting that Gold will rocket well above $1400 sometime near May or June of 2019. These predictive modeling tools help us to identify opportunities and price moves well ahead of the other research firms available today. Our unique tools can actually pinpoint times/dates when breakout moves should take place and allow traders to prepare for these moves months in advance – like today.
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Saturday, January 26, 2019
Gold Price Is Rallying in All Other Fiat Currencies / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: MoneyMetals
Welcome to this week’s Market Wrap Podcast, I’m Mike Gleason.
Coming up Greg Weldon of Weldon Financial joins us for a 2019 outlook. I’ll ask him if the thinks the recent stock market rally has legs – and also for his forecast for gold this year. And Greg has some very interesting news regarding the yellow metal which – to his surprise – hardly anyone knows about. Don’t miss another fantastic interview with Greg Weldon, coming up after this week’s market update.
Gold and silver markets traded modestly lower through Thursday’s close as the U.S. Senate failed to pass bills to re-open the government. All the metals are up today however.
President Trump’s compromise deal garnered a majority but drew just one Democrat vote and came up a few shy of the 60 needed. So the shutdown persists – along with growing partisan rancor and pettiness.
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Saturday, January 26, 2019
How to Manage Your Online Gambling Budget / Personal_Finance / Gambling
By: Boris_Dzhingarov
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