Monday, April 08, 2019

US Dollar Key Fundamentals / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Gary_Tanashian

A reminder that we are not using the standard gold bug method of evaluating the USD (perma “death to the dollar!!”). We are using fundamentals in evaluating its potential to correct (and launch a global macro trade). The blue shaded boxes on this weekly chart tell the story of Fed policy (Fed Funds/3 mo. T-Bill) that significantly lagged the upturn in the 2yr yield into late 2015. But USD turned up much earlier (in 2014) to follow the 2yr.

Today we have an opposite situation. The 2yr has turned down (putting the Fed in dove mode) but Fed policy is going sideways. We are relatively early in a new blue box and if the correlation between USD and the 2yr holds (in reverse) either USD will correct soon or the 2yr will rise again (and whipsaw an increasingly clownish looking Fed).

Monday, April 08, 2019

Are Traditional Business Models Going the Way of the Dinosaur / Companies / SME

By: Submissions

The term "business as usual" has always represented a slight misnomer, as the concept itself is dictated by economic, social and political conditions. So, success within this community will often depend upon one's ability to see what might be waiting around the corner. While all eyes are focused upon the Brexit and its potential long-term ramifications, not all freelancers and entrepreneurs have taken a dim view on the eventual outcome. Why is this the case? Should they not be more concerned about the fiscal ramifications of such an unprecedented move? One of the main reasons why astute professionals will likely be able to weather the storm involves the growing presence of the online business community. What changes might this phenomenon have in store? Are traditional models no longer viable? How can freelancers take full advantage of the opportunities at their disposal? 

Monday, April 08, 2019

Watch For +15% Move In Chinese Stocks / Stock-Markets / China Stocks

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Last week we had strong numbers out of China and our research continues to suggest the Chinese stock market could be poised for an upside price rally of at least 15% over the next 30+ days before possibly reaching a peak in June or July 2019.  Our Fibonacci predictive modeling system is suggesting a target level of $30.50 to $31.50 (in YINN) as an immediate upside profit range.

We believe the continued pricing pressures of 2018 are easing as continued negotiations with US trade officials have everyone in high hopes for a suitable and equitable outcome.  Our researchers believe the upside in the Chinese stock market could be as high as $32 to $36 in YINN before the June/July peak is reached.  This would represent a +25% to +40% upside price objective from recent highs.

Monday, April 08, 2019

Stock Market Ending Diagonal Pattern? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – Is the long-term trend resuming? Is this a B-wave?  Too early to tell!

Intermediate trend –  The trend which started at 2346 appears to be decelerating and forming a top.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends. 

Monday, April 08, 2019

The Biggest Gold Story Of 2019 / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2019

By: OilPrice_Com

Monday, April 08, 2019

5 Biotech Stocks That You Should Be Watching Right Now! / Companies / BioTech

By: Submissions

The world of biotechnology is changing rapidly. Today, there are more answers for medical questions than ever before. However, that doesn’t mean that innovation is coming to an end. Several companies dedicate their efforts to finding solutions for some of the world’s most debilitating conditions.

This medical innovation has led to droves of investor interest. As more and more companies find solutions, more and more investors are finding profits. However, as with any investment, investing in the biotechnology space can come with risk.

Sunday, April 07, 2019

Litecoin – Love It Or Hate It / Currencies / BlockChain

By: Sumeet_Manhas

Sunday, April 07, 2019

What US Economic Fundamentals Say For Stock Market Trend 2019 - Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This is the ninth analysis in a series of videos that concludes in a detailed trend forecast for the Stock Market Dow Stocks Index covering to September 2019.

Sunday, April 07, 2019

Fake News War After Mueller / Politics / Mainstream Media

By: Raul_I_Meijer

Allow me to start with a question: Has anyone seen any of the main newspapers and networks who went after Donald Trump for 3 years accusing him of colluding with “the Russians”, apologize to either Trump, or to their readers and viewers, for spreading all that fake news now that Robert Mueller said none of that stuff was real, that they all just made it up?

I’ve seen only one such apology, albeit a very good and thorough one, from Sharyl Attkisson for The Hill. But one is a very meager harvest of course. With over 500,000 articles on collusion published on the topic, as Axios said -leading to 245 million social media ‘interactions’, shouldn’t there be more apologies, if only so people can hold on to their faith in US media for a while longer?

Sunday, April 07, 2019

Falling Trade Deficit is Good for Stocks: True or False? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: EWI

A common claim from economic and stock market observers is that a rising trade deficit is injurious to the economy -- hence, bearish for stocks. On the other hand, a falling trade deficit is commonly believed to be bullish for stocks.

Sounds like common sense, but the price action of the main stock indexes often defy reason.

For example, on March 27, CNBC reported, "The U.S. trade deficit fell much more than expected in January to $51.15 billion, from a forecast $57 billion. The decline of 14.6 percent represented the sharpest drop since March 2018... ." Yet on the day the news was released, the main U.S. stock indexes closed lower.

Sunday, April 07, 2019

Goldcorp: 'Anything but my Payment' / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2019

By: The_Gold_Report

Money manager Adrian Day looks at recent results from several royalty companies in his portfolio, as well as recent developments in the ongoing Goldcorp saga, and provides updates on a couple of favorite exploration companies.Goldcorp Inc. (G:TSX; GG:NYSE, US$11.52) looks set to be acquired by Newmont, but not without continuing controversy, particularly over chairman Ian Telfer's egregious "retirement allowance" payment, almost tripled after the acquisition announcement. After my comments last bulletin, I was invited onto BNN/Bloomberg to discuss the merger. See TV interview here. The response was overwhelming, and positive.

Saturday, April 06, 2019

Gold Stocks Still Marching / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2019

By: Zeal_LLC

The gold miners’ stocks are still marching, grinding higher on balance in a solid upleg.  While interest in this sector has faded since late February, it is nicely set up for a strong rally.  After consolidating high and establishing a sturdy base, the gold miners are likely to soon report greatly-improved first-quarter results.  Couple that with gold itself powering higher, and the slumbering gold stocks should surge substantially.

The gold stocks are mired in something of a psychological limbo these days.  They aren’t exactly out of favor, but there’s little enthusiasm for this sector.  Investors and speculators have largely lost interest for technical, sentimental, and fundamental reasons.  It’s been 6 weeks since this gold-stock upleg surged to material new highs.  The major gold miners have been mostly grinding sideways since, consolidating and basing.

Contributing heavily to traders’ apathy is gold’s own price action in that recent span.  Gold overwhelmingly drives gold-mining profits, making these stocks leveraged plays on gold.  Gold’s own latest upleg high of $1341 came back in mid-February right before gold stocks topped.  Over the next 12 trading days gold fell 4.1% to $1285 during its usual pre-spring-rally-pullback period.  Slumps invariably sap traders’ enthusiasm.

Saturday, April 06, 2019

How to Make Tax Day Less Painful / Personal_Finance / Taxes

By: MoneyMetals

As Tax Day approaches, millions of Americans are becoming increasingly filled with panic and dread.

The Trump tax cuts may offer some relief. But not everyone will benefit greatly from them. A few could even see a higher tax bill for 2018 thanks to newly imposed limits on certain deductions.

The tax code itself remains absurdly complicated, needlessly invasive, and patently unfair. Some of that unfairness targets precious metals investors in particular.

Saturday, April 06, 2019

My Personal Experience with Trade.com / InvestorEducation / Learn to Trade

By: Submissions

Saturday, April 06, 2019

Stock Market DOW Seasonal Trend Analysis - Video / Stock-Markets / Seasonal Trends

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This is the eigth analysis in a series of videos that concludes in a detailed trend forecast for the Stock Market Dow Stocks Index covering to September 2019.

Friday, April 05, 2019

Will Global Slowdown Support Gold, or Is It Just Temporary? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Mayday, mayday, we are sinking! The global economy is slowing down. How serious is the current slump? We invite you to read our today’s article about the true condition of the world’s economy and find out what are its likely implications for the precious metals market.

Economists and market analysts often make volte-face. We remember that in 2018 the pundits were heralding the synchronized global growth. One year later all the talking heads prophesy the synchronized global slowdown. What is happening? How serious is the current slump? And what are the implication for the precious metals market?

Friday, April 05, 2019

Warning Mr. Trump - Know Your Enemies / Politics / US Politics

By: Raul_I_Meijer

President Donald J. Trump
The White House
1600 Pennsylvania Avenue, N.W.
Washington, DC 20500.

Mr. President,

I write to you because I’m seeing something unfold that concerns you, and I have no way of knowing if you’re aware of it, nor have I seen anyone else mention it. That is, sir, you are being set up, a trap is being set for you, and unless you are aware of it, you may well walk into that trap eyes wide open.

It may not be in your briefing this morning, but the WikiLeaks organization has reported that high-ranking Ecuadorean state officials have told them Julian Assange will be expelled from their London embassy in a matter of “hours to days”. Now, I don’t know what your personal opinion is of Mr. Assange, maybe you think he deserves punishment for leaking secret files to the public.

Friday, April 05, 2019

Canadian Dollar May Be Setting Up For An Upside Breakout / Currencies / Canadian $

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Our researchers, at Technical Traders Ltd., believe a current pennant/flag formation in the Canadian Dollar is suggesting an upside breakout move may be setting up over the next 5~7+ days.  Recently, the Canadian Dollar has weakened from 0.76875 to lows near 0.74375.  Current price rotation is almost perfectly aligned with Fibonacci Price theory suggesting that the recent failure to establish any new lower price level (highlighted on this chart in MAGENTA), suggests a tightening price range as the current pennant/flag formation completes over the next 5~7+ days.  It is our belief that as long as the current price level stays above the 0.74375 level throughout the completed pennant apex, an upside price break is very likely.

Friday, April 05, 2019

FedEx’s Report Confirms Recession Fears / Companies / Recession 2019

By: John_Mauldin

Last month, the Fed joined its global peers and turned decisively dovish.

Jerome Powell and friends haven’t just stopped tightening. Soon they will begin actively easing by reinvesting the Fed’s maturing mortgage bonds into Treasury securities.

It’s not exactly “Quantitative Easing I, II, and III,” but it will have some of the same effects.

Why are they doing this?

Friday, April 05, 2019

Australia Is on the Brink of a Housing Market Collapse That Resembles 2008 / Housing-Market / Austrailia

By: John_Mauldin

The US has been an “island of stability” as economic woes grow all over the world. Other such islands exist, too.

Australia is high on the list. The last Down Under recession was 27—yes, 27—years ago in 1991. No other developed economy can say the same.

The long streak has a lot to do with being one of China’s top raw material suppliers during its historic boom. Australia has done other things right, too.

But all good things come to an end. While not officially in recession yet, Australia’s growth is slowing.